Christine Rankin is standing in Epsom

Written By: - Date published: 10:13 am, August 4th, 2014 - 86 comments
Categories: conservative party, greens, john banks, john key, labour, national - Tags:

The Epsom seat may be the difference between National winning or losing the next election.  So the recent announcement that Christine Rankin will be standing there adds an extra degree of chaos which National may or may not appreciate.

She declared confidently this morning on Morning Report that she will win the seat but I regret that her confidence is misplaced.  She referred to Conservative Party polling and said that the results gave her a chance of winning.  She declined to release the numbers.  She also claimed that ACT does not have a chance of winning.

I sensed a large amount of bravado in what Rankin said.  The decision is a long shot, obviously the Conservatives think that they can beat a John Key message to the voters of Epsom to support ACT and somehow come through the centre.  To be honest barring some sort of divine intervention there is not a chance that she will win.  But she may affect the election in a way that I suspect is not intended.

There are three main groups of voters in the Epsom seat, National supporters who are willing to give their electorate vote to ACT, National voters who are not willing to give their electorate vote to ACT even if this means that they have to vote for Paul Goldsmith and Labour and Green voters, most of who would rather walk on broken glass than vote for anyone but their candidate.  There are other groups such as people who actually support ACT but for current purposes I think that these can be ignored.

How much will Christine Rankin appeal to these groups?  Briefly very little, some, and none whatsoever.  National supporters willing to vote for the ACT candidate are obviously doing this at the request of John Key.  Rankin and the Conservative party will have little if no appeal to them and I doubt she will be able to shift them.  National supporters not willing to shift may be more likely to support Rankin, particularly those with a deeply conservative possibly religious view of the world.  The number of Labour and Green supporters who would vote for Rankin you can probably count on the fingers of one hand.  The best that can be hoped is that they will hold their nose, do a sign of the cross and vote for Goldsmith.  A few people who have done this in the past have described

Will this save ACT?  I doubt it.  David Seymour is no Rodney Hide or John Banks in terms of his public persona and apart from his claim to fame in relation to his door knocking prowess has no discernible appeal.  Michael Wood and Julie Anne Genter will show up his limited political skills big time.

So Rankin may increase Seymour’s chances.  But at the end of the day I suspect that there will be a sufficient number of National supporters who refuse to go along with National’s dirty deal to prevent this deal from working.

This will be significant.  Effectively marooning 3 to 4% of right wing vote may be the difference between National winning or losing.  On election night I am sure that all eyes will be on Epsom.

86 comments on “Christine Rankin is standing in Epsom”

  1. vto 1

    The billboards need the Act logos swapping with the Conservatives logos. Mix them all up so Act and Conservatives billboards have bits of each on them …..

  2. Ennui 2

    Expect new earrings, heals and micro mini skirt! Dont you just love “conservatism”.

  3. Sanctuary 3

    I hear that Cristine Rankin had an [sorry Sanctuary but Craig is litigious and we need to be careful – MS].

    How does Colin Craig square that sort of morality of one his headline candidates with his supposed commitment to marriage and “family values”?

    • Ennui 3.1

      Morality and similar social judgments are not supposed to apply to religious conservatives! Should I ever wish to spice up my sex life and go extramarital I am going to become a televangelist, wear a grey suit, white shirt and blue tie, scream “Hallelujah” and pontificate on “family values”. Its a sure winner, check the track record, cant lose!

    • AmaKiwi 3.2

      Surveys show active church going Christians are more likely to cheat on their taxes, steal from their employers, and cheat on their partners than people who are not regular church goers.

      It was first documented in the book “Good Guys and God Guys” by Professor Robert Tapp of the University of Chicago, published in the 1960’s. Contemporary surveys confirm not much has changed.

      • Lanthanide 3.2.1

        Although I’d take any research done on church-goers with a grain of salt as not being applicable to other cultures.

        Some American church goers are very radical and very hypocritical.

    • Once was Tim 3.3

      “How does Colin Craig square that sort of morality?”

      Maybe he dresses up in a nurses uniform, gets with 2 other holier-than-thou ‘conservatives’ and takes a vote (2 outa 3 ain’t bad).

      mmmm – except that’d be a triangle rather than squaring it Christ – I dunno – ask Kerry and Rex

  4. Sanctuary 4

    I was wondering if that was in field or not…

    • mickysavage 4.1

      Close. What Sanctuary was referring to was something detailed in this report from the Herald in 2010.

      “High-profile Wellington real estate agent Margo McAuley killed herself while “very much under stress” from the breakdown of her marriage, a coroner ruled yesterday.

      Ian Smith said that although Ms McAuley had a “dangerous” level of the prescription sleeping pill zopiclone in her system when she took her life, it was unlikely to have contributed to her death.

      Ms McAuley, 42, was found dead by her husband, Kim MacIntyre, at her Miramar home on October 29, 2008, a day after he told her he was ending the relationship. She believed he was leaving her for another woman.

      Mr MacIntyre married Families Commissioner Christine Rankin about two months later – Ms Rankin publicly denied having an affair with Mr MacIntyre at the time of Ms McAuley’s death.”

      http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10676531

      • weka 4.1.1

        Well it’s possible that they weren’t having an affair. That they realised they wanted to be together but waited until after he left his existing marriage. Can’t see a problem with that in terms of family values (unless Craig’s church doesn’t allow divorce).

        • Clemgeopin 4.1.1.1

          I agree. It is an unjust distraction. An unnecessary unproven below the belt unfair speculation in the present election context.

          • Malcolm 4.1.1.1.1

            Far more useful and relevant to look back at her time as head of WINZ. I especialy remember one year there was a massive student loan and allowance screw up under her watch.

          • Rodel 4.1.1.1.2

            As I recall Ms McAuley’s daughter had a different opinion.

  5. heather tanguay 5

    This may be the time for Michael Wood, with all the scrapping over the seat of Epsom Michael is confidently going about his work and impressing people. He is a great candidate and I am sure people are changing their minds to support him. The vote will be so split, he may just do it – just saying…

    • Tiger Mountain 5.1

      No, he won’t “just do it” if past performance is any guide to future performance and there is again just several thousand votes between the actual National candidate and the ‘as nominated by John Key’ National candidate.

      2011 Election Results – Epsom Electorate
      BANKS, John (ACT) 15,835
      GOLDSMITH, Paul (NAT) 13,574
      PARKER, David (LAB) 3,751
      HAY, David (GP) 2,160
      KAN, Simon (CNSP) 342
      BRIGHT, Penny (IND) 124
      O’DEA, Pat (MANA) 66
      GOODE, Matthew (IND) 59

      No matter how much you don’t want to; vote actual National candidate in Epsom to help defeat the National led government.

      • jaymam 5.1.1

        Look at it this way, the only candidates who could possibly win Epsom are Goldsmith and Seymour. A vote for anyone else is a complete waste, and could let Act, and therefore National, to win again.
        I dispute that most Epsom Labour and Green voters “would rather walk on broken glass than vote for anyone but their candidate”. I believe that many Labour and Green voters sensibly voted for Goldsmith, and they should do so again.
        Get rid of ACT this time and maybe they will give up completely. THEN you can all vote for your pary’s candidate if you want.

        • Rodel 5.1.1.1

          It’s sad but I’d walk on broken glass to get rid of ACT especially if there was the possibility of 4 or 5 of them entering parliament.
          (I like the ‘Association of Crooks and Thieves ‘acronym – thanks whoever thought that up.)

          • Clemgeopin 5.1.1.1.1

            Roger Douglas, Ruth Richardson and Richard Prebble originally I think. Notice the three big R’s!

            • Tiger Mountain 5.1.1.1.1.1

              And ex Nat Derek Quigley, with people like Allan Gibbs, Roger Kerr and Diane Foreman in the background.

              The Business Round Table was an ACT sympathetic organisation too (clone). In top business circles there was a revolving door between Labour Rogernomes, National and Act Parties. When the USSR broke up they had Rog Douglas advising how to split up and flog off the state assets.

          • Tracey 5.1.1.1.2

            Started as association of citizens and ratepayers in auckland local body politics… Became Association of Citizens and Taxpayers… Hence the recent, just in time for elections, emergence of the taxpayers union.

            • Anne 5.1.1.1.2.1

              Actually it had its initial origins in an outfit called the 20/20 club in the early 1990s. It was largely populated by people from the 1980s Backbone Club. It then evolved into the Association of Consumers and Taxpayers which in turn morphed into the ACT political party late in 1994.

          • Steve Wrathall 5.1.1.1.3

            4 or 5? Oohhh, you’ve made my day

            • Clemgeopin 5.1.1.1.3.1

              0 in my opinion, because Goldsmith will royally gazump him with a little help from friends and foes from many unexpected quarters, including Key and Harre! That is two votes, right there!

              • Steve Wrathall

                The last person to make a serious wager on ACT getting zero MPs was Keith Locke. I presume you’re making the same wager?

      • Rosie 5.1.2

        Those coupla thousand votes between Banks and Goldsmith in 2011, it ain’t that much is it? So is it not possible that with some effort from those opposed to ACT winning Epsom, National could win the seat?

        The question is Epsom, do you have an organised grassroots movement that can actively promote an electorate vote for the bag o flour? If not, don’t leave it to fate, get organised, get your collective power going and do it!

        • Graeme 5.1.2.1

          Which is what Rankin is there to prevent, or try to.

          She’s only going to pull votes from the core National support, which will counter any tactical voting from the left.

          There were about 4700 left leaning voters who voted for Goldsmith in 2011, or half the combined Labour / Green vote in the electorate. To get enough to upset the teacups would have needed almost all the left voters to vote for Goldsmith.

          • Steve Wrathall 5.1.2.1.1

            What you fail to realise is that large numbers of what you term “left” voters actually have some sympathy for ACT’s core principles, namely the removal of privilege and the right of low income NZers to have the choice, that only rich NZers now have: to choose the provider or their or their children’s education, health or superannuation.

    • Tracey 5.2

      I think alot of people who post here have rose tinted glasses about Epsom.

      Epsom wont go left. It has NEVER gone left. For left voters in epsom you vote for goldsmithor throw awayyour vote on labour or green candidate.

      I think rankin could create some minimal drag on national but i believe ACT will win the seat.

      • mickysavage 5.2.1

        Labour almost won Remuera in 1987 and lost it by about 1,600 votes. But those were really strange times …

        • Tracey 5.2.1.1

          Yes, the times when labour began to look like national and turned out to be ACT?

        • Jilly Bee 5.2.1.2

          Remember it well MickyS – I was living in the area at the time and got quite excited about it, naive as I was at the time, though I have remained in contact with the Labour candidate of the time. I lived in Mt St John Avenue for 21 years and we were tossed between Onehunga, Remuera, Eden electorates as far as I can recall over that time, well not so much Eden, but we were in the Bermuda Triangle from Manukau/Great South Road through to Greenlane Road. Interesting and strange times indeed. I can remember campaigning for Fred Gerbic and Frank Rogers (both Onehunga).

  6. adam 6

    So Epsom, is now a vote between a con, or crooks and thieves?

  7. Yo! Christine! Colin called!

    He wants to know if you’ve done his laundry yet?

    And he wants dinner on the table by 6, smartly.

    Carry on with your campaigning, now…

    • weka 7.1

      now, now, certain women are allowed to be exempt in this day and age, when they serve the cause in other ways.

    • Clemgeopin 7.2

      Not much different from,

      Yo! Key! Obama called!
      Yo! Key! FBI called!
      Yo! Key! Hollywood called!

    • tricledrown 7.3

      Christine don,t forget to remind people just quietly about those nasty vapor trails also the moon-landings were faked in a Hollywood basement.
      one stiletto step forward for nasty Christine Rankin one giant leap backwards for women kind!

  8. anker 8

    Any thought about how things will look if National pull Paul Goldsmith??????
    strategically this is what the need to do………

    • Clemgeopin 8.1

      He is known and seen in the middle of the night pulling his own bills boards away during the last erection. I swear I saw a photo somewhere!

  9. Steve Wrathall 9

    Haven’t you heard, chemtrail boy is now on #teamcunliffe.This will help ACT in Epsom.

    • Weepus beard 9.1

      Oooooh, the right wing are getting bitchy with each other. The claws are out.

      Meow!

    • Pascals bookie 9.2

      “Haven’t you heard, chemtrail boy is now on #teamcunliffe.This will help ACT in Epsom.”
      Haven’t you heard, methamphetamine man is now on #teamKey.This will help ACT in Epsom.

    • mickysavage 9.3

      Ha Steve you are such a crack up. I bet you believe in chemtrails too …

      • Steve Wrathall 9.3.1

        Anyone know the formula of this chemical they’re spraying? I’ll have a crack at synthesising it. Just think of all the great uses I could put it to.

  10. Clemgeopin 10

    Vote the ACT fellow in Epsom=Get National and ACT=Self inflicted wound into our Nation.

    If I was there, I would watch which of the other candidates, Michael Wood (Lab),
    Paul Goldsmith (Nat), Julie Anne Gentre (Greens) or any other non-ACT, non-CONS candidate is leading, and would give my electorate vote to THAT particular candidate. I suspect that would most likely be Goldsmith, the cunningly silent very reluctant shy bride!

    Vote the National man, GOLDMITH in Epsom=Kick ACT and National out of Government! How cool is that!

    [In some other special electorates I would most likely do as follows:

    Epsom: To keep ACT out, most likely the sad puppy, Nat’s poor Golsdsmith.
    Ohariu: Leading non-UF candidate, most likely, the Labour candidate, Virginia Andersen.
    Te Tai Tokerau: To help get Mana in, the Mana candidate, Hone Harawira.
    East Coast Bays: To keep Cons/Collin out, most likely the National candidate, McCully.
    Hellensville: Consolidate all non-Key votes to the Internet party candidate, Laila Harre.

    So some of us progressives get a chance to vote, one way or another, for LOTS of very very important and crucial electoral candidates : National, Labour, Mana and Internet candidates! How cool is that? Life is beautiful!

    Epsom voters in this election are very spoiled for choice with so many cats and some dogs, some rich pricks and some ordinary folk as their electorate candidates, some of whom are given strong coat tails, some with long legs and huge ear bangles, and some have just the smell of an oily rag.

    I am glad that Harre AND Key are voting for Goldsmith!

    Here is a potential Epsom theme song. Specially dedication to the EPSOM electorate. Enjoy!

  11. Rodel 11

    Not Christine Rank! Epsom people must feel insulted at the way they are being played with by politicians.

  12. Sable 12

    Good. Let them eat each other alive…

  13. Tracey 13

    Has anyone noticed how easy National has made it to deface their billboards

    I have seen working for

    Wall street
    Ourselves
    America
    The 1%

    Ive also noticed the indignation of many who dont think it matters how often Key lies, over,messed up billboards

    Funny old world

    • Us2Olds 13.1

      Love it, that’s the best part about billboards. Do you remember the 1/2 Nats 1/2 Labour ones when Helen got in – superb.

    • tricledrown 13.2

      Yeah Tracy
      we are Lying
      fogetting
      bullying
      cheating
      wasting
      spying
      for theUSA

  14. greywarbler 14

    Conservative slogan on flyer –
    If you’ve had a GUTS FULL of a GOVERNMENT who [which] DOESN’T do what [it’s] THEY’RE TOLD.
    (But we’ll cosy up to them and hope our nobility rubs off and makes them better people?)

    On the Conservative Party subject. This is from a report from end July meeting in Nelson where Craig spoke and introduced 81 year old orchardist Nelson candidate, and one from the west coast who is a drug counsellor. It seemed that most in the audience were very mature.

    The journalist captured these gems of commonsense and decency.
    In a 30-minute speech Craig focused on referendums, “one law for all New Zealanders”, law and order, and tax

    and on racism and one law for all sort of stuff:
    “Apparently saying that we want to remove segregation is racist to some people. Absolute nonsense.”
    The people of New Zealand did not want Maori spirituality written into law.
    I know quite a few Maori, and none of them buy into it. But we have an issue where we are writing those sorts of laws. We are opposing that – if we have to, we’ll take it to court.” The party also wanted the Maori seats abolished.

    “We need to embrace the idea in this country that we play together, we work together and we vote together. I believe that’s the basis on which to build a great nation.”

    and using the environment to benefit all NZs etc
    If you think that all the gold on the West Coast should stay there forever, bless. I have a slightly different view – if you dig hole in the ground and plant a tree you’re a Greenie. If you dig a big hole in the ground, take the gold out and plant a native forest, apparently you’re an eco-terrorist.”

    and
    ‘Bottom-end tax cuts’! The Conservatives believed in a tax cut at the bottom end.
    “I benefited from the tax cut at the top end but frankly, I wasn’t the one that needed the help. There are people out there who are working 40 hours a week and then going out and working a second and third job to make life work for them financially. Those are the people that needed a tax cut.”

    He was against early release of prisoners and did not believe they should “sit around” when they could be working.

  15. Once was TIm 15

    Can someone remind me what happened to Bette Lynche?. My sister is a Coro addict and unavaliable for verification – but I had this feint recollection that she’d hooked up with a nutter and retired to NZ – travelling on a luxury cruiser with toilet earings intact. I imagined she’d changed her name from Lynch to Rankin a while back and used the usual over-embellished CV, lost her accent, and was standing for Parliament (having first taken advantage of transferring her retirement funds of course).

    Or am I getting confused with that once was an adonis who hooked up with Leesa Gibbons -Entertainment Tonight bimbo – during that telethonny thingy out in the colonies.

    I’m sure I’m dreaming though because I heard Krussy protesting this morning on Mourning Report with the sage e-Spinner and Susie (darling) Fergusson that she wuz seary iss en she wuz gunna won Espom. (Let me know if was a dream because a courier load of those special salts and a chit to the Caci Klunk could be wasted.

    Good luck Krussy – Oim right behind you – you’ve earned Epsom. There’s a neck-pull in it with a load of colagen thrown in (off the back of a long distance artic – but I’m sure you won’t mind)

    • greywarbler 15.1

      @ Once Was Tim 3.43
      You got the coffee over-strength again! Did you hear Matthew Hooton, I think it was, this morning on Radionz saying that he told Rankin that her standing in Epsom would result in more votes going to Labour? He said she then went and put her name down for the seat!

      Brian Edwards criticised Rankin.
      http://brianedwardsmedia.co.nz/2009/05/meeting-christine-rankin/

      It’s interesting thinking back to that suitable clothing business and the Court case about it. The idea that women should not have a clothing standard, although men do, shows a remarkable amount of arrogance. And lack of respect for their employment position, and their colleagues, and the people they communicate with during their day.

      http://tvnz.co.nz/content/46104/423466/article.html (Thanks Anne above for this one)
      Margaret Bazley had ‘trained’ her but they had disagreed on some matters. So Rankin must be more arrogant than Bazley. But Bazley, was a gummint fix-it person and took over Rankin’s job.
      Rankin talked in her evidence about receiving threats and abuse, but Dame Margaret says that comes with the territory. [being WINZ boss.]
      “I have had bullets in the mail, I’ve had death threats, threats of gang rape, effigies burnt of me, and I would not be alarmed in the senior ranks of the public service, they’re not issues we talk about, we just get on with it,” she told the court.

      And Mark Prebble showed a particular lack of training in how to deal with a woman without understanding of any public service ethos. And the careful use of chat with those foreign to such understanding. The advice would be, eep your trap shut as much of the time as possible, there is too much lost in translation. Look at the mess he got into wittering on about earrings.
      “It’s complete nonsense… I was not talking about flamboyance, style and specifically not talking about earrings, I did say that I had a recollection that Desmond Morris did seem to think that ears and earrings had some sexual connotation,” Prebble said.

  16. lurgee 16

    Wonder if someone could persuade Louis Rawnsley to stand against Rankin?

  17. Anne 17

    I saw this comment on Dim Post:

    I remember when Christine Rankin went on Paul Henry’s breakfast show and, talking about child abuse, said “we do have a problem with Maori in this country” (something she was unqualified to talk about, and of course far more white kids are abused in this country, but, y’know, Paul Henry breakfast). A TVNZ security guard, who’d been with the company 24 years, spoke to her after the interview, telling her that it was “a bit harsh to blame all Maori for the actions of four idiots.” She complained to TVNZ and got him fired. I always thought that spoke volumes about the sort of person she is. It’s fine for her to denigrate and slander an entire people, but how dare anyone politely tell her she might be wrong. Fuck you, Christine.

    http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/14824/TVNZ-defends-firing-employee-over-Rankin-comment

    I remember that incident. Apart from exposing Rankin for the obnoxious woman she is, what sort of an outfit is TVNZ who are apparently happy to sack someone who had worked for them for 24 years on her say so!

    • Rodel 17.1

      That’s incredible! She would represent the Epsom/ Remuera conservatives well. Vote wankin’ Rankin!

    • lurgee 17.2

      Not on her say so.

      On the say so of TVNZ human resources.

      Where her son – Matthew Rea-Rankin – had worked as an HR manager until a couple of years before the Rawnsley incident. And presumably still had some contacts with people working there.

      Which was, I am sure, entirely coincidental.

      • Anne 17.2.1

        That’s interesting lurgee.

        Years ago, I worked for AKTV2 (TVNZ’s fore-runner) as a technical operator specialising in audio. One thing I discovered is that the broadcasting/telecasting industry is a very incestuous place. So much so, that the public were commonly referred to as “the peasants”. That culture is still there. In fact it’s probably even worse than it used to be.

  18. Tanz 18

    The Conservatives may well win this seat. That’s better than Key gifting them one. This is the best election in years, can’t wait to see how it plays out.

  19. Penny Bright 19

    errrr….. the sensible. strategic ELECTORATE vote in Helensville – in my considered opinion (and of course I would say this, wouldn’t I 🙂 is PROVEN anti -corruption/ anti-privatisation Public Watchdog Penny Bright.

    If Helensville folk like candidates attached to any of the political parties – give them the PARTY vote (which is what their parties want).

    FYI – the response I’m getting as I go around the shops / businesses / gatherings in the Helensville electorate (Piha/ Helensville / Kumeu/ Huapai) is very favourable.

    This Wednesday night I’ll be attending my second meeting in Helensville which is being organised by locals – for locals , in order to hear more about corrupt corporate control of NZ, locally, nationally and internationally.

    As I talk to people I’m finding that many are very concerned about John Key’s current shareholding in the Bank of America.

    So – whose interests are being served by this ”poodle of Wall St’?

    Follow the dollar …..

    Penny Bright

  20. Penny Bright 20

    FYI – in 2011 when I stood against John Banks in Epsom and got 124 votes, I used the electorate process to focus on how ACTs ‘one law for all’ hadn’t applied to Banks over Huljich Wealth Management,

    http://www.pennybright4epsom.org.nz

    (Scroll down to see photos of ‘piggy-backing’ my (duly authorised) electoral messages on to John Banks & John Key’s hoardings.

    REALLY upset Cameron Slater at the time – so must have done something right 🙂

    Penny Bright

  21. Instauration 21

    Our household of E5+1 eligible East Coast Bays voters have discussed the options fireside @ dinner this evening.
    Consensus – ABC – (anyone but C) – we will likely all electorate vote for Murray – he has been okay, even responded finely when challenged as electorate MP and MFA.
    We all aspire a Left outcome.
    The Left aspirants of Epsom must remember the Girl was Once a Leftie – but nah !

  22. Populuxe1 22

    It’s breathtaking audacity. First the Conservatives lambast New Zealand women for their lack of modesty – and then they run Christine Rankin!

  23. tricledrown 23

    Its colon Craigs vapourized entrails no doubt the next ewe turn will be an incestuous relationship (space ship) with ACT!

  24. Clemgeopin 24

    EPSOM: ACT’s SEYMOUR CAN SNEAK THROUGH…..unless…..MOST OF LABOUR and GREEN votes go to Goldsmith. Here is why:

    2011 Election
    BANKS(ACT)=44%
    GOLDSMITH(NAT)=38%
    PARKER(LAB)=10%
    HAY(GP)=6%
    REST=2%

    RESULT=ACT’s BANKS won!

    2014:
    This time around, some previous votes cast for Goldsmith and Seymour, (I am assuming 4%+4%), may shift to Rankin and the result may look like this:

    SEYMOUR(ACT)=44-4=40%
    GOLDSMITH(NAT)=38-4=34%
    RANKIN(CONS)=8%
    WOOD(LAB)=10%
    GENTER(GP)=6%
    REST=2%

    RESULT=ACT’s Seymour wins!

    The only way for the progressives to be more sure of defeating ACT and NATIONAL would be for MOST, if not all, of Labour and Greens voters to give their candidate vote to GOLDSMITH.

    Assuming there is a 50% improvement in the Labour and Green strategic voting tactics, (5% and 3% rather than the previous election’s 10% and 6% ) the result could look like this:

    SEYMOUR(ACT)=40%
    GOLDSMITH(NAT)=34+5%+3%=42%
    RANKIN(CONS)=8%
    WOOD(LAB)=5%
    GENTER(GP)=3%
    REST=2%

    RESULT=NATIONAL’S Mr PAUL GOLDSMITH MP!…Now, who wouldn’t want such a lovely result!

  25. All Ican say is I thank my lucky stars that I do not live in Epsom .It seems to be populated with a ghastly ,greedy racist population.The good thing is that they deserve Rankin and her sleazy supporters .

  26. Michael 26

    I am a registered Epsom voter. I will be ticking a box for Labour and a box for Goldsmith.

    Others I know who are National voters are planning on voting for Goldsmith too. They have had enough of propping up Act and are betting that National will have enough to win without him.

    I wonder what the atmosphere will be like at the National Epsom Electorate office when Goldsmith wins?

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    An average kiwiBy admin@averagekiwi.com
    2 days ago
  • Climate Change: Strike!
    Today is the first day of the global climate strike. Led by schoolkids, people all around the world are going to protest to demand action on climate change. New Zealand isn't doing it till next Friday (join us!), but if you want to get active early, there's plenty to do ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Climate Change: Squandering our opportunity?
    The Herald has a story today about the 400 MW of wind power currently under construction. Good news, right? Except that none of it is being driven by policy (instead, its about replacing Contact Energy's Taranaki Combined Cycle gas-fired power plant, due to shut down in 2022), and most of ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Protect The King!
    To Protect and Serve: When the Prime Minister finds herself enmeshed in the coils of a full-blown political scandal, her colleagues and party comrades have only one priority: to release her as swiftly – and with as little lasting injury – as possible. Is this what Jacinda Ardern’s colleagues and ...
    2 days ago
  • The rot at the top.
    When military leaders cover up and lie to elected civilian authorities, the foundation of democratic civil-military relations is undermined because it is those authorities who are entrusted to hold the military accountable to the public that they mutually serve. But this is only true if civilian political authorities take their ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    2 days ago
  • Challenging the voting age in court
    The Make It 16 campaign to lower the voting age is launching this afternoon, and they have already announced plans to challenge the law in court:The campaign, named "Make it 16" will launch at Parliament on Friday, with plans to take their case to the High Court, testing the rights ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Israel’s elections herald a long siesta
    by Daphna Whitmore The long years of Netanyahu’s reign are drawing to an end. For years he has epitomized reactionary zionism as he oversaw hundreds of thousands of Jewish settlers seize land in the West Bank. There are now 700,000 settlers, putting an end to the myth that Israel was ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 days ago
  • Petrol companies promise prices will come back down once peace is restored to the Middle East
    BP, Z and Mobil all insist that petrol price hikes are temporary, “in a very literal sense.” The nation’s major petrol providers are trying to allay customer fears over prices, promising that they’ll move to lower them again “immediately” when the Middle East is returned to its formerly peaceful state. ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    3 days ago
  • All Blacks unveil boat for Rugby World Cup 2019
    South African coach Rassie Erasmus says he has no idea what they’re going to do about the boat. In a highly anticipated press conference this afternoon, All Blacks coach Steve Hansen has finally unveiled the team’s boat for its Rugby World Cup 2019 campaign. In a press conference that went ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    3 days ago
  • An increasingly shoddy coverup
    The Operation Burnham inquiry continued to question senior NZDF staff today, and their shoddy coverup over their knowledge of civilian casualties continue to fall apart. If you recall, first, we were asked to believe that it was all a series of "mistakes and errors": a senior officer with multiple degrees ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • If we are to avoid making the earth uninhabitable, we need to rapidly decarbonise our civilisation, and cut emissions to zero as quickly as possible. This seems like an impossible task, but its not. Pushing hard on a few technologies and trends will let us halve emissions in a decade:Greenhouse ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • A further attack on transparency
    The Local Government Act 2002 Amendment Bill (No 2) had part of its committee stage yesterday. its a generally tedious bill about the nitty-gritty of local government reorganisation. But it includes a clause making the Local Government Commission subject to the Ombudsmen Act, and hence the OIA. Great! Except of ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Ihumātao and Treaty settlements
    Yesterday Ihumātao's mana whenua reached a consensus that they would like their land back, and asked the government to negotiate with Fletcher's for its return. The government's response? Try and undermine that consensus, while talking about how doing anything would undermine existing Treaty settlements. The first is just more bad ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Protecting our history
    Its Suffrage Day, the 126th anniversary of women winning the right to vote (but not stand in elections) in New Zealand. And to celebrate, the government has bought Kate Sheppard's house in Christchurch:The government has bought Kate Sheppard's former home in Christchurch for more than $4 million. The Ilam villa ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Climate Change: Ostracising the coal-burners
    The UN climate summit is happening in new York next week, and unlike previous years, coal-burners and denier-states are not being invited to speak:Leading economies such as Japan and Australia will not be invited to speak at next week’s crunch UN climate change summit, as their continued support for coal ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Jojo Tamihere Salutes Herr Goff.
    Get Back Jojo! The elation in Mayor Phil Goff’s camp may be easily imagined as they watched social media light up in indignation at challenger John Tamihere’s "Sieg Heil to that" quip. Just when JT’s notoriously right-wing, sexist and homophobic stains were beginning to fade back into his ‘colourful’ past, ...
    3 days ago
  • Hard News: A fun but flawed weed documentary
    Patrick Gower is good value when he's high. Not that I've ever, you know, got stoned with him. But in the second part of his documentary Patrick Gower on Weed, he does what you'd expect in a modern weed documentary and immerses himself – first with a doctor, then a ...
    4 days ago
  • Candidate Survey: Western Bay of Plenty – Local Body Elections 2019
    We surveyed candidates on their attitudes to issues facing the Western Bay Region, find out what they think: “Closing the Gap” Tauranga, one of the area groups of Income Equality Aotearoa NZ Inc., has surveyed all candidates in the three local body elections to discover attitudes to some basic issues ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    4 days ago
  • Project Nettie calls on scientists to defend biology
    Please spread widely, and sign, to support science and rationalism over the new irrationalism sweeping universities and institutions.  PROJECT NETTIE Sexual reproduction, the generation of offspring by fusion of genetic material from two different individuals, evolved over 1 billion years ago. It is the reproductive strategy of all higher animals ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    4 days ago
  • I’m glad I don’t live in Auckland
    Just when I was thinking that Palmerston North's mayoral race (which includes a convicted child molester / public wanker and a convicted child beater) was the worst in the country, Auckland mayoral candidate John Tamihere opened his mouth:Auckland mayoral candidate John Tamihere is being slammed for using the words "sieg ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Index of Power Update, 2018-19: China #2
    We reprint below an article from the excellent website the Economics of Imperialism by Tony Norfield This is an update of the statistics for my Index of Power, using data for 2018-19 and discussing what a country’s ranking reflects. The major change is that China’s rank has shifted up and ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    4 days ago
  • Climate Change: A history lesson
    Why is New Zealand climate change policy so crap? The Herald this morning has a long article on the twists and turns of climate change policy in New Zealand [paywalled / depaywall script], which shows where we've been. The short version is that the government first began worrying about this ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • What the All Blacks Mean to Us
    The All Blacks have been, for more than a century, arguably the most successful International sports team in the world. But they are more than that; even for those Kiwis who are immune to the charms of rugby (and there are more than a few), the All Blacks are ambassadors ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    4 days ago
  • No one is born into the wrong body
    A short and incredibly powerful speech from a young lesbian woman. No one is born in the wrong body. ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    5 days ago
  • Contempt
    Back in June, the UK Court of Appeal ruled that that country's continued arms sales to Saudi Arabia were unlawful. So you'd expect that the UK government stopped approving them, right?Of course not:The government has apologised for breaching a court ruling against the sale of weapons to Saudi Arabia that ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Covering up the cover-up
    Yesterday NZDF officials were put on the stand about the lies they had told over Operation Burnham, making implausible claims that it was all a big mistake. But along the way, we learned they had already been put on the spot about it by a previous Defence Minister, who had ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Not as important as they think they are
    Farmers have been whining a lot lately, about the methane targets in the Zero Carbon Bill, about Canterbury's proposed nitrogen limits, and about the government's new proposals to stop them from shitting in our lakes and rivers. These policies are "throwing farmers under the tractor", they will force farmers off ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Behind Every Good Woman Should Stand – Another Good Woman.
    Alone, Alone, All, All, Alone: To argue that the Prime Minister is the victim of her advisers’ failure to keep her informed may offer Jacinda some measure of exoneration – but only at the cost of casting her as a hopeless political ingénue. A star-dusted muppet, whose only purpose is to ...
    5 days ago
  • Poor quality, poorly educated kiddie ‘Journalists’ spreading fake news
    In times of hysteria about the “World coming to an end” and “rising sea levels” so-called ‘Journalists’ who can barely spell words longer than four letters are having a ball! Though the majority of the Public have worked out that manmade climate change is nothing short of pseudo-science, and the ...
    An average kiwiBy admin@averagekiwi.com
    5 days ago
  • Chris Trotter on the BFD
    I don't want to give pblicity to certain parts of the internet that are better left to fester in their own irrelevance (I know, a bit like this place) but the listing of Chris Trotter as a 'author' on Cameron Slater's spinoff website, the BFD requires some explanation.Now, I don't ...
    6 days ago
  • Sex is not a spectrum
    The text below is a Twitter thread by Heather Heying that explains the essence of sexual reproduction and it long evolutionary history. She is an evolutionary biologist and a “professor-in-exile” after she and her husband, Bret Weinstein, stood up to supporters of an enforced “Day of Absence” for white staff and teachers ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    6 days ago
  • Climate Change: Trees, aviation, and offsets
    With crunch time for new Zealand climate policy approaching, most of the New Zealand media have got on board with a global reporting effort to cover the issue. There's one strand of stories today about polling and what it shows about changing public attitudes to the crisis, but the strand ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Pissing-Off The Israelis Is A High-Risk Strategy.
    Dangerous Foes: For those readers of Bowalley Road who feel disposed to dismiss any prospect of an Israeli destabilisation of New Zealand politics, the example of the United Kingdom repays close attention. Ever since the election of Jeremy Corbyn as leader of the British Labour Party, the Israelis have sanctioned, funded and ...
    6 days ago
  • Something to go to in Wellington
    Make It 16, the youth-led campaign to lower New Zealand's voting age, is holding an official campaign launch at Parliament this Friday from 16:30. If you'd like to attend, you can register using EventBrite here. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • A founding member responds to Peace Action Wellington
    by Don Franks It was a lovely sunny Wellington afternoon with blue skies above  the beaches.  In Courtenay Place, political activists packed out a stuffy upstairs room for an important meeting. The assembled pacifists, anarchists, communists and independent young radicals of Peace Action Wellington felt the need for a mission ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    6 days ago
  • “Mistakes and errors”
    Current and former NZDF top brass are being publicly grilled this week by the hit and run inquiry over their public responses to allegations of civilian casualties. Previously, they've claimed there were no casualties, a position which led them to lie to Ministers and to the public. Now, they're saying ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • “Homosexuality is same-sex attraction and relationships, not heterosexuals with delusions of gende...
    by Rafael D. Quiles (gender-critical gay man from Puerto Rico) The writing on the wall is right in people’s faces and people just don’t see it or don’t want to. What could actually possess a heterosexual male to want to feminize himself and claim that he is a lesbian? Because ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    7 days ago
  • Trump: “Where’s my favourite dictator?”
    From the Wall Street Journal:Inside a room of the ornately decorated Hotel du Palais during last month’s Group of Seven summit in Biarritz, France, President Trump awaited a meeting with Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi. Mr. Trump looked over a gathering of American and Egyptian officials and called out in ...
    1 week ago
  • Magdalen Burns, 1983-2019, fighter for women’s liberation
    by the Redline blog collective At Redline we are very saddened to hear of the death of Magdalen Burns who passed away on the morning of Friday, September 13 (British time). Magdalen was a great fighter for the rights of women in general and lesbian women in particular, a defender ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Parliament and the Executive
    The Brexit issue has certainly brought with it a series of apparently difficult constitutional issues, many of them concerning the respective roles of the executive and parliament. Most of them arise because of the unwillingness of MPs, despite their professions to the contrary, to be bound by a constitutional rarity ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    1 week ago
  • The Abigail Article; Martyn Bradbury’s Article, and My Response
    . . This blogpost is different to my usual format of reporting on issues… Since July 1011, I have blogged on a variety of political issues; near always political and/or environmental; mostly highly critical of the previous National Government. Other issues included Israeli occupation of Palestinian lands and repression of ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    1 week ago
  • Police will have to wear silly Buckingham Palace hats from now on, says Police Minister
    Those close to the Police Minister believe the initiative may be the result of Nash “seeing a great deal” on AliExpress. In a move that comes seemingly out of nowhere, Police Minister Stuart Nash announced this afternoon that he expects all frontline staff to don bearskin hats, famously worn by ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 week ago
  • A sensible crackdown
    The government has released its Arms Legislation Bill, containing the second tranche of changes to gun laws following the March 15 massacre. And it all looks quite sensible: a national gun register, higher penalties for illegal possession and dealing, tighter restrictions on arms dealers and shooting clubs, and a shorter ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • California bans private prisons
    Private prisons are a stain on humanity. Prison operators explicitly profit from human misery, then lobby for longer prisons terms so they can keep on profiting. And in the US, prison companies run not only local and state prisons, but also Donald Trump's immigration concentration camps. Faced with this moral ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Why PPPs are a bad idea
    When National was in power, they were very keen on Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) - basicly, using private companies to finance public infrastructure as a way of hiding debt from the public. They were keen on using them for everything - roads, schools, hospitals. But as the UK shows, that "service" ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • A Movement That No Longer Moves.
    Moving And Shaking: There was a time when people spoke matter-of-factly about the “labour movement” – a political phenomenon understood to embrace much more than the Labour Party. Included within the term’s definition was the whole trade union movement – many of whose members looked upon the Labour Party as ...
    1 week ago
  • NZ ‘left’ politically embracing extreme postmodernism
    by Philip Ferguson Much of the left, even people who formally identify as marxists, have collapsed politically in the face of postmodern gender theory of the sort pioneered by American philosopher Judith Butler. For Butler even biological sex is socially constructed. “If the immutable character of sex is contested, perhaps ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • The obvious question
    The media is reporting that the (alleged) Labour party sexual assaulter has resigned from their job at Parliament, which means hopefully he won't be turning up there making people feel unsafe in future. Good. But as with everything about this scandal, it just raises other questions. Most significantly: why the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The moment I found out that you found out, I acted swiftly
    By Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern I am every bit as angry as you are. I am every bit as disappointed as you must be. The people with power, oversight and the ability to do something about these processes within the Labour Party should be ashamed. Whoever those people are, I ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 week ago
  • This is why people hate property developers
    Property developers think there is an "oversupply" of houses in Auckland:High turnover rates and falling prices may be a sign that there are too many new houses going in to some parts of Auckland, commentators say. [...] Property developer David Whitburn said there was a "bit of an oversupply" in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Australia to Pacific: “Fuck you, you can all drown”
    World leaders are meeting in New York in two weeks for the 2019 Climate Action Summit, where they are expected to announce new and more ambitious targets to stop the world from burning. But the Australian Prime Minister won't be there, despite being in the USA at the time:Scott Morrison ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Implausible ignorance
    Labour Party president Nigel Haworth resigned yesterday over the party's sexual assault scandal. But while that's good news, its unlikely to take away the stench of a coverup. Because according to Paula Bennett in Parliament yesterday, pretty much everyone in the Prime Minister's office was involved as well:I have been ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Labour’s Fatal Flaw.
     Two-Faced? Labour insiders' commitment to the neoliberal status quo puts them at odds with their party’s membership; its trade union affiliates; and a majority of Labour voters, but this only serves to strengthen the perception they have of themselves as a special elite. Among the lesser breeds, they’ll talk up a ...
    1 week ago
  • Ten reasons the Tories do NOT want an election
    There has been a lot of talk about Boris Johnson wanting an election, and he has blustered with great gusto about 'chicken' Jeremy Corbyn refusing one, but I think there are many reasons why he is secretly glad he has been refused the opportunity:The Tories are an utter rabble,tearing themselves ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Prorogation Illegal, rule Scottish judges
    Scottish appeal court judges have declared that Boris Johnson’s decision to suspend parliament in the run-up to the October Brexit deadline is unlawful. The three judges, chaired by Lord Carloway, Scotland’s most senior judge, overturned an earlier ruling that the courts did not have the powers to interfere in the prime ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Let me explain what I meant by Everyday New Zealanders
    By Simon Bridges. The following is a press release from the office of Simon Bridges, leader of The National Party. Key ora, New Zealand. Happy Maori Language Week. Look, I’m writing to you today because I want to clear something up. There’s been a lot of kerfuffle around some things ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Yes, the SIS is subject to the Public Records Act
    I understand there's some stuff going round about how the SIS "was removed from the list of public offices covered by the Public Records Act in 2017". The context of course being their records derived from US torture, which will be disposed of or sealed. The good news is that ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • An evidence-based discussion of the Canadian fluoride/IQ study
    Dr. Christopher Labos and Jonathan Jarry discuss the recent Canadian fluoride/IQ research. They provide an expert analysis of the paper and its problems. Click on image to go to podcast. The critical debate about the recent ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: Australia in denial
    Australia is burning down again, and meanwhile its natural disaster minister is denying climate change:Australia’s minister responsible for drought and natural disasters, David Littleproud, has said that he doesn’t “know if climate change is manmade”. Clarifying earlier comments that the question is “irrelevant” when considering the Coalition government’s response to ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Philippines activist speaking on the Duterte tyranny
    Auckland Philippines Solidarity is excited to host Professor Judy Taguiwalo for a speaking tour of NZ in September. She is a well-known activist in the Philippines and was a political prisoner under the Marcos dictatorship. Professor Taguiwalo briefly served as a Cabinet member under President Duterte but was forced from ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • Disgust
    I have no special insights to offer on the Labour sexual assault coverup. All I have is disgust. Disgust that an organisation could fail its people so badly. Disgust that they punished the victims rather than the perpetrator. Disgust that its party hacks are apparently blaming the victims for demanding ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Speak Up for Women calls out Greens’ censorship
    This open letter to the Green Party was penned after an opinion piece by Jill Abigail, a feminist and founding member of the party, was censored by the Greens’ leadership. (Redline has reprinted her article here).The intolerance of the Green Party leaders and their acceptance of the misogyny of gender ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • Member’s Day: End of Life Choice, part 3
    Today is a Member's day, and David Seymour's End of Life Choice Bill continues its slow crawl through its committee stage. They're spending the whole day on it today, though the first hour is likely to be spent on voting left over from last time. After that they'll move on ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Flight to Los Angeles turned back after passengers decide they don’t want to go anymore
    An ambitious plan to fly to Los Angeles petered out into a brief sight-seeing trip and a desire to return home and get some sleep before work tomorrow. Air New Zealand has confirmed a flight to Los Angeles last night was turned back about a quarter of the way into ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Indigenous Futures: defuturing and futuring – an analytical framework for policy development?
    There appears to be consensus – by omission – that the concept of indigenous futures should be accepted at face value. So I scavenged the internet to see if I could locate an academic descriptor or a framework around how we think about it as a concept, and whether it ...
    EllipsisterBy Ellipsister
    2 weeks ago
  • Cadbury rumoured to be releasing the Pineapple Trump
    Here’s another novelty chocolate to shove in your gob, New Zealand Cadbury could be seeking to make itself great again with a rumoured new release: Pineapple Trumps, a spin on its classic chocolate-encased pineapple treat and do-it-yourself tooth remover. The global confectionery manufacturer and bumbling “before” character in an infomercial, ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • The coming resource war.
    During my time in the Pentagon I had the privilege of sitting down with military leaders and defence and security officials from a variety of Latin American nations. Sometimes I was present as a subordinate assistant to a senior US defence department official, sometimes as part of a delegation that ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    2 weeks ago
  • Māori Language Week with The Civilian
    Kia ora, Aotearoa. It’s that magical time of year. Te Wiki o te Reo Māori. In English, the week that frightens talk radio. As you probably know by now, all your favourite media outlets are participating, some more successfully than others. Stuff has changed its name to Puna for the ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Will Horizons act on climate change?
    Local body elections are coming up next month. And it looks like all Palmerston North candidates for Horizons (the Manawatu-Whanganui Regional Council) want to take action on climate change:Climate change is set to be a key issue in Palmerston North for the next three years if those wanting to get ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • BORA reform is stalled
    Eighteen months ago, the government promised to strengthen the Bill of Rights Act, by explicitly affirming the power of the courts to issue declarations of inconsistency and requiring Parliament to formally respond to them. So how's that going? I was curious, so I asked for all advice about the proposal. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Corbyn and Brexit
    As the Brexit saga staggers on, the focus is naturally enough on the Prime Minister and his attempts to achieve Brexit “do or die”. But the role played by the Leader of the Opposition is of almost equal interest and complexity. The first problem for Jeremy Corbyn is that he ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    2 weeks ago
  • A ditch for him to die in
    Last week, English Prime Minister Boris Johnson boldly declared that he would rather die be dead in a ditch than delay Brexit. Unfortunately for him, the UK parliament accepted the challenge, and promptly dug one for him. The "rebellion bill" requires him to ask for and secure yet another temporary ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago

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