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6:00 am, July 12th, 2024 - 45 comments
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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Boomerism hasn't faded yet. So what if Biden forgets what he was talking about and falls over at random moments – you can always restart him. Democrats are almost pathological in their fear of a black woman running against Trump, so they cling on to their boomer patriarch. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/11/biden-polls-washington-post-abc-00167571
Where that ? A reckon ?
Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif, Rep. Ayanna Pressley, D-Mass, Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn, Rep. Cori Bush, D-Mo…et al.
Solidarity in wilful denial of the frailty of the guy just seems increasingly bizarre. Why can't they get real? I mean, do they think the gamble will succeed despite the poll trend?? They ought to factor this in:
Yes – based on the lack of overt support for her amongst leading dems, plus reportage of support for alternatives such as Newsome. However I'm open to persuasion to the contrary – if you see any reports of the party moving to support the VP as preferred option, please do post them here. She'd be better than Trump.
Dalio has been a top capitalist a very long time. His book Principles is excellent, and I've always regarded capitalism as inherently unprincipled!
Dennis Frank: Joe Biden is not a baby boomer. In most countries, including the United States, the baby boomer cohort covers people born from 1946 to the mid 1960s. https://www.britannica.com/topic/baby-boomers Joe Biden was born on 20.11.42.
In New Zealand the term baby boomer is often used as an insult and a form of othering. To clarify for those who persist with the notion that baby boomers are all the elderly, or who seem to believe the term applies to people when they become eligible for National Superannuation: the NZ baby boom cohort covers people born following the end of World War Two – from 1946 through to the early 1970s – i.e. people aged from about 52 through to age 78/79. Some people who insult baby boomers are probably included in the cohort, and don't understand its historical significance or know the time-frame.
The NZ phenomenon is explained in the following links:
https://teara.govt.nz/en/families-a-history/page-5
"Page 5. Baby boom begins: 1945–1959
As soldiers returned at the end of the Second World War, New Zealand experienced the first stage of the baby boom – high rates of early marriage and increasing family size. The fertility rate for Pākehā women rose and this continued until the early 1970s. Women generally married young and became mothers soon after marriage. In the mid-1950s, Pākehā women had on average 3.8 live births while Māori women experienced on average almost seven….
https://teara.govt.nz/en/families-a-history/page-6
Page 6. Baby boom continues: 1960s – early 1970s
During the 1960s and early 1970s most women were still marrying early and focusing on parenting, but the ex-nuptial birth rate rose, divorces increased and married women were more likely to be in the paid workforce. Conventional family arrangements were challenged as feminism began to have an impact. Changes in women’s lives and aspirations had implications for men as lovers, husbands and fathers…..".
Yes, you're quite right. I was born in '49 and knew he was years older than me. I did gloss over the technical point because he seems to be exemplifying the collective boomer stance: party hard because the neolib world is meant to provide partying.
Collective denial of the neolib threat to human survival is deeply embedded. It's why the Green alternative to the political union of left and right has developed so slowly since the 1970s – despite the inexorable rise of realisation.
There's a paradox within the nexus of democracy: market forces, directed by neolib ethos, are lifting the standard of living globally whilst they subside it in western countries. That effect has been evident for at least 20 years, which is why socialist ends being delivered by capitalist methods has become widely seen as a hybrid effect, and it has been driven by the boomer demographic weight of numbers.
Which is why his rationale at the press conference earlier today was tacit `more of the same'. The underlying consensus he represents remains vast.
US Presidential race
Vicious pit bull vs. Arthritic Labrador. Place your bets.
Biden to give live press conference in 20 minutes
Live in 15 minutes;
Biden is expected to face a barrage of questions from reporters about his fitness to stand for reelection.
Ten minutes to go
I hear he inadvertently introduced Zelensky as President Putin. Funny but very sad.
Surely he is gone!
So it seems…
Nine
Five
One minute
The preamble on Youtube now https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ncDi8vmZcG4
Well that was an eye opener. The preamble played the clip of Biden calling Putin the President of Ukraine at the NATO conference televised in front of the whole world.
The NATO attendees didn't know whether clap, or not, some did.
What is this?
I see what it is. I just noticed this preamble is being broadcast by Fox News. The official broadcast transmits dead air.
I mean, we have to watch Fox News to find out what is happening, while the Whitehouse struggle to get their act together?
We have been reduced to this?
@ 4.1 it is a Fox version.
And they seem to be making a field day of it.
PBS version.
Leading up to his live press conference, in a sign that he won't be announcing that he is stepping down, Joe Biden tells Americans they will be able to judge his sharpness.
They can already judge his tardiness.
Forgot?
All the White House Press staff now in place. Imminent event?
My immediate takeaway.
The minor gaff was forgivable It's what we have come to expect. I give it no consequence, Predictably the Trump team have jumped on it. It is the substance that counts.
Biden referenced President Johnson twice. Johnson was responsible for overseeing disastrous foreign policy over the war in Vietnam. Which ultimately cost him the election, losing to Nixon. (Nixon campaigned on ending the war in Vietnam, but did the opposite in office)
The other thing Biden has in common with Johnson is progressive legislation on the home front. Biden referenced gun control issues, (though didn't make any promises on it)
Johnson's Great Society program ran onto the rocks over Vietnam and was never completed.
Biden says the peace plan he has on the table for Gaza has a good chance of success,
If Biden's peace plan works out it may become the deciding issue that tips the balance toward Biden.
The issue of war in Ukraine I see as not having much bearing.
The cost of living crisis. Biden talked numbers, but do the American people feel it?
Very good.
@GeoffreyKeey
No one told me King Canute has been reincarnated as a Northland dairy farmer
https://x.com/GeoffreyKeey/status/1811287126388174947
WTF New Zealand
Bad Poll
No big deal – he calls it a surge but only Lux's 10-point rise merits that. My take is the govt has kicked off the training wheels and seems in control, and folks like that aura of competence no matter how insubstantial.
It's no surprise really. Was naive from the beginning to think his accommodation blunder was going to be fatal like many seemed to believe. Goes to show you can never undersestimate the indifference of the general populace.
No great surprise really.
The illusion of people getting what they want can be as good as the real thing if it is marketed properly.
And you have to give the CoC its due, its marketing machine is very good. Of course when you hire the best right-wing spin doctors around (Atlas) you should expect no less.
When the double digit rates rises all around the country start biting, road tolls bills start coming in and the tax cuts vanish into obscurity people might start seeing reality instead of pipe dreams.
Nothing seems to hurt the Greens….must be almost time to move on from Hipkins?
It is a Taxpayer Curia poll which tends to favour the Right ..I meanNZF at 7.3…who believes that?
Lordy it's a long and generous honeymoon.
Worse for Labour than 2012..
Onyerbike Hipkins.
Unemployment raising ,economy crashing, it's only a matter of time
What's only a matter of time?
Interest rates will start dropping before Christmas, which will trigger a recovery.
Are you hoping for things to get worse than they are now?
TBH – I'm not seein anything of significance in the poll trends – overall.
There was a slight dip for the right and rise for the left in April/May – this just looks like a correction back to the steady state.
The fact that there has been no change of any significant in the minor parties, ACT and the Greens tends to support this.
It's all just polling noise, within the margin of error.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_New_Zealand_general_election
Forgive the cynicism but there is more hot air, hype and hoop-la in the US presidential event than the Aussies manage with State of Origin.
At least in the latter, it's a competition, the former is close to lay down misére.
what would happen if Biden stepped down as candidate?
The topic is examined here: https://theweek.com/politics/what-happens-biden-drop-nomination-democrats-dnc
I watched him an hour or so ago live and he seemed resolute and relaxed, any irritation at the media questions barely showed. I thought he did okay in adverse circumstances and it was more than I expected. His stance, as he expressed it, can be summarised as "job not done yet." I respect his conviction underlying it.
Doesn't change the strategic situation for him though, given his propensity to flub the limelight opportunities is so persistent…
Wonder if Trump would be willing to take part in a similar press interview? Imagine him actually answering a question?
Time to make history?
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/11/us/politics/biden-kamala-harris-poll-trump.html
Like Biden I forget things too, I get names mixed up and my merds wuddled.
Except that I am a nobody whilst Biden is the president of one of the world's superpowers and he is asking American voters to keep him there.
It is very worrying that a nutjob like Trump might get a second go at the presidency because Biden can't remember people's names.
If Trump wins, you can guarantee there will be a purge carried out on anyone who abandoned him last election, and a whole lot of Trump loyalists who couldn't count to ten if Trump didn't help them will be running the government.
Not a pleasant prospect for the safety of the world.
But do you tell shark stories?
kaivanshroff
6h
6 hours ago
3 minutes straight of Donald Trump confusing and forgetting people's names, the names of cities he is in and more via
@MeidasTouch
.https://www.threads.net/@kaivanshroff/post/C9TKrkJyZT5
https://www.rev.com/blog/transcripts/donald-trump-rally-in-nevada
I think the (MIT?) Don is smrt. As In Homer smrt.
And did he…. jump the shark?
All the bagging of Biden…Trump is literally a numbnut and a criminal to boot !