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Boris Johnson – why he fell and can he come back?

Written By: - Date published: 7:02 am, January 15th, 2023 - 1 comment

It is risky to make predictions, but it is safe to assume we have not heard the last of Boris Johnson. And much like Berlusconi in Italy, the results will undoubtedly be bad both for politics and the country.

The lettuce won

Written By: - Date published: 8:19 am, October 21st, 2022 - 20 comments

Over in the UK Liz Truss has bowed to the inevitable and has announced her resignation as leader of the Conservative Party.

Latest Newshub/Reid Research poll – Labour cruising, National floundering

Written By: - Date published: 6:28 pm, September 27th, 2020 - 137 comments

Labour can still rule alone and the Greens are looking safer.

The Christian Right and the 2020 election

Written By: - Date published: 11:29 am, July 12th, 2020 - 90 comments

A variety of Christian parties have attempted to gain a place in Parliament.  What are the chances in 2020 of a conservative Christian Party succeeding in gaining seats?

UK Conservative’s social media is remarkably similar to National’s social media

Written By: - Date published: 9:37 am, November 6th, 2019 - 31 comments

The British Conservative Party and the New Zealand National Party appear to be using very similar twitter strategies involving the setting of highly edited video to naff music and the making of patently ridiculous claims.

The biggest loser

Written By: - Date published: 2:15 pm, September 10th, 2019 - 21 comments

Boris Johnson has lost a sixth Parliamentary vote in six days as Britain lurches into a constitutional crisis.

Boris’s big gamble

Written By: - Date published: 12:14 pm, September 3rd, 2019 - 57 comments

Boris Johnson has threatened a general election if Parliament opposes his self imposed hard deadlines on Brexit.

An October election in the UK?

Written By: - Date published: 9:39 am, June 13th, 2019 - 27 comments

Boris Johnson declared his candidacy today. The Guardian’s Tom Kibasi speculates on his strategy – pick a fight with the EU, make Brexit the issue and call an election. Do a deal with Farage and save Britain from Corbyn. Will it work?

Splitters!

Written By: - Date published: 10:37 am, April 26th, 2019 - 34 comments

David Moffett, a Former board member of the New Conservative Party has announced the launch of a new new conservative party.

Beware the Ides of May

Written By: - Date published: 11:09 pm, January 15th, 2019 - 41 comments

It’s D Day for Theresa May’s Brexit plan. Will Jeremy Corbyn finally put her out of our misery?

National just wants to have some friends

Written By: - Date published: 9:55 am, January 6th, 2019 - 63 comments

National clearly needs new friends if it is to regain power. Could the nutty New Conservatives be a possibility?

Brexiting the EU

Written By: - Date published: 7:57 am, July 24th, 2018 - 75 comments

In the United Kingdom Theresa May is facing a confidence threatening Brexit crisis, the organisers of the Vote Leave campaign are facing prosecution, and an opinion poll suggests that a significant proportion of the electorate are willing to shift right to achieve a hard Brexit.

No Mates National

Written By: - Date published: 1:10 pm, July 15th, 2018 - 68 comments

Peter Dunne has some sage advice for National; phone a friend. If you can find one.

Pollwatch: Colmar Brunton 28/5/2018

Written By: - Date published: 7:38 pm, May 28th, 2018 - 59 comments

A chart of the expected outcome from this poll. Greens: 6, Labour: 55, National: 58, ACT: 1.

Hot on the heels of Reid Research, TVNZ has also been doing post-budget polling, and this one paints a bit of a different picture.

The election year party donations returns

Written By: - Date published: 10:12 am, May 6th, 2018 - 40 comments

The election year donation returns have been released and show a surge of donations for Labour but National still well ahead.

The Centre, the Left and UK local elections

Written By: - Date published: 11:18 am, May 4th, 2018 - 14 comments

Thoughts on a resurgent left and a collapsing centre.

National paying the price for cannibalising the political right

Written By: - Date published: 7:03 am, September 26th, 2017 - 27 comments

National have maintained their own vote but killed off all their political friends. Which is why their only route to power is now in the hands of an enemy, and why that enemy should be very wary of hitching his wagon to their fading star.

UK Defense Secretary on Corbyn

Written By: - Date published: 12:22 pm, May 28th, 2017 - 49 comments

A quite remarkable interview of Michael Fallon by Channel 4 News in the UK.

Colinoscopy

Written By: - Date published: 6:32 pm, October 3rd, 2016 - 41 comments

In which we learn that Colin Craig had already lost another case months before being done over in his defamation trial.

A settlement proposal for Jordan Williams and Colin Craig

Written By: - Date published: 7:52 am, September 24th, 2016 - 42 comments

A suggested settlement proposal to resolve the Williams v Craig case which may achieve some good.

Latest Roy Morgan Poll

Written By: - Date published: 1:10 pm, May 23rd, 2016 - 105 comments

The Latest Roy Morgan poll result has been released with both National and Labour recording a significant improvement in support.  But Winston is still the king maker …

Williams sues Craig and Bomber takes on Police

Written By: - Date published: 2:53 pm, August 14th, 2015 - 44 comments

Two breaking news stories as Jordan Williams gets in first and sues Colin Craig and Martyn Bradbury is spoken to by police about a blog post advocating civil disobedience.

Colin Craig’s electoral return

Written By: - Date published: 4:32 pm, August 10th, 2015 - 43 comments

John Stringer has accused Colin Craig of filing a false electoral return. But even now it looks like the complaint may be doomed to failure.

Craig suing Slater – bring popcorn

Written By: - Date published: 3:36 pm, July 29th, 2015 - 138 comments

Colin Craig is suing Cameron Slater and Jordan Williams in defamation.

Updated with booklet.

Armstrong is Craig’s last fan

Written By: - Date published: 3:31 pm, June 27th, 2015 - 5 comments

John Armstrong is apparently the last political “commentator” to take Colin Craig seriously. It’s really quite sweet.

Colin Craig’s Contempt for His Victim

Written By: - Date published: 7:30 pm, June 22nd, 2015 - 113 comments

The Conservative Party’s Colin Craig has victimised his former Press Secretary by deliberately breaching a confidentiality settlement in order to frame his inappropriate behaviour as a minor matter they were both equally responsible for. Well, that’s crap, Colin. It’s actually a rich man using his power and privilege to belittle a woman. Again.

National running short of coalition partners

Written By: - Date published: 8:17 am, June 20th, 2015 - 14 comments

There’s a lot of chatter about the Conservative Party at the moment, but the Nats are the only ones who have a reason to care.

Curtains for Colin Craig’s career?

Written By: - Date published: 2:40 pm, June 19th, 2015 - 40 comments

The Conservatives have called a press conference this afternoon and it appears that Colin Craig’s tenure as leader may be terminated.  But will he be back?

Bye Colin?

Written By: - Date published: 6:22 pm, June 18th, 2015 - 35 comments

According to 3 News Colin Craig is to be rolled as leader of the Conservatives. Hard to imagine, as Colin Craig is the Conservatives.

UK Election; the lessons.

Written By: - Date published: 6:52 pm, May 8th, 2015 - 393 comments

Like a punch drunk boxer, the pollsters didn’t see it coming. Three leaders could be writing their resignation letters over night. David Cameron is pinching himself at how easy it all turned out. And Scotland had another referendum.

Some brief thoughts on the UK Election and what can be learned.

Update: Ed Miliband resigns. Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage have also quit.

Three final polls

Written By: - Date published: 7:15 am, September 19th, 2014 - 98 comments

Three last polls and National’s support is declining, Labour’s improving and the Greens are stable.  Things are getting very close with Winston Peters looking more and more likely to hold the balance of power.  This election will be decided vote by vote.

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