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notices and features - Date published:
12:18 pm, July 1st, 2015 - 179 comments
Categories: capitalism, class war, Europe -
Tags: GFC, greece, IMF
The financial world is uncharted territory now as Greece has defaulted on and IMF loan repayment.
The Guardian’s live blog is the best place to go for news.
As the last Global Financial Crisis taught us, we’re in for another round of protecting the banks and letting the people suffer.
The old testament of the bible talks about a year of jubilee where all debts are forgiven every sixty years. We need one internationally now.
Biblically speaking I thought debts were forgiven every 7th year? I could be wrong though. Also they (Israel) were suppose to let the land rest the whole jubilee year? Many of out modern day laws have their roots in the ‘old testament’. Example: Once a debt goes to a NZ Collection Company, they may retain/seek that debt for 7 years only.
A ‘Global Debt Jubilee’ – in Greece I suppose you’d nationally call that bankruptcy.
If a debt goes “unacknowledged” for 7 years it looses its validity and is wiped
This means NO contact at all from the person that owes the money
a debt CANNOT be sent to collection if it is being disputed, this is a good trick to keep the bill at bay until you can afford to pay it !
some debt firms will write the debt of sooner , sometime after only two years
Now watch as the IMF and its crony capitalist pals use this outcome to punish Greece…..No doubt hoping for a colour revolution or the like as hardship sets in. Keep an eye out for over dressed old bats with free pastries on the streets of Athens…..
Maybe time to dump the defunct EU and join BRICS…..?
Note that the IMF is continuing to support Ukraine even after 4 failed IMF programmes there, and Ukraine declaring its intention to again default to the IMF shortly.
Double standards, politically motivated double standards.
To be fair, much of the reason for Ukraine’s problems was the looting of the treasury by the previous government and it’s mafioso cronies. And they are fighting to preserve their borders against a far bigger neo-fascist neighbour who has provided a safe haven for the looters. Not a lot like the Greek situation at all, really.
Absolutely. Ukraine is in far worse a shape than the Greek situation. There is open warfare happening in Ukraine and it is absolutely against IMF rules to support a country within which a civil war is occurring and its government has lost control of its borders.
That’s why I said it is a politically motivated double standard for the IMF to keep supporting Ukraine, but not Greece.
To be fair the IMF shouldn’t have even been helping Greece out either according to an article I read in the Guardian.
Since when have the IMF “helped Greece out” – what a fucking joke.
The IMF haven’t helped out Greece…
Then the Greek government shouldn’t have asked them to bail them out.
The Greek government /= Greece.
Just what’s good for the National party is not necessarily what’s good for New Zealand.
After reading through your comments, I don’t think you understand the situation facing Greece in the slightest.
the bailouts are not bailouts of Greece there bailouts of the German banks you cannot bailout a bankrupt country with More loans when the issue is a insolvency problem well good on Greece at last a government willing to stand up to the banksters. . And all the best of success to them its about time let the wreaking ball begin
The German Banks have largely reduced their exposure to Greece to only a few Billion Euro’s. The vast majority of the Sovereign debt of Greece is owed to the Eurozone and IMF. It is going to be the average taxpayer in the Eurozone nation (and to an extent nations providing support to the IMF e.g. NZ) that will suffer not the ‘evil’ bankers.
Interesting. According tot he CEO of the NZ Initiative Germany is exposed to the tune of 80 bn as guarantor for Greece”s loans.
Imagine my surprise this morning when I listened tot he CEO agreeing with my opinion held for some weeks that the best option for Greece is to default and pull out of be thrown out of the EU.
Yes, the German taxpayer is essentially the guarrantor for much of the Greek debt. Hence why they don’t particularly like the idea of just allowing them to do what they want.
It may well be the best long term option for Greece (only because it allows them to reduce costs and lving standards via a currency depreciation) however it will have massive short term negative impacts.
Yes Gosman I know that (about Germany being guarantors, I just wrote it and you replied ) and I have been stating that for a few weeks. There is no “right” answer to this, despite what you seem to be writing on this topic for the last week days (weeks?). It;s a choice between bad and bad.
“… and it is absolutely against IMF rules to support a country within which a civil war is occurring and its government has lost control of its borders.”
Cite?
http://www.emergingmarkets.org/Article/3387795/IMF-PROFILE-From-Maytag-to-Mayday-to-what.html
My bold
“… and it is absolutely against IMF rules to support a country within which a civil war is occurring and its government has lost control of its borders.”
Cite? you know, the actual rules it is “absolutely against”.
TRP the IMF is a politically motivated organisation which has no mandate in its Articles of Association to lend into a civil war. Accept it, the major stakeholders of the organisation are using the IMF for political motives.
So, unable to provide proof positive and relying on stuff that doesn’t exist. See my comment @ http://thestandard.org.nz/greece-defaults/#comment-1037483
Well thank fuck you aren’t my examiner or my supervisor, despite how you continue to act.
[If this was a uni exam or essay, you’d fail for lack of citations. Like it or not, this is a moderated site where commenter’s behaviour is examined and supervised. So, let me make this clear, if you are asked to provide citations for things you claim as fact, do it. TRP]
There’s absolutely no mention in the article you posted which supports your claim that the IMF cannot lend, or is restricted from lending, to nations currently engaged in war (civil or otherwise).
In fact, if you look at the map of who the IMF lend to it includes various countries that have a history of consistent instability. Liberia and Sierra Leone are the first two that come to mind.
http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/map/lending/
Article 1 “Purposes” (v) of their charter.
Lending in an instance of civil war would be well outside the bounds of that clause. Also, and maybe not so oddly, it seems the Ukraine is the first time they have lent under such domestic conditions.
Thanks Bill I was struggling with how to phrase that one myself
(v) To give confidence to members by making the general resources of the Fund temporarily available to them under adequate safeguards, thus providing them with opportunity to correct maladjustments in their balance of payments without resorting to measures destructive of national or international prosperity.
Er, no, not that one.
Civil war is a “measure destructive of national and international prosperity”. The IMF is not supposed to be funding civil wars. The east of Ukraine is their mining and industrial area. Destruction of such areas is a “measure destructive of national and international prosperity.”
Desperate clutching at straws, CV. Ten minutes ago you didn’t even know that clause existed, now you’re misreading it in order to try and justify making a ridiculous claim.
A reminder; this is what you said:
“… and it is absolutely against IMF rules to support a country within which a civil war is occurring and its government has lost control of its borders.”
Do you have an actual citation that backs that claim up?
Let’s be clear, the IMF is lending to Ukraine to help fund its civil war and to help the right wing junta in Kiev kill its own citizens. That is utterly against the objects of the IMF as stated in its Articles of Association.
So, unable to provide proof positive and relying on stuff that doesn’t exist. See my comment @ http://thestandard.org.nz/greece-defaults/#comment-1037483
– Countries are prone to abuse their power; institutions which are supposed to be multilateral may not obey their own rules due to political reasons.
– Major countries of the past which are used to ruling are failing to adapt to a quickly changing world.
– Greece is “one of the least successful episodes in EMF history.”
-Ukraine “from the point of the view of the IMF can be seen as a second Greece.” Ukraine has had four large programmes with the IMF; the IMF has put a lot of money into Ukraine. It is very problematic.
– There is a difference in approach by the IMF to Ukraine and Greece. Part of the difference in the treatment of the countries is economic, part of the difference in treatment is political.
– A sense of disappointment exists within the IMF where the west now has to make a decision as to whether it wants to run existing multi-lateral institutions into the ground or to allow adaptation to a changing world.
– The US was once leading reform of the IMF to give more powers to emerging countries, but it is now blocking that reform.
– The BRICS countries have to clearly explain how they will handle issues differently to the style of traditional western powers.
from an Interview on RT with Paulo Nogueira Batista Jr, IMF executive director
http://rt.com/shows/worlds-apart-oksana-boyko/270217-greece-ukraine-debt-crises/
It’s not a ‘civil war’ if it is being run by foreign combatants. For instance, the ‘civil war’ in Syria is international by any measure, and the same is true of the conflict in the Donbass.
Are you suggesting that funding a civil war doesn’t run counter to without resorting to measures destructive of national or international prosperity!?
Nope, I’m suggesting that the clause is referring to financial measures. Obviously.
Yeah, okay. But the environment must be such that financial measures can be taken and monies paid back. A civil war undermines that basic condition and worse, becomes funded by the loans.
Anyway, before I shoot through, here’s a fairly thoughtful piece, with cited sources, on the parallels between Greece and the Ukraine and the role of the IMF. Worth the read.
http://michael-hudson.com/2014/09/losing-credibility-the-imfs-new-cold-war-loan-to-ukraine/
Cheers, Bill, I’ll have a read.
Maybe you misremembered this bit: “The IMF’s Articles of Agreement forbid it to make loans to countries that clearly cannot pay”
“… without resorting to measures destructive of national or international prosperity” refers to the purpose of the funds, not the circumstances of lending. You found this clause in the purposes section, and that’s what ‘purposes’ means.
Reading the clause, it is clear that it is saying the fund’s purpose is to make money available to members to allow them to sort out their cock- ups without without having to do stuff that will destroy the nation, or the world’s wealth.
So nothing there about not being allowed to lend to countries at war.,
I appreciate CV is a chiropractor and thus unfamiliar with, or wilfully ignorant of, the concept of evidence, and the inconvenient way you can’t just make any old shit up; but I expected better of you, Bill.
Well, in your world if the purpose is to facilitate recipients ‘not having to do stuff that will destroy the nation’, but doesn’t, by logical extension, involve not directly aiding and abetting said stuff, then our understandings of the world are very different.
Well, you gloss it. It seems pretty obvious to me, but maybe you can provide some crafty interpretation of the words that will show me the error of my ways.
Looking at it this way. (simplified)
The purpose of me giving you money comes with safeguards so that you have no need to cause damage.
But then, and in spite of that lofty purpose, I give you money knowing that your going to use it to buy a gun to shoot people.
In that instance, can I be said to be acting in accordance with my professed purposes or not?
March IMF cash injection to Ukraine coincides with quadrupling of Kiev war spending
My take: IMF happy to lend into a serious military conflict, but unwilling to lend to pay for Greek pensions.
http://www.bne.eu/content/story/imf-cash-do-little-change-grim-reality-ordinary-ukrainians
Got a cite for your statement above, CV? Not someone’s opinion, but an actual citation that proves you weren’t just plucking meaningless words out of your arse?
What’s your problem mate? If you have an alternative point of view, you come up with the citations for it.
Nope. It doesn’t work like that, CV. It’s your claim. You’ve been asked to substantiate it and you have failed to do so. This is not the first time. In fact, you seem to be doing it quite a lot lately and it’s pisspoor behaviour that leads to pointless, repetitive arguments. So much so, that it’s specifically covered in the site rules. So, even though I’m not writing this in the bold black ink, take it as a warning. If you are asked by a commenter to substantiate something you claim as a fact, do it. If you can’t, withdraw the claim and make it clear it’s your opinion only. Ok?
Meh. Where are you holding anyone else except for me to this authoritarian standard of forcing commentators to clearly delineate between their facts vs their opinions?
Not that its relevant here because as usual, you miss the mark wide. Let me repeat my comment above you are being critical of:
Can you read, mate? I said “My take” therefore I already clearly state that it was my opinion.
[I’ve pointed out the where you can find the policy on claims and citations, CV. It’s reasonable for a commenter to ask for a claim to be substantiated. It’s good manners to do so, when asked or, in the alternative, to clarify that it’s merely opinion.
Further, you’ve just tried to justify yourself by putting out a false narrative about my original question. As you well know, the sentence I asked about, several times, was this:
“There is open warfare happening in Ukraine and it is absolutely against IMF rules to support a country within which a civil war is occurring and its government has lost control of its borders.”
That’s a completely different sentence to the one you are now claiming I was asking about. In fact, it’s from an entirely different comment altogether. So, you’ve responded with a weak and transparent strawman with a little bit of abuse thrown in for good measure. Take a week off for wasting my time. TRP]
Here’s an idea, get off your moderator-power-abusing high horse for a second and remember how to use the “Reply” button, TRP. The way you cut in on posts to rebut them in the poster’s message in bold is, in my opinion, both “cutting in line” and delegitimising to the post in question. You could use the reply button, but no doubt you get a thrill from scribbling all over other people’s posts.
Also, might wanna revisit the Harmful Digital Communications Act and your obligations thereunder, wouldn’t wanna be accused of “cyber-bullying” would you?
[I do use the reply button, pigman. Pretty often, as it happens, as you can see any this post and in many, many others. If I reply inside the message, it’s moderation. If you’re having difficulty with the concept, feel free to take some time off while you learn its intricacies. TRP]
Within the framework of nested replies, I believe I’m on safe ground to assume that Pigman was referring to the fact that you asked CV to substantiate an opinion that he had clearly submitted as an opinion – as essentially all comments are assumed to be unless otherwise stated by the submitter.
On the IMF lending criteria – from an altogether different nested portion of replies – relevant clauses from the IMFs own ‘constitution’ have been cited and interpretations debated.
Articles from recognised academics that have been provided, basically concur with CVs original assertion – that the IMF were acting in contradiction to their own founding documents in making loans to the Ukraine.
The general tone of disquiet expressed in Pigmans comment has been consistent enough through time and from so many regular commenters that it shouldn’t really need further elucidation.
(shrugs and walks off…)
CV wasn’t asked about an opinion. He was asked about a very specific claim he made and he pissed around all afternoon avoiding doing anything close to answering a pretty straightforward and reasonable question. Something he has been doing regularly in recent times, actually. Then he lied about what he’d been asked. So … tough.
Yup, it was a signal of distress that CV had premised something “my take” and you had treated him in his post (and above) as requiring a citation. Just because a commenter employs hyperbole (to no dishonest purpose, merely to illustrate their view) doesn’t necessitate the third degree. What next? All uses of sarcasm to be flagged as such?
I realise that moderator-questioning gets looked at dimly here, but I recalled an accusation being levelled that only SR (because she was a female) was subject to such questioning. Perhaps in future this post can be cited for evidence of that fallacy :p
Basically, it seems to me that if you use your moderation power to cut in on posts and silence a valid opinion on the purposes of the IMF, and to make veiled ban threats, well…
Seriously, pigman, I had no problem with CV’s opinion. However, he never said “my take” in the comment in question. He stated as fact something we now know is not fact. Instead of actually doing the right thing and either trying to corroborate his statement (if that was possible) or just saying ‘it was my opinion’ he evaded the question and wasted a lot of my time. He’s been doing this repeatedly on other threads and, as I pointed out, this leads to frustrating flamewars. Which is why the policy is really clear. If you make a statement of fact, be prepared to back it up.
Regarding the IMF, I agree with CV’s opinion in a general sense and Bill provided a link that actually backs the idea that the IMF is being inconsistent. But CV stated categorically that it was against the IMF’s rules (which would be astonishing, if true) and when asked to clarify, he chose to play the slippery eel. When he bullshitted about the question I raised, that clearly was a step too far.
Questioning my moderation is fine, as long as it’s respectful. But don’t assume that moderators are required to answer. I choose to this time, I may not next time. The mod questioning is hardly ever respectful with SR because this blog, like most others is not a safe, welcoming place for women. I don’t know what the answer to that is, but there it is.
I am sadly disappointed for Colonial Rawshark.
My 2c: if I’d made a statement like that and been challenged to provide a citation, I would have done so or retracted / clarified. Not beaten around the bush.
Can’t say I disagree with TRP’s approach.
This is bull…., so if anyone can’t back up their comment with fact they can potentially be banned for not explaining themselves. Is this going to become a George Orwell inspired blog? I know CR is a prolific commenter, but it seems to me he cops a fair amount of harrassment for having views that don’t align with others. This looks like another attempt to close him down.
pride cometh before the fall
could have been easily sorted if cv had put his pride away but that was a bridge too far obviously
@Maui views that don’t align
Bollocks. He said it was against IMF rules. That isn’t an opinion it’s a statement of fact.
@trp
First of all that was a gross misuse of moderation. I’ve never seen anything that runs so completely counter to the spirit of The Standard ever. That it has gone unremarked by any other moderator is especially concerning.
Secondly on reading this document from someone who is the Head of the IMF:
http://www.imf.org/external/np/speeches/2009/092309.htm
I especially draw attention to the second to last sentence I have highlighted.
If the IMF is indeed funding civil war in the Ukraine – then I’d argue this runs counter to the strong sentiments uttered here. There may not be a rule written down in exactly the form trp has demanded – but it is not hard to discern that funding war runs absolutely counter to the purpose and mandate of the IMF:
@RedLogix
Good points there RedLogix. Hope TRP will reevaluate his decision and reinstate CR now.
Perhaps RT?
And there was me thinking that when Yanukovych backed off from jumping in with the EU, that external actors did what they could to stir up shit and create an ever deeper crisis (capture of the government and installation of some very pro-Eu and lamentable characters)…that Russia then responded and….so on.
Yep, you learn something new every day here at The Standard.
Glad to be of service…
Ha!
I’m wondering how that’s different from Greece were the rich didn’t pay taxes, got massive government subsidies and Goldman Sachs acted to hide just how bad a financial state Greece was in because of that?
Good point! But in one country it was criminal behaviour, in the other it was business as usual. Or the other way round.
So, what you’re saying is that Business as Usual is criminal behaviour?
The 21 century so far does appear to be “Business as Usual, is criminal behaviour”.
Is it too late to track down the Wall Street gangsters who lent them the money in the first place, knowing they could never pay it back, so as to grab the massive commissions? I guess they are all respectable boardroom boys and art collectors now, lounging on the super yacht.
Yes because the previous Greek governments were run by children who have no concept or understanding of what it meant when they borrowed the money and therefore can in no way be held accountable for their actions nor the Greek people who continued to vote for them and receive the benefit of all that borrowed money being spent on them. Basically Greece is incapable of being held account for their actions because the entire nation is mentally not up for the job /sarc.
Gosman you’re a sick little fucker; as Bill has repeatedly stated the vast majority of Greek bail out funds went straight to international bankers and other creditors.
That’s because they were the ones holding Greek debt in the first place. It was Greece’s decision to fudge their economic data and join the euro. It was Greece’s decision to issue government bonds and borrow money as if their economy was as sound as the rest of the Eurozone. They set those bonds, they knew exactly when payment was due. It was Greece’s decision not to adequately enforce their existing tax law. This is the subprime mortgage crisis writ large as lenders were relying on inaccurate information about the state of Greece’s economy.
It’s a shitty situation. Greeks have a right to be angry. But the lion’s share of that anger should be directed at the past 20 years of Greek government.
I fear this whole debacle will severely damage the European project. It will make it much more likely that British voters will vote to withdraw from the EU in the upcoming referendum too.
Please explain why you feel Greek pensioners and children should bear the brunt of pain for the misdeeds of the Greek 0.1% class.
After many years and years of increasing Greek debts and deficits through the 1980s and 1990s, do you truly believe that Eurozone authorities and the ECB did not understand that the substance of Greece’s financial application to the Eurozone was utterly fudged and fabricated.
Further, many commentators have said that the Eurozone was a flawed design to begin with as it was a currency union with no common treasury which could correct structural imbalances in trade between its constituent members. How is that a fault of the Greek people, or even previous Greek governments?
“It was Greece’s decision to…”
Should read “It was a handful of butt-covering short-term thinking Greek politicians, Goldman Sachs, and the IMF who ignored warnings, who together decided to…”
Nobody asked Greece.
Every single election the Greek people were asked and every single election till recently they kept voting for the same people who borrowed and spent the money.
I have little sympathy to Greeks (or their supporters) who claim it wasn’t them when it was in fact them who had the power to decide who ran their government.
Goldman Sachs helped those same people to hide the true size of those debts. Aside from the astute readers of financial journals, the voters were not informed about that.
And what about those Greeks who did vote against those people? Are they also ‘to blame’ for being deceived by a group of bankers and politicians who won’t be sacrificing their Ferraris?
Or is it just market rules again – winners played a better game, and losers are losers?
Really??? You think Goldman Sachs was helping multiple Greek governments hide the size of the debt over the past 30 odd years do you? The only evidence in relation to Greece and Goldman Sachs was one (or maybe two) transactions in either the late 1990’s or early 2000’s. Greek Debt was well known to be an issue before this hence why Goldman Sachs helped develop (quite openly) the arrangement they did.
So the troika were compulsively lending billions to a nation they knew couldn’t pay? Doesn’t that make them loan sharks who share a rather large part of the responsibility for this mess?
And Goldman Sachs ‘quite openly’ arranged to hide the true size of the problem? Really???
Not really as the only reason they lent to them is because the Greeks were basically bankrupt. The loans were meant to be to provide a breathing space to enable the Greeks to reform their economy. However the Greeks haven’t done Jack so we are where we are.
And they were bankrupt because of debt to the Troika. So the Troika lent them more and more so they could ‘sort it out somehow’ and pay back the now massively larger debt, to the Troika. Because that’s what you need in a bankruptcy debt crisis: more debt. Meanwhile Goldman is cooking the books to keep the sham going a little longer for the grateful govt.
But none of these financial experts and guardians of the European economy are responsible. They never had any choice, they just did what they had to do at every step. Their hands were tied. It’s the silly Greek voters who, in spite of all having high level knowledge of the workings of international finance, insisted that it all go ahead.
Btw how’s your campaign to stop our Govt’s ballooning record debt levels coming along? Vote well.
@ Gosman: “Every single election the Greek people were asked and every single election till recently they kept voting for the same people who borrowed and spent the money.”
New Zealanders do, too, because that’ how elected dictatorships survive. Parties put up smiley faces promising us the sun and the moon. Once elected they do whatever they think will bribe us to re-elect them.
The most reliable bribes are “enjoy your cakes now and let the next generation pay for them.” That’s the farce we call “NZ democracy.”
Without citizen initiated referendums we get irresponsible governments, just like the Greeks.
You can have all the CIR’s you want in NZ. They won’t really make a blind bit of difference. Well the ones we have had so far haven’t. Regardless in NZ peopleare free to vote for any political party that takes their fancy and therefore if they pursue dodgy policies once in power the voters are to blame.
@ Grosman
You say the VOTERS are to blame if the people they elect pursue dodgy policies and break their campaign pledges!
Grosman obviously doesn’t care if his posts are illogical.
Our past citizen initiated referendums don’t make a bit of difference because they are NOT binding. Binding referendums, like the MMP referendum, can make huge differences.
so when you knew that by voting for ACT you would be proppin gup the National Party in Government, anything they have done that is questionable we can point at you and go “na-na-na-na-na you are big dumb baby child?”
I don’t see how anyone could argue that the bailouts and Austerity demands have been good for Greece, but Gosman is (at least partly) correct. The blame for Greece’s pre-financial crisis debt falls squarely on previous Greek governments.
Pre-financial crisis, Greek public debt was only 110% of GDP. After the involvement of these multilateral international institutions, that has substantially worsened to 180% of GDP as both nominal debt has grown while Greek GDP has collapsed.
Tell you what, if the Troika proposed writing off Greek debt back down to a starting point of 110% of GDP, I’m pretty sure Tsipras and Varoufakis would agree.
Greek GDP collapsed from $341 billion in 2008 to $241 billion in 2013. Of course their debt as a percentage of GDP would increase.
Source http://www.tradingeconomics.com/greece/gdp
Only 110%! That’s a huge amount of debt.
Far less than the levels of debt resulting from Troika mandated austerity programmes.
No doubt, but you can’t say the Greek government is free of blame just because the austerity programmes made the situation worse.
I’m talking about the original debt the Greeks ran up. Did these just go to pay off the previous lenders? If so then the Greek governments were truly incapable as no other nation has this sort of problem. To think it took the Greek people so long to work out how incompetent their governments were as well. Guess they deserved the government they had.
The Troika took those original Greek debts which were at 110% of Greek GDP, and helped turn them into debts equalling 180% of Greek GDP.
And still you have nothing but good things to say about these multilateral institutions.
I have nothing good nor bad to state about the organisations. I will state that the Greeks were entirely free to not go to themwhen they got in to trouble. Noone forced them to do so just as noone forced them to borrow so much in the first place. Btw I suspect the figures you are basing the 110% of Greek GDP were slightly fudged by the Greek government at the time.
You’re such a bankster 0.1% arselicker.
and according to the rules of the game no one can force them to pay it all back.
Even the CEO of the NZ Initiative agrees with me on that, and that the Greeks need to default (they have been bankrupt for years anyway) and get on with trying to get up again.
. . . and 62% of Greece’s debt is owed to various European central banks and another 10% to the IMF.
Yep…and that’s after most of the Greek debt was taken off the hands of the private banks by some very generous EU initiatives…
Well Gossie, perhaps this may enlighten you
http://michael-hudson.com/2015/06/greece-on-behalf-of-europe/
That didn’t explain what the Greeks spent all the original debt on.
I find Germany’s refusal to grant concessions to Greece all the more extraordinary when Germany’s current economic strength may never have been realised had they not been the beneficiaries themselves of a debt cancellation programme in 1953.
I hope the Greeks go all out in testing this in the European Courts.
The Greeks are taking the legal position that there is no mechanism in existence which can remove them from being a full member of the Eurozone. A nice little maneuver if I do say so myself, which will take years to work through the courts, buying much time for Greece.
Except their banks will collapse and they will have no money to invest in their economy or even pay their pensioners. Yes a brilliant move. /sarc
How is Iceland still going then…?
There is a big difference between Iceland and Greece. Do you know what it is? I’ll give you a clue. It starts with EU and rhymes with Blue-row.
Iceland canned its EU membership application. Smart people.
I see the process as essentially the same with a few extra steps upfront… maybe that’s too simplistic but Iceland is still part of the EEA and able to trade freely with the rest of Europe.
Yes, yes it is too simplistic. they need to control their currency first. That will cause them a world of pain. Much worse than what Iceland went through. Iceland simply devalued (which makes everyone poorer in the country like Austerity but many lefties don’t seem to care about that).
Oh no , I see what you are trying to do, rewrite history. Iceland was previously a poster boy for the big new deregulated world that was all the go for people like you and Key.
( remember keys desire for NZ to become a ‘financial hub’ when he was in opposition and borrow heaps more as well ! Wasn’t he foresighted or a financial fool)
iceland did much more than just institute credit controls, the overseas owners of debt took a haircut. The Brits were just as brutal using anti terrorist laws to seize non state assets.
more or less pain than the last few years?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008%E2%80%9311_Icelandic_financial_crisis#Crisis_resolution
See 4.1.1.4 above
The banks won’t collapse because Greece’s debts are NOT owed to the banks. 72% are to European central banks (62%) and the IMF (10%).
Everyone seems to be forgetting that while the debtor has an obligation to repay, the lender has an obligation to do diligence and make sure the borrower has the capacity to repay the debt.
Lenders that don’t do “do diligence” deserve to lose the money they lent. 5 years of imposed austerity resulting in a collapsing Greek economy has demonstrated beyond any doubt that these lenders had no interest in helping Greece rebuild its capacity to repay.
Here’s why Greece both needs reform and hasn’t really started yet.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702304096104579239841866821608
Don;t be fucking absurd Gosman; the Troika want Greece to cut pensions further and raise VAT even more. The last thing the Troika want is for Syriza to go after the Greek 0.1% bankster class.
Notice the 30% VAT is a bit like the flat tax 30% GST the worst of the Rogergnomes are prescribing for NZ. We’ll get this here pretty soon if we don’t get the guillotine out.
We need a 20%, not 30%, flat tax. An excellent idea.
Only an “excellent idea” if you’re an idiot or a sociopath with delusions of exceptionalism.
Like most ACT supporters.
its a shame the germans didnt insist on Greek workers paying their taxes, and shop keepers declaring their income and paying their share of tax
Nothing is stopping the current Greek government from implementing tax reforms of their own. They don’t seem to be in any rush to do so for some reason.
Syriza & Mr Tsipras appear to be out of their depth. The E.U. officials have said Mr Varoufakis, the Greek Minister of Finace, is “an amateur”. Not much hope for the country.
I do have a suspicion that this may well be a deliberate policy of Syriza to exit the Euro zone. The reason they are doing this is because the Greek people are firmly in favour of the Euro. Possibly they even like it more than they dislike the Austerity policies they have to follow. Knowing this the Syriza leadership has engineered a situation where it looks like the EU has kicked them out of the Euro rather than have them leave. Not entirely honest but they are a political party after all and therefore are suspect on the truth front.
Well – Michael Hudson on this…”I’m in Germany now (on my way to Brussels), and have heard from Germans that the Greeks are lazy and don’t pay taxes. There is little recognition that what they call “the Greeks” are really the oligarchs. They have gained control of the old coalition Pasok/New Democracy parties, avoided paying taxes, avoided being prosecuted (New Democracy refused to act on the “Lagarde List” of tax evaders with nearly 50 billion euros in Swiss bank accounts), orchestrated insider dealings to privatize infrastructure at corrupt prices, and used their banks as vehicles for capital flight and insider lending.
This has turned the banks into vehicles for the oligarchy. They are not public institutions serving the economy, but have starved Greek business for credit.”
http://michael-hudson.com/2015/06/resisting-financial-conquest/
Amazing how people can glibly slag off a population based on nothing but hearsay and prejudice…..
No, no the Greeks who don’t pay all their taxes are far, far more than just a dozen or so “Oligarchs”. Many Greeks live in unfinished houses. The reason is you only pay a particular tax related to housing once the house has been completed. This is just one example of the many different ways average Greeks avoid paying their taxes. Also what has Syriza done to follow up on that list of Greek Tax avoiders do you know?
Maybe 5 years ago it was like that, but not anymore.
I might be inclined to take Michael Hudson’s word over yours Gosman. After all, other than a deft line in berating those who believe in paranormal sctivities, you don’t have much going for you in the knowing shit stakes.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_tax_revenue_as_percentage_of_GDP……that lie can be perpetuated if your willing to make the same claim about the USA, Australia, Japan and South Korea to name a few tax havens.
by unfinished you mean a second story without a roof… yup, have seen it for myself. But then before the major selling of CC and mortgages through advertising making it seem like money for nothing most Greeks owned their home s outright and had for hundreds of years. But I am sure you believe that the banks had the right to use subliminal and borderline advertising messages to say one thing but hide another… you know, if the consumer wasn’t bright enough to see through it? Of course the Greek people have to take some responsibility and it seems they are very much in the process of doing so now by wresting back the control of their destiny, within the banking rules (which allow for defaults) and trying to rebuild from their. Pain both ways. But so do the banks, the EU countries/orgs who kept lending, the previous governments who chose to spend as they did (corrupt and legal)
You keep mentioning Greeks being offered mortgages and Creditcards as if the problem was caused by private debt. It wasn’t. The problem is with sovereign debt i.e. Government debt. This is because the Greek State spent more than it earned for year after year. Where did all this money go Tracey?
Greece spends around 40% of GDP on pensions, while in Germany is only between 10-15%. An unsustainable model that Tsipras and his radical government do not know how to change. A lost cause and lost country.
what a load of bollocks….whos arse did you pull those numbers from?
Well, according to Joseph Stiglitz further reforms along the lines of those the Troika has already imposed as conditions on its previous lending would be a disaster – and bad economics:
“In fact, European leaders are finally beginning to reveal the true nature of the ongoing debt dispute, and the answer is not pleasant: it is about power and democracy much more than money and economics.
Of course, the economics behind the programme that the “troika” (the European Commission, the European Central Bank, and the International Monetary Fund) foisted on Greece five years ago has been abysmal, resulting in a 25% decline in the country’s GDP. I can think of no depression, ever, that has been so deliberate and had such catastrophic consequences: Greece’s rate of youth unemployment, for example, now exceeds 60%.
It is startling that the troika has refused to accept responsibility for any of this or admit how bad its forecasts and models have been. But what is even more surprising is that Europe’s leaders have not even learned. The troika is still demanding that Greece achieve a primary budget surplus (excluding interest payments) of 3.5% of GDP by 2018.
Economists around the world have condemned that target as punitive, because aiming for it will inevitably result in a deeper downturn.
Wooohooooo!!!!
Go Greece you good thing!!!
The stupidity of far right economics is now on display.
I do wonder how many times an economic theory has to be discredited, before people realise that this particular economic theory will kill us off as a species, if we don’t stop it from ruining the globe?
It’s nothing to do with economic theory. Greece simply spent far more than what they could earn and is now paying the price for piss-poor economic management, corruption and widespread tax evasion.
Wishful thinking on your part, ignoring the role the private sector was in lending more money to Greece than they could repay- they even said look EU wont allow you to borrow more so we have the fancy scheme so they wont know about it.
Another one for your economic theory;
currently in the US only 3 companies have AAA ratings , yet the bond rating agencies have given AAA ratings to securitised car loans they entirely consist of those who bought cars with a bad credit rating.
More stupid far right economics on display. The reason why JP Morgan and other were lending to Greece in spite of their poor credit rating was the expectation they would be bailed out.
Which is what has happened over the past 5 years, private lenders have been paid and the EU and IMF have bought the debt.
Private debt holders have had THEIR losses socialised , but no such luck for Greece
Be it Capitalism, Communism, Socialism or Feudalism, you cannot simply keep spending more than you’re earning without consequences.
Greece borrowed the funds willingly and with eyes wide open. The fault lies squarely with Greece with the situation they’ve found themselves in.
Socialism- it’s always someone else’s fault.
Are there any developed nations that do not have debt? The USA’s national debt is about 18 TRILLION just now.
It isn’t the debt, it is whether you can serve it that is the issue. And strangling Greece’s economy with austerity was not going to improve its ability to do that.
Greece needs to get it’s house in order but refuses to do so, that’s the issue.
Greece needs to learn that there are consequences for it’s stupidity and arrogance
Once change’s have been made no doubt money will become available, until then it’s going to be pain and suffering.
Greece is living the consequences of their past decisions. Anyone claiming otherwise is not truly watching this crisis unfold. It is pain and suffering now BM and has been for some time. They are now choosing what they think it the best path out of that pain. For over 5 years they have tried the austerity conditional loans and seen unemployment sky rocket, pensions plummet and so on.
According to the rules of the game (set up by those who lent the money) defaulting on payment is a legitimate route. Afte rall many people and companies do it, and get to move on (with or without pain). Trump has done it 4 times and is now running for president.
That is why the USA has those intermittent crises when the vote doesn’t go through and they can’t pay their public servants… but there isn’t the same name calling and condemnation from those doing the same to Greece. I know it is not entirely apples and oranges but on one level it is a close enough analogy
Where did the Greek government spend the money that they borrowed dukeofurl?
Paying of the interest on the money they borrowed previously.
Do you realise your responses are couched in the theory I’m calling discredited -McGrath?
No wait I see your not alone. BM liberalism blaming game much…
Really come on people keep up. Sheepish, what happened to critical thinking.
Here some Maximum The Hormone
Maybe that will expand your brain…
and according to the rules of this particular economic game, having been bankrupt for a few years may now call it quits and legally default on their loan cos that is how the system works.
Perhaps restrain your jubilation unless you are a masochist as events in Greece may well cost us all dearly.
As to informing the world that neoliberalism is a death cult don’t hold your breath. Your fellow citizens couldn’t handle the truth after decades of indoctrination that capitalism is God’s gift to humanity. Reality may break through when the banks shut down the ATMs here but not before then.
Greece’s fundamental issues are as much a fault of ‘neo-liberalis’ (whatever that might mean) as North Korea’s constant droughts are.
Capitalism got Greece into the shit. The previous Greek government thought capitalism would get them out again. It failed. The IMF want the new Greek government to try capitalism again. There’s a word for the sort of people who believe that repeating a previous action will achieve different results…
IN Greece 2 Years Ago: People were donating to community drug stores their unused antibiotics, painkillers, cancer medications, etc. From babies to the elderly – people simply couldn’t gain access to basic medications to perpetuate life.
They are now being asked if they are willing to have more austerity placed on them and agree to more indebtedness.
I hope the Greeks VOTE NO (defaulting on their debt) – giving the Euro-Zone the proverbial finger and rebuild their economy. Perhaps establishing a government issued currency to transact with inside Greece – and their former currency for both internal & International trading.
Wait until you hear the howls of “traitor” from the EU/IMF when Greece rebuilds using financial aid from China, who are developing half the port of Pireaus into the largest container terminal in the Mediterranean. The Chinese could lease the other half for “ship repair and maintenace” (i.e. their navy).
The Russians are in Syria to protect their naval base in the Mediterranean. They might swap oil and gas for a “scientific observation base” (i.e., naval base) on one of Greece’s many islands.
A Muslim country might pay handsomely to have a similar Greek island as a “scientific observation base” which would threaten Israel’s exposed Mediterranean flank.
The geo-political possibilities might make the Europeans wish they had re-built Greece instead of stripping its assets for their own profit.
Got a link for that China-port story?
@ Ad
A few links about China owning half the Port of Pireaus and wanting to buy the rest. The Chinese want to make Pireaus into the Singapore of the Mediterranean. So far are doing a damn good job of it.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/feb/09/greece-syriza-stops-china-extending-hold-piraeus
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jun/19/china-piraeus-greece-cosco-thessaloniki-railways
http://www.wsj.com/articles/chinese-transform-greek-port-winning-over-critics-1416516560
http://www.wsj.com/articles/greece-to-proceed-with-piraeus-port-privatization-1423573999
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/05/15/eurozone-greece-piraeusport-idUSL5N0Y60U320150515
http://fortune.com/2015/04/10/china-goes-after-greek-port/
The Greek referendum might swing towards a bailout. You’d have to be in Greece to get a sense of the country’s mood. With their banks on ‘holiday’ and families having limited access to funds – I wouldn’t be surprised if it went either way.
If Greece exits the Euro-Zone it would be prudent for them to join the BRICS Investment Bank – perhaps as an customer first, then minor partner. Talks are already underway, plans laid.
Bankruptcy isn’t the end of the world. It’s a fresh start. The country would be able to have full focus on its domestic economy. Greece is languishing, now, right now.
This notion that they are not somehow suffering now that some here are peddling or omitting from their condemnation, is a joke.
This country has been broke/bankrupt for a few years and all that has happened is that those who can still have work have been paying to repay the loans. They may have themselves to blame as some so charitiably put it, but they have had enough and it is clear to anyone with eyes wide open that the pain is such that they now don’t care if it gets worse (as it has been for the last few years under the loan conditions) as long as they feel they have some control over their own destiny.
Unemployment has risen under austerity measures, by ALOT. Unemployment amongst those over 60 has risen from 6% to about 20% since austerity. That is so-called bludging pensioners trying to work for a living.
I just weep for Greece.
There are no good options.
It is so beyond my experience to even think about options.
I can only dimly remember the worst of economic times during Muldoon’s third term.
All the gloom, the stumbling crisis of Think Big, the lack of future for NZ, the perpetual terrible headlines, the culture of massive protests.
Even trying to imagine this kind of impact in New Zealand is just impossible.
I also fear for Syriza and all parties like them, for the reputational risk to the left broadly. It kind of feels like reading about the fall of the Spanish Republicans.
Why what are they going to do to Greece – really, what?
The EU needs Greece, NATO needs Greece and well Greece is going to keep on being Greece.
Not much to worry about Ad – Because at the end of the day. All that has happened is we are seeing the lie that is capitalism. Will it shut down the shops, stop people from working, create a situation worse than it currently is inside Greece – Probably not. And this is the irony of it all.
All these people moaning about Greece and the Greeks miss one thing. Greeks are Greeks, and they will do what ever it is to survive being Greek. So the country falling apart – Nah. People starving – Nah. I think people here don’t realise it has been quite crap in Greece for a while, and the Greeks know it. Maybe now they can just do things their way – what ever that is.
Oh and Greece, its a survivor – I expect it will survive this – what ever this is, apart from a whole bunch of right wing turds getting all uppity and playing the blame game.
I dunno Adam. I went there a month or so ago. I saw landscapes littered with half-built then abandoned houses and tourist ventures, and talked with people who had to leave their families behind in Athens so they could work 5 days a week for 500 Euros/month instead of 7 days/week for 500 Euros per month. Others who found themselves working for bugger all in the tourist areas to take the pressure off their grandparents’ pensions which were used to feed whole families from 50-year-old children down. These are the pensions the creditors want to cut.
This is a big deal and it is worse for young people than it has been before. And that’s for the ones who have stayed in the country.
I agree entirely with Ad. As well as the pressure on the people, the political pressure on the Syriza government from the EU is enormous. I’m not sure the left in Mediterranean Europe will survive this.
Imagine how crap it’s going to be if we have a big economic crash with the muppets we’ve got in charge now holding the reins. Probably doesn’t bear thinking about it.
No I can’t see a great second GFC out of this.
There will be an ugly fight about blame, attribution, and causality to the whole mess in the weeks that follow. No one’s reputation will be undamaged, and most will be diminished.
What matters a whole bunch more is a society undergoing astonishing upheaval, savings devastated, those who can emigrate emigrating, long term unemployment and millions of lives wasted and stunted through lack of opportunity from the time they were young, pensioners scraping by on the scrapings the state pension will be by the end of this, roads and utilities crumbling through lack of care and money, the lawlessness of the black market, hospitals that close or vastly shrink with specialists who never come back, the great falling-apart of society in accelerated decline.
It’s the people that matter more in the whole of this.
maybe all countries should default on all their debts and start again… it might even out in the end 😉
its funny how many like to slack of the Greeks for voting in the worng party, spending more then they earn, run up debts and the likes and how they are all lazy, and the shopkeepers don’t pay tax and yada yada yada.
Replace Greeks with Kiwi. Thats us in a few years. All assetts sold, no new jobs created, Tax revenue down cause the shop keepers don’t even open the shops anymore and anyone and everyone trading as they can to stay afloat.
How much is our national Debt currently, How high is our domestic debt – Mortgages and Boats 🙂 Feel confident? Feel good about the Government that got voted in. What yer did not vote for it? Thats not what you expected them to do? Well I guess we are shit out of luck.
Yep this is where NZ is heading. in the meantime is there any point in the rest of the world crowd sourcing a few US dollars cash or the like each and handing it out to individual greek people ? Give them time to print their own currency nationalise a few things and get back up an running.
actually they could issue something like the depression era scripts that have been used in the States and Europe for internal use until the physical lack of money has been taken care of. Monetary reforms we have had them before. I mean really, What is the world going to do, Invade Greece? Auction it off to the higherst bidder?
http://www.ebay.com/gds/Depression-Scrip-of-the-1930s-/10000000001039397/g.html
http://www.depressionscrip.com/
http://trustcurrency.blogspot.co.nz/2010/10/stamp-scrip-in-great-depression-lessons.html
Yeah their own internal currency would enable the local trade and I seriously wonder whether inbound tourists would be happy to bring in some of the external things Greeks need – like medications – they could be the only country to collect drugs at the border and hand them over to the hospitals – publish a list – keep the Greeks going so they can sit out the Troika
There is an article in the guardian about a crowd sourcing to bail out the ordinary greeks – going very well. I’m well behind
You are so naive. Greek business activity has plummeted. The reason for this is largely two fold. First they are finding it very difficult to source capital to fund purchases. Second noone is buying Greek products and services because they think the businesses will go bust and they won’t get what they paid for.
third most money being earned by companies and individuals is flowing out of the economy to repay interest.
Ummm… you do know there is a difference between not paying tax that you should and not having to pay tax due to not earning enough don’t you?
@ sabine
There are three OECD countries that have NEVER in the past thirty years had a positive balance of payments: Greece, NEW ZEALAND, and Australia.
This makes a complete joke of the western world’s financial system…
Old people must go hungry so bankers get their interest.
And how can it be that the money has stopped? It is just frikkin printed bits of paper ffs. If the germans or the americans or the rothschilds wont print it then I am sure there are countless others willing to print it.
The lending is a joke
The debt is a joke
The financial system is a joke
which is why so many societies have and do today outlaw usury……….
The Greek government has just conceded most of the matters tabled by the troika over the weekend in order to get a deal done:
http://www.ft.com/fastft/353421
It won’t be enough now.
The troika will impose harsher conditions than before.
Madness on both sides.
“Conceded”, with a bunch of extra clauses that change the things being conceded, doesn’t strike me as much of a concession.
I hope the Greeks follow the USA’s example and vote no.
The reason why things are unlikely to end well for Syriza
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/jul/01/decisions-shape-greece-frankfurt-ecb
No sign of improvement int he last 5 years under the austerity measures. I guess you think they need to double what they have been told to do and miraculously everything will come out ok? For whom?
Exit the only option left… I find support in the most unexpected quarters 😉
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PO1506/S00301/grexit-the-only-viable-option-for-greece.htm
Interesting report from a NZ journalist from the streets of Athens:
http://left-flank.org/2015/07/02/dispatch-from-greece-battle-lines-drawn-in-athens/
I travelled around Greece is 1998 and stayed with Greek friends in Athens for a month in 1999 when the drachma was the currency. That was before they staged the Olympics at huge cost and decided to go with the euro. The difference between Greece in 1999 and now is mindblowing.
Accepting more austerity as the price of retaining the Euro is madness. Their economy continued to shrink through the last 5 years of austerity while the debts grew. With over 60% youth unemployment now there is a huge social cost continuing to shrink the economy.
I hope the Greeks say ‘no.’
The Greeks are free to leave the Eurozone so they can attempt to take control of their monetary policy and avoid austerity. Of course they are generally reluctant to do this hence why Syriza is basically lying to them that they can do away with Austerity and stay in the Euro. Essentially they are another in a long line of Greek governments who are not telling the Greek people the truth.
This comment from Karen’s link :
The German government of Angela Merkel has been the most adamant in opposing debt relief, or at least putting it off until further austerity measures are well implemented.
I keep thinking of Germany under stress to pay for war reparations after WW1 and the advance of Hitler accompanied by brutality and coercion by his strongarm gangs. Then Germany after WW2 given Marshall Plan rebuilding money while Britain stayed in austerity on ration coupons for years, and paid the USA for war assistance to win the war.
I think it is time for Germany to come down from its high horse and extend some reasoned assistance to Greece which has slipped down this very slippery slope which apparently Germany helped grease.
The Greeks are in deep shite whichever way they go. Surely it’s better to go in the direction that has a way of getting out of the shite, than staying mired in debt-bondage slavery for the next 30 yrs, which is where “austerity” will take them.
“Troika Plan For Greece –
Endless Pillage & Regime Change”
http://www.rense.com/general96/troikaplans.html
” Banker-controlled Troika officials intend using Greece as a model for what’s intended across Europe – devastating neoliberal harshness creating a continental dystopian wasteland for ordinary people.
Greece is being systematically raped and pillaged. It’s economy contracted over 25% since crisis conditions erupted in 2008. More than a million jobs were lost.
Overall unemployment exceeds 25% – for youths it’s 60%. College educated and other young people have no futures in Greece. Its best and brightest are leaving en masse.
Workers lucky to have jobs receive lower or frozen pay along with few or no benefits. Vitally needed social services are disappearing altogether.
Pensions for many retirees are slashed by up to half since 2008. Troika bandits want stiffer cuts. They want Greeks starved to death so super-rich bankers can be wealthier than ever. “