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6:00 am, July 2nd, 2021 - 80 comments
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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Euro 2020 looks to be possibly be another super spreader event with returning supporters.
When hungarian supporters acted as usual do by clumping together roaring their side on about a week ago the authorities in the stands simply stood back and let it go. No choice really having invited the scenario onto themselves.
Bring on the olympics say the authorities so maybe we could have a covid coefficient of sorts attached to sports to see who can spread the most effectively.
The olympics this year are going to be a royal ass shitshow. Nothing more nothing less.
https://www.scmp.com/news/asia/east-asia/article/3139068/japans-olympics-chief-says-there-no-way-prevent-covid-19-cases
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/japan/
second link scroll down a bit to see the curve curve upwards. Wheeeee!
The Olympic Games are going to be a spectacal. I will not be watching the games as the fallout is not going to be pretty.
yep, ditto here.
I'm not the biggest sports fan anyway, but yes if anything deserves to be ignored it is this year's Olympics. Avoiding buying anything that is Olympics branded would be a good idea too – if you can even afford to buy it in the first place.
Weird news out of Samoa yesterday – I don't agree with the occupying (nominally caretaker) government on much. But I do wish NZ would do something similar, if less unilateral, in withdrawing support for kiwi athletes who are endorsing this Olympic disaster through their participation.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/445917/samoa-caretaker-govt-pulls-country-s-team-from-tokyo-olympics
If you have look at the second link on my initial comment, the daily cases are well over 500. Good on them. And Japans own vaccination rollout was a bit of a shambles, so yeah, its gonna be a shitty show but then money must be made.
I like most sports.
I cannot support the games as there will be a cover up with deaths following the games. Maybe there needs to be a tally for the games when it comes to related Covid cases and deaths, this would not be easy to do but genome sequencing would help.
They are giving out 150,000 condoms at the Olympics so it should be ok as they will be protected.
Facemasks are easier to breathe through.
The same when you saw the crowds at Wembley for the England V Germany game. Expect the number of cases in the UK to spike.
Returning Scottish/danish testing positive….Danes still in the tournament.
Make the spike bigger.
https://twitter.com/COVID19actuary/status/1410622822599254017
Be interested to know the split of hospital admissions between the 85% of the eligible population who have received at least one dose and those that have declined.
Yes, people in the UK, across Europe, the US and other places are getting COVID. But they are also getting back to life.
One simple example July 2021 and London has tennis and crowds. Meanwhile in the hermit kingdom , January 2022 and the tennis is canceled because we have no COVID plan to progress beyond lock downs and MIQ.
Anecdotally, in Salt Lake City my cousin (respiratory intensive care doctor) and her husband (emergency dept doctor) are dealing with an uptick in cases. Almost entirely unvaccinated.
In many ways. they're finding it psychologically tougher to deal with now compared to the much higher peak end of last year/early this year. Because most of the cases they're dealing with now could have been so easily, safely, and cheaply prevented, but weren't for whatever idiot reasons.
Yes, that is what i hear from friends who live there.
That psychological impact would be akin to patching up the victims of a drunk driver and the driver themself or the junkie and their various predicaments.
If you google something like UK covid breakthrough cases, you'll get a veritable cornucopia of useful info like https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/25/uk-closely-watched-with-its-vaccine-program-and-surge-in-cases.html
But the UK mostly used the Astra Zeneca modified adenovirus vaccine, which has lower overall efficacy and maybe has a greater loss of efficacy against newer variants, compared to the Pfizer and Moderna mRNA vaccines.
In NZ we are using the Pfizer mRNA vaccine, so our percentages of breakthrough cases will probably look more like the US numbers where Pfizer and Moderna are the large majority of vaccines given so far. Breakthrough infections in the US appear somewhat less common than in the UK.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/25/covid-breakthrough-cases-cdc-says-more-than-4100-people-have-been-hospitalized-or-died-after-vaccination.html
edit
David – Give us a break from moaning about this please, you and the others who keep popping up with it. The hermit kingdom is okay. We are left in this situation by the business interests of this country who took out all the import substitution business and left us with nothing much to work at in the burbs; only the farmers and tourism and selling our resources (water, houses, intellectual breakthroughs) are left.
We are too poor, in reality, to cope with an attempt at BAU. We gave up our resilience through working to support ourselves, in 1984 when the financiers' vassals at Treasury got into the heads of Labour with exciting dreams of the future, and propaganda about average Kiwis being lazy rats.
This is what can happen when the pressure is on and the ability to manage can not rise to meet the challenge.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/446015/fiji-hospital-staff-and-patients-without-food
Humanitarian aid is required and vaccination.
128,000 of them? Good to hear. Because it looks like about a dozen of them a day are doing the opposite.
What is it with Peter Dunne? He is such a whiner about everything Labour.
https://www.newsroom.co.nz/pro/national-might-not-be-terminal-but-the-clock-is-ticking?utm_source=Friends+of+the+Newsroom&utm_campaign=e5e36eafef-Daily+Briefing+02.07.2021&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_71de5c4b35-e5e36eafef-47886425
Well i read the words of the hairpiece and it is about National and its inability to be a proper opposition. OH my, is that now verboten?
Dunne was always much closer to the Nats than Labour despite having been in the Labour Party.
The hairpiece is in it for himself. that was always my opinion. If it is good for him its good for the country.
But in saying that, every democracy needs a fully functioning opposition. And currently with J.C. we got something, but i am not sure about it being a functioning and principled opposition and that is to the detriment of the country. Btw, the same goes when the shoe is on the other foot.
Drought + Heatwave > Town bursts into flame
Westcoast of North America awakes to the new normal
‘
effn yei!
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/coronavirus/125630294/covid19-rule-change-to-allow-overseas-trained-wider-health-workforce-to-become-vaccinators
Strange. Thought they had already done that weeks ago?
Not sure about that, but fwiw, i am happy t hat they are doing it now. It is one of the unspoken issues in NZ that people from overseas that have good education and skills but don't go through the very costly and time consuming process of having these skills aligned with NZ requirement are just such a waste – i looked at the costs for my certification and decided that it was not worth the hassle and expense. So this is for once a good use of human recourses that are all ready here and don't need to be imported.
They could train retired teacher as most have had basic training in the use of such equipment, and are used to interacting with the public.
Some cab drivers and shop assistants were previously doctors. I had a good conversation with a doctor at a big store recently. The Medical Council blocks too many from practising medicine in NZ.
About 20 years ago neighbours joint onto a unit I lived in were both surgical gynecologists and had practised in Britain. They came from a middle eastern country.
They could not get NZ registration through the Medical Council.
They did announce that they were going to do it weeks ago. The key part of the article is (my bold)
My bold. There are defined procedures for changing regulations. They generally require gazetting in New Zealand Gazette (our oldest newspaper) before they become enforceable.
I'd say that has now happened.
that makes sense. And it was a good move.
Ah, thanks.
This just demands fate of Ozymandias.
Ideally they’d both collide in orbit but I'll take either one exploding on the launch pad/in the air/on reentry and the bank the win.
https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/01/tech/jeff-bezos-richard-branson-first-to-space-race-scn/index.html
I'd prefer some rogue technician to point them at Jupiter's gravitational field – they’d have longer to reflect on thngs. And also that they had a long list of passengers.
Oh, I see… on closer inspection it is a feather.
Pitching space travel to the public annoys me given we dont have the fuels to continue international travel in the manner in which we are accustomed.
The imagined logo was better suited.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-02/delta-coronavirus-variant-symptoms-vaccines-spread/100255804
There is more good news in the article
So that is a study from the UK which has a relatively high vaccination rate.
How does the Delta variant act if it hits a community that has a very low vaccination rate?
https://www.healthline.com/health-news/even-if-youre-vaccinated-the-delta-variant-can-still-impact-you
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-01696-3
The good news only applies to those that are vaccinated. The rest still dies of this disease in high numbers.
The data for vaccinated vs unvaccinated deaths is apparently compromised. When testing they are using a cycle threshold of 28 for vaccinated, compared with a cycle threshold in the late 30s-early 40s for unvaccinated.
Ref 10:53 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ALRbmTrH9w0
Reluctantly: incorrect.
https://healthfeedback.org/claimreview/pcr-tests-on-vaccinated-and-unvaccinated-people-are-evaluated-using-the-same-criteria-the-cdc-didnt-change-criteria-for-detecting-infection-in-vaccinated-people-as-alleged-in-off-guardian-a/
BTW, DarkHorse Podcast Clips with Bret Weinstein and Heather Heying, seriously?? They have no idea how PCR works, going by their banter.
I kinda got my hopes up that that reduced mortality was after controlling for age and other risk factors. But sadly;
So the apparent reduced mortality rate could be just the result of the most vulnerable people having been vaccinated already. Well, mostly anyways.
Still way to early to make a definitive call, yeah. But nothing to lose sleep over, either.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/446028/government-launches-inquiry-into-migrant-labour-in-seafood-sector
Is it probable this inquiry will succeed in determining how to 'transition away' from a 'reliance on migrant labour'? Seems like a fairly euphemistic description of the labour conditions in the fisheries to me.
Once the changes are implemented (cameras on all fleets, catch reporting etc.) the actual work on the vessels ought to increase. I am certain pay is a factor and to this extend I have to say that this government seems to succeed with is plan of increasing wages by way of supply (labor) and demand (workers).
Next step: make trawling unlawful. Ruining the seabed for all aquatic life is just criminal.
What is so astounding is that, Sealord that is 50 percent owned on behalf of the Māori people of New Zealand (what does that mean?) and 50 percent by Japanese fishing giant Nissui are a major culprit. Either way, those who sit in glass houses……
https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/122237611/sealord-fined-24000-and-ordered-to-forfeit-vessel-for-trawling-in-protected-zone
We should not really be surprised by this cowboy company:
https://www.talleys.co.nz/seafood/talleys-deepsea
Merry Matariki everyone! I guess – it's not official till next year. The yule traditions do translate better to midwinter than southern hemisphere christmas. It'll be interesting to see how the weekend's customs evolve over the next 30 years. Assuming the land is still inhabitable by then (which some days I'm more optimistic on than others).
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/445990/matariki-public-holiday-dates-for-next-30-years-announced
If there aren't going to be any rules to prevent it, then it will become massively commercialised. A pastic tiki day at worst, hopefully some of the tat will be made in Aotearoa.
The stars will still align even if the human race is trying its best to bring death to everything they touch.
I made Matariki Stars for an order.
I loved making them, and will make them again next year, but with a bit more finesse added as that was a short order.
Special foods have always been associated with holidays. And yei, finally a winter holiday!
Making considered moves on how to manage our relations with China and their business style. We will need to do a lot of intelligent, pragmatic thinking.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/business/446027/zespri-growers-vote-down-plan-to-fight-illegal-china-kiwifruit
Plastic makes things sick. Such useful stuff but we've gone wrong in relying on it.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/world/446036/from-worms-to-elephants-research-shows-more-animals-eating-plastic
(What mistakes are we making at present with tech dependence?)
no kidding. Like seriously! Good grief.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/crime/125633069/judge-should-have-convicted-man-who-filmed-woman-in-changing-room-appeal-finds
Oh thank goodness, overturned on appeal.
Also, a link in the article suggests this isn't the first time the original judge has come to an incorrect decision and "for comments to be made impulsively when, on further reflection, they might not have been" (from stuff link above).
One wonders if a skim through the appointments diary of Madame Lash might prove illuminating.
Who’s Madame Lash?
perhaps
https://www.ldoceonline.com/dictionary/on-the-lash
Mike King, bless him, is a tireless advocate for youth vulnerable to suicide. But. he's also an angry man.
On the AM show he directed horrible, unprofessional comments towards Ashley Bloomfield, comments that do not send the right message to young people. Comments which legitimise the very bullying behaviour which affects teenagers in a way which leads to depression and suicide. The comments Mike King made are directly counterproductive to the work Mike King is trying to do.
And he wonders why officials are, he says, somewhat wary of him and his methods.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/killing-our-kids-mike-king-apologises-for-nasty-dr-ashley-bloomfield-claim-on-morning-television/6OTOSOWTR75BQNP5PLVCK3KMB4/
The guy has a need to be center of attention,
Hes shitty this time due to being denied funding ,even though he missed the deadline ,according to garner on the am show this am, I missed the actual interview fortunately.
He should just be a bit nicer, maybe hold himself a little less tall so as to not be imposing and angry, maybe he should lower his voice to 'shut the fuck up' level.
In the meantime, there is people who have severe mental health issue that are not getting the care tehy should get.
Ah, what is a government to do. Medals don't seem to cut it anymore.
He can be as angry as he likes – it doesn't matter. What does matter is whether he's talking complete shite or not.
Seriously, what is wrong in NZ.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/crime/300348114/no-conviction-for-taranaki-teen-driver-who-hit-eightyearold-cyclist
well, its all good then. Lucky he did not kill that boy cause then it would be a less low level offending, right?
Poor unfortunate driver. The parent's attitude is one I got years ago, when a five year old jumped into a dodgem car and drove it straight at me, knocking me over. When i spoke sharply to him the thicko father with him said 'Oh he's too young to be blamed'. But not too young to be driving and not dodging.
To read that the same thing was said by the Judge is disgraceful. There should be consequences, and it was an aggravated crime because of his not stopping to check, and running away. Definitely one the Prosecutor should request another judgment. And remedial workshop on expectations of drivers and citizens for both the boy and his mother.
A year building bikes for homeless and beneficiaries that would be a good thing for him.
Every Saturday for a whole year, 8 hours. And extra education as to how to behave in traffic, and after that year he gets to build himself a bike, cause he should never be entrusted with a lisence
The driver wouldn't play rugby at all would he?
By the end of this pandemic, quite a few careers will have taken a hit, I reckon.
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2021/07/scientists-quit-journal-board-protesting-grossly-irresponsible-study-claiming-covid-19
This is about the paper that Rosemary mentioned here: https://thestandard.org.nz/open-mike-29-06-2021/#comment-1800606.
Ah. They got people talking about vaccine safety, so it doesn't matter if their study was so flawed as to be ammunition for scaremongers.
All we needed is a spark or icebreaker to start off the conversation. Without trailblazers such as Aukema we would be sitting in stunned silence not knowing what to say to each other about vaccine safety. Obviously.
Science is about debate and discussion. It isn't about "we are right" and everybody else is an anti-vaxer.
Science is about debate and discussion of evidence observed as impartially as possible.
Not about creating flawed research to give "attention" to an issue that doesn't actually stand up on its own two feet.
"We got people talking" is the scientific equivalent of a participation medal.
edit: and retracting a publication is the equivalent of taking back the medal because you didn’t really participate
Do you have a chip on your shoulder? The paper as is is rubbish and needs major revision to pass a genuine quality test.
Pee-r reviewed paper I see.
Will we have to leave everything to algorithms for decisions in the future, on the basis that people are too full of unreliable fancies?
It seems from these authors that decisions should be uniform and they have found too much variation, in their opinion, between important decision makers.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/ninetonoon/audio/2018802095/noise-the-unwanted-variability-in-human-judgement
It's one reason folk shouldn't place all their eggs in one basket on the basis of a single paper.
Generally it works fine, especially if a broad selection of subject-area experts review each paper without a personal barrow to push (the cliche for reviewers of both journal publications and theses/dissertations is that there's always one you can identify by the effort the reviewer's comments take to recommend multiple papers by a particular auther get cited in the reviewed publication). But sometimes even reputable publications drop the ball.
So wait for a few different papers to come out on any topic. A random paper is "hmmm. Interesting." Even a robust paper can have some random results, just as "one of those things". It's more about the gist of the totality of the literature in a particular subject area.
There was no ‘peer review’, it was a shambles; it is in the link, with a link to the ‘reviews’.
Wow, one news reporting Australia, like most of the western world, are moving to a COVID containment model. Meanwhile here in the hermit kingdom we remain isolated as one of the every decreasing few maintaining an elimination strategy with no long term plan.
Yeah, when they have vaccinated 50% of their population so maybe somewhere next year.
Meanwhile today 30+ odd cases more, 13 of them whom meandered about Sidney while infected.
So, i really don't want the government here to pontificate about doing stuff until we actually are getting some vaccine into the country again and thus increase our pool of vaccinated citizens.
25% of Australia’s population have had one shot. 50% will be achieved well before us. We just scraped past 10% first shot this week. 122nd in the world and fallling.
i know i know. and that leaves 75 percent without a shot, and have you had a look at Sidney lately?
I would like the vaccination process to be faster, i would like the government to be a bit more forthright in regards to vaccination availability, i would like to see the government bring in some of the other vaccinations that have worked well in the US and the UK, but so far that is not happening. It might in the future.
So for now, what we have is the best we got.
Less than 6% of Australians are fully vaccinated whereas 9% of Kiwis are….but you could always move to Aussie if you think it will serve you well
Incorrect.
The number you’re looking for is 14.3%, with 9.0% fully vaccinated, as of 29 June.
https://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/diseases-and-conditions/covid-19-novel-coronavirus/covid-19-data-and-statistics/covid-19-vaccine-data#summary
I give thanks for being in the hermit kingdom.
Don't let the airport departure door hit yr arse if the Aussie way is so attractive.
Yeah, na, not even close
What Scomo announced was a 50% reduction in MIQ for the foreseeable, with a sweetener of a transition to normality at some unspecified point in the future, depending on whether vaccination works. Maybe.