Here's an intellectual challenge: disinformation & misinformation. Split the difference!
Four in five Kiwis believe some disinformation, report finds…
A newly released report paints a worrying picture for New Zealand, with four in every five Kiwis believing some sort of misinformation and many paradoxically believing misinformation is a threat to democracy.
Just more than half (54%) of those who strongly believed misinformation had quit mainstream media, the survey found.
I'll have a go at that one (first one's too hard). On the face of it, the reporter is telling us that misinformation got up & vacated the msm and 54% of folks strongly believed that it had done so. I recommend deciding the reporter was wrong and meant to write that 54% of folks had exited the msm consumption habit. A feast for grammarians…
an upward thrusting force that at once empowered and overwhelmed the causes which Act and its fellow travellers dismissed as “Woke”. This was the magma of Māori nationalism
Act placed itself athwart the Māori nationalists’ path. It promised to turn back the relentless advance of “Aotearoa” against “New Zealand”. The Treaty of Waitangi would be re-written, all traces of co-governance would be swept away. A new, written constitution would entrench Pakeha privilege forever.
No worries. Ain't a snowball's chance in hell the motley crew in ACT are capable of drafting a constitution let alone achieving a consensus on adopting it.
Please stop re-posting Daily Blog nonsense here. If people what to read it, they can do it for themselves. We can do without Trotter’s over-egged angstsy boomer racism.
Somewhat presupposes political initiatives advocating constitutional reform lack relevance tho. I'm tempted to agree with you but we must proceed on the basis of evidence.
First, you have a party heading north of 15% in the polls advocating it. According to the leftist, that is – I haven't noticed them doing so myself yet.
Second, this other leftist ex-PM has been doing so for quite a while:
Sir Geoffrey Palmer QC, Victoria University of Wellington, Te Herenga Waka – Faculty of Law…
Abstract: An address to the Constitutional Workshop of Pacific Women’s Watch New Zealand, delivered on 16 November 2019.
The address introduces Sir Geoffrey Palmer and Dr Andrew Butler’s two books, A Constitution for Aotearoa New Zealand and Towards Democratic Renewal – Ideas for Constitutional Change in New Zealand, and their proposals for a written constitution.
It discusses the principal obstacles to constitutional change in New Zealand, in addition to some concerning global trends and challenges to democracy overseas. It also canvasses a number of areas that are in need of reform, from electoral law to local government.
Does he, or is it just a chance to over-extend a metaphor with a slather of florid hyperbole? Perhaps he is bored and longs for some sort of upheaval, and isn't too fussy about what sort. Mostly though, he just needs a good editor.
And he does that volcano metaphor until way past when the magma has hardened..
But I agree with the point he is making..
Namely the significance of the 7.9 for the maori party in the latest roy morgan poll..
That there is a coalescing consensus round tpm..that is going on within maori political circles..(and why wouldn't they..?..)
And one of the drivers of this is the rise of the racist far-right act party..and their vows to roll back any affirmative action..to tear up the treaty..etc..etc..maori-bashing all the way up to the election..
And for maori..voting for tpm is the most effective way of pushing back against this racist agenda..
I expect tpm to do better than this 7.9% at the actual election…
And as for the election results.. whichever way it goes we are going to have a radical government..
Either the milquetoast national party..their genitals firmly in the grip of act..tearing up the treaty etc..
Or the milquetoast labour party…their genitals firmly in the grip of tpm and the greens..
Where we will see major moves on environmental/poverty issues…
The choice for voters could not be clearer/more focused..
Those days of moaning about lab/nats being tweedle dum and tweedle see…are consigned to history..
Namely the significance of the 7.9 for the maori party in the latest roy morgan poll..
No significance that I can see. One poll doesn't indicate a trend.
Looking at the polling over recent time, that 7+% looks somewhat like an outlier. TPM have tended been in the 3.5% to 4.5% range (way better than where they were at the start of the year).
I'll get interested if TPM get a few more high polls.
The trend is quite apparent – Natz on a steady slide under Luxon, Labour on the way up under Chippie.
Act will gain in proportion to Natz loss, while the Greens will remain steady (though I expect them to do better on election day) and the TPM will gain +5%.
A third term Labour/Greens/TPM government, ya hoo!
That was what I linked to on wikipedia for 2023. Right up to date, and generally favouring a left government at present.
The right really doesn't have traction. Compare it to the wikipedia poll pages for 2005 (probably the closest recent analogy). Then have a look at 2008 and 2017 for what two different types of a opposition winning combo looks like.
I don't think the Luxon has quite the political pull power of a Jacinda.
Meanwhile Barry Soper reckons there will be a change of government, coz of the numpties around Hipkins (this is just a reprise of the it's only Clark or Ardern lines).
Barry Soper is pretty useless at any kind of analysis. He seems to hoick most of his reckons out of his arse after having a boozy afternoon as far I can see.
But as you point out, he doesn't have wide repository of talking points (or 'noisome dags' as I prefer to frame them) and frequently recycles them.
I tend to only notice him if he does something surprising like being (in retrospect) actually right about something. Which means I haven't noticed him much for the last 25 years. He is one of those people who just claims analytical skills rather than exhibiting it.
Incidentally this kind of crap was what I would up doing a lot of work on in my youth…..
Matt Whitehead reckons it's technically not a poll of polls. I don't really understand the difference despite him explaining it to me.
It's not weighting the polls, it's just extrapolating gaps between them for the trendline. There's little to no judgement call in the maths, just reporting facts, essentially.
And I'd agree with him. However with the paucity of polls, the piss-poor sampling techniques used, and the sample sizes, no amount of massaging is going to do much to the lousy data.
Basically he is referring to the kind of data massaging that would work in the US or UK because of the number of polls and the frequency with which they are done. Even there it is fraught with actuality (ie elections) disagreeing with the elegant cross-poll analysis.
For the purposes of getting a general idea of trends (the only thing worth looking at), whoever is doing the wikipedia one has got it about right.
Suggests that Green voters are not evenly spread throughout the population also.
oh yeah, I hadn't considered that. So if the 1,000 or whatever people that week happened to be less urban, then less Greens? Wouldn't they be adjusting the pollees for things like rural/urban?
But that is less effective with smaller sample numbers. Those polling Green are in the tens in the normal sample size, while National and Labour are in the hundreds.
It only takes a few differences the sampled population between polls.
The scary correlation, is that voters for the Libertarian lunatics in ACT, appear to be more evenly spread
I suspect Māori, like young people, are also under represented in the voting, in both Māori and general rolls, which would cancel out the effect to an extent.
Geoffrey Miller is the Democracy Project’s geopolitical analyst and writes on current New Zealand foreign policy and related geopolitical issues.
Is New Zealand about to join ‘NATO+’? That seems to be the effective endgame, if reports ahead of New Zealand Prime Minister Chris Hipkins’ attendance at the NATO summit in Lithuania are anything to go by.
A globe-trotting PM blithely joining Aotearoa to NATO while an election campaign gets under way in his absence is just the sort of smart move one would expect from Labour so I get why he's dreaming about it. Nothing wrong with outflanking the Nats on the right. It's a time-tested and proven strategy.
The sidelining of George Kennan with the continuance of NATO and expansion after the end of the Cold War (and end of the Warsaw Pact). And the consequences of this in Georgia and Ukraine (colour revolution).
China being allowed into the WTO order without formally ending the Korean War and removing American troops or autonomy for Taiwan within China as per Hong Kong. This led to the South China Sea moves and the American response – promotion of democracy in Hong Kong (the 1997 agreement only allowed autonomy till 2047), The resulting crackdown leading to American determination to secure Taiwan's continued self-governance.
USA unilateralism in Iraq and the NATO breach of the no fly zone in Libya leading to the development of BRICS.
The Russia-China alliance leading to Shanghai Co-operation Organisation (includes central Asian states of the former USSR, Pakistan and India and now Iran) and BRI going through Pakistani Kashmir leads to India playing a dual game within the QUAD (all while a BRIC and in the SCO group).
PRESENT
NATO is seeking non European collective security partners – given the UN is compromised by the veto.
Given our historic UN multi-lateralism bi-partisanship – this is easy for Labour.
NATO is also offering to support the containment of China – with partners such as those in the QUAD.
ASIA-PACIFIC
We have a nuclear free Pacific policy – so are not in ANZUS or AUKUS (but are security partners of Oz and might join up to AUKUS 11 – technology development co-operation).
We affirm the International Law of the Sea Conventions, thus have issues with China in the South China Sea. But not in Taiwan.
For us, the issue is not so much involvement in the containment of a nation that is now our major trading partner, but diplomacy.
Outflanking National on the right, bollocks.
It’s so centrist, that National says nothing. They’ll adopt it.
Excellent analysis & I bow to your grasp of the geopolitical relevance.
Outflanking National on the right, bollocks. It’s so centrist, that National says nothing. They’ll adopt it.
Only when in govt. Makes more sense for them to differentiate during the campaign – there are still voters who don't believe they're part of the same team…
If our foreign policy is to remain grounded in preserving some kind of rules-based global order in an increasingly multipolar world, we're much better off picking the "side" (such as it is) that's actually committed to preserving said order.
It's an inevitable choice irrespective of what political party is in power here.
Unless we want to abandon multilateralism, lose whatever street cred and trust we've accumulated in our relationships abroad, and sell out to whoever gives us the shiniest baubles irrespective of the political system we'd be implicitly supporting.
That's an option too. Just an incredibly shit one.
While Russia traditionally really dislikes a rules based global order.
The Chinese have done really well out of it once they decided to (mostly) be part of it. In many ways they have been pretty assiduous about following it and are getting better at it (admittedly only if you blur your vision and ignore a few things like the PCA Law of the Sea 2016 (?) decision on South China sea).
Dennis Frank – you must have a lot of time on your hands to indulge yourself so frequently here – up early, trawling sites to find something to enable your intellect to respond to. Be nice to have a variety of commenters though.
I deliberately waited a couple of hours due to Anne's similar hope yesterday, but none of them wrote in. There seems to be a significant dearth of leftists wanting to contribute here. As a radical centrist, I notice the lack from that part of the political spectrum since there was a huge ferment of such folk during my student years half a century back. I associated with them as a kindred spirit.
It's an interesting question on the interface between sociology and political activism: why has the ebb-tide on leftism gone out so far? I don't believe left-wingers are essentially stupid – which is what their collective non-performance indicates. There's something deeper happening in society to produce this mass effect.
But I gave myself a year off until recently, BG. I don't like Labour's sleep-walk. Aotearoa deserves better, and from the Greens too. Stimulating thought processes is a deliberate consciousness-raising strategy to those who deploy it – for the purpose of being helpful, on my part.
Anyone who doesn't like the consequences really ought to focus on themselves rather than me. I suspect leftists may be collectively baffled by their lack of traction. Well, the solution to that problem is to figure out why – not grizzle at anyone who tries to help them do so.
Yes, there's a real basis upon which to proceed, true. However the campaign is a political marketing exercise & I see no such endeavour on the left yet.
To me framing is the essence of that. Somehow they must weave an overview for the left that makes them seem a viable alternative to National/ACT.
Framing is then the nifty way of capturing the essence of that alternative – effectively enough to distill it into an impression on the minds of floating voters. Vox pops are the standard news media technique for flushing that out of the minds of the people and providing it to political marketers as feedback – so they can see if their message is percolating thro the social ecosystem.
From here on in, I'll be watching such media carefully to discern the zeitgeist. Currently we just have underwhelming by the Nat/Lab duo, with polling reflecting that. Lull before the storm??
I prefer to give personal attention when required.
Always fun when people give me a opportunity to demonstrate what 4 decades of training on the public nets does to an inherent attribute towards being really nasty and condescending.
Having been on the receiving end of your attention once or twice some years ago, that's a relief. I have tried to attune to the ethos here since then.
I realise that being a Labour voter you'll be irritated whenever I do a critique of something they've done or are doing, but I try to give them credit when due and one such occasion occurred earlier today when the PM gave a foreign policy speech. Heard it reported on the RNZ news & thought far out!
He got it right. Not just that, the key points that the editorial staff selected from his speech for their report indicated that they got resonance with the media too. That made him come across as an authentic leader for Aotearoa.
Thought it worthwhile to acknowledge that & I'll write about it on DR. I reckon it's auspicious & could be a real boost for Labour's prospects…
Unless they seem to be depending on it and just trolling.
I still have the little bit of code I wrote a long time ago that would automatically add 12 hours to specific annoying early morning commenters on Open Mike.
Along with the one that refuses high speed comments with a image of a monkey grinning.
Yip if your being pedantic, there's official posts posted by the ordained ministers of the standard, then there's freelance post/comments like mr Frank's, then there's ya run of the mill comments like this😉
It's an interesting question on the interface between sociology and political activism: why has the ebb-tide on leftism gone out so far? I don't believe left-wingers are essentially stupid – which is what their collective non-performance indicates. There's something deeper happening in society to produce this mass effect.
'Them's fighting words' Dennis Frank. Hopefully we will have a flurry of interested/interesting posters like we have had in the Science curriculum post.
I don't think Leftism is dead. Take a look at the Green Party tax and social policies. A Wealth Tax, rent controls and livable rental properties, with more to come at the election.
Labour's minimum wage and benefit rises have certainly helped the less well off; the numbers in poverty in NZ are starting to come down. I heard a guy on RNZ the other day saying that the increased minimum wage was encouraging backpackers to take jobs and work longer which is presumably true for locals too.
Under Labour there have been moves favouring public transport (light rail, cheap bus fares, cycleways, investment in rail). More than 10,000 state houses have been added (I saw 14,000 somewhere) and house prices have now fallen significantly from their ridiculous highs-a good thing that is still happening.
A Labour/Green/TPM government will continue this progress. A Luxon/Seymour government will take NZ back to housing bubbles, selling off state houses, tax changes favouring the top 5%, minimum wages frozen, roads of national insignificance and public transport will get crumbs.
Yes, the Greens have some (in my view – excellent) policies that truly differentiate themselves from NAct and Labour. NAct with their rush to make things awful as quickly as possible, and Labour with glacial incremental improvement that is overwhelmed by their love of neoliberal damage.
Now to promote Green policies as much as possible before the election!
My hot take is that the traditional left is dying due to its lack of boldness, desire to provide an actual point of difference from the status quo, and ability to keep it's shit together for longer than an electoral cycle or two.
It makes for good, don't scare the horses, middle-of-the-road, bread and butter politics. But on the flipside makes real progress agonisingly slow and electorally risky.
The question is how to shift the Overton Window back to the left.
A generation without home ownership would have to direct their attention to a regime without CGT (35/36 have one) or estate tax (24/36 have one) and say why not a wealth tax. For a nation without a CGT or estate tax the only alternative is the Greens wealth tax (historic failure to apply a CGT or estate tax catch up).
NACT know this and have a plan.
It's to replace their white boomer vote with an immigrant vote against Maori privilege (an update on their post Rogernmics attack on Maori on welfare).
Thus a government program opposed to UNDRIP implementation, any building on whanau ora and threatening to end WT and the HRC and a re-write of the Treaty – while adopting the US welfare and penal policy model to control "Maori". It would also not surprise if they were to criminalise public space protest.
Homophobic organisation which promotes the chemical castration of same sex attracted and neurodiverse children looses its attempt to close down a charity which supports Lesbian, Gay and Bi-sexual people.
"A transgender rights group has lost its case to have a gay rights organisation stripped of its charitable status in what is believed to be the first case of its kind in the UK.
Mermaids, which supports transgender, non-binary and gender diverse children and their families, had appealed against the decision of the Charity Commission to grant LGB Alliance charitable status in 2021.
It is thought to be the first time in the UK that a charity has sought to have the charitable status of another removed".
It is not just a "simple" disagreement. Gender ideology denies even the very existence of "same sex attraction". We are all supposed to be "homogenderal". We say that is homophobic as hell, and that is before we get into what they are telling children about sex and sexuality.
Linguistic imperialism (narrative control) is what it is. Possibly better put as "homosexualphobic", as not every lesbian, gay or bi person wants to be assimilated into the masculine or feminine or non-binary gender identity empire.
It possibly speaks to one difference within the community – LGB and LGB+. The other being lesbian women solidarity with safe women's spaces, which is a wider society issue.
It would be best if the adults sorted out co-existence in respectful ways without involving the children … there is a difference between educating children about society around them (larger than their own family) without placing them within that world while they are developing.
Adults are a bit complicated (sex, gender, sexuality etc).
I've never heard that term before, but it's spot on. I'd add "linguistic chauvanism" as well. The redefining of accepted terms with fierce enforcement, and shrieks of bigotry and Nazism to anyone who doesn't agree or even understand.
And the other side of the story. Trans youth charity Mermaids was supported by a coalition of LGBTQ+ groups in the challenge to LGB Alliance's charity status. They argued the group "shouldn’t be recognised as a charity because of it ‘exclusively focuses’ on anti-trans campaigning and not on the promotion of lesbian, gay and bisexual rights.” The LGB Alliance HQ is at 55 Tufton St, that nest of UK neo-lib think tanks.
"The tribunal…found Mermaids [due to being a charity itself] does not have legal standing to challenge the Charity Commission’s decision to recognise the LGB Alliance. Though it may be painted as such, the ruling is not a win or a vindication for the LGB Alliance. The ‘gender-critical’ group escaped judgement on a technicality."
"In its ruling, the tribunal stated that its two-person panel was split on the issue of whether the LGB Alliance is rightfully a charity. It declined to make a hypothetical conclusion on the issue. The tribunal also noted that the Charity Commission was seen to have concerns regarding the LGB Alliance going “beyond the boundaries of civilised debate”, and said these concerns “were well-founded”.
They argued the group "shouldn’t be recognised as a charity because of it ‘exclusively focuses’ on anti-trans campaigning and not on the promotion of lesbian, gay and bisexual rights.”
the T+ activists have run quite the propaganda campaign on this. Pink News can keep that running as long as it likes, but where is the evidence?
Meanwhile, in Feb 2021 Dave Hewitt wrote this fact check on one of the early accusations about LGBA. This highlights a number of common themes in such accusations, and makes a connection with Pink News who also took part in the LGBA hate trans propaganda.
The insanity of the Australian Liberal Party exposed over Robodebt.
NZ could/should have the same type of Royal Commission over MSD.
Bennett abused her power as a minister, using the media to attack individuals who complained about the impact of the brutality MSD reforms had created.
We also need a serious look at the p-house debacle. A Royal Commission into this would help as well.
40 minute video follows, the first 6 minutes covers all the key points.
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This is a must watch, and puts on brilliant and practical display the implications and mechanics of fast-track law corruption and weakness.CLICK HERE: LINK TO WATCH VIDEOOur news media as it is set up is simply not equipped to deal with the brazen disinformation and corruption under this right wing ...
NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi Acting Secretary Erin Polaczuk is welcoming the announcement from Minister of Workplace Relations and Safety Brooke van Velden that she is opening consultation on engineered stone and is calling on her to listen to the evidence and implement a total ban of the product. “We need ...
The Government has announced a 1.5% increase in the minimum wage from 1 April 2025, well below forecast inflation of 2.5%. Unions have reacted strongly and denounced it as a real terms cut. PSA and the CTU are opposing a new round of staff cuts at WorkSafe, which they say ...
The decision to unilaterally repudiate the contract for new Cook Strait ferries is beginning to look like one of the stupidest decisions a New Zealand government ever made. While cancelling the ferries and their associated port infrastructure may have made this year's books look good, it means higher costs later, ...
Hi there! I’ve been overseas recently, looking after a situation with a family member. So apologies if there any less than focused posts! Vanuatu has just had a significant 7.3 earthquake. Two MFAT staff are unaccounted for with local fatalities.It’s always sad to hear of such things happening.I think of ...
Today is a special member's morning, scheduled to make up for the government's theft of member's days throughout the year. First up was the first reading of Greg Fleming's Crimes (Increased Penalties for Slavery Offences) Amendment Bill, which was passed unanimously. Currently the House is debating the third reading of ...
We're going backwardsIgnoring the realitiesGoing backwardsAre you counting all the casualties?We are not there yetWhere we need to beWe are still in debtTo our insanitiesSongwriter: Martin Gore Read more ...
Willis blamed Treasury for changing its productivity assumptions and Labour’s spending increases since Covid for the worsening Budget outlook. Photo: Getty ImagesMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Wednesday, December 18 in The Kākā’s Dawn Chorus podcast above ...
Today the Auckland Transport board meet for the last time this year. For those interested (and with time to spare), you can follow along via this MS Teams link from 10am. I’ve taken a quick look through the agenda items to see what I think the most interesting aspects are. ...
Hi,If you’re a New Zealander — you know who Mike King is. He is the face of New Zealand’s battle against mental health problems. He can be loud and brash. He raises, and is entrusted with, a lot of cash. Last year his “I Am Hope” charity reported a revenue ...
Probably about the only consolation available from yesterday’s unveiling of the Half-Yearly Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) is that it could have been worse. Though Finance Minister Nicola Willis has tightened the screws on future government spending, she has resisted the calls from hard-line academics, fiscal purists and fiscal hawks ...
The right have a stupid saying that is only occasionally true:When is democracy not democracy? When it hasn’t been voted on.While not true in regards to branches of government such as the judiciary, it’s a philosophy that probably should apply to recently-elected local government councillors. Nevertheless, this concept seemed to ...
Long story short: the Government’s austerity policy has driven the economy into a deeper and longer recession that means it will have to borrow $20 billion more over the next four years than it expected just six months ago. Treasury’s latest forecasts show the National-ACT-NZ First Government’s fiscal strategy of ...
Come and join myself and CTU Chief Economist for a pop-up ‘Hoon’ webinar on the Government’s Half Yearly Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) with paying subscribers to The Kākā for 30 minutes at 5 pm today.Jump on this link on YouTube Livestream to watch our chat. Don’t worry if ...
In 1998, in the wake of the Paremoremo Prison riot, the Department of Corrections established the "Behaviour Management Regime". Prisoners were locked in their cells for 22 or 23 hours a day, with no fresh air, no exercise, no social contact, no entertainment, and in some cases no clothes and ...
New data released by the Treasury shows that the economic policies of this Government have made things worse in the year since they took office, said NZCTU Economist Craig Renney. “Our fiscal indicators are all heading in the wrong direction – with higher levels of debt, a higher deficit, and ...
At the 2023 election, National basically ran on a platform of being better economic managers. So how'd that turn out for us? In just one year, they've fucked us for two full political terms: The government's books are set to remain deeply in the red for the near term ...
AUSTERITYText within this block will maintain its original spacing when publishedMy spreadsheet insists This pain leads straight to glory (File not found) Read more ...
The NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi are saying that the Government should do the right thing and deliver minimum wage increases that don’t see workers fall further behind, in response to today’s announcement that the minimum wage will only be increased by 1.5%, well short of forecast inflation. “With inflation forecast ...
Oh, I weptFor daysFilled my eyesWith silly tearsOh, yeaBut I don'tCare no moreI don't care ifMy eyes get soreSongwriters: Paul Rodgers / Paul Kossoff. Read more ...
This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Bob HensonIn this aerial view, fingers of meltwater flow from the melting Isunnguata Sermia glacier descending from the Greenland Ice Sheet on July 11, 2024, near Kangerlussuaq, Greenland. According to the Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE), the ...
In August, I wrote an article about David Seymour1 with a video of his testimony, to warn that there were grave dangers to his Ministry of Regulation:David Seymour's Ministry of Slush Hides Far Greater RisksWhy Seymour's exorbitant waste of taxpayers' money could be the least of concernThe money for Seymour ...
Willis is expected to have to reveal the bitter fiscal fruits of her austerity strategy in the HYEFU later today. Photo: Lynn Grieveson/TheKakaMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Tuesday, December 17 in The Kākā’s Dawn Chorus podcast ...
On Friday the government announced it would double the number of toll roads in New Zealand as well as make a few other changes to how toll roads are used in the country. The real issue though is not that tolling is being used but the suggestion it will make ...
The Prime Minister yesterday engaged in what looked like a pre-emptive strike designed to counter what is likely to be a series of depressing economic statistics expected before the end of the week. He opened his weekly post-Cabinet press conference with a recitation of the Government’s achievements. “It certainly has ...
This whooping cough story from south Auckland is a good example of the coalition government’s approach to social need – spend money on urging people to get vaccinated but only after you’ve cut the funding to where they could get vaccinated. This has been the case all year with public ...
And if there is a GodI know he likes to rockHe likes his loud guitarsHis spiders from MarsAnd if there is a GodI know he's watching meHe likes what he seesBut there's trouble on the breezeSongwriter: William Patrick Corgan Read more ...
Here’s a quick round up of today’s political news:1. MORE FOOD BANKS, CHARITIES, DOMESTIC VIOLENCE SHELTERS AND YOUTH SOCIAL SERVICES SET TO CLOSE OR SCALE BACK AROUND THE COUNTRY AS GOVT CUTS FUNDINGSome of Auckland's largest foodbanks are warning they may need to close or significantly reduce food parcels after ...
Iain Rennie, CNZMSecretary and Chief Executive to the TreasuryDear Secretary, Undue restrictions on restricted briefings This week, the Treasury barred representatives from four organisations, including the New Zealand Council of Trade Unions Te Kauae Kaimahi, from attending the restricted briefing for the Half-Year Economic and Fiscal Update. We had been ...
This is a guest post by Tim Adriaansen, a community, climate, and accessibility advocate.I won’t shut up about climate breakdown, and whenever possible I try to shift the focus of a climate conversation towards solutions. But you’ll almost never hear me give more than a passing nod to ...
A grassroots backlash has forced a backdown from Brown, but he is still eyeing up plenty of tolls for other new roads. And the pressure is on Willis to ramp up the Government’s austerity strategy. Photo: Getty ImagesMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy ...
National has only been in power for a year, but everywhere you look, its choices are taking New Zealand a long way backwards. In no particular order, here are the National Government's Top 50 Greatest Misses of its first year in power. ...
The Government is quietly undertaking consultation on the dangerous Regulatory Standards Bill over the Christmas period to avoid too much attention. ...
The Government’s planned changes to the freedom of speech obligations of universities is little more than a front for stoking the political fires of disinformation and fear, placing teachers and students in the crosshairs. ...
The Ministry of Regulation’s report into Early Childhood Education (ECE) in Aotearoa raises serious concerns about the possibility of lowering qualification requirements, undermining quality and risking worse outcomes for tamariki, whānau, and kaiako. ...
A Bill to modernise the role of Justices of the Peace (JP), ensuring they remain active in their communities and connected with other JPs, has been put into the ballot. ...
Labour will continue to fight unsustainable and destructive projects that are able to leap-frog environment protection under National’s Fast-track Approvals Bill. ...
The Green Party has warned that a Green Government will revoke the consents of companies who override environmental protections as part of Fast-Track legislation being passed today. ...
The Green Party says the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update shows how the Government is failing to address the massive social and infrastructure deficits our country faces. ...
The Government’s latest move to reduce the earnings of migrant workers will not only hurt migrants but it will drive down the wages of Kiwi workers. ...
Te Pāti Māori has this morning issued a stern warning to Fast-Track applicants with interests in mining, pledging to hold them accountable through retrospective liability and to immediately revoke Fast-Track consents under a future Te Pāti Māori government. This warning comes ahead of today’s third reading of the Fast-Track Approvals ...
The Government’s announcement today of a 1.5 per cent increase to minimum wage is another blow for workers, with inflation projected to exceed the increase, meaning it’s a real terms pay reduction for many. ...
All the Government has achieved from its announcement today is to continue to push responsibility back on councils for its own lack of action to help bring down skyrocketing rates. ...
The Government has used its final post-Cabinet press conference of the year to punch down on local government without offering any credible solutions to the issues our councils are facing. ...
The Government has failed to keep its promise to ‘super charge’ the EV network, delivering just 292 chargers - less than half of the 670 chargers needed to meet its target. ...
The Green Party is calling for the Government to stop subsidising the largest user of the country’s gas supplies, Methanex, following a report highlighting the multi-national’s disproportionate influence on energy prices in Aotearoa. ...
The Green Party is appalled with the Government’s new child poverty targets that are based on a new ‘persistent poverty’ measure that could be met even with an increase in child poverty. ...
New independent analysis has revealed that the Government’s Emissions Reduction Plan (ERP) will reduce emissions by a measly 1 per cent by 2030, failing to set us up for the future and meeting upcoming targets. ...
The loss of 27 kaimahi at Whakaata Māori and the end of its daily news bulletin is a sad day for Māori media and another step backwards for Te Tiriti o Waitangi justice. ...
Yesterday the Government passed cruel legislation through first reading to establish a new beneficiary sanction regime that will ultimately mean more households cannot afford the basic essentials. ...
Today's passing of the Government's Residential Tenancies Amendment Bill–which allows landlords to end tenancies with no reason–ignores the voice of the people and leaves renters in limbo ahead of the festive season. ...
After wasting a year, Nicola Willis has delivered a worse deal for the Cook Strait ferries that will end up being more expensive and take longer to arrive. ...
Green Party co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick has today launched a Member’s Bill to sanction Israel for its unlawful presence in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, as the All Out For Gaza rally reaches Parliament. ...
After years of advocacy, the Green Party is very happy to hear the Government has listened to our collective voices and announced the closure of the greyhound racing industry, by 1 August 2026. ...
In response to a new report from ERO, the Government has acknowledged the urgent need for consistency across the curriculum for Relationship and Sexuality Education (RSE) in schools. ...
The Green Party is appalled at the Government introducing legislation that will make it easier to penalise workers fighting for better pay and conditions. ...
Thank you for the invitation to speak with you tonight on behalf of the political party I belong to - which is New Zealand First. As we have heard before this evening the Kinleith Mill is proposing to reduce operations by focusing on pulp and discontinuing “lossmaking paper production”. They say that they are currently consulting on the plan to permanently shut ...
Auckland Central MP, Chlöe Swarbrick, has written to Mayor Wayne Brown requesting he stop the unnecessary delays on St James Theatre’s restoration. ...
Kiwis planning a swim or heading out on a boat this summer should remember to stop and think about water safety, Sport & Recreation Minister Chris Bishop and ACC and Associate Transport Minister Matt Doocey say. “New Zealand’s beaches, lakes and rivers are some of the most beautiful in the ...
The Government is urging Kiwis to drive safely this summer and reminding motorists that Police will be out in force to enforce the road rules, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“This time of year can be stressful and result in poor decision-making on our roads. Whether you are travelling to see ...
Health Minister Dr Shane Reti says Health New Zealand will move swiftly to support dozens of internationally-trained doctors already in New Zealand on their journey to employment here, after a tripling of sought-after examination places. “The Medical Council has delivered great news for hardworking overseas doctors who want to contribute ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has appointed Sarah Ottrey to the APEC Business Advisory Council (ABAC). “At my first APEC Summit in Lima, I experienced firsthand the role that ABAC plays in guaranteeing political leaders hear the voice of business,” Mr Luxon says. “New Zealand’s ABAC representatives are very well respected and ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has announced four appointments to New Zealand’s intelligence oversight functions. The Honourable Robert Dobson KC has been appointed Chief Commissioner of Intelligence Warrants, and the Honourable Brendan Brown KC has been appointed as a Commissioner of Intelligence Warrants. The appointments of Hon Robert Dobson and Hon ...
Improvements in the average time it takes to process survey and title applications means housing developments can progress more quickly, Minister for Land Information Chris Penk says. “The government is resolutely focused on improving the building and construction pipeline,” Mr Penk says. “Applications to issue titles and subdivide land are ...
The Government’s measures to reduce airport wait times, and better transparency around flight disruptions is delivering encouraging early results for passengers ahead of the busy summer period, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Improving the efficiency of air travel is a priority for the Government to give passengers a smoother, more reliable ...
The Government today announced the intended closure of the Apollo Hotel as Contracted Emergency Housing (CEH) in Rotorua, Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka says. This follows a 30 per cent reduction in the number of households in CEH in Rotorua since National came into Government. “Our focus is on ending CEH in the Whakarewarewa area starting ...
The Government will reshape vocational education and training to return decision making to regions and enable greater industry input into work-based learning Tertiary Education and Skills Minister, Penny Simmonds says. “The redesigned system will better meet the needs of learners, industry, and the economy. It includes re-establishing regional polytechnics that ...
The Government is taking action to better manage synthetic refrigerants and reduce emissions caused by greenhouse gases found in heating and cooling products, Environment Minister Penny Simmonds says. “Regulations will be drafted to support a product stewardship scheme for synthetic refrigerants, Ms. Simmonds says. “Synthetic refrigerants are found in a ...
People travelling on State Highway 1 north of Hamilton will be relieved that remedial works and safety improvements on the Ngāruawāhia section of the Waikato Expressway were finished today, with all lanes now open to traffic, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“I would like to acknowledge the patience of road users ...
Tertiary Education and Skills Minister, Penny Simmonds, has announced a new appointment to the board of Education New Zealand (ENZ). Dr Erik Lithander has been appointed as a new member of the ENZ board for a three-year term until 30 January 2028. “I would like to welcome Dr Erik Lithander to the ...
The Government will have senior representatives at Waitangi Day events around the country, including at the Waitangi Treaty Grounds, but next year Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has chosen to take part in celebrations elsewhere. “It has always been my intention to celebrate Waitangi Day around the country with different ...
Two more criminal gangs will be subject to the raft of laws passed by the Coalition Government that give Police more powers to disrupt gang activity, and the intimidation they impose in our communities, Police Minister Mark Mitchell says. Following an Order passed by Cabinet, from 3 February 2025 the ...
Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Justice Christian Whata as a Judge of the Court of Appeal. Justice Whata’s appointment as a Judge of the Court of Appeal will take effect on 1 August 2025 and fill a vacancy created by the retirement of Hon Justice David Goddard on ...
The latest economic figures highlight the importance of the steps the Government has taken to restore respect for taxpayers’ money and drive economic growth, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. Data released today by Stats NZ shows Gross Domestic Product fell 1 per cent in the September quarter. “Treasury and most ...
Tertiary Education and Skills Minister Penny Simmonds and Associate Minister of Education David Seymour today announced legislation changes to strengthen freedom of speech obligations on universities. “Freedom of speech is fundamental to the concept of academic freedom and there is concern that universities seem to be taking a more risk-averse ...
Police Minister, Mark Mitchell, and Internal Affairs Minister, Brooke van Velden, today launched a further Public Safety Network cellular service that alongside last year’s Cellular Roaming roll-out, puts globally-leading cellular communications capability into the hands of our emergency responders. The Public Safety Network’s new Cellular Priority service means Police, Wellington ...
State Highway 1 through the Mangamuka Gorge has officially reopened today, providing a critical link for Northlanders and offering much-needed relief ahead of the busy summer period, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“The Mangamuka Gorge is a vital route for Northland, carrying around 1,300 vehicles per day and connecting the Far ...
The Government has welcomed decisions by the NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) and Ashburton District Council confirming funding to boost resilience in the Canterbury region, with construction on a second Ashburton Bridge expected to begin in 2026, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Delivering a second Ashburton Bridge to improve resilience and ...
The Government is backing the response into high pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in Otago, Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard says. “Cabinet has approved new funding of $20 million to enable MPI to meet unbudgeted ongoing expenses associated with the H7N6 response including rigorous scientific testing of samples at the enhanced PC3 ...
Legislation that will repeal all advertising restrictions for broadcasters on Sundays and public holidays has passed through first reading in Parliament today, Media Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “As a growing share of audiences get their news and entertainment from streaming services, these restrictions have become increasingly redundant. New Zealand on ...
Today the House agreed to Brendan Horsley being appointed Inspector-General of Defence, Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “Mr Horsley’s experience will be invaluable in overseeing the establishment of the new office and its support networks. “He is currently Inspector-General of Intelligence and Security, having held that role since June 2020. ...
Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden says the Government has agreed to the final regulations for the levy on insurance contracts that will fund Fire and Emergency New Zealand from July 2026. “Earlier this year the Government agreed to a 2.2 percent increase to the rate of levy. Fire ...
The Government is delivering regulatory relief for New Zealand businesses through changes to the Anti-Money Laundering and Countering Financing of Terrorism Act. “The Anti-Money Laundering and Countering Financing of Terrorism Amendment Bill, which was introduced today, is the second Bill – the other being the Statutes Amendment Bill - that ...
Transport Minister Simeon Brown has welcomed further progress on the Hawke’s Bay Expressway Road of National Significance (RoNS), with the NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) Board approving funding for the detailed design of Stage 1, paving the way for main works construction to begin in late 2025.“The Government is moving at ...
The Government today released a request for information (RFI) to seeking interest in partnerships to plant trees on Crown-owned land with low farming and conservation value (excluding National Parks) Forestry Minister Todd McClay announced. “Planting trees on Crown-owned land will drive economic growth by creating more forestry jobs in our regions, providing more wood ...
Court timeliness, access to justice, and improving the quality of existing regulation are the focus of a series of law changes introduced to Parliament today by Associate Minister of Justice Nicole McKee. The three Bills in the Regulatory Systems (Justice) Amendment Bill package each improve a different part of the ...
A total of 41 appointments and reappointments have been made to the 12 community trusts around New Zealand that serve their regions, Associate Finance Minister Shane Jones says. “These trusts, and the communities they serve from the Far North to the deep south, will benefit from the rich experience, knowledge, ...
The Government has confirmed how it will provide redress to survivors who were tortured at the Lake Alice Psychiatric Hospital Child and Adolescent Unit (the Lake Alice Unit). “The Royal Commission of Inquiry into Abuse in Care found that many of the 362 children who went through the Lake Alice Unit between 1972 and ...
It has been a busy, productive year in the House as the coalition Government works hard to get New Zealand back on track, Leader of the House Chris Bishop says. “This Government promised to rebuild the economy, restore law and order and reduce the cost of living. Our record this ...
“Accelerated silicosis is an emerging occupational disease caused by unsafe work such as engineered stone benchtops. I am running a standalone consultation on engineered stone to understand what the industry is currently doing to manage the risks, and whether further regulatory intervention is needed,” says Workplace Relations and Safety Minister ...
Mehemea he pai mō te tangata, mahia – if it’s good for the people, get on with it. Enhanced reporting on the public sector’s delivery of Treaty settlement commitments will help improve outcomes for Māori and all New Zealanders, Māori Crown Relations Minister Tama Potaka says. Compiled together for the ...
Mr Roger Holmes Miller and Ms Tarita Hutchinson have been appointed to the Charities Registration Board, Community and Voluntary Sector Minister Louise Upston says. “I would like to welcome the new members joining the Charities Registration Board. “The appointment of Ms Hutchinson and Mr Miller will strengthen the Board’s capacity ...
More building consent and code compliance applications are being processed within the statutory timeframe since the Government required councils to submit quarterly data, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “In the midst of a housing shortage we need to look at every step of the build process for efficiencies ...
Mental Health Minister Matt Doocey is proud to announce the first three recipients of the Government’s $10 million Mental Health and Addiction Community Sector Innovation Fund which will enable more Kiwis faster access to mental health and addiction support. “This fund is part of the Government’s commitment to investing in ...
New Zealand is providing Vanuatu assistance following yesterday's devastating earthquake, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. "Vanuatu is a member of our Pacific family and we are supporting it in this time of acute need," Mr Peters says. "Our thoughts are with the people of Vanuatu, and we will be ...
The Government welcomes the Commerce Commission’s plan to reduce card fees for Kiwis by an estimated $260 million a year, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly says.“The Government is relentlessly focused on reducing the cost of living, so Kiwis can keep more of their hard-earned income and live a ...
Regulation Minister David Seymour has welcomed the Early Childhood Education (ECE) regulatory review report, the first major report from the Ministry for Regulation. The report makes 15 recommendations to modernise and simplify regulations across ECE so services can get on with what they do best – providing safe, high-quality care ...
The Government‘s Offshore Renewable Energy Bill to create a new regulatory regime that will enable firms to construct offshore wind generation has passed its first reading in Parliament, Energy Minister Simeon Brown says.“New Zealand currently does not have a regulatory regime for offshore renewable energy as the previous government failed ...
Trish McKelvey is listed 139 times in the index of the New Zealand women’s cricket tome The Warm Sun On My Face, authored by Trevor Auger and Adrienne Simpson.She wrote the foreword for the book and headlines two chapters addressing crucial events in the evolution of the sport.McKelvey’s appointment as New Zealand ...
Summer reissue: The New Zealand comedy legend takes us through her life in television, including the time she hugged Elton John and the unshakeable legacy of a girl named Lyn. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please ...
Summer reissue: You really won’t guess how it ends. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member today. First published October 4, 2024. Parliament’s Economic Development, Science ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Mary-Rose McLaren, Professor of Teaching and Learning and Head of Program, Early Childhood Education, Victoria University Collin Quinn Lomax/ Shutterstock Some years ago, my daughter was set a maths problem: how much does it cost to drive a family of ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Catherine E. Wood, Associate Professor and Clinical Psychologist, Swinburne University of Technology Asier Romero/ Shutterstock Christmas is coming, and with it many challenges for parents of young children. You likely have one festive event after another, late nights, party ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Laura Nicole Driessen, Postdoctoral Researcher in Radio Astronomy, University of Sydney Tayla Walsh/Pexels With billions of children around the world anxiously waiting for their presents, Father Christmas (or Santa) and his reindeer must be travelling at breakneck speeds to deliver them ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Daryl Higgins, Professor & Director, Institute of Child Protection Studies, Australian Catholic University Feeling unsure about your child going to a sleepover is completely normal. You might be worried about how well you know the host family, how they manage supervision or ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Milad Haghani, Senior Lecturer of Urban Risk & Resilience, UNSW Sydney Exactly 50 years ago, on Christmas Eve 1974, Cyclone Tracy struck Darwin and left a trail of devastation. It remains one of the most destructive natural events in Australia’s history. Wind ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Irmine Keta Rotimi, Doctoral Candidate, Marketing and International Business department, Auckland University of Technology Videos of children opening boxes of toys and playing with them have become a feature of online marketing – making stars out of children as young as two. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Joanna Nicholas, Lecturer in Dance and Performance Science, Edith Cowan University Tatyana Vyc/Shutterstock Once the end-of-year dance concert and term wrap up for the year it is important to take a break. Both physical and mental rest are important and taking ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kit MacFarlane, Lecturer, Creative Writing and Literature, University of South Australia Capitol Records For those looking to introduce some musical conflict into the holidays, Bob Dylan’s Christmas in the Heart remains a great choice in its 15th anniversary – like it ...
Opinion: It was February 2024 when my friends started getting in touch with me to suggest I run for the Tauranga City Council mayoralty. At the time, the council was governed by four Government-appointed commissioners, who had been in their roles since 2021. Their terms were coming to an end ...
Opinion: As the year winds down and we pause for some reflection, I find myself, as chair of the Holocaust Centre of New Zealand, contemplating the unprecedented hatred aimed at Jewish New Zealanders. Antisemitism – the prejudice, discrimination or hostility directed at Jews – has snowballed to record levels, so much ...
Summer reissue: Joy Cowley reveals her enthralling life story, from a difficult childhood, to getting drunk with Roald Dahl, to encountering an Arctic polar bear. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and ...
Summer reissue: Alex Casey chats to Nadia Lim and Carlos Bagrie about the challenges of life on a 1,200-acre farm in Central Otago, and why they continue to share it with the nation in Nadia’s Farm. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue ...
Summer reissue: Dominion Road has made a name for itself as a destination for authentic, regionally-specific Chinese food. How did it get here?The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign ...
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By Emma Andrews, Henare te Ua Māori journalism intern at RNZ News From being the headline to creating them, Moana Maniapoto has walked a rather rocky road of swinging between both sides of the media. Known for her award-winning current affairs show Te Ao with Moana on Whakaata Māori, and ...
Kick Back has growing concerns about the impact that denying young people access to shelter is having on the mental health and physical safety of the young people we serve. ...
By Litia Cava, FBC News multimedia journalist Fiji Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka has revealed how arms and ammunition used to conduct the 1987 military coup were secretly brought into Fiji on board a naval survey ship. Speaking at the commissioning of a new research vessel for the Lands and Mineral ...
Youth advocates are worried tighter rules for emergency housing could lead to someone dying due to the impacts on mental health and physical safety for those denied shelter. ...
“We urge the Health Select Committee to extend the date for submissions,” concluded Rev Bush. “There is too much at stake to leave the outcome of this review only in the hands of politicians or those with vested interests.” ...
A separate passport, citizenship and membership of the United Nations are only available to fully independent nations, Winston Peters' office says. ...
By Emma Andrews, Henare te Ua Māori Journalism Intern at RNZ News The New Zealand fuel company Z Energy is swapping out street names for “correct” kupu on service stops around the country, with the help of local hapū. When Z took over 226 fuel sites from Shell in 2010, ...
Summer reissue: Was it a false measurement, a full-blown conspiracy or just some mild incompetence? Mad Chapman uncovers the truth of Maddi Wesche’s final throw. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Julie Old, Associate Professor, Biology, Zoology, Animal Science, Western Sydney University Dmitry Chulov, Shutterstock At this time of year, images of reindeer are everywhere. I’ve had a soft spot for reindeer ever since I was a little girl. Doesn’t everyone? ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Grozdana Manalo, Career Services Manager (Education), University of Sydney hedgehog94/Shutterstock Getting casual work over summer, or a part-time job that you might continue once your tertiary course starts, can be a great way to get workplace experience and earn some extra ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Ty Ferguson, Research associate in exercise, nutrition and activity, University of South Australia Peera_Stockfoto/Shutterstock It’s never been easier to stay connected to work. Even when we’re on leave, our phones and laptops keep us tethered. Many of us promise ourselves we ...
The NZ Media Council upheld the complaint under principle four: comment and fact On 5 September 2024, The Spinoff published a brief article titled Made in Palestine, found in 1970s Hastings, which highlighted an upcoming art exhibition featuring photographs of vintage cosmetic products labelled “Made in Palestine.” The piece, described ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kasey Symons, Lecturer of Communication, Sports Media, Deakin University We are well and truly in cricket season. The Australian men’s cricket team is taking centre stage against India in the Border Gavaskar Trophy series while the Big Bash League is underway, as ...
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Here's an intellectual challenge: disinformation & misinformation. Split the difference!
Here's another intellectual challenge:
I'll have a go at that one (first one's too hard). On the face of it, the reporter is telling us that misinformation got up & vacated the msm and 54% of folks strongly believed that it had done so. I recommend deciding the reporter was wrong and meant to write that 54% of folks had exited the msm consumption habit. A feast for grammarians…
Trotter believes the Roy Morgan poll ratings: https://thedailyblog.co.nz/2023/07/07/unstoppable-and-explosive/
He sees
No worries. Ain't a snowball's chance in hell the motley crew in ACT are capable of drafting a constitution let alone achieving a consensus on adopting it.
Please stop re-posting Daily Blog nonsense here. If people what to read it, they can do it for themselves. We can do without Trotter’s over-egged angstsy boomer racism.
Somewhat presupposes political initiatives advocating constitutional reform lack relevance tho. I'm tempted to agree with you but we must proceed on the basis of evidence.
First, you have a party heading north of 15% in the polls advocating it. According to the leftist, that is – I haven't noticed them doing so myself yet.
Second, this other leftist ex-PM has been doing so for quite a while:
@ sanctuary..
What is the problem with diverse points of view..?
Do you yearn for a (pro-nuke) echo chamber…?
He takes a while to get there..but trotters observation is a valid one..
Does he, or is it just a chance to over-extend a metaphor with a slather of florid hyperbole? Perhaps he is bored and longs for some sort of upheaval, and isn't too fussy about what sort. Mostly though, he just needs a good editor.
I did wonder about that. A career essayist always needs a timely angle to develop into a thesis. Dog goes for bone
Agree AB.”Oh the Revolution!
Trotter really does need an editor..
He takes an age to make his point..
And he does that volcano metaphor until way past when the magma has hardened..
But I agree with the point he is making..
Namely the significance of the 7.9 for the maori party in the latest roy morgan poll..
That there is a coalescing consensus round tpm..that is going on within maori political circles..(and why wouldn't they..?..)
And one of the drivers of this is the rise of the racist far-right act party..and their vows to roll back any affirmative action..to tear up the treaty..etc..etc..maori-bashing all the way up to the election..
And for maori..voting for tpm is the most effective way of pushing back against this racist agenda..
I expect tpm to do better than this 7.9% at the actual election…
And as for the election results.. whichever way it goes we are going to have a radical government..
Either the milquetoast national party..their genitals firmly in the grip of act..tearing up the treaty etc..
Or the milquetoast labour party…their genitals firmly in the grip of tpm and the greens..
Where we will see major moves on environmental/poverty issues…
The choice for voters could not be clearer/more focused..
Those days of moaning about lab/nats being tweedle dum and tweedle see…are consigned to history..
The change-train is a'coming..
Good comment, Phillip. Perhaps you have view from a different generation to me. If so, it's helpful. Such a huge move in Maoridom would be historic.
No significance that I can see. One poll doesn't indicate a trend.
Looking at the polling over recent time, that 7+% looks somewhat like an outlier. TPM have tended been in the 3.5% to 4.5% range (way better than where they were at the start of the year).
I'll get interested if TPM get a few more high polls.
Is anyone doing a poll of polls now?
Poll of polls Weka https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2023_New_Zealand_general_election
The trend is quite apparent – Natz on a steady slide under Luxon, Labour on the way up under Chippie.
Act will gain in proportion to Natz loss, while the Greens will remain steady (though I expect them to do better on election day) and the TPM will gain +5%.
A third term Labour/Greens/TPM government, ya hoo!
That was what I linked to on wikipedia for 2023. Right up to date, and generally favouring a left government at present.
The right really doesn't have traction. Compare it to the wikipedia poll pages for 2005 (probably the closest recent analogy). Then have a look at 2008 and 2017 for what two different types of a opposition winning combo looks like.
I don't think the Luxon has quite the political pull power of a Jacinda.
Meanwhile Barry Soper reckons there will be a change of government, coz of the numpties around Hipkins (this is just a reprise of the it's only Clark or Ardern lines).
Barry Soper is pretty useless at any kind of analysis. He seems to hoick most of his reckons out of his arse after having a boozy afternoon as far I can see.
But as you point out, he doesn't have wide repository of talking points (or 'noisome dags' as I prefer to frame them) and frequently recycles them.
I tend to only notice him if he does something surprising like being (in retrospect) actually right about something. Which means I haven't noticed him much for the last 25 years. He is one of those people who just claims analytical skills rather than exhibiting it.
Incidentally this kind of crap was what I would up doing a lot of work on in my youth…..
Matt Whitehead reckons it's technically not a poll of polls. I don't really understand the difference despite him explaining it to me.
https://twitter.com/MJWhitehead/status/1635538144006385664
I assume the wiki is good enough for our purposes in terms of trend.
And I'd agree with him. However with the paucity of polls, the piss-poor sampling techniques used, and the sample sizes, no amount of massaging is going to do much to the lousy data.
Basically he is referring to the kind of data massaging that would work in the US or UK because of the number of polls and the frequency with which they are done. Even there it is fraught with actuality (ie elections) disagreeing with the elegant cross-poll analysis.
For the purposes of getting a general idea of trends (the only thing worth looking at), whoever is doing the wikipedia one has got it about right.
what do you make the GP swing around so much? Even allowing for the RM having outliers, there seems to be a lot of variation.
Statistical variation with smaller numbers plays a part. Only takes a dozen, out of the typical numbers polled, to change the Green result.
Suggests that Green voters are not evenly spread throughout the population also.
oh yeah, I hadn't considered that. So if the 1,000 or whatever people that week happened to be less urban, then less Greens? Wouldn't they be adjusting the pollees for things like rural/urban?
Of course they must have some weightings.
But that is less effective with smaller sample numbers. Those polling Green are in the tens in the normal sample size, while National and Labour are in the hundreds.
It only takes a few differences the sampled population between polls.
The scary correlation, is that voters for the Libertarian lunatics in ACT, appear to be more evenly spread
Something else to factor in… which supports the case I am making..is that maori are notoriously under-polled…
I suspect Māori, like young people, are also under represented in the voting, in both Māori and general rolls, which would cancel out the effect to an extent.
Geoffrey Miller is the Democracy Project’s geopolitical analyst and writes on current New Zealand foreign policy and related geopolitical issues.
A globe-trotting PM blithely joining Aotearoa to NATO while an election campaign gets under way in his absence is just the sort of smart move one would expect from Labour so I get why he's dreaming about it. Nothing wrong with outflanking the Nats on the right. It's a time-tested and proven strategy.
HISTORY.
The sidelining of George Kennan with the continuance of NATO and expansion after the end of the Cold War (and end of the Warsaw Pact). And the consequences of this in Georgia and Ukraine (colour revolution).
China being allowed into the WTO order without formally ending the Korean War and removing American troops or autonomy for Taiwan within China as per Hong Kong. This led to the South China Sea moves and the American response – promotion of democracy in Hong Kong (the 1997 agreement only allowed autonomy till 2047), The resulting crackdown leading to American determination to secure Taiwan's continued self-governance.
USA unilateralism in Iraq and the NATO breach of the no fly zone in Libya leading to the development of BRICS.
The Russia-China alliance leading to Shanghai Co-operation Organisation (includes central Asian states of the former USSR, Pakistan and India and now Iran) and BRI going through Pakistani Kashmir leads to India playing a dual game within the QUAD (all while a BRIC and in the SCO group).
PRESENT
NATO is seeking non European collective security partners – given the UN is compromised by the veto.
Given our historic UN multi-lateralism bi-partisanship – this is easy for Labour.
NATO is also offering to support the containment of China – with partners such as those in the QUAD.
ASIA-PACIFIC
We have a nuclear free Pacific policy – so are not in ANZUS or AUKUS (but are security partners of Oz and might join up to AUKUS 11 – technology development co-operation).
We affirm the International Law of the Sea Conventions, thus have issues with China in the South China Sea. But not in Taiwan.
For us, the issue is not so much involvement in the containment of a nation that is now our major trading partner, but diplomacy.
Outflanking National on the right, bollocks.
It’s so centrist, that National says nothing. They’ll adopt it.
Excellent analysis & I bow to your grasp of the geopolitical relevance.
Outflanking National on the right, bollocks. It’s so centrist, that National says nothing. They’ll adopt it.
Only when in govt. Makes more sense for them to differentiate during the campaign – there are still voters who don't believe they're part of the same team…
Agreed SPC
If our foreign policy is to remain grounded in preserving some kind of rules-based global order in an increasingly multipolar world, we're much better off picking the "side" (such as it is) that's actually committed to preserving said order.
It's an inevitable choice irrespective of what political party is in power here.
Unless we want to abandon multilateralism, lose whatever street cred and trust we've accumulated in our relationships abroad, and sell out to whoever gives us the shiniest baubles irrespective of the political system we'd be implicitly supporting.
That's an option too. Just an incredibly shit one.
While Russia traditionally really dislikes a rules based global order.
The Chinese have done really well out of it once they decided to (mostly) be part of it. In many ways they have been pretty assiduous about following it and are getting better at it (admittedly only if you blur your vision and ignore a few things like the PCA Law of the Sea 2016 (?) decision on South China sea).
Dennis Frank – you must have a lot of time on your hands to indulge yourself so frequently here – up early, trawling sites to find something to enable your intellect to respond to. Be nice to have a variety of commenters though.
I deliberately waited a couple of hours due to Anne's similar hope yesterday, but none of them wrote in. There seems to be a significant dearth of leftists wanting to contribute here. As a radical centrist, I notice the lack from that part of the political spectrum since there was a huge ferment of such folk during my student years half a century back. I associated with them as a kindred spirit.
It's an interesting question on the interface between sociology and political activism: why has the ebb-tide on leftism gone out so far? I don't believe left-wingers are essentially stupid – which is what their collective non-performance indicates. There's something deeper happening in society to produce this mass effect.
You are posting a bit too much Dennis.
But I gave myself a year off until recently, BG. I don't like Labour's sleep-walk. Aotearoa deserves better, and from the Greens too. Stimulating thought processes is a deliberate consciousness-raising strategy to those who deploy it – for the purpose of being helpful, on my part.
Anyone who doesn't like the consequences really ought to focus on themselves rather than me. I suspect leftists may be collectively baffled by their lack of traction. Well, the solution to that problem is to figure out why – not grizzle at anyone who tries to help them do so.
I didn't say what you were posting was a problem, just that it was a little too much. But see my post re Labour and the Greens below. All is not lost!
Yes, there's a real basis upon which to proceed, true. However the campaign is a political marketing exercise & I see no such endeavour on the left yet.
To me framing is the essence of that. Somehow they must weave an overview for the left that makes them seem a viable alternative to National/ACT.
Framing is then the nifty way of capturing the essence of that alternative – effectively enough to distill it into an impression on the minds of floating voters. Vox pops are the standard news media technique for flushing that out of the minds of the people and providing it to political marketers as feedback – so they can see if their message is percolating thro the social ecosystem.
From here on in, I'll be watching such media carefully to discern the zeitgeist. Currently we just have underwhelming by the Nat/Lab duo, with polling reflecting that. Lull before the storm??
Maybe a 600 post per day limit, works elsewhere I hear.
I prefer to give personal attention when required.
Always fun when people give me a opportunity to demonstrate what 4 decades of training on the public nets does to an inherent attribute towards being really nasty and condescending.
But Dennis doesn't seem to deserve my attention.
Having been on the receiving end of your attention once or twice some years ago, that's a relief. I have tried to attune to the ethos here since then.
I realise that being a Labour voter you'll be irritated whenever I do a critique of something they've done or are doing, but I try to give them credit when due and one such occasion occurred earlier today when the PM gave a foreign policy speech. Heard it reported on the RNZ news & thought far out!
He got it right. Not just that, the key points that the editorial staff selected from his speech for their report indicated that they got resonance with the media too. That made him come across as an authentic leader for Aotearoa.
Thought it worthwhile to acknowledge that & I'll write about it on DR. I reckon it's auspicious & could be a real boost for Labour's prospects…
What's stopping you?
I agree.
People:
should be applauded.
Instead it seems to be almost grudging/politics of envy stuff.
If people don't want to read the posts, just scroll on by or make your posts.
Reality if you want to read a good thread, with good intro by Weka and with a good mix of posters, make your way to the science curriculum thread.
Wot shanreagh said..
the easiest way to change that is to comment on the topics you want to see discussed. Anyone can nab the first comment of the day in OM. Or DR
Unless they seem to be depending on it and just trolling.
I still have the little bit of code I wrote a long time ago that would automatically add 12 hours to specific annoying early morning commenters on Open Mike.
Along with the one that refuses high speed comments with a image of a monkey grinning.
tools 😈
A blog without posts is not worth visiting!
Doesn't take much effort to scroll on by.
I assume you mean comments rather than posts, yes?
Yip if your being pedantic, there's official posts posted by the ordained ministers of the standard, then there's freelance post/comments like mr Frank's, then there's ya run of the mill comments like this😉
Ta
'Them's fighting words' Dennis Frank. Hopefully we will have a flurry of interested/interesting posters like we have had in the Science curriculum post.
I don't think Leftism is dead. Take a look at the Green Party tax and social policies. A Wealth Tax, rent controls and livable rental properties, with more to come at the election.
Labour's minimum wage and benefit rises have certainly helped the less well off; the numbers in poverty in NZ are starting to come down. I heard a guy on RNZ the other day saying that the increased minimum wage was encouraging backpackers to take jobs and work longer which is presumably true for locals too.
Under Labour there have been moves favouring public transport (light rail, cheap bus fares, cycleways, investment in rail). More than 10,000 state houses have been added (I saw 14,000 somewhere) and house prices have now fallen significantly from their ridiculous highs-a good thing that is still happening.
http://www.voxy.co.nz/politics/5/405411
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/budget-2023-house-prices-to-fall-21-per-cent-and-not-recover-to-record-highs-until-2027-treasury-says/XXZPA3D7GNBRTIK4LWPBFIKW4I/
A Labour/Green/TPM government will continue this progress. A Luxon/Seymour government will take NZ back to housing bubbles, selling off state houses, tax changes favouring the top 5%, minimum wages frozen, roads of national insignificance and public transport will get crumbs.
Yes, the Greens have some (in my view – excellent) policies that truly differentiate themselves from NAct and Labour. NAct with their rush to make things awful as quickly as possible, and Labour with glacial incremental improvement that is overwhelmed by their love of neoliberal damage.
Now to promote Green policies as much as possible before the election!
My hot take is that the traditional left is dying due to its lack of boldness, desire to provide an actual point of difference from the status quo, and ability to keep it's shit together for longer than an electoral cycle or two.
It makes for good, don't scare the horses, middle-of-the-road, bread and butter politics. But on the flipside makes real progress agonisingly slow and electorally risky.
The question is how to shift the Overton Window back to the left.
It's a matter of time.
A generation without home ownership would have to direct their attention to a regime without CGT (35/36 have one) or estate tax (24/36 have one) and say why not a wealth tax. For a nation without a CGT or estate tax the only alternative is the Greens wealth tax (historic failure to apply a CGT or estate tax catch up).
NACT know this and have a plan.
It's to replace their white boomer vote with an immigrant vote against Maori privilege (an update on their post Rogernmics attack on Maori on welfare).
Thus a government program opposed to UNDRIP implementation, any building on whanau ora and threatening to end WT and the HRC and a re-write of the Treaty – while adopting the US welfare and penal policy model to control "Maori". It would also not surprise if they were to criminalise public space protest.
A bleak prospect indeed SPC.
I agree exactly SPC. While the noise appears in the white corner, the points are being scored quietly with migrants from South East Asia and China.
Homophobic organisation which promotes the chemical castration of same sex attracted and neurodiverse children looses its attempt to close down a charity which supports Lesbian, Gay and Bi-sexual people.
"A transgender rights group has lost its case to have a gay rights organisation stripped of its charitable status in what is believed to be the first case of its kind in the UK.
Mermaids, which supports transgender, non-binary and gender diverse children and their families, had appealed against the decision of the Charity Commission to grant LGB Alliance charitable status in 2021.
It is thought to be the first time in the UK that a charity has sought to have the charitable status of another removed".
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/lgb-alliance-charity-commission-london-jk-rowling-lgbt-b2370444.html
And others call them "transphobic" for being formed
https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/tv/news/matt-lucas-lgb-alliance-trans-b1929993.html.
But at least they did not try and deny another group charity status over the disagreement.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/rosie-duffield-lia-thomas-lbc-yvette-cooper-anneliese-dodds-b2045520.html
It is not just a "simple" disagreement. Gender ideology denies even the very existence of "same sex attraction". We are all supposed to be "homogenderal". We say that is homophobic as hell, and that is before we get into what they are telling children about sex and sexuality.
Linguistic imperialism (narrative control) is what it is. Possibly better put as "homosexualphobic", as not every lesbian, gay or bi person wants to be assimilated into the masculine or feminine or non-binary gender identity empire.
It possibly speaks to one difference within the community – LGB and LGB+. The other being lesbian women solidarity with safe women's spaces, which is a wider society issue.
It would be best if the adults sorted out co-existence in respectful ways without involving the children … there is a difference between educating children about society around them (larger than their own family) without placing them within that world while they are developing.
Adults are a bit complicated (sex, gender, sexuality etc).
https://studylib.net/doc/9063804/transgender-article
I've never heard that term before, but it's spot on. I'd add "linguistic chauvanism" as well. The redefining of accepted terms with fierce enforcement, and shrieks of bigotry and Nazism to anyone who doesn't agree or even understand.
And the other side of the story. Trans youth charity Mermaids was supported by a coalition of LGBTQ+ groups in the challenge to LGB Alliance's charity status. They argued the group "shouldn’t be recognised as a charity because of it ‘exclusively focuses’ on anti-trans campaigning and not on the promotion of lesbian, gay and bisexual rights.” The LGB Alliance HQ is at 55 Tufton St, that nest of UK neo-lib think tanks.
"The tribunal…found Mermaids [due to being a charity itself] does not have legal standing to challenge the Charity Commission’s decision to recognise the LGB Alliance. Though it may be painted as such, the ruling is not a win or a vindication for the LGB Alliance. The ‘gender-critical’ group escaped judgement on a technicality."
"In its ruling, the tribunal stated that its two-person panel was split on the issue of whether the LGB Alliance is rightfully a charity. It declined to make a hypothetical conclusion on the issue. The tribunal also noted that the Charity Commission was seen to have concerns regarding the LGB Alliance going “beyond the boundaries of civilised debate”, and said these concerns “were well-founded”.
You need to be careful with these so called LGBT++++++ groups. Like Stonewall – many of them are now reliant on the T+++++++ for their funding.
In 2001, Stonewall set up the Diversity Champions Programme to act as a stamp of approval that indicated a company properly supported gay employees.
Then things changed; and Stonewall's focus moved away from a genuine desire to help gay people to enforcing its own theories about gender identity."
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11564363/I-helped-Stonewall-today-plead-business-public-body-reconsider.html?fbclid=IwAR0BVBsDuGloVgNrcbsDbIr6kXn5wK7t0qfJolqsWL5sW_yiJVipO941Zy0
The daily mail..?
That hotbed of reactionary agitprop..?
That total rag.. perhaps even a benchmark for reactionary rags..?
You cite this…?
Heh…!
Good luck with that.
Visubversa…The Trots?
what's the technicality?
the T+ activists have run quite the propaganda campaign on this. Pink News can keep that running as long as it likes, but where is the evidence?
Meanwhile, in Feb 2021 Dave Hewitt wrote this fact check on one of the early accusations about LGBA. This highlights a number of common themes in such accusations, and makes a connection with Pink News who also took part in the LGBA hate trans propaganda.
https://www.voidifremoved.co.uk/p/fact-checking-oz-katerji
LGBA's website addressing some of the myths about them,
https://lgballiance.org.uk/facts/
And their purpose,
https://lgballiance.org.uk/policies/
The Charity Commission's original decision April 2021,
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/lgb-alliance/lgb-alliance-full-decision
The tribunal ruling.
https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Mermaids-v-Charity-Commission-judgment-060723.pdf
Hector has fallen. 10 years after the founding of the Taxpayer Union, DPF has retired, wary of the fight against
But the light has not gone
There are good people, who do not agree with Jordan and his allies on the Board.
PS Chasing 3 and 6 year olds around the house would get tiring.
Link?
Just an email this morning.
This on their site.
https://www.taxpayers.org.nz/co_founder_retiring
The insanity of the Australian Liberal Party exposed over Robodebt.
NZ could/should have the same type of Royal Commission over MSD.
Bennett abused her power as a minister, using the media to attack individuals who complained about the impact of the brutality MSD reforms had created.
We also need a serious look at the p-house debacle. A Royal Commission into this would help as well.
40 minute video follows, the first 6 minutes covers all the key points.