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notices and features - Date published:
6:04 pm, August 8th, 2016 - 21 comments
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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New Reid Research poll out and released today for some reason.
http://www.newshub.co.nz/politics/poll-john-key-could-lose-grip-on-power-2016080815#ixzz4GiaFASUS
Pretty well confirms that last Roy Morgan was a rogue.
Pretty well confirms that last Roy Morgan was a rogue.
Just highlighting that because of the number of people freaking out when the last RM was being discussed. We need to get better at understanding how polls work.
Interesting headline from Shub and Gower. They could just as easily have gone with something positive for NACT and negative for Labour.
If it is shown it is indeed a rogue poll then Roy Morgan should also be held accountable. If it is as far off as it appears to be then there should have been a serious decision made by the polling company to withhold the result of the poll.
Personally I would prefer that polling be restricted or even eliminated from use by media organisations – it is essentially a news generating tool rather than news itself which allows media organisations to generate narrative. This is why I never comment on them.
I would also place severe restrictions on polling companies from carrying out political polls. I don’t think that add anything to the political discourse.
Is there a change in the way the preferred PM question is framed in this poll? They’ve reported it as Key 36.7%, Peters 10.9%, Andrew 10.4% and Someone Else / Don’t Know at 41.9%
A bit more illustrative than what I remember as past framing of this question.
Edit See ScottGN below
I think it’s been this way for a while but overshadowed by the National v Labour headline numbers. I reckon what’s changed is the way the combined Lab/Green bloc is being reported which gives context to other numbers like the preferred pm.
Also shows that a sizeable proportion of National voters are in the DN / Someone Else category, and hence the headline
Like sands through the hour glass so key fades away.
Preferred PM numbers are interesting too. Key on 36%, Little and Peters about the same on %10 + and 41% don’t knows/prefer someone else. So just over 60% of those polled want someone other than Key to be PM. Which rather undermines the spin we’re fed about Key’s amazing popularity.
Just shows how great Little is – only 10% want him. When are you ” middle of the road” Labour supporters going to realize that you must reject neoliberalism to regain support. I’ll say it again – we on the left cannot win whilst we remain National lite. You watch – all they will have to do is offer tax cuts and a bit of Crosby/Textor and (along with our compliant media) they will piss in.
Has there been a day this winter in which there hasn’t been reported incidents of serious violence?
All this while the National spin machine tries to tell us crime is dropping.
http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/national/310434/man-in-critical-condition,-shots-fired
To me, government policy pressuring and breaking the most vulnerable communities in New Zealand are directly responsible for the increase in violent crime. Bill English has tightened the belt of government in the name of fiscal responsibility but at the expense of social responsibility.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/crime/82950250/waikato-mob-boss-warns-kidnappers-were-hunting-you
What the hell have we become, its a sad day when a vigilante gangster gets the lead on the evening digital news.
Once again the government is trying to close Salisbury School, this is a land grab by Nick Smith and Hekia Parata.
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/AK1608/S00252/salisbury-school-deserves-our-support.htm
Smith himself stated that it sits on prime land. It’s not going to save the house crisis Nick. FYI the locals would rather have the school than the land
http://www.newshub.co.nz/nznews/salisbury-school-supporters-fight-closure-2016080718#axzz4GiOumjhD
MP’s from Labour, Greens and NZ First are supporting the local community and the school. It should stay open and be utilised.
Damien O’Connor is behind Salisbury staying open, he’s had much to do with Salisbury School over the years.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/education/82907792/exstudents-back-fight-to-save-salisbury-school-at-rally-in-richmond
Catherine Delahunty has an idea..
https://blog.greens.org.nz/2016/08/08/salisbury-school-and-the-sinking-lid/
Tracey Martin has supported it for years
http://nzfirst.org.nz/news/barriers-salisbury-school-enrolment-must-come-down
No word from Hekia about todays meeting, just a lame article in The Press trying to convince people that Halswell is a good alternative, because one mum with a low needs girls goes there and has had no problems, a one mum endorsement. Maybe they should gather some Stat’s about how many girls have been in Halswell and other such schools before being place in Salisbury because it doesn’t work out for them at these other facilities.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/news/82943331/halswell-residential-college-a-safe-enironment-for-girls-says-christchurch-mother
Keep Salisbury School Open !!!
https://www.change.org/p/david-wales-education-govt-nz-keep-salisbury-school-open-to-give-girls-with-the-most-needs-the-choice-they-deserve
Parliament is sitting tomorrow, game on.
The way that Parata and the government have gone about undermining this school after they got knocked back by the courts when trying to close it must surely be one of the most appalling things they have done while in government.
And now for some good news.
With the amount of it produced in New Zealand, the Japanese Sewage Powered Car should be the answer to our transport induced climate change issues.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/motoring/news/82866601/sewage-fuels-hydrogenpowered-cars-in-japan
Ministerial cars should do well with lots of savings from the Beehive fuel centre.
3rd way Blair type Nick Leggett needs to run as an independent if thats what he’s decided to do rather than try to garner support from the party he abandoned.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/82944714/mp-no-show-after-labour-feathers-ruffled-by-mayoral-race
Any talkfest in a pub about the US election is an insult to struggling New Zealanders and one which involves serial depressive, Phil Quinn, is an even worse insult. These idiots should instead be out supporting the people who are being marginalised by the current government.
Good news!
So first ‘the Eagle’ (Angela Eagle) smacked the window pane and fell off into the long grass. And then the NEC of UK Labour smacked it 130 000 times more with the same result.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/aug/08/labour-must-allow-all-members-leadership-vote-court-rules
Same story, but without the taint of the Guardian’s bias.
http://www.thecanary.co/2016/08/08/breaking-high-court-just-delivered-major-blow-owen-smiths-leadership-chances/
The idiotic poor judgement of the Blairite Labour establishment on show yet again.
And there’s still the possibility that they could appeal the decision 😉
Apparently, the Party is appealing the court’s ruling.
A Few Tweets from UK Labour activists:
@LabourEion:
@thedevilstuna:
@EarthalyDelites:
@AaronBastani:
Meanwhile … George Eaton in the New Statesman argues the NEC shot themselves in the foot: