According to the latest 3 News poll, National’s long slide has begun:
National 47.5 (down 3.3)
Labour 29.4 (up 3.4)
Had these been the election results, National would not have been able to form a government without the support of the Maori Party. The news isn’t good for John Key either, in the preferred PM stakes:
John Key 45.8
David Shearer 10.1
Winston Peters 5.7%
That’s Key’s lowest result in this poll since taking office. It also debuts David Shearer at a higher rating than Phil Goff ever reached.
The 3 News video on this poll notes the obvious causes for the Nats’ decline. Key’s exploitation of an illegal radio show before the election. The public’s rejection of asset sales. The Maori Party’s threats to quit the government over the sales, and the Waitangi day protests. Unease over the sale of prime farm land to overseas interests, and the sharp reprimand from the High Court on this issue. Not mentioned but also significant, the further government backdowns on financial projections, and the news of further deep public sector cuts.
A pity that we the people didn’t wake up a few months earlier. We might have been spared what is starting to look like a long and painful 3 years ahead.