It's a rare glimpse of Bomber in thoughtful mode (as opposed to the usual shoot first, think later). I'm surprised he expects ACT to come in at 17% – but look at the total right vote indicator. Nat + ACT = 50%. And that's not counting all the ultra-right rabble votes. So he expects floating voters to firm up on the right side of the line.
Since he expects NZF to win Northland, he's going for Luxon forming a govt (without explicitly saying so). However he also indicates a TOP win in Ilam, so he rates the protest vote factor as decisive & I get the impression that this assumption guides his entire analysis. He could be right! Remember 30 years ago?
Act might not hit 17%, but it is looking like they are going to do pretty damn good, better than the Greens for sure….which mainly comes down to the sad fact that Seymour seems to actually understand how to do politics quite well…and the Greens don't….which is strange because it isn't really rocket science.
Because he's hunting in the middle ground. Media framing puts him to the right of National due to the residual effect of antique political ideology. That stuff is influential, but more on a partisan basis than ecosystemic.
For a political ideology to get traction in the new millennium context, it'll have to be based on social darwinism – by which I don't mean any form that has taken in the past (irrelevant) but how folks are organically affected by evolution. How that produces sociopolitical psychology driving group psychodynamics, I mean.
Academics are slowly getting their heads around this view. Sociobiology was long anathema despite being an academic intellectual arena, but the last three decades has produced considerable development. The guts so far is that ya gotta blend collaboration with competition. Tough for those addicted to the binary – must use paradox & cognitive dissonance to liberate them from their mental prison!
It's why I sent a submission several years ago to the parliamentary reform process. As far as I know there's an upper house in parliament unused since it became historically redundant. I suggested using it for consensus politics. I expected everyone to be too stupid to agree, of course.
Bomber is about the closest to a 60s/70s “Gonzo” style writer currently practicing in AO/NZ. He keeps some appalling company these days with his side ventures and greybeard hangers on, still cuts and pastes, and just as I’m ready to delete TDB, Mr Bombastic comes up with a “scoop” or a rather different skew from the plodders & insipid whimpy pundits.
Some of his current commenters seem to need significant medical help but hey, the internet has space for everyone…
Yeah his commenters often seem like a cross between a kindergarten & a zoo. Agree also re his skew on things often providing a useful dimension to the political mix but more often failing to do so…
The Standard doesn’t rely on income from annoying ads that clutter & pollute the site, unlike TDB and so many other (political) NZ blog sites. Their model is similar to that of MSM. Make of that what you will.
I take it as meaning that ad revenue relies on numbers coming to the site, so click bait is part of how TDB is and this may influence content and presentation of content.
I can’t see how Shane Jones is going to get any votes off National’s Grant McCallum.
McCallum’s online ads assure us he’s going to sort out crime in Northland, fix our roads, have all kids do well at school and do all this other stuff which generally has him the next big thing since Jesus Christ.
Should be grateful I guess to be so well-served – Jones considers himself to be God.
Me too. Winning would require a combination of anti-Nat groundswell plus Shane morphing into someone else – unless Winston pulls magic rabbit out of hat…
Mr Jones is not widely admired in the Far North, or mid North, even though NZ First Provincial Growth Fund project outcomes up here are quite liked–State Highway roundabouts, bridges, new wharves in tiny settlements, a significant business park near Kaikohe, rail extensions and freight depots etc. They are not seen as linked to Shane however.
I second that Dennis, good link. I wonder if it's a good idea for those who read tdb to link the 'hinged' posts like that one. I enjoy most of them but find the vitriolic rants a real turn off.
It should seem pathetic: a man closing in on 80 behaving the same way he did in his 20s, a grotesque pantomime. But it really doesn’t: it’s utterly compelling, as defiant and confrontational in its own way as the fabled old performances that ended in bloodletting and violence.
It helps that he sounds fantastic – his voice is still a rich baritone that can rise to a howl – and that he’s equipped himself with a great backing band, complete with a horn section that occasionally strays into the kind of free-blowing territory that marked out saxophonist Steve Mackay’s contributions to the Stooges’ 1970 album Fun House, but more usually underpins the guitar riffs, adding extra heft to Lust For Life or Loose. And it helps that the setlist is well thought-out – a sprinkling of songs from this year’s Every Loser aside, it’s largely drawn from the Stooges’ oeuvre and Pop’s Bowie-assisted 70s albums – with enough curveballs that it doesn’t feel like a tired run-through of obvious highlights: 1972 out-take I’m Sick Of You instead of No Fun or 1969
I recall getting a copy of that vinyl at a second-hand shop – wasn't much impressed tho. Did buy Raw Power brand-new due to the rave review in Rollingstone & liked his stance & style then awhile. Rebels get traction via resonance, and fast rock always worked better for males of the species. Ultimately, however, you need more nuance…
Our neocolonial education system is meant to produce new generations sufficiently employable to keep the capitalist system going. The brainwashing process endures. South Korea does that more intensively:
the hagwon industry in South Korea is massive, and profitable. In 2022, South Koreans spent a total of 26 trillion won (almost $20 billion) on private education, according to the Ministry of Education.
Hagwons have become so prevalent in South Korea that last year 78.3% of all students from elementary to high school participated in private education, according to the education ministry.
On Monday, the education minister singled out hagwons for criticism, accusing them of being “private education cartels” that profit off the anxiety of parents and students. Critics have long argued that the burden on students is one factor driving a mental health crisis in the country, which has the highest suicide rate among OECD nations.
Last year, the country’s fertility rate, already the world’s lowest, fell to a record low of 0.78 – not even half the 2.1 needed for a stable population and far below even that of Japan (1.3), currently the world’s grayest nation.
Good Morn Patricia. They would take us back to the (very) bad old days of the late 1980s/and 90's. NZ will be again stuffed for generations. Also see my link below. I am gobsmacked at their lies….
Anyway. We must fight hard to stop them. Good on you !
want a future where buses and trains are powered by clean electricity, where we go on holiday in cars powered by clean electricity, and where industrial processing plants are powered by clean electricity, not coal. But to do that, we need to double the amount of renewable electricity we produce from New Zealand’s abundant natural resources – particularly solar, wind and geothermal.
Well this sound great ! Electrify NZ ! Sign me up. Sadly….though, its just some National party greenwash BS. I truly dont know if they are being Ironic,cynical, or just their usual false/lying shit. Possibly all of.
I think the Greens need to take a leaf out of Winston's book. Look at the concessions he was able to obtain playing one party off against the other.
I highly doubt the Greens would get much traction on economics in a relationship with National. But, they could probably get a lot of leverage in the environmental area. And the party name would suggest that is what the Greens are mainly about. Right?
[TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as being off topic or irrelevant in the post it was made in. Be more careful in future.]
This is the same kind of faux naive derail as you did on the previous GP policy post. I will address your first comment over there but I’m not going to let you run derail lines. I’m putting you in premod. Feel free to ask questions about the boundaries.
Nah, too shallow. To be authentic, they need to represent the broader Green movement accurately. The media have been full of stories about the Green ethos escalating influence all over the world the past 30 years. Green parliamentarians never anchor their initiatives in this context. If they did, their influence would escalate.
Ecosystemic relations evolve via such natural resonance. Democracy seems to prevent Greens attuning to nature in their political niche, as if it were an alien system imposed as a form of social control. Oh, guess what?
Yes it is interesting to speculate what The Greens might bring to an arrangement with a party other than Labour.
But, they could probably get a lot of leverage in the environmental area.
I rate The Greens from a residual point of view on their environmental stance, possibly based on sentiment
The Greens for me is in 'premod' for the anti woman stance with self ID.
fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me
After being tricked once, one should learn from one's mistakes and avoid being tricked in the same way again.
I find pieces that I am uncomfortable with in the wealth tax and the new housing ideas. I find the allowance for extra storeys a bit odd when many towns/cities have large areas of unused/underused land within the 15-20min transport links. It comes down to better planning initiatives to encourage better land use more quickly. I don't think your average hard working family in the suburbs should be penalised by having a 6 storey block plonked next door because the city has not done its job or it is easier pickings for developers.
The Renters initiatives I am supportive of.
Kudos though for The Greens for having policies out there.
TS you have done nothing out of line in my view and i value your contributions and thank you for sticking with us.
I like that you have a more rounded view than what many believe the people of the right have.
As to your views which can be 'different' I think isn't it better to have them expressed here than having a Labour parliamentary candidate stumble on a question at a public meeting?
Please let us welcome diverse views……echo chambers are sometimes not very interesting.
My suggestion is to read the various mod notes and learn what the problem is here. Tsmithfield is an excellent contributor to debate on TS. Atm he has a habit of running derails on posts, which is a drop from his usual standard. Others should take note because I'm going to be moderating on derails and off topic more. It's election year. We need to be focused here on maintaining robust debate. Mods don't have time for a lot of hand holding on this.
Tsmitfield, your comments come from a world perspective that the majority of us on here strongly disagree with, but they are always reasoned and respectful.
This place is a lot better for your contributions as they challenge the thinking.
I would like to address the role of the foil in debate…
The best foil ..in this political case..is one who articulates arguments that question the prevailing ethos ..
And that role is invaluable..as the arguments presented by the the foil articulate the arguments against out there in the world…
And the quality of the reply should effectively refute the foils case..
And this interaction helps sharpen/focus the mind of the responder…and of the audience..
Not having foils risks the dreaded echo chamber…
I think smithfield and others fufil that foil role..
And as the one who responded to his comments in the renters thread ..I thought he was talking rubbish..and told him so…and (I think) unpacked his claims..
And I think his response to my first response was considered..and worth addressing..(since lost in ether..)
So I would defend smithfield continuing in that role of foil..
Labour's having trouble alienating more floating voters despite Kiri's valiant efforts. Don't despair folks, help is on the way. Up the parking fines!
One detail notably missing from the documents released to The Spinoff was what any new fines might be. While a section outlining the recommended new penalty levels was within the documents, it was fully redacted.
Redacted means edited especially in order to obscure or remove sensitive information. It's a good example of Labour's non-transparency policy. So they've decided to hang the threat over voters like the sword of Damocles. https://www.history.com/news/what-was-the-sword-of-damocles
"Vote for us and we'll fine you more for your transgressions"? Considering the way National is boosting punishment for criminals, they'll be into that, too.
"Vote for them and the fines will stay the same"? More like it….. all those speedsters impatient in their Teslas and Maseratis neoliberally frustrated at speed restrictions.
Frankly, I can't see a threat. Perhaps a redaction caused by the numbers not yet having been decided?
Mass psychology. Meter-users as voters. Not rocket science. The mass effect operates on non-partisan voters to switch the electoral outcome. Your subjective view tends to be derived from tacit psych (`everyone thinks like me'), a normal biological default. To form a relatively objective view, one must transcend that tacit default in one's psyche…
Finland’s system for calculating fines is relatively simple: It starts with an estimate of the amount of spending money a Finn has for one day, and then divides that by two—the resulting number is considered a reasonable amount of spending money to deprive the offender of. Then, based on the severity of the crime, the system has rules for how many days the offender must go without that money. Going about 15 mph over the speed limit gets you a multiplier of 12 days, and going 25 mph over carries a 22-day multiplier.
Most reckless drivers pay between €30 and €50 per day, for a total of about €400 or €500. Finland’s maximum multiplier is 120 days, but there's no ceiling on the fines themselves—the fine is taken as a constant proportion of income whether you make €80,000 a year or €800,000.
So, depending on your income, you might get a $103,000 speeding fine.
The problem is that the evidence from Labour's current attempts to fix the housing market and reduce homelessness seem to have only made the problem a lot worse. From the article:
Spiralling demand for housing support from the country’s most vulnerable people has been a constant source of criticism targeted at the Labour Government, which campaigned back in 2017 on fixing the housing crisis at a time of rising homelessness and reports of families living in cars.
Since then, demand for social housing has increased nearly fivefold to April this year. On top of that, close to 5000 households have been living in emergency housing, such as motels, at a cost of roughly $1 million a day, and the number of people living in cars has also increased.
It seems to me that the Greens are promising more of the same, but harder. So, I struggle to see how what the Greens are proposing will fix the problem.
If they are able to build 35000 houses, that will definitely help, assuming that landlords don't exit the market in droves at the same time. But, that seems a very heroic promise given that Labour was only able to add just over 10000 as at August 22.
[TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as being off topic or irrelevant in the post it was made in. Be more careful in future.]
This is another attempt to say Labour's policy failed so the Green policy will too. You provide no analysis of GP policy and why its useful to compare with Labour policy, nor what Lab policy was nor why it partially failed, so it's just another derail from the post, which is about a specific set of GP policies.
So, I struggle to see how what the Greens are proposing will fix the problem.
Maybe try reading the policy.
If they are able to build 35000 houses, that will definitely help, assuming that landlords don't exit the market in droves at the same time.
By all means, under the post, run the line about landlords will exit the market in droves, that's a direct issue arising from the policy. But please relate it to the actual bits in the policy that would make that scenario feasible.
Now we are heading into a recession there is potential for govt building program to get meaningful traction. Kiwibuild was doomed to fail as at the time the construction industry was already at or damned near capacity, so it was in essence it was an impossible to implement policy.
Furthermore, in/with this reply, you also ignored the plethora of data & stats provided by Louis under that same other Post. Why is that? Does it not suit your troll narrative?
I’m becoming tired of your superficial & simplistic reckons here on TS, which seem to be targeted at certain Posts or comments. You don’t provide critical analysis or constructive criticism but mostly biased opinion and antagonistic attitudes. Some seem to think that you make a useful contribution here and prevent TS from becoming like an echo chamber. I disagree! You are wasting precious time of other commenters and Mods alike
Some seem to think that you make a useful contribution here and prevent TS from becoming like an echo chamber.
tsmithfield did for a long time and I am one of those who gave him credit for his comments. But since the election campaign has heated up he's reverted back to trolling. Unfortunate.
This is my take too. Reminds me if Wayne Mapp who provided useful right wing challenge here for a long time and then one election year just started running nact troll lines and eventually got banned.
Any politician who doesn’t know their name, and “forgets” to pay their bill after a late drunken night on town should automatically be removed from office. I have no issues with drinking, but I do with those individuals who can’t control themselves after a couple of bottles of vino. It’s just a bad look for us seasoned drinkers.
Wellington deserves a better person as Mayor than a drunk who forgets their name and doesn’t pay the bar tab. BTW “forgetting” to pay pay the bill, AKA shoplifting.
I haven’t seen anything to suggest she is a drunk. It’s not that hard to leave somewhere without paying by accident. I’ve done it a couple of times and then returned to pay when I realised.
People who “forget” to pay, & don’t know what their name is, suggests that they’re a drunk.
I have no problems drinking, and I drink too much, however I can handle my drink & always pay. If you’re so drunk that you “forget to pay” (AKA I’m really important, I shouldn’t have to pay) then you’re an overly entitled drunk,and certainly unfit for public office.
A restaurant manager says Wellington mayor Tory Whanau appeared intoxicated at the establishment on Friday and left without paying. Shay Lomas said Whanau arrived at The Old Quarter on Dixon Street with a friend, and seemed "tipsy".
They ordered a bottle wine and Lomas said the restaurant decided that if they ordered food as well staff could serve Whanau and not have to "cut her off". The law does not allow intoxicated people to be served alcohol.
Lomas said while he did not personally wait on the pair, the server who did told him at one point Whanau asked them "do you know who I am?" "The server recognised her but wasn't entirely sure so he was just kinda like, 'ah nah I'm not too sure who you are', and she was like 'I'm the mayor of Wellington'. She just kept saying stuff like that."
When I worked in hospitality. If a customer said “ do you know who I am” it was a precursor for expecting free drinks and special treatment, & a warning that your job was at risk if you didn’t provide the special treatment.
I do remember one mayor from the late’90’s who enjoyed the nightlife in Wellington, he always paid his tab and often shouted others a drink & was generous in tipping.
Punters are liable to react like that when the old line is used by someone famous. There's no evidence he replied by calling her a lady, however. Fraught cultural implications dodged like a bullet. Well done, that punter!
How dumb do you have to be to walk into a mongrel mob meeting and think it was a different meeting? One of the lamest “I got found out” excuses I’ve ever heard. Bit like the 5 year old with ice cream all over their face trying to explain “it wasn’t me”
No idea what Ingrid Leary was or wasn't thinking about the event – but if someone else is managing your diary (electorate secretary?) – I can see how you could misunderstand the nature of the event you're scheduled to attend.
What struck me in the article, however, was Harry Tam
I got news for them. They will be more concerned when they realise that we are targetting the marginal seats and mobilising our people to get off the Maori roll and go onto the general roll so we can vote in those marginal seat.
Which seems to be the reverse of what TPM want (more people on the Maori roll).
He seems to be aiming at Labour/Green support, rather than TPM.
Another emerging development is Do-It-Yourself Biology, also known as “DIY Bio”. It’s a movement of “citizen scientists” interested in synthetic biology experiments that has become an international phenomenon over the last decade. Often with little prior knowledge of the field, enthusiasts meet in makeshift labs to take crash courses in biotechnology and conduct hands-on experiments. Simple protocols found online and specialized kits costing US$150–US$1,600 have driven the movement’s rapid expansion.
DIY Bio labs can be found in most major cities, and by 2017 there were about 168 groups worldwide.
Breaking news: I just heard on the 4pm RNZ news that Kiri has been given a couple of weeks leave – after which the PM will discuss her future with her.
And, not mental health leave, but a few days off during the school holidays (any sole parent knows what that's like)
“A Government spokesperson confirmed that Allan is on leave again this week. It is a recess week as well as school holidays, and a number of MPs – especially those with children – have taken leave this week.”
Aha – it looks like the media sloppily conflating Kiri Allen's time off (a couple of days this week) with when Hipkins will be able to catch up with her in person (a couple of weeks, when he returns from Europe)
Speaking at his post-Cabinet press conference today, Hipkins said he spoke to Allan by phone today and she would be taking leave for a couple of weeks.
Why don’t you explain, in your own words, what’s so ‘interesting’ and why we should click on that link?
Rights are never set in stone. In the US we see how hard-fought rights are pealed back and repealed. Does this remind you of NACT? Once their razor gang of cut, slash & burn is finished a whole lot of Kiwis will find that their rights have been curtailed. It is about protection of rights, which requires constant vigilance.
What I found interesting was Petersons case for women 'not being so hard done by'.In fact so called 'toxic masculinity' has become so endemic (imo)that its men who are not getting a fair go.
Protection of rights may indeed need constant vigilance.
What role do you think the Women's Rights Party can play in the NZ political scene apart from splitting the vote even more?
All the main parties have great representation when it comes to women.
Women have occupied nearly every high office in the public and private sector.
Who would really support a party like this with such a narrow focus and little chance of any meaningful influence?
'Thresholds had varied from 46 to 61 points under DHBs, [Verrall] said – with 46 representing "mildly reduced vision" and 61 poor vision to the point that the person could no longer legally drive. In Auckland and Waitematā, the threshold was 46, while in Canterbury and Southern, it was 61, she said. She said the variation showed the worst of the "postcode lottery" and it wasn't fair. "In a first under the new health system [Te Whatu Ora] there will be a nationally consistent score of a maximum of 46 in order to access surgery, opening up eligibility for approximately 3500 more surgeries." '
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One last thing before I quitI never wanted any moreThan I could fit into my headI still remember every single word you saidAnd all the shit that somehow came along with itStill, there's one thing that comforts meSince I was always caged and now I'm freeSongwriters: David Grohl / Georg ...
Sparse offerings outside a Te Kauwhata church. Meanwhile, the Government is cutting spending in ways that make thousands of hungry children even hungrier, while also cutting funding for the charities that help them. It’s also doing that while winding back new building of affordable housing that would allow parents to ...
It is difficult to make sense of the Luxon Coalition Government’s economic management.This end-of-year review about the state of economic management – the state of the economy was last week – is not going to cover the National Party contribution. Frankly, like every other careful observer, I cannot make up ...
This morning I awoke to the lovely news that we are firmly back on track, that is if the scale was reversed.NZ ranks low in global economic comparisonsNew Zealand's economy has been ranked 33rd out of 37 in an international comparison of which have done best in 2024.Economies were ranked ...
Remember those silent movies where the heroine is tied to the railway tracks or going over the waterfall in a barrel? Finance Minister Nicola Willis seems intent on portraying herself as that damsel in distress. According to Willis, this country’s current economic problems have all been caused by the spending ...
Similar to the cuts and the austerity drive imposed by Ruth Richardson in the 1990’s, an era which to all intents and purposes we’ve largely fiddled around the edges with fixing in the time since – over, to be fair, several administrations – whilst trying our best it seems to ...
String-Pulling in the Dark: For the democratic process to be meaningful it must also be public. WITH TRUST AND CONFIDENCE in New Zealand’s politicians and journalists steadily declining, restoring those virtues poses a daunting challenge. Just how daunting is made clear by comparing the way politicians and journalists treated New Zealanders ...
Dear Nicola Willis, thank you for letting us know in so many words that the swingeing austerity hasn't worked.By in so many words I mean the bit where you said, Here is a sea of red ink in which we are drowning after twelve months of savage cost cutting and ...
The Open Government Partnership is a multilateral organisation committed to advancing open government. Countries which join are supposed to co-create regular action plans with civil society, committing to making verifiable improvements in transparency, accountability, participation, or technology and innovation for the above. And they're held to account through an Independent ...
Today I tuned into something strange: a press conference that didn’t make my stomach churn or the hairs on the back of my neck stand on end. Which was strange, because it was about the torture of children. It was the announcement by Erica Stanford — on her own, unusually ...
This is a must watch, and puts on brilliant and practical display the implications and mechanics of fast-track law corruption and weakness.CLICK HERE: LINK TO WATCH VIDEOOur news media as it is set up is simply not equipped to deal with the brazen disinformation and corruption under this right wing ...
NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi Acting Secretary Erin Polaczuk is welcoming the announcement from Minister of Workplace Relations and Safety Brooke van Velden that she is opening consultation on engineered stone and is calling on her to listen to the evidence and implement a total ban of the product. “We need ...
The Government has announced a 1.5% increase in the minimum wage from 1 April 2025, well below forecast inflation of 2.5%. Unions have reacted strongly and denounced it as a real terms cut. PSA and the CTU are opposing a new round of staff cuts at WorkSafe, which they say ...
The decision to unilaterally repudiate the contract for new Cook Strait ferries is beginning to look like one of the stupidest decisions a New Zealand government ever made. While cancelling the ferries and their associated port infrastructure may have made this year's books look good, it means higher costs later, ...
Hi there! I’ve been overseas recently, looking after a situation with a family member. So apologies if there any less than focused posts! Vanuatu has just had a significant 7.3 earthquake. Two MFAT staff are unaccounted for with local fatalities.It’s always sad to hear of such things happening.I think of ...
Today is a special member's morning, scheduled to make up for the government's theft of member's days throughout the year. First up was the first reading of Greg Fleming's Crimes (Increased Penalties for Slavery Offences) Amendment Bill, which was passed unanimously. Currently the House is debating the third reading of ...
We're going backwardsIgnoring the realitiesGoing backwardsAre you counting all the casualties?We are not there yetWhere we need to beWe are still in debtTo our insanitiesSongwriter: Martin Gore Read more ...
Willis blamed Treasury for changing its productivity assumptions and Labour’s spending increases since Covid for the worsening Budget outlook. Photo: Getty ImagesMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Wednesday, December 18 in The Kākā’s Dawn Chorus podcast above ...
Today the Auckland Transport board meet for the last time this year. For those interested (and with time to spare), you can follow along via this MS Teams link from 10am. I’ve taken a quick look through the agenda items to see what I think the most interesting aspects are. ...
Hi,If you’re a New Zealander — you know who Mike King is. He is the face of New Zealand’s battle against mental health problems. He can be loud and brash. He raises, and is entrusted with, a lot of cash. Last year his “I Am Hope” charity reported a revenue ...
Probably about the only consolation available from yesterday’s unveiling of the Half-Yearly Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) is that it could have been worse. Though Finance Minister Nicola Willis has tightened the screws on future government spending, she has resisted the calls from hard-line academics, fiscal purists and fiscal hawks ...
The right have a stupid saying that is only occasionally true:When is democracy not democracy? When it hasn’t been voted on.While not true in regards to branches of government such as the judiciary, it’s a philosophy that probably should apply to recently-elected local government councillors. Nevertheless, this concept seemed to ...
Long story short: the Government’s austerity policy has driven the economy into a deeper and longer recession that means it will have to borrow $20 billion more over the next four years than it expected just six months ago. Treasury’s latest forecasts show the National-ACT-NZ First Government’s fiscal strategy of ...
Come and join myself and CTU Chief Economist for a pop-up ‘Hoon’ webinar on the Government’s Half Yearly Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) with paying subscribers to The Kākā for 30 minutes at 5 pm today.Jump on this link on YouTube Livestream to watch our chat. Don’t worry if ...
In 1998, in the wake of the Paremoremo Prison riot, the Department of Corrections established the "Behaviour Management Regime". Prisoners were locked in their cells for 22 or 23 hours a day, with no fresh air, no exercise, no social contact, no entertainment, and in some cases no clothes and ...
New data released by the Treasury shows that the economic policies of this Government have made things worse in the year since they took office, said NZCTU Economist Craig Renney. “Our fiscal indicators are all heading in the wrong direction – with higher levels of debt, a higher deficit, and ...
At the 2023 election, National basically ran on a platform of being better economic managers. So how'd that turn out for us? In just one year, they've fucked us for two full political terms: The government's books are set to remain deeply in the red for the near term ...
AUSTERITYText within this block will maintain its original spacing when publishedMy spreadsheet insists This pain leads straight to glory (File not found) Read more ...
The NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi are saying that the Government should do the right thing and deliver minimum wage increases that don’t see workers fall further behind, in response to today’s announcement that the minimum wage will only be increased by 1.5%, well short of forecast inflation. “With inflation forecast ...
Oh, I weptFor daysFilled my eyesWith silly tearsOh, yeaBut I don'tCare no moreI don't care ifMy eyes get soreSongwriters: Paul Rodgers / Paul Kossoff. Read more ...
This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Bob HensonIn this aerial view, fingers of meltwater flow from the melting Isunnguata Sermia glacier descending from the Greenland Ice Sheet on July 11, 2024, near Kangerlussuaq, Greenland. According to the Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE), the ...
In August, I wrote an article about David Seymour1 with a video of his testimony, to warn that there were grave dangers to his Ministry of Regulation:David Seymour's Ministry of Slush Hides Far Greater RisksWhy Seymour's exorbitant waste of taxpayers' money could be the least of concernThe money for Seymour ...
Willis is expected to have to reveal the bitter fiscal fruits of her austerity strategy in the HYEFU later today. Photo: Lynn Grieveson/TheKakaMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Tuesday, December 17 in The Kākā’s Dawn Chorus podcast ...
National has only been in power for a year, but everywhere you look, its choices are taking New Zealand a long way backwards. In no particular order, here are the National Government's Top 50 Greatest Misses of its first year in power. ...
The Government is quietly undertaking consultation on the dangerous Regulatory Standards Bill over the Christmas period to avoid too much attention. ...
The Government’s planned changes to the freedom of speech obligations of universities is little more than a front for stoking the political fires of disinformation and fear, placing teachers and students in the crosshairs. ...
The Ministry of Regulation’s report into Early Childhood Education (ECE) in Aotearoa raises serious concerns about the possibility of lowering qualification requirements, undermining quality and risking worse outcomes for tamariki, whānau, and kaiako. ...
A Bill to modernise the role of Justices of the Peace (JP), ensuring they remain active in their communities and connected with other JPs, has been put into the ballot. ...
Labour will continue to fight unsustainable and destructive projects that are able to leap-frog environment protection under National’s Fast-track Approvals Bill. ...
The Green Party has warned that a Green Government will revoke the consents of companies who override environmental protections as part of Fast-Track legislation being passed today. ...
The Green Party says the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update shows how the Government is failing to address the massive social and infrastructure deficits our country faces. ...
The Government’s latest move to reduce the earnings of migrant workers will not only hurt migrants but it will drive down the wages of Kiwi workers. ...
Te Pāti Māori has this morning issued a stern warning to Fast-Track applicants with interests in mining, pledging to hold them accountable through retrospective liability and to immediately revoke Fast-Track consents under a future Te Pāti Māori government. This warning comes ahead of today’s third reading of the Fast-Track Approvals ...
The Government’s announcement today of a 1.5 per cent increase to minimum wage is another blow for workers, with inflation projected to exceed the increase, meaning it’s a real terms pay reduction for many. ...
All the Government has achieved from its announcement today is to continue to push responsibility back on councils for its own lack of action to help bring down skyrocketing rates. ...
The Government has used its final post-Cabinet press conference of the year to punch down on local government without offering any credible solutions to the issues our councils are facing. ...
The Government has failed to keep its promise to ‘super charge’ the EV network, delivering just 292 chargers - less than half of the 670 chargers needed to meet its target. ...
The Green Party is calling for the Government to stop subsidising the largest user of the country’s gas supplies, Methanex, following a report highlighting the multi-national’s disproportionate influence on energy prices in Aotearoa. ...
The Green Party is appalled with the Government’s new child poverty targets that are based on a new ‘persistent poverty’ measure that could be met even with an increase in child poverty. ...
New independent analysis has revealed that the Government’s Emissions Reduction Plan (ERP) will reduce emissions by a measly 1 per cent by 2030, failing to set us up for the future and meeting upcoming targets. ...
The loss of 27 kaimahi at Whakaata Māori and the end of its daily news bulletin is a sad day for Māori media and another step backwards for Te Tiriti o Waitangi justice. ...
Yesterday the Government passed cruel legislation through first reading to establish a new beneficiary sanction regime that will ultimately mean more households cannot afford the basic essentials. ...
Today's passing of the Government's Residential Tenancies Amendment Bill–which allows landlords to end tenancies with no reason–ignores the voice of the people and leaves renters in limbo ahead of the festive season. ...
After wasting a year, Nicola Willis has delivered a worse deal for the Cook Strait ferries that will end up being more expensive and take longer to arrive. ...
Green Party co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick has today launched a Member’s Bill to sanction Israel for its unlawful presence in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, as the All Out For Gaza rally reaches Parliament. ...
After years of advocacy, the Green Party is very happy to hear the Government has listened to our collective voices and announced the closure of the greyhound racing industry, by 1 August 2026. ...
In response to a new report from ERO, the Government has acknowledged the urgent need for consistency across the curriculum for Relationship and Sexuality Education (RSE) in schools. ...
The Green Party is appalled at the Government introducing legislation that will make it easier to penalise workers fighting for better pay and conditions. ...
Thank you for the invitation to speak with you tonight on behalf of the political party I belong to - which is New Zealand First. As we have heard before this evening the Kinleith Mill is proposing to reduce operations by focusing on pulp and discontinuing “lossmaking paper production”. They say that they are currently consulting on the plan to permanently shut ...
Auckland Central MP, Chlöe Swarbrick, has written to Mayor Wayne Brown requesting he stop the unnecessary delays on St James Theatre’s restoration. ...
Kiwis planning a swim or heading out on a boat this summer should remember to stop and think about water safety, Sport & Recreation Minister Chris Bishop and ACC and Associate Transport Minister Matt Doocey say. “New Zealand’s beaches, lakes and rivers are some of the most beautiful in the ...
The Government is urging Kiwis to drive safely this summer and reminding motorists that Police will be out in force to enforce the road rules, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“This time of year can be stressful and result in poor decision-making on our roads. Whether you are travelling to see ...
Health Minister Dr Shane Reti says Health New Zealand will move swiftly to support dozens of internationally-trained doctors already in New Zealand on their journey to employment here, after a tripling of sought-after examination places. “The Medical Council has delivered great news for hardworking overseas doctors who want to contribute ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has appointed Sarah Ottrey to the APEC Business Advisory Council (ABAC). “At my first APEC Summit in Lima, I experienced firsthand the role that ABAC plays in guaranteeing political leaders hear the voice of business,” Mr Luxon says. “New Zealand’s ABAC representatives are very well respected and ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has announced four appointments to New Zealand’s intelligence oversight functions. The Honourable Robert Dobson KC has been appointed Chief Commissioner of Intelligence Warrants, and the Honourable Brendan Brown KC has been appointed as a Commissioner of Intelligence Warrants. The appointments of Hon Robert Dobson and Hon ...
Improvements in the average time it takes to process survey and title applications means housing developments can progress more quickly, Minister for Land Information Chris Penk says. “The government is resolutely focused on improving the building and construction pipeline,” Mr Penk says. “Applications to issue titles and subdivide land are ...
The Government’s measures to reduce airport wait times, and better transparency around flight disruptions is delivering encouraging early results for passengers ahead of the busy summer period, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Improving the efficiency of air travel is a priority for the Government to give passengers a smoother, more reliable ...
The Government today announced the intended closure of the Apollo Hotel as Contracted Emergency Housing (CEH) in Rotorua, Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka says. This follows a 30 per cent reduction in the number of households in CEH in Rotorua since National came into Government. “Our focus is on ending CEH in the Whakarewarewa area starting ...
The Government will reshape vocational education and training to return decision making to regions and enable greater industry input into work-based learning Tertiary Education and Skills Minister, Penny Simmonds says. “The redesigned system will better meet the needs of learners, industry, and the economy. It includes re-establishing regional polytechnics that ...
The Government is taking action to better manage synthetic refrigerants and reduce emissions caused by greenhouse gases found in heating and cooling products, Environment Minister Penny Simmonds says. “Regulations will be drafted to support a product stewardship scheme for synthetic refrigerants, Ms. Simmonds says. “Synthetic refrigerants are found in a ...
People travelling on State Highway 1 north of Hamilton will be relieved that remedial works and safety improvements on the Ngāruawāhia section of the Waikato Expressway were finished today, with all lanes now open to traffic, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“I would like to acknowledge the patience of road users ...
Tertiary Education and Skills Minister, Penny Simmonds, has announced a new appointment to the board of Education New Zealand (ENZ). Dr Erik Lithander has been appointed as a new member of the ENZ board for a three-year term until 30 January 2028. “I would like to welcome Dr Erik Lithander to the ...
The Government will have senior representatives at Waitangi Day events around the country, including at the Waitangi Treaty Grounds, but next year Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has chosen to take part in celebrations elsewhere. “It has always been my intention to celebrate Waitangi Day around the country with different ...
Two more criminal gangs will be subject to the raft of laws passed by the Coalition Government that give Police more powers to disrupt gang activity, and the intimidation they impose in our communities, Police Minister Mark Mitchell says. Following an Order passed by Cabinet, from 3 February 2025 the ...
Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Justice Christian Whata as a Judge of the Court of Appeal. Justice Whata’s appointment as a Judge of the Court of Appeal will take effect on 1 August 2025 and fill a vacancy created by the retirement of Hon Justice David Goddard on ...
The latest economic figures highlight the importance of the steps the Government has taken to restore respect for taxpayers’ money and drive economic growth, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. Data released today by Stats NZ shows Gross Domestic Product fell 1 per cent in the September quarter. “Treasury and most ...
Tertiary Education and Skills Minister Penny Simmonds and Associate Minister of Education David Seymour today announced legislation changes to strengthen freedom of speech obligations on universities. “Freedom of speech is fundamental to the concept of academic freedom and there is concern that universities seem to be taking a more risk-averse ...
Police Minister, Mark Mitchell, and Internal Affairs Minister, Brooke van Velden, today launched a further Public Safety Network cellular service that alongside last year’s Cellular Roaming roll-out, puts globally-leading cellular communications capability into the hands of our emergency responders. The Public Safety Network’s new Cellular Priority service means Police, Wellington ...
State Highway 1 through the Mangamuka Gorge has officially reopened today, providing a critical link for Northlanders and offering much-needed relief ahead of the busy summer period, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“The Mangamuka Gorge is a vital route for Northland, carrying around 1,300 vehicles per day and connecting the Far ...
The Government has welcomed decisions by the NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) and Ashburton District Council confirming funding to boost resilience in the Canterbury region, with construction on a second Ashburton Bridge expected to begin in 2026, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Delivering a second Ashburton Bridge to improve resilience and ...
The Government is backing the response into high pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in Otago, Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard says. “Cabinet has approved new funding of $20 million to enable MPI to meet unbudgeted ongoing expenses associated with the H7N6 response including rigorous scientific testing of samples at the enhanced PC3 ...
Legislation that will repeal all advertising restrictions for broadcasters on Sundays and public holidays has passed through first reading in Parliament today, Media Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “As a growing share of audiences get their news and entertainment from streaming services, these restrictions have become increasingly redundant. New Zealand on ...
Today the House agreed to Brendan Horsley being appointed Inspector-General of Defence, Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “Mr Horsley’s experience will be invaluable in overseeing the establishment of the new office and its support networks. “He is currently Inspector-General of Intelligence and Security, having held that role since June 2020. ...
Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden says the Government has agreed to the final regulations for the levy on insurance contracts that will fund Fire and Emergency New Zealand from July 2026. “Earlier this year the Government agreed to a 2.2 percent increase to the rate of levy. Fire ...
The Government is delivering regulatory relief for New Zealand businesses through changes to the Anti-Money Laundering and Countering Financing of Terrorism Act. “The Anti-Money Laundering and Countering Financing of Terrorism Amendment Bill, which was introduced today, is the second Bill – the other being the Statutes Amendment Bill - that ...
Transport Minister Simeon Brown has welcomed further progress on the Hawke’s Bay Expressway Road of National Significance (RoNS), with the NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) Board approving funding for the detailed design of Stage 1, paving the way for main works construction to begin in late 2025.“The Government is moving at ...
The Government today released a request for information (RFI) to seeking interest in partnerships to plant trees on Crown-owned land with low farming and conservation value (excluding National Parks) Forestry Minister Todd McClay announced. “Planting trees on Crown-owned land will drive economic growth by creating more forestry jobs in our regions, providing more wood ...
Court timeliness, access to justice, and improving the quality of existing regulation are the focus of a series of law changes introduced to Parliament today by Associate Minister of Justice Nicole McKee. The three Bills in the Regulatory Systems (Justice) Amendment Bill package each improve a different part of the ...
A total of 41 appointments and reappointments have been made to the 12 community trusts around New Zealand that serve their regions, Associate Finance Minister Shane Jones says. “These trusts, and the communities they serve from the Far North to the deep south, will benefit from the rich experience, knowledge, ...
The Government has confirmed how it will provide redress to survivors who were tortured at the Lake Alice Psychiatric Hospital Child and Adolescent Unit (the Lake Alice Unit). “The Royal Commission of Inquiry into Abuse in Care found that many of the 362 children who went through the Lake Alice Unit between 1972 and ...
It has been a busy, productive year in the House as the coalition Government works hard to get New Zealand back on track, Leader of the House Chris Bishop says. “This Government promised to rebuild the economy, restore law and order and reduce the cost of living. Our record this ...
“Accelerated silicosis is an emerging occupational disease caused by unsafe work such as engineered stone benchtops. I am running a standalone consultation on engineered stone to understand what the industry is currently doing to manage the risks, and whether further regulatory intervention is needed,” says Workplace Relations and Safety Minister ...
Mehemea he pai mō te tangata, mahia – if it’s good for the people, get on with it. Enhanced reporting on the public sector’s delivery of Treaty settlement commitments will help improve outcomes for Māori and all New Zealanders, Māori Crown Relations Minister Tama Potaka says. Compiled together for the ...
Mr Roger Holmes Miller and Ms Tarita Hutchinson have been appointed to the Charities Registration Board, Community and Voluntary Sector Minister Louise Upston says. “I would like to welcome the new members joining the Charities Registration Board. “The appointment of Ms Hutchinson and Mr Miller will strengthen the Board’s capacity ...
More building consent and code compliance applications are being processed within the statutory timeframe since the Government required councils to submit quarterly data, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “In the midst of a housing shortage we need to look at every step of the build process for efficiencies ...
Mental Health Minister Matt Doocey is proud to announce the first three recipients of the Government’s $10 million Mental Health and Addiction Community Sector Innovation Fund which will enable more Kiwis faster access to mental health and addiction support. “This fund is part of the Government’s commitment to investing in ...
New Zealand is providing Vanuatu assistance following yesterday's devastating earthquake, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. "Vanuatu is a member of our Pacific family and we are supporting it in this time of acute need," Mr Peters says. "Our thoughts are with the people of Vanuatu, and we will be ...
The Government welcomes the Commerce Commission’s plan to reduce card fees for Kiwis by an estimated $260 million a year, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly says.“The Government is relentlessly focused on reducing the cost of living, so Kiwis can keep more of their hard-earned income and live a ...
Regulation Minister David Seymour has welcomed the Early Childhood Education (ECE) regulatory review report, the first major report from the Ministry for Regulation. The report makes 15 recommendations to modernise and simplify regulations across ECE so services can get on with what they do best – providing safe, high-quality care ...
The Government‘s Offshore Renewable Energy Bill to create a new regulatory regime that will enable firms to construct offshore wind generation has passed its first reading in Parliament, Energy Minister Simeon Brown says.“New Zealand currently does not have a regulatory regime for offshore renewable energy as the previous government failed ...
RNZ Pacific Fiji MP Lynda Tabuya has been dismissed as the country’s Minister for Women, Children and Social Protection. Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka said in a statement that in light of the recent events concerning the conduct of Lynda Tabuya, and in consideration of: the Oath she has taken ...
By Patrick Decloitre, RNZ Pacific correspondent, French Pacific desk New Caledonia’s territorial government has been toppled on Christmas Eve, due to a mass resignation within its ranks. Environment and Sustainable Development Minister Jérémie Katidjo-Monnier said he was resigning from the cabinet, with immediate effect. Katidjo-Monnier was the sole representative from ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Amy Clarke, Senior Lecturer in History, specialising in built heritage and material culture, University of the Sunshine Coast Big Things first appeared in Australia in the 1960s, beginning with the Big Scotsman (1962) in Medindie, South Australia, the Big Banana (1964) in ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By H. Peter Soyer, Professor of Dermatology, The University of Queensland Pixel-Shot/Shutterstock Australia has one of the highest skin cancer rates globally, with nearly 19,000 Australians diagnosed with invasive melanoma – the most lethal type of skin cancer – each year. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Jacquie Rand, Emeritus Professor of Companion Animal Health, The University of Queensland Elena Vorman/Shutterstock Learning a pet has diabetes can be a shock. Sadly, about 20% of diabetic cats and dogs are euthanised within a year of diagnosis due to the ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Ali Hadigheh, Senior Lecturer, Structural Engineering, University of Sydney Pavel1964/Shutterstock In the early days of the modern Olympics and Paralympics, athletes competed using heavy, non-aerodynamic equipment. The record for throwing a javelin, for instance, has almost doubled since 1908, when the ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Amy Peden, NHMRC Research Fellow, School of Population Health & co-founder UNSW Beach Safety Research Group, UNSW Sydney MarKord/Shutterstock Many swimming schools have temporarily closed for the summer holidays. But this doesn’t mean you should take a break from helping ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Anthea Gerrard, Assistant Professor of Law, Bond University ELEVATE/Pexels Beer has existed for thousands of years. It was the drink of choice in ancient Egypt, in northern Europe in the Middle Ages and, of course, remains popular around the world ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Ruari Elkington, Senior Lecturer in Creative Industries & Chief Investigator at QUT Digital Media Research Centre (DMRC), Queensland University of Technology Dendy Powerhouse Outdoor Cinema In December 1916, as war raged in Europe, an entrepreneurial pearl diver took a chance on ...
Alex Casey chats to David Lomas about the art of finding needles in haystacks.The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member today.There are around 100 ...
Summer reissue: Megan Dunn’s mer-moir, The Mermaid Chronicles, is an immersive, moving and funny search for the meaning of mermaids and the anchors of interests and family in the ebb and flow of life. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these ...
Summer reissue: The groundbreaking show has had mixed reviews over the past two decades. Madeleine Chapman revisits a classic. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member ...
Summer reissue: After three decades of inhaling American-dominated, disproportionately New York-based media, Sharon Lam’s first time in the city became a traipse through a collage of movie sets rather than any real place.The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds ...
Summer reissue: Why do so many of us install security cameras – and are they breaching other people’s rights? The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member ...
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This year has been a big one for me personally and professionally. The firm won the Litigation and Disputes Resolution Firm of the year award on November 28 and I was an Excellence Finalist in the category of firm leader for a firm with under 100 staff. I was also ...
Opinion: In 2024, 64 countries were scheduled to hold different types of national elections this year for an array of offices.Some of these, of course, were more democratic than others, but it made for a bumper year for election nerds like me.Incumbents had a bad year – more than three ...
Pacific Media Watch Five Palestinian journalists have been killed in a new Israeli strike near a hospital in central Gaza after four reporters were killed last week, reports Al Jazeera citing authorities and media in the besieged enclave. The journalists from the Al-Quds Today channel were covering events near al-Awda ...
RNZ Pacific A large 7.3 magnitude earthquake has struck off the coast of Vanuatu’s capital Port Vila , shortly after 3pm NZT today. The US Geological Survey says the quake was recorded at a depth of 10 km (6.21 miles). Locals have been sharing footage of serious damage to infrastructure ...
By Victor Barreiro Jr in Manila Cardinal Pablo Virgilio David, bishop of Kalookan, has condemned the state of Israel on Christmas Eve for its relentless attacks on Gaza that have killed tens of thousands of Palestinians. “I can’t think of any other people in the world who live in darkness ...
By Cheerieann Wilson in Suva Veteran journalist and editor Stanley Simpson has spoken about the enduring power of storytelling and its role in shaping Fiji’s identity. Reflecting on his journey at the launch of FijiNikua, a magazine launched by Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka on Christmas Eve, Simpson shared personal anecdotes ...
Summer reissue: From the unstable and drippy to the hi-tech and pretty, here’s our ranking of all the tunnels you can drive through in this country. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter ...
Summer reissue: David Hill remembers an old friend, who you’ve probably never heard of. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member today. Doug (I’ll call him ...
Summer reissue: I watched all 46 of Tom Cruise’s films over the past 12 months. The question on everyone’s lips: why?The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be ...
Summer reissue: In recent years, checking online for a green tick has become a necessary habit for Aucklanders heading to the beach. Shanti Mathias tags along with the team tasked with testing the water for pollution – and figuring out how to stop it. The Spinoff needs to double the ...
Summer reissue: After two decades of promised redevelopment, Johnsonville Shopping Centre remains neglected and half empty. Joel MacManus searches for answers in the decaying suburban mall. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter ...
Comment: I’ve been digging up dirt over the past few weekends. I plan to dig up more over summer.As global geo-politics heats up, I’ve impulsively turned to tending my wee patch of the world. The world is complex and messy. But I’m determined my quarter acre won’t be. Apparently, this is ...
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If you like an indepth analysis to peruse over your morning cuppa T try this:
https://thedailyblog.co.nz/2023/07/03/15-weeks-until-2023-election-greens-act-maori-party-ones-got-watch/
It's a rare glimpse of Bomber in thoughtful mode (as opposed to the usual shoot first, think later). I'm surprised he expects ACT to come in at 17% – but look at the total right vote indicator. Nat + ACT = 50%. And that's not counting all the ultra-right rabble votes. So he expects floating voters to firm up on the right side of the line.
Since he expects NZF to win Northland, he's going for Luxon forming a govt (without explicitly saying so). However he also indicates a TOP win in Ilam, so he rates the protest vote factor as decisive & I get the impression that this assumption guides his entire analysis. He could be right! Remember 30 years ago?
Act might not hit 17%, but it is looking like they are going to do pretty damn good, better than the Greens for sure….which mainly comes down to the sad fact that Seymour seems to actually understand how to do politics quite well…and the Greens don't….which is strange because it isn't really rocket science.
Because he's hunting in the middle ground. Media framing puts him to the right of National due to the residual effect of antique political ideology. That stuff is influential, but more on a partisan basis than ecosystemic.
For a political ideology to get traction in the new millennium context, it'll have to be based on social darwinism – by which I don't mean any form that has taken in the past (irrelevant) but how folks are organically affected by evolution. How that produces sociopolitical psychology driving group psychodynamics, I mean.
Academics are slowly getting their heads around this view. Sociobiology was long anathema despite being an academic intellectual arena, but the last three decades has produced considerable development. The guts so far is that ya gotta blend collaboration with competition. Tough for those addicted to the binary – must use paradox & cognitive dissonance to liberate them from their mental prison!
It's why I sent a submission several years ago to the parliamentary reform process. As far as I know there's an upper house in parliament unused since it became historically redundant. I suggested using it for consensus politics. I expected everyone to be too stupid to agree, of course.
Seymour has learned to dog whistle the racists, gun lobby,fascists ,luddite anti vax conspiracy theorists, With out the Trump Narcissist excesses
Don't forget speed limits….talk about populist
Bomber is about the closest to a 60s/70s “Gonzo” style writer currently practicing in AO/NZ. He keeps some appalling company these days with his side ventures and greybeard hangers on, still cuts and pastes, and just as I’m ready to delete TDB, Mr Bombastic comes up with a “scoop” or a rather different skew from the plodders & insipid whimpy pundits.
Some of his current commenters seem to need significant medical help but hey, the internet has space for everyone…
Yeah his commenters often seem like a cross between a kindergarten & a zoo. Agree also re his skew on things often providing a useful dimension to the political mix but more often failing to do so…
True Tiger…..Bomber seems intent on constructing a scenario where Labour and the Greens lose
I really cannont credit a claim that Shane Jones will win Northland. He's been decisively defeated in Northern electorates on multiple occasions.
Unless Bradbury has some undisclosed polling evidence to support him – it sounds like wishful thinking to me.
The Standard doesn’t rely on income from annoying ads that clutter & pollute the site, unlike TDB and so many other (political) NZ blog sites. Their model is similar to that of MSM. Make of that what you will.
Sorry – can't see the relevance of this comment? Did it get misplaced, or am I missing something?
I take it as meaning that ad revenue relies on numbers coming to the site, so click bait is part of how TDB is and this may influence content and presentation of content.
I can’t see how Shane Jones is going to get any votes off National’s Grant McCallum.
McCallum’s online ads assure us he’s going to sort out crime in Northland, fix our roads, have all kids do well at school and do all this other stuff which generally has him the next big thing since Jesus Christ.
Should be grateful I guess to be so well-served – Jones considers himself to be God.
it sounds like wishful thinking to me
Me too. Winning would require a combination of anti-Nat groundswell plus Shane morphing into someone else – unless Winston pulls magic rabbit out of hat…
I could (just) credit Winston pulling it off if he was standing.
But, Jones…. no.
Mr Jones is not widely admired in the Far North, or mid North, even though NZ First Provincial Growth Fund project outcomes up here are quite liked–State Highway roundabouts, bridges, new wharves in tiny settlements, a significant business park near Kaikohe, rail extensions and freight depots etc. They are not seen as linked to Shane however.
A Bomber wish indeed that one.
I enjoyed the read from Bradbury you linked to Dennis. .
gotta keep them brain cells ticking over in this wintry weather…
I second that Dennis, good link. I wonder if it's a good idea for those who read tdb to link the 'hinged' posts like that one. I enjoy most of them but find the vitriolic rants a real turn off.
It is a pity that the author of the link doesn't understand the way seats are allocated.
If TPM were to get 3.9% of the vote, and wins 4 electorates as he seems to be predicting there will not be an overhang in the House.
Decrepit ancient dude gets stroppy again:
I recall getting a copy of that vinyl at a second-hand shop – wasn't much impressed tho. Did buy Raw Power brand-new due to the rave review in Rollingstone & liked his stance & style then awhile. Rebels get traction via resonance, and fast rock always worked better for males of the species. Ultimately, however, you need more nuance…
Iggy rules…end of story..
He stands head and shoulders above the music industry rabble..both past and current..
Our neocolonial education system is meant to produce new generations sufficiently employable to keep the capitalist system going. The brainwashing process endures. South Korea does that more intensively:
Too stressed-out to screw…
I am surprised at the lack of comment on National's cry of "Take NZ back again"
It sounds very like Trump's cry of "Make America great again"
Take NZ(Aotearoa) "back" from whom???? Lefties /Maori???? Back to where???
Good Morn Patricia. They would take us back to the (very) bad old days of the late 1980s/and 90's. NZ will be again stuffed for generations. Also see my link below. I am gobsmacked at their lies….
Anyway. We must fight hard to stop them. Good on you !
Stolen from Boris's "Take Back Control" Brexit propaganda. For exactly the same reasons, and appealing to exactly the same sentiments.
Isn't it "get New Zealand back on track"
Where have you got "Take NZ back again" from Patricia?
James…What a slip lol Reading what I thought they meant!! Now…..
Well this sound great ! Electrify NZ ! Sign me up. Sadly….though, its just some National party greenwash BS. I truly dont know if they are being Ironic,cynical, or just their usual false/lying shit. Possibly all of.
Share your humerous points … just pushing more you know what !!
I think the Greens need to take a leaf out of Winston's book. Look at the concessions he was able to obtain playing one party off against the other.
I highly doubt the Greens would get much traction on economics in a relationship with National. But, they could probably get a lot of leverage in the environmental area. And the party name would suggest that is what the Greens are mainly about. Right?
[TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as being off topic or irrelevant in the post it was made in. Be more careful in future.]
This is the same kind of faux naive derail as you did on the previous GP policy post. I will address your first comment over there but I’m not going to let you run derail lines. I’m putting you in premod. Feel free to ask questions about the boundaries.
Nah, too shallow. To be authentic, they need to represent the broader Green movement accurately. The media have been full of stories about the Green ethos escalating influence all over the world the past 30 years. Green parliamentarians never anchor their initiatives in this context. If they did, their influence would escalate.
Ecosystemic relations evolve via such natural resonance. Democracy seems to prevent Greens attuning to nature in their political niche, as if it were an alien system imposed as a form of social control. Oh, guess what?
Yes it is interesting to speculate what The Greens might bring to an arrangement with a party other than Labour.
I rate The Greens from a residual point of view on their environmental stance, possibly based on sentiment
The Greens for me is in 'premod' for the anti woman stance with self ID.
I find pieces that I am uncomfortable with in the wealth tax and the new housing ideas. I find the allowance for extra storeys a bit odd when many towns/cities have large areas of unused/underused land within the 15-20min transport links. It comes down to better planning initiatives to encourage better land use more quickly. I don't think your average hard working family in the suburbs should be penalised by having a 6 storey block plonked next door because the city has not done its job or it is easier pickings for developers.
The Renters initiatives I am supportive of.
Kudos though for The Greens for having policies out there.
If this is indeed the case, how on earth could anyone ever, ever vote for the Natz?
What does the National party name suggest?
Nationalisation?
Nationalism?
Yes, I was wondering the same. I don't think I have said anything out of line, and have certainly had no comments to that.
[TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as being off topic or irrelevant in the post it was made in. Be more careful in future.]
TS you have done nothing out of line in my view and i value your contributions and thank you for sticking with us.
I like that you have a more rounded view than what many believe the people of the right have.
As to your views which can be 'different' I think isn't it better to have them expressed here than having a Labour parliamentary candidate stumble on a question at a public meeting?
Please let us welcome diverse views……echo chambers are sometimes not very interesting.
My suggestion is to read the various mod notes and learn what the problem is here. Tsmithfield is an excellent contributor to debate on TS. Atm he has a habit of running derails on posts, which is a drop from his usual standard. Others should take note because I'm going to be moderating on derails and off topic more. It's election year. We need to be focused here on maintaining robust debate. Mods don't have time for a lot of hand holding on this.
I agree with Shanreagh.
Tsmitfield, your comments come from a world perspective that the majority of us on here strongly disagree with, but they are always reasoned and respectful.
This place is a lot better for your contributions as they challenge the thinking.
I would like to address the role of the foil in debate…
The best foil ..in this political case..is one who articulates arguments that question the prevailing ethos ..
And that role is invaluable..as the arguments presented by the the foil articulate the arguments against out there in the world…
And the quality of the reply should effectively refute the foils case..
And this interaction helps sharpen/focus the mind of the responder…and of the audience..
Not having foils risks the dreaded echo chamber…
I think smithfield and others fufil that foil role..
And as the one who responded to his comments in the renters thread ..I thought he was talking rubbish..and told him so…and (I think) unpacked his claims..
And I think his response to my first response was considered..and worth addressing..(since lost in ether..)
So I would defend smithfield continuing in that role of foil..
Labour's having trouble alienating more floating voters despite Kiri's valiant efforts. Don't despair folks, help is on the way. Up the parking fines!
Redacted means edited especially in order to obscure or remove sensitive information. It's a good example of Labour's non-transparency policy. So they've decided to hang the threat over voters like the sword of Damocles. https://www.history.com/news/what-was-the-sword-of-damocles
What's the actual threat to which you allude?
"Vote for us and we'll fine you more for your transgressions"? Considering the way National is boosting punishment for criminals, they'll be into that, too.
"Vote for them and the fines will stay the same"? More like it….. all those speedsters impatient in their Teslas and Maseratis neoliberally frustrated at speed restrictions.
Frankly, I can't see a threat. Perhaps a redaction caused by the numbers not yet having been decided?
Mass psychology. Meter-users as voters. Not rocket science. The mass effect operates on non-partisan voters to switch the electoral outcome. Your subjective view tends to be derived from tacit psych (`everyone thinks like me'), a normal biological default. To form a relatively objective view, one must transcend that tacit default in one's psyche…
This might be a threat!
Finland’s system for calculating fines is relatively simple: It starts with an estimate of the amount of spending money a Finn has for one day, and then divides that by two—the resulting number is considered a reasonable amount of spending money to deprive the offender of. Then, based on the severity of the crime, the system has rules for how many days the offender must go without that money. Going about 15 mph over the speed limit gets you a multiplier of 12 days, and going 25 mph over carries a 22-day multiplier.
Most reckless drivers pay between €30 and €50 per day, for a total of about €400 or €500. Finland’s maximum multiplier is 120 days, but there's no ceiling on the fines themselves—the fine is taken as a constant proportion of income whether you make €80,000 a year or €800,000.
So, depending on your income, you might get a $103,000 speeding fine.
https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2015/03/finland-home-of-the-103000-speeding-ticket/387484/
And in other countries in Europe. https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna34792272
Scofflaws beware- you have more to lose than your change.
Okay, I'm impressed. That does seem like rocket science.
Trough justice? also Tough Justice?
The problem is that the evidence from Labour's current attempts to fix the housing market and reduce homelessness seem to have only made the problem a lot worse. From the article:
It seems to me that the Greens are promising more of the same, but harder. So, I struggle to see how what the Greens are proposing will fix the problem.
If they are able to build 35000 houses, that will definitely help, assuming that landlords don't exit the market in droves at the same time. But, that seems a very heroic promise given that Labour was only able to add just over 10000 as at August 22.
[TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as being off topic or irrelevant in the post it was made in. Be more careful in future.]
This is another attempt to say Labour's policy failed so the Green policy will too. You provide no analysis of GP policy and why its useful to compare with Labour policy, nor what Lab policy was nor why it partially failed, so it's just another derail from the post, which is about a specific set of GP policies.
Maybe try reading the policy.
By all means, under the post, run the line about landlords will exit the market in droves, that's a direct issue arising from the policy. But please relate it to the actual bits in the policy that would make that scenario feasible.
Now we are heading into a recession there is potential for govt building program to get meaningful traction. Kiwibuild was doomed to fail as at the time the construction industry was already at or damned near capacity, so it was in essence it was an impossible to implement policy.
Sorry to disappoint you… just coming out of a technical one.
It seems as if you are trolling here, at least under certain Posts.
Only three days ago I replied to you (https://thestandard.org.nz/greens-release-rental-stories-collection/#comment-1957199) with this information that was also from the Beehive and that was up-to-date [dd. 22 June 2023]:
You obviously read and replied to it: https://thestandard.org.nz/greens-release-rental-stories-collection/#comment-1957206. Yet, here you choose to use outdated data!?
Furthermore, in/with this reply, you also ignored the plethora of data & stats provided by Louis under that same other Post. Why is that? Does it not suit your troll narrative?
I’m becoming tired of your superficial & simplistic reckons here on TS, which seem to be targeted at certain Posts or comments. You don’t provide critical analysis or constructive criticism but mostly biased opinion and antagonistic attitudes. Some seem to think that you make a useful contribution here and prevent TS from becoming like an echo chamber. I disagree! You are wasting precious time of other commenters and Mods alike
tsmithfield did for a long time and I am one of those who gave him credit for his comments. But since the election campaign has heated up he's reverted back to trolling. Unfortunate.
This is my take too. Reminds me if Wayne Mapp who provided useful right wing challenge here for a long time and then one election year just started running nact troll lines and eventually got banned.
Pity
He has some good points foreign policy wise and doesn't always toe the party line
He comments on TDB and I value his input (even though I disagree lots)
He never gets petty or personal
and comments with some experience backing him
Mapp? Yes it was a loss. But not much we could do if he was bringing Dirty Politics memos and wouldn't stop. Maybe he's since changed again.
Any politician who doesn’t know their name, and “forgets” to pay their bill after a late drunken night on town should automatically be removed from office. I have no issues with drinking, but I do with those individuals who can’t control themselves after a couple of bottles of vino. It’s just a bad look for us seasoned drinkers.
Wellington deserves a better person as Mayor than a drunk who forgets their name and doesn’t pay the bar tab. BTW “forgetting” to pay pay the bill, AKA shoplifting.
I haven’t seen anything to suggest she is a drunk. It’s not that hard to leave somewhere without paying by accident. I’ve done it a couple of times and then returned to pay when I realised.
People who “forget” to pay, & don’t know what their name is, suggests that they’re a drunk.
I have no problems drinking, and I drink too much, however I can handle my drink & always pay. If you’re so drunk that you “forget to pay” (AKA I’m really important, I shouldn’t have to pay) then you’re an overly entitled drunk,and certainly unfit for public office.
Please supply the link that TW forgot her name. Quote and link please.
You are interpreting a set of apparent things but it’s not the only way of interpreting them. We don’t know what happened.
Marginal, Terry:
I suspect she still knew who she was. Asking the waiter who she was seems to be her way of disseminating knowledge of her status.
Did it work for Aaron Gilmore?
https://thespinoff.co.nz/live-updates/06-07-2022/ex-mp-aaron-do-you-know-who-i-am-gilmore-launches-political-comeback
He's a Wellington resident and maybe is giving lessons in this non proftable big-noting policy. .
Mind you storm in a teacup and Wellington’s a village both spring to mind.
She is lying relatively low mayoralty-wise and as a Wgtn resident who voted for her I just hope she is busy getting on with it.
When I worked in hospitality. If a customer said “ do you know who I am” it was a precursor for expecting free drinks and special treatment, & a warning that your job was at risk if you didn’t provide the special treatment.
I do remember one mayor from the late’90’s who enjoyed the nightlife in Wellington, he always paid his tab and often shouted others a drink & was generous in tipping.
Terry, I hope you never have to defend hearsay. It is quite difficult.
Being part of the Greens these days would drive anyone to drink eh? In her case, it seems to be an after-effect:
Punters are liable to react like that when the old line is used by someone famous. There's no evidence he replied by calling her a lady, however. Fraught cultural implications dodged like a bullet. Well done, that punter!
Telling.
Nice anti-Green dig there. Bomber and you could become bestus best friends based on your common views of the Greens.
How dumb do you have to be to walk into a mongrel mob meeting and think it was a different meeting? One of the lamest “I got found out” excuses I’ve ever heard. Bit like the 5 year old with ice cream all over their face trying to explain “it wasn’t me”
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/labour-mp-gatecrashes-mongrel-mob-meeting-says-she-thought-it-was-a-different-meeting/SSKNXX6PLNH2VC3IHR54IWPJSU/
No idea what Ingrid Leary was or wasn't thinking about the event – but if someone else is managing your diary (electorate secretary?) – I can see how you could misunderstand the nature of the event you're scheduled to attend.
What struck me in the article, however, was Harry Tam
Which seems to be the reverse of what TPM want (more people on the Maori roll).
He seems to be aiming at Labour/Green support, rather than TPM.
Make your own creature: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Genetically_Engineered_Machine
You too can be a deity! However, that seems to work best in a global team jamboree context. Updates are available elsewhere;
https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/story/risks-and-potential-rewards-synthetic-biology
Allowing GMO-makers in back-yard labs a potential side-effect of lifting GMO restriction in NZ? (Shudders).
Do-it-yourself CRSPER gene editing is a thing, apparently.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=0OTQtlHRPWc
It’s CRISPR.
That YT clip is 4 years old; a lot has happened since in gene-editing technology.
Breaking news: I just heard on the 4pm RNZ news that Kiri has been given a couple of weeks leave – after which the PM will discuss her future with her.
Either they got it wrong or I heard it wrong since it appears here as only a couple of days: https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/132469734/kiri-allan-is-taking-a-bit-of-time-out–pm-chris-hipkins
And, not mental health leave, but a few days off during the school holidays (any sole parent knows what that's like)
“A Government spokesperson confirmed that Allan is on leave again this week. It is a recess week as well as school holidays, and a number of MPs – especially those with children – have taken leave this week.”
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/cabinet-minister-kiri-allan-on-leave-again/WDWTIOXR7RB7LO7RASIGZCMEBY/
Have to say, I think this development is such a non story.
Aha – it looks like the media sloppily conflating Kiri Allen's time off (a couple of days this week) with when Hipkins will be able to catch up with her in person (a couple of weeks, when he returns from Europe)
https://thespinoff.co.nz/live-updates/03-07-2023/kiri-allan-on-leave-again-pm-hasnt-had-face-to-face-conversation-with-her
Yeah, same here:
Which suggests that Hipkins may have got it wrong!
I have every sympathy with Kiri Allen. Any one who has survived a cancer diagnosis and treatment would.
There's been a lot more downers too in her personal life.
Time for her to rest, pause, consider.
And for us, too.
Yes Mac1
The creation of a Woman's Rights Party begs the question of what 'rights' are they missing out on.
What next..a Men's Rights Party!
Here's an interesting interview.
https://youtube.com/shorts/mgDvTew6TXU?feature=share
Seriously?
Why don’t you explain, in your own words, what’s so ‘interesting’ and why we should click on that link?
Rights are never set in stone. In the US we see how hard-fought rights are pealed back and repealed. Does this remind you of NACT? Once their razor gang of cut, slash & burn is finished a whole lot of Kiwis will find that their rights have been curtailed. It is about protection of rights, which requires constant vigilance.
What I found interesting was Petersons case for women 'not being so hard done by'.In fact so called 'toxic masculinity' has become so endemic (imo)that its men who are not getting a fair go.
Protection of rights may indeed need constant vigilance.
What role do you think the Women's Rights Party can play in the NZ political scene apart from splitting the vote even more?
All the main parties have great representation when it comes to women.
Women have occupied nearly every high office in the public and private sector.
Who would really support a party like this with such a narrow focus and little chance of any meaningful influence?
For those with cataracts stuff reports another 3500 ops per year have been okayed
'Thresholds had varied from 46 to 61 points under DHBs, [Verrall] said – with 46 representing "mildly reduced vision" and 61 poor vision to the point that the person could no longer legally drive. In Auckland and Waitematā, the threshold was 46, while in Canterbury and Southern, it was 61, she said. She said the variation showed the worst of the "postcode lottery" and it wasn't fair. "In a first under the new health system [Te Whatu Ora] there will be a nationally consistent score of a maximum of 46 in order to access surgery, opening up eligibility for approximately 3500 more surgeries." '
https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/ninetonoon/audio/2018896851/te-whatu-ora-turns-one-what-s-changed
Kathryn Ryan works over the health system changes this morning.