So, question for the morning, will the four new water entities be able to trade water with each other? i.e. is this the formation of a national water market?
Depending how the aussies vote, there's a reasonable basis to suspect our PM could have a successful political career in Oz:
New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has once again been ranked Australia's most trusted politician.
The latest Ogilvy PR Believability Index surveyed 1000 Australian voters in February and found that 44 per cent of participants trust Ardern more than they trust any Australian politician.
This is not the first time New Zealand's Prime Minister has been voted Australia's most trusted politician. In 2019, research company Millward Brown polled 1400 Australians and found Ardern scored a believability rating of 77 out of 100.
Ogilvy's Believability Index found Ardern ranked ahead of Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison and the country's leader of the opposition, Anthony Albanese.
A total of 10 per cent of voters in the poll had strong negative feelings towards Ardern, while 34 per cent expressed strong negative feelings towards Morrison and 19 per cent for Albanese.
So if she feels she's done her dash here, and Labour once again loses an unloseable election there, she could emigrate. Oz Labour would love the chance to break their habit of picking losers as leaders. They'd probably organise to stage a party election for the Labour leadership as soon as she joined up. She could make history by becoming first person to lead both countries…
Do you mean the dual citizenship option is unavailable? An old friend of mine has dual US/NZ citizenship. I'd be surprised if our relationship with Oz is so distant that the USA is closer.
Barnaby Joyce, Australia's current DPM, had to resign and then renounce his NZ citizenship before entering Parliament again. Like many of the 600,000 NZers here he didn't know that he had NZ citizenship – he was brought to Oz when he was a small child and just assumed he was Australian.
Koff is correct – Australian law does not permit dual-citizens to serve in their Federal Parliament. I'm not sure how far down the political chain to State and Local govt this law applies, but they are generally much more cautious about covert influence from people who do not necessarily share their interests than NZ is.
Such exclusivism seems peculiar. Perhaps the relic of a nationalist past? I mean, there was that trend of US corporate leaders to get staff saluting the flag each morning yet they still allow dual citizenship.
Do the aussies still sing waltzing matilda at moments of peak nationalism? If ScoMo gets them doing it at his rallies he could win another term…
I would call it a sober appraisal of just easily the politics of smaller nations can be subverted by cash and the soft power inducements of larger ones.
We wouldn't. Dumbing down is already bad enough. However, it does serve the cause of biodiversity. I have no problem with immigrant aussies trying to repower jingoism here. Can't see any such ever getting to be Nat leader but why not give them a try? Revival of tie me kangaroo down sport would be an intriguing cultural morph for young Nats to get into.
You really need to live and work here for a period Dennis. Modern Australia is really very multi-cultural. The office I work in right now has a vibrant mix of Indian, Asian, Black African, Bogan and a token Kiwi – all of whom cheerfully give each other shit on a daily basis.
The same on all the major project sites I have been to in the past decade – huge diversity. And over time this is seeping into their political system.
But they do demand demonstrable loyalty to Australia. Which despite my globalist instincts I do believe is reasonable.
Sounds good, fair enough as far as it goes. Perhaps the imminent election will produce a result in accord with that.
they do demand demonstrable loyalty to Australia
In what form? Unless you mean mere sentiment. Am I loyal to NZ? Not in a zillion years. Am I loyal to Aoteraroa? I feel like I ought to say yes to that. Mere sentiment though. I can't think of how I might express that feeling via meaningful action.
If the answer is Xi Xinping, or Vladimir Putin then I do not want you anywhere near political power. Anywhere.
I agree that ascertaining a person's true intent is impossible, but holding a second passport that is a free ticket to somewhere else if the shit hits the fan does not suggest commitment. Does it?
I acquired a sense of self as a global citizen in the mid-1960s & that has remained the basis of my identity.
If you were to reframe the query as belonging, I've always felt I belong here. However the neocolonialist political infrastructure is just as inadequate as it was back then so I wouldn't expect any intelligent person to commit to loyalty to it.
I acquired a sense of self as a global citizen in the mid-1960s & that has remained the basis of my identity.
And sincerely – good for you. No irony intended.
However most people are going to retain a sane sense of loyalty to their homeland to a larger degree than you. You may be an outlier in this respect. A sense of belonging and loyalty can be thought of as layers of an onion; most people have a core and unshakeable loyalty to family, then to the place and community they grew up in, then more broadly to the nation.
Expanding our moral horizon to encompass the whole of humanity is to add a whole new layer – a now urgent and vital moral project – that will re-shape the purpose and face politics in this century. But this does not necessarily imply that our existing loyalties will vanish either.
Yeah. However, some folk are born to be humanitarian – I know that due to my mother being an exemplar. The global view comes naturally to them since it is innate.
You may be an outlier in this respect.
And in a bunch of other respects too – been a constant theme of my life since childhood. Had to work on how to get an interactive communal context going much of the time!
a now urgent and vital moral project – that will re-shape the purpose and face politics in this century
Definitely a priority learning curve for any player in the game of geopolitics. I feel sorry for the poor buggers! Brainwashed into nationalism from a young age, floundering forever in the morass of a globalised world…
More than half the New Zealand Prime Ministers were born outside New Zealand. It has got a lot better but even in my lifetime there have been 2 who were born overseas. They were Fraser, 1940 – 1949 and Nash, 1957 – 1960.
Nash was the last one though. Everyone since then has been Kiwi born.
You are right about the multi-culturism in Australia though. Even when I lived in Melbourne from the late 80's to mid 90's you saw it, There were quite large areas where you were likely to find no one speaking English as a first language. Greek and Italian were very common with an ever increasing number speaking Vietnamese.
I personally thought that they were very sensible to allow only Australian citizens to have the vote. We should do the same. Compulsory voting still seems a bit of an imposition though.
Yes it is bad before Easter, and from Friday 15th on perhaps through to Anzac day. I remember a few Easters like that. Stay home folk, not the time to be on the road if you can avoid it. Storm watchers week of joy.
How are you Ad?
Yes a direct hit from an ex tropical cyclone for the North Island from Wednesday followed by a fleet brush pass from an ex trop. depression along the eastern border early the next week, and it looks like something is brewing just to the north of New Caledonia for later that week.
We in the North are being punished for 3 months of almost solid sunshine.
Here is a fascinating interview from DW "Conflict Zone" with a former deputy Russian foreign minister. The guy was in Moscow, so obviously had to mind his "ps and qs". But, very insightful none the less.
One of the worrying things that both the interviewer and the Russian guy agreed on was that the prevailing doctrine of "mutually assured destruction" that supposedly derisked the use of nuclear weapons has basically been torn up.
Going forward, the world is going to have to factor in the possibility of an obsessed/crazy dictator with a finger on the nuclear destruct button, and who is prepared to use it, even if it means personal and national self-destruction.
"Going forward, the world is going to have to factor in the possibility of an obsessed/crazy dictator with a finger on the nuclear destruct button"
This has always been the case. There's humans in charge of all these devices.
When told as a child at school one might 'tuck themselves under their desks' in case of nuclear attack, meanwhile reading how these weapons flattened cities in Japan… the assurances of authorities were always a bit of a joke.
The narrative, going forward, will be just as suspect as it's always been.
"Red's under the bed!"
It's not the Reds, it's the f'n leadership, it's always the leadership.
Russia is absolutely no longer functional communist state, although it's refusal to repudiate the monsters of it's past hangs around the current leadership as a very bad smell. After all Putin and most of the Kremlin heads are ex-KGB in one way or another, an entity that has direct history into the Stalin era.
This is the extraordinary thing about Russian politics, first of all how power is deeply centralised into Moscow, and how narrow the entry points are into Russian political management. It makes for an isolated and brittle polity, steeped in both professional and cultural paranoia.
What we have to fear most of all is the chance that the Russian military might collapse, and faced with a choice of a humiliating defeat interpreted by the Kremlin as an existential threat, there is the real possibility – I would rate it as 20% odds – that Putin is capable of retreating to an impregnable bunker and launching a civilisation ending assault as an ultimate act of nihilism. We just cannot tell and this is why NATO and the rest of the world have had their hands heavily tied in their response to the Ukrainian butchery.
The deeply mad thing about this war is that the Kremlin has made all of it's paranoid fantasies about the world hating them come true.
"The deeply mad thing about this war is that the Kremlin has made all of it's paranoid fantasies about the world hating them come true."
Absolutely.
Maybe a massive bounty? If all those Oligarchs have had their fortunes frozen (have they?) perhaps they'd be up for a pot of gold. You don't get to be an Oligarch based on moral principles, surely.
I agree Red. Except I hope that the probability (for all our sakes) is a lot less than 20%.
It is a very thorny problem for the world to deal with. What to do with someone who is threatening nuclear weapon use if he doesn’t get his way? Appeasement will simply encourage such a person.
Probably one thing in the world’s favour, somewhat paradoxically, is Russia’s relationship with China. I think the worst case scenario you describe would be more likely if Putin felt totally isolated with no future at all.
But, the relationship with China probably means this isn’t the case. Hopefully, China will end up performing a moderating role in this conflict.
Yes – thorny is a terrible understatement. I suspect there would be more than a few realists in Europe right now – in their military especially – who are frankly terrified.
Otherwise my comment to Ad below would be pertinent in reply to you.
Yes I saw that just a short while ago – but done no research on it. I would imagine New Delhi will be paying a lot of attention though.
Hypothetically the best outcome would be a new Pakistani leader capable of ending their long-standing conflict with India. That would take the immediate pressure of the Indian govt to maintain their military reliance on Russia.
I was aware of Khan wanting to strengthen trade. Money from the US dried up in Pakistan once the US left Afganistan. I am not sure why Khan was ousted, reliance on trade with China might have been his undoing.
The new regime in Pakistan could be anti Russia and want more traditional influence on its people.
Unlikely that Putin's security depends on any PM in Pakistan:
Pakistan, a nation of 220 million, has struggled with political instability since its formation in 1947, with multiple regime changes and military coups. No prime minister has ever completed a full five-year term under the present constitution of 1973. Khan's ouster comes just short of four years in office
What is going to happen next when it comes to international politics?
Good question. The science of complexity tells us that the trajectory of complex systems is a random walk. To be more precise, it consists of long periods of stasis (stable states) and indeterminate switches between those.
The indeterminacy is ruled by tiny triggers (butterfly effect). Thus tipping points in climate change.
If there's a trend in global politics you can point to that falls into the category of next, I suggest a focus on supply chains. Currently dysfunctional, lurching into motion at times, frozen into temporary stasis at others. You can see the microcosm effects on empty supermarket shelves. So the viability of global trading as the basis of the economy is in question, plus that of neoliberalism – the ideology that uses it in politics. The sensible thing for states to do is reorganise on the basis of a resilient economy – but that requires intelligent design.
We know few govts are capable of that. Necessity being the mother of invention, we await sufficient panic & paranoia to trigger that shift…
As far as atrocities go RL, why do you so steadfastly refuse to repudiate Ukrainian atrocities?
Incidentally , where is the independent investigation into both Bucha , and now Kramatorsk?
Kramatorsk is easily solved, as the serial number of the rocket is clearly visible.
Whose inventory does it belong to?
Same for the serial number of the Toschka lobbed into Donetsk city central area, purely a civilian zone, killing some say 23 , others 20, and injuring 28.That one is known to come from the Ukrainian army
I share your concerns about nuclear annihilation .Lets not forget the near misses in the past, and in these days of heightened tension , a mistake is more likely to happen than not
Mearsheimer is also warning about this, a brief 20 minutes of your time
Worryingly , he sees no way out .Incidentally, knocking off Putin as so many ridiculously suggest, would inflame matters even worse.There are many hardliners way more ruthless than Putin who would seize the moment to come to the fore.
Should we not have had the Nuremberg trials either?
Because in war shit happens?
Are we throwing out the notion of war crimes?
For one thing, if one side treats their prisoners of war decently, the other may reciprocate .Are you willing that soldiers of any side should be summarily executed?
Having said all that, I agree, anyone who starts a war carries ultimate responsibility for that war, but it does not excuse individual acts of savagery, and a free pass for torture of any side
The scenario you are suggesting, everyone loses their humanity, and so it goes.
There's no scenario in my mind where its ok to excuse barbarism .But there we go, you men and your blood lust, gotta have its way
I've been anti-war my entire life so I don't know how you have gone from I think Putin is responsible to all the other of your assertions.
My influences include a teacher who was imprisoned in NZ for being a pacifist and the Whanganui Quaker settlement amongst others.
You from your consistent postings are far more aggressive than I'll ever be. Let's not pretend either than violence is just a male thing either. Women are as capable of violence and hate as men are. Plenty of Queens sent their armies to battle.
And lest we forget.
"At least 30,000 women died here. Some were gassed or hanged, others starved, died of disease or were worked to death.
They were treated brutally by many of the female guards – beaten, tortured or murdered. The prisoners gave them nicknames, such as "bloody Brygyda" or "revolver Anna"."
Now it has the ring of a Culture Club farewell tour playing to shambolic dive bars while still dreaming of the packed stadiums of yesteryear.
Could frame it as thoughtful sleepwalking instead. Would be just as accurate.
Outside of Covid, this administration has a terrible record. Inequality, if you care about that metric, has deteriorated. The only way a working family can now obtain a house is through inheritance. We are toiling longer, with unemployment having fallen, but the wages being earned are worth less thanks to inflation.
Few things better define the Ardern government than the Auckland Harbour cycle path. Announced with great fanfare then quietly forgotten. KiwiBuild, the Provincial Growth Fund, transparency, mental health funding and even the entire Well-Being budget framework have all fallen over.
Overstating the point somewhat, but it's true that govt policy delivery remains underwhelming. Labour would argue that neoliberalism is all about talking the talk. It never has tried to provide a plausible basis for walking the walk.
Where legislation has been passed, it has created perverse outcomes. The poor now struggle to get credit, thanks to changes to the Credit Contracts and Consumer Finance Act. The poor now have to pay more for their petrol cars, thanks to the tax on dirty petrol cars. The poor now struggle to cover the cost of groceries as prices rise faster than wages, thanks in part to changes to the mandate of the Reserve Bank away from a single focus on inflation.
Other than increasing benefits at nearly the rate of inflation, the Ardern Government has achieved close to nothing outside of Covid
Yeah but Labour are a middle-class operation. Tokenism is the expected way to treat the poor. I thought everyone knew that by now.
It is a mistake, however, to write off Ardern. She has not been tested in either of the last two elections. We do not know how this prime minister will perform when the barbarians are at the gate. She remains popular and is one of the most impressive political operators we have seen, and is a master of both the parliamentary and media arenas. Luxon may yet falter, and Ardern has the better of him at Parliament’s question time.
On form, that's true. Current form, however, puts a question-mark over it. When the going gets tough, the tough get going. Not to Oz! So is she tough enough to turn this term into solid progress? That's the question she ought to be pondering.
a worldview that gained wide assent in the West and that instigated revolutionary developments in art, philosophy, and politics. Central to Enlightenment thought were the use and celebration of reason, the power by which humans understand the universe and improve their own condition. The goals of rational humanity were considered to be knowledge, freedom, and happiness.
You can tell how well it worked by considering how knowledgeable everyone is, how free they are, and how happy they are.
Damien Grant would love it if his personal opinion would be(come) “Mood of the Nation bullshit”.
For example, to put all the blame on the Government for inflation is a simpleton’s reckon. Home owners who have just received their recent Notice of Valuation will be dazzled by the large number after the $-sign. The number of new building consents is sky-high. The PGF was a left-over from NZF and Shane Jones and Labour promised to end it at the last election.
Of course, simpletons lap up Mr Grant’s reckons in their typically uncritical fashion.
Housing cost inflation has increased 50% under labour,34% over the pandemic period.Most under the last 2 years due to imaginary money (qe) and low interest rates.
The expected interest rate increases to constrain inflation over the next 2 years will remove 3% of GDP from the real economy to the banks in interest charges alone.
The RBNZ at the start actioned the correct approach,due to the absence of vaccines,this allowed for a circular economy with both increased local savings (due to lockdowns and travel constraints) in November they hesitated due to the Delta event,and in hindsight may have been a wrong action.
The governor at that stage should have been also jawboning both politicians and the press,that housing inflation was a significant stability risk both for the economy and potential buyers.
Every major recession has been predicated by low interest rates,and low unemployment,that is the future if government macro economic policy include both debt and increasing fundamental costs,without producing productivity improvements.
we need to move to a quasi war economy,without having to realise draconian austerity policy in future days.
The productivity problem has been around for years and no Government has been able to crack it – the RBNZ is not the right tree, but Treasury and MBIE are. If the RE in FIRE would stand for Research Enterprise (or Research & Entrepreneurship) instead of Real Estate we would not be having this convo, I reckon. Compare the PGF with Callaghan Innovation, for example, and discuss which one was more successful or likely to be successful longer term and why.
PGF was to enable provincial NZ,to grow,improve services,and allow for provincial job growth. The intention was this would reduce internal migration from the provinces to the larger metros (with all their accompanying problems) Lower cost housing,reasonable infrastructure etc.
PGF was also for more investment into rail,(which now shows foresight) there were issues with some of the tourism ventures,and a lot of the provincial spending was low cost where money stayed more often in the local economy,and not to large multinational construction companies.
i) Upgrade of existing city line ( non kiwi rail) in Whanganui,that allowed direct loading onto container train units by a number of meat works and a dairy factory.
This reduced trucking through both the city to marshaling yards ,and in some cases to Palmerston North.(cost around 3m)
ii) Alliance Lorneville, raising the height of the venison slaughterboard to enable cattle production.This extended the work season for the workers,and increased beef capacity that had to trucked out of the province at seasonal peaks (around 5 mill)
The saving for the above project allowed investment in the co generation energy plant on site.
Callaghan.
i) Ab equipment investment in research and application for multiple heavy equipment mantainence programs,most of the equipment already has onboard systems,so really just a PBX system.
Most likely very usable application for an international company like AB.
Labour has built, and is building, a lot more state houses-Key/English sold them off.
Labour has significantly increased the minimum wage to $21.20.
Labour has introduced a clean car tax.
I could keep listing things that are not in your list but can't be bothered. I do think that Labour needs to publicise its achievements, which are numerous, better or the opposition's tactic of saying they have done nothing (a la Key) will stick.
Inflation and interest rates: up after 10 years of 2-4%
Both of which are global phenomenon driven largely by the fact that 2022 is the year in which fully half the Boomers – the largest post-War generation in most places on earth – enter retirement. On doing so we take with us 40 or more years of skills and experience that are not being replaced at the same rate, and we instantly transition from being massive capital savers, to capital consumers.
I was listening to one of our VPs responsible for one of our major core business units last week. In it he was saying that two things keep him awake at night in the face of record orders, one being the obvious chip shortage crippling delivery – but long terms was finding the talent to meet the astonishing growth opportunities now hammering on our door. Globally at the moment we have over 1,000 open positions, most good, rewarding jobs in a great industry. A fair chunk of this will be normal turnover – but it also explains why doddering dinosaurs like me are still working instead of quietly collecting NZ Super back home.
So no I don't think it fair to land that one entirely at Labour's doorstep.
Crime is down? Really? It certainly doesn't seem like it, both from media (I know, only bad news is reported) and personal communications.
At least in Auckland, it seems as though gun crime has gone through the roof.
And, the police just don't bother turning up for burglaries or 'minor' crime – or investigate, even when there is CCTV footage showing the criminals provided to them.
How about the fact that the state housing waitlist is up 500% since 2017, which is the year of the election that Jacinda promised to end homelessness and fix the housing issue?
and likely also that Sweden joins, we are going to have to see a revisitation of the Charter for European Security signed in November 1999. This is what has been the framework for post-cold war Europe in peaceful co-existence until now.
Its provisions include “the right of each participating State to be free to choose or change its security arrangements including treaties or alliances, as they evolve, as well as the right of each state to neutrality”.
But, good old Sergei Lavrov adds, the charter “directly conditions those rights on the obligation of each state not to strengthen its security at the expense of the security of other states”.
So in Lavrov’s interpretation, that obligation means no signatory can effect a change in the balance of European security by signing up to an alliance.
Russia holds that the charter freezes Europe’s 1999 security relationships in place, and that the subsequent enlargement of NATO represents a breach of that agreement.
To me that kind of language challenges every EU member, including for example Ireland. As well as those who also want to join like Serbia and Montenegro.
The question of a much larger and revived NATO is, well you've got a whole lot more mandate, what good are you going to do with it?
To me the answer is: NATO needs to deliver more than good military defence: its purpose should be revisited and emphasise a whole lot more of its political arm, less of its military, and a far more on broader threats to its members such as climate change, refugee crises, and the undermining of democracies by oligarchies.
Once this current war is contained and smaller, there needs to be a re-settlement of the purpose of NATO.
All good thoughts. While no-one can rule out lingering corners of Russophobia, the dominant European dream of the past 40 years – as embodied by Merkel more than anyone else – was peace and prosperity across the entire Eurasian continent. At least it was until Feb 24. The immediate purpose of NATO now is to crush the Russian state without triggering a nuclear holocaust.
The entry of Finland and Sweden – literally right next door to St Petersberg – is vividly descriptive of Putin's blunder. The almost certain entry of Ukraine within a matter of weeks into the EU is another. Kaliningrad's immediate future is wildly uncertain and Belarus is but one nudge away from a Colour Revolution of it's own. Not to mention Georgia and the four 'Stans each of whom present ongoing problems of their own. The Indians are very uncomfortable partners for the moment and anyone professionally relying on Xi Xinping to underwrite their future needs another job.
The EU will spend the next few years urgently weaning themselves off Russia commodities as fast as possible, and anyone buying Russian oil needs to consider just how reliable that source is when the Russians themselves are making it their business to destroy oil infrastructure wherever they choose. There will be contradictions and challenges in the short term – long term the outcome is certain. Total isolation of the Russian economy to the extent physically possible.
The moment it became clear to political capitals in the West – that the Russian military was so gutted by corruption and incompetence that it would be crushed in any conventional confrontation with the West – the overriding concern became to avoid the nuclear exchange that would the inevitable outcome of such a direct conflict. The only safe path to achieving this is to prevent Putin from achieving his goals in Ukraine – and imposing a political defeat on him at home.
But having said all of that I agree the EU must do something more constructive with it's new found unity well beyond merely defeating Putin. The lesson to be learned is that the nation states must cede their sovereign right to commit war – for fear of the dread consequences of failing to do so.
states must cede their sovereign right to commit war
Nifty moral principle you got there! Hard to disagree, so I'm not inclined to quibble. Implementation would have to happen at the level of the UNSC to be effective.
I therefore encourage concerned citizens to lobby our foreign minister to take the initiative and propose the UN adopt this reform!
Yes. And in case anyone thinks I am a complete US fanboi – I fear the most stubborn hold-out in any such endeavour would be the USA itself.
The reasons are complex, but rooted I think in the geopolitical reality that the North American continent has made them the least dependent on global peace than any other major power. It is a paradox – the nation with the most influence globally, has the least need to engage.
For this reason I am not optimistic about the chances of reforming the UNSC – not just Russia and China as totalitarian holdouts increasingly turning themselves into pariahs, but a USA which has been increasingly ambivalent about the post-WW2 globalisation project since the end of the first Cold War.
Perhaps if everyone else united in a common front and gave the UNSC veto nations an ultimatum to give it away – it might stand a chance.
Leverage. It would take a vote by states in the UN to give it sufficient form and power – power in proportion to the number who vote in support.
Seems like a realistic strategy for UNSC reform. Push comes to shove, those nations could retain a fall-back option to use if the USA, China & Russia joined in opposition to the reform. They could vote to eliminate the SC. Legal viability of that would depend on how the thing is built in international law.
I have been thinking that, once this conflict is over, the democratic world needs to find a way to encourage the formation of, and strengthening of democracies world wide.
One way to do that could be to have a trading block between democratic nations. Entry to that trading block could be requirements such as having free and democratic elections etc.
Simply relying on military force to protect democracies is far too dangerous and on the balance of probabilities, will result in the end of civilisation at some point in the future. As Einstein said “I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.”
After this conflict is at an end, I think the world as a whole needs to decide to abolish nuclear weapons as a whole. There are other weapons available now which probably can do the same job in terms of mutually assured destruction of protagonists without endagering the rest of the world if that is seen as necessary. For instance, large thermobaric bombswhich have city-killing potential
I read this comment above with a small sense of joy. Agree totally.
My only other small thought to add is that we should not imagine that regulating the relations between nations is so very hard. Exactly the same principle is at work inside of the nation state itself at a smaller scale, where individuals give up their right to violence and cede it to the state.
It is just an expansion of perspective; although having said that I am very aware of the challenges.
Why did you think that is what I meant? Last I looked most of the democratic nations routinely yield election results that are fairly closely balanced between liberal and conservative blocs around 50%. Including the USA.
Sometimes you get a landslide election, but usually within a cycle or two it goes back to normal.
You're reminding me of a statement from a thoughtful Chinese Manager I worked with.
"In China you can change the policies, but not the party, in the USA, you can change the party, but not the policies".
Not far wrong!
Niether country is Democratic, in that the general population have no say in policy.
The US Constitution is specifically designed, just like the Chinese one, to ensure that the “great unwashed” can never take the power and more importantly, the money , from the “elite”.
You only have to look at the legislation, in the USA for example, that is only in the interests of a few rich people, and is not supported by the majority.
If you consider that "extreme" then it shows how much you have gone down the "Rabbit hole".
Other than increasing benefits at nearly the rate of inflation, the Ardern Government has achieved close to nothing outside of Covid, and in many key areas the welfare of Kiwis has fallen.
If KiwiBuild and other programmes had been delivered, the electorate might have confidence that this Government had the ability to handle the new challenges facing New Zealand. This is not the case.
In the 2023 debates is it easy to see Luxon facing down the camera and asking an Opposition leader’s favourite question: “Are you better off today than you were six years ago?”
Not all of this is Ardern’s fault. Her agenda was derailed by the pandemic and the paucity of competence within her caucus from which to draw talent. There are only so many portfolios you can force onto Chris Hipkins before he loses focus and begins to bait pregnant journalists trapped in Kabul.
Quite right. Labour could, of course, acknowledge its mistakes. Saying sorry is a strength, not a weakness.
I am surprised we haven't seen any of our Russian-apologist friends here yet spinning the claim that the attack on the Kramatorsk train station must have been a false flag attack by Ukraine on its own people, not by Russia. The argument being that the missile fragments are from Toshka-U missiles, which according to Russia, Ukraine uses but Russia doesn't.
However, this claim has been debunked. There have been severalobservations of Russia bringing Toshka-U missiles into the combat zone. So, Russia definitely had the means and opportunity to launch the attack if Toshka missiles were used.
But, in this case, the Russians had the missiles allegedly used in the attack. And they have had previous form in attacking Ukranian civilians in a wide variety of brutal ways in this conflict.
So, I guess if both forces had the missiles, while the possibility of the Ukranians striking the station with their own missile couldn't be ruled out, the most likely source is from Russia.
It might be that forensic analysis of satellite footage and the like will be able to prove conclusively where the missiles actually came from. But, until then, the most likely explanation is that the Russians did it.
You are probably right. But so called "goodies" often turn out to be much less principled than they claim. Think Dresden and the second atomic bomb dropped needlessly on Nagasaki.
Trying to provoke people into engaging with you comes across as rather desperate. Why don’t you give it a rest and enjoy this Sunday in relative peace and quiet?
Those several observations you refer to Smithfield purportedly showing Russia bringing in Tochkas.
The twitter shows a video, of Tochkas being transported
All of the place names are within Belarus!
There is no mention of them entering Ukraine
The last Tochka attack on civilians was by the Ukrainians on Donetsk City, where there were no military installations, just civilians.March 13
Many died and were wounded, including children
Ukraine blamed Russia, said it must have been a Russian missile (maybe an Iskander which they first blamed Russia using at the Kramatorsk station?)Russia bombing Donetsk city?
Here for a change is an Indian news report, showing the same type of tail section we see at the station
Ok, the tail sections have serial numbers .Apparently foreign reporters have recorded the tail section at the Kramatorsk station .Easy to compare them , and find out whose inventory they're in . Could be Russia has managed to get a Tochka off the Ukrainians , could be Russia has recommissioned its decommissioned Tochkas, whatever, the serial numbers will help, so will the direction of travel .
Dunno, it would seem as daft as Russia bombing Donetsk city, which is what the Ukrainians claimed
What do you think about that Tochka attack?
Slam dunk?
Mistakes happen , the Tochkas are not that accurate, friendly fire happens. Russia (more like the DPR in that area,Kramatorsk being right on the frontline ,could have made a terrible mistake) That area is in the Donbas, Russia doesn’t see those civilians as an enemy target either., many of them are Russian speakers and ethnic Russians.The "Russian" message means nothing .Equally could be a message from the Ukrainians to the Russians.
Can’t think why either side would target those civilians The serial numbers will be the most telling.
DPR, Russia Ukraine, one of them has those serial numbers in their inventory
You might want to ask if anyone would be stupid enough to run a deliberate false flag operation with serial numbers absolutely traceable to them – but dumber things have happened.
Interesting comments from Wall about her resignation on Q + A, according to her Ardern made it clear she wasn't wanted in her cabinet or in her caucus.
Wall mentioned her strong support of Cunliffe over Grant Robertson for leadership and belived that was why she was not leader and I believe her. She also mentioned anger in the party for how she worked in a cross party way to get gay marriage over the line angering labour party leadership.
I forgot how disgraceful the labour party was in not allowing Wall to speak on the parliamentary suicide thing. That was disgusting, if Im remembering correctly, National gave wall some of their parliamentary time to speak. Despicable. So was the deselection.
From opposition Wall did more than the front bench of labour, the front bench of labour in opposition who were dysfunctional, disliked by the public couldn't organize a piss up in a brewery and are now a useless cabinet. How dare these incompetents sledge a back bencher who actually improved people's lives.
This interview makes Ardern look terrible, petty and makes one wonder what hoops one must jump through to get in Arderns cabinet, kiss her and Grant's arse 24/7 and never express an original thought and be able to tick off boxes.
Because if it was based off skill and talent most of that robotic cabinet would not be there, it beggars belief that Fafoi is minister of Justice while Duncan Webb sits outside cabinet. We also have a whole generation of young talent elected in 2017 and 2020 who are not getting any leadership experience for opposition and future governments because cabinet is full of no hopers with little talent.
Ardern desperately needs a cabinet reshuffle and I'd like to hear her side of the story why was Wall and effective opposition mp turfed out and ignored and treated at every step disgustingly by labour leadership.
I respect Ardern, but I think her cabinet are a bunch of losers that other than Grant, Andrew, Chris Hipkins, the employment minister, the former minister of police , Kiri and maybe Carmel (maybe) should ALL be reshuffled to make way for new talent.
Clark would have thrown loads of these people under the bus long ago.
Now that the opposition is starting to get it's shit together it's time labour actually bled the dead wood and get it's shit together. A stronger opposition needs a stronger government which means a stronger executive.
If Wall wasn't good enough to be in cabinet or even caucus no way these lightweights deserve to be ministers of the crown.
Good luck to Wall in whatever she does and shame on the Labour party for treating her like this, Labour is supposedly a big tent party, clearly it'd rather be a hive mind.
I've long had your critical view of Labour so nothing there surprises me. I had hoped the current lot were an improvement but it looks like they aren't.
I didn't see the interview but it sounds like I ought to have. I hope it will alert others to the perennial deceit strategy Labour applies to its recruits. Too bad the hypocrisy is so deep-rooted – but it does explain why so few talented folk show up in their ranks.
If anyone wonders why Treaty issues, transgender issues, and 3-Waters don't get decent debate outside of Twitter or specialist sites like TS, here's an analysis on why:
You bet! I predict this is a sleeper that will catch fire sometime soon. I find myself siding with the right for a change. Liam Hehir, who I've enjoyed making funny of online a few times in past years, has got this issue right. If anything, he's actually understating his point too much. Watch this space!
One can not ask questions when one is supposed to offer blind support, and in some cases the job of asking non questions might actually depend on being obediently supportive. We all end up losers and misinformed.
I think Adams article is really important and raises the problem with our msm.
Although there have been some very challenging discussions on the standard about Trans ideology, I have appreciated that the debate has been and continues to be had here.
Adams raises the issue of SUFW being deemed by a High Court Judge as NOT a hate group. Yet the trans ideology activists labelled this group a hate grooup and worked to have their platform shut down. The women in this group are mostly left wing progressive feminists. They were trying to say that biological sex matters and should be factored in in areas such as sports, female spaces, prisons hospital wards etc.
If the article about the Greens changing their Kaupapa so the the co-leadership has to be a female and one other gender, whilst I applaude that it is deeply hypocritical of them. That is if they mean the female should be a biological female.
Surely for the sake of fairness it would be a female presenting human, a male presenting human and one other gender so three leaders is what they need?
Not really much of a debate, if you go back and look, tbf.
Following it, I'm of the opinion most readers will have seen it as a topic to avoid getting burned over by a vocal minority. Me, I just gave up 'cause I think you're shit.
Trans rights is now a "trans ideology". It's not about trans people anymore and for some, hasn't been for a very long time.
My mistake. Should be gender ideology, not trans ideology.
The debate was/is about does gender trump biological sex. A lot of women think that in some circumstances it doesn't, e.g. sport, women's prisons, women's hospital wards, womens toilets and change rooms to name a few. No one on this site has been able to disaude me from this with any rational arguements. Very often biological sex will be more important than gender identity e.g. the swimming championships in the US where transwoman Lia Thomas is beating women and women's records in the pool, then changing in the locker room with girls while she still has her male genitals intact.
I remember that you have a trans child and so propobably this is a painful debate to engage in as like any parent you would prioritize their needs.
finally please don't call me shit. I don't like it
My problem is that outside of competitive sport, which I ignore as being entertainment and waste of time and effort, I can't see how any of the other gender vs biology focuses matter at all.
No-one so far has managed to explain to me, why wanting to shift gender matters at all to society or politics or even law for anything outside of sport.
Sport = a small culdesac of insane obsessives and couch potatoes wanting something to easy to argue over nothing substantive.
Basically listening to people waffling on about it has the same kind of coherence as listening to the obsessive rantings about the greatness of the Slavs – the same kind of idiotic shit that leads to bigots wars. WW2 being an exampler for the germans, japanese, and a host of other nations
Each time this topic gets raised I get annoyed because all of the examplers are about bloody sport. Which has led me to the opinion that there are no more important and actual issues related to it.
Of course there needs to be regulation about irreversible gender treatments. But that is a medical issue about consent and an issue for the people giving it – especially dor those who are younger.
But that doesn't appear to be what the semi-mystical calls appear to be about. And the lack of a coherent reasoning – outside of bloody sport – leads me to view it as just another form of simple bigotry.
Well just for a start I prent, here is an article that relates to sport, but is actually about safe guarding of women and girls.
,Lia Thomas is a trans woman, who is biologically male and beating all sorts of records in the pool against women.
I get that you don't give a toss about sport, that's fair enough. But Lia, who is attracted to women has been given the right to change in the women's change rooms and is frequently seen in there with their genitals out.
Women such as myself think this is a problem and so do the parents of these young female swimmers. This article I have linked relates how despite these parent's complaints there has been no reponse back.
I am happy to continue with listing all the ways that many women feel this is a problem (just as SUFW tried to do, but were shut down).
However before I do so, I rather hear from you that you do want to hear the other ways this ideology is problematic. You have said before that you don't want to get entangled in this debate, which of course is your right.
But, I really think that there are places (outside of sports) which need to be for women (biologically adult females) only.
Many, many, many women in prison have been victims of rape and sexual assault throughout their lives. They really don't need to be shut up in prison with another abuser.
And from a Swedish study which found that:
“The study provides strong evidence that policy makers cannot safely assume (a)
that transwomen’s offending patterns, including violent offending, will be
significantly different than those of the general male population or (b) that they will
be similar to those of the general female population.”
In legal terms we treat women and men equally under our laws regardless of gender frequencies. Rape, infanticide, assault, sexually violating…. It is all the same standard for conviction. In the case of rape – there is a specific mention of a penis. However most cases these days are in S128(3) of the crimes act with sexual violation because then there is no need to prove penile penetration.
Women sexually violating other women, women sexually violating men, men sexually violating women, men sexually violating men. It is gender neutral because that way it is simpler to get a conviction.
The criminal act is all governed by the same legislation. The frequency of offending simply isn't a criteria for conviction. So why bring it up?
So that 'study' is completely irrelevant.
If I understand you correctly, you are arguing that a frequency of possible offending is an argument for taking pre-emptive legal action.
It is the exact equivalent of saying that all men are rapists, and should be made eunuchs at birth to reduce future offending. For that matter that all women should have their tubes cut pre-puberty to reduce the rate of teen pregnancy.
In other words, your implied but unstated argument (so cowardly to make it that way), is so weak that you could logically extend it to justify cutting the hands off anyone who may become a thief.
Perhaps you should look at the moral foundations of your indignation and tell me how you can justify judging others on something that they haven't done yet – but could possibly do – because they are in the right demographic?
Unfortunately something like 95% of all violent crime is perpetrated by males. This is a vital distinction for women to make for their own safety and survival & they have to demographically pre-judge people all the time
Unfortunately, the criminal population is pre-selected for violence, including sexual violence.
There is no doubt that women in prison are at greater risk from male sexual and physical violence (including trans violence) – which is why there are women's prisons to begin with.
The Swedish study showed that the rate of criminal conviction among trans women matched that of men, not of women. That is a valid point to consider.
Are you arguing that there should be no distinction. That there should just be one prison population.
Well just for a start I prent, here is an article that relates to sport, but is actually about safe guarding of women and girls.
Not interested. That isn't evidence – that is you just being disparaging to me after I stated that I can't see how you take something as stupid as sport, and use it to smear a range of people who aren't participating in sport.
It is simply offensive to me to offer that as an argument.
Quick question I prent. The issue I presented you with was a factual story about female swimmers complaining because their trans gender competitor is a male bodied and the authorities have deemed that it is o.k for Lia to change in the women's change room (girls are complaining that they are exposed to Lia's male genitals). You say it isn't "evidence" but really that is semantics.Is this o.k. that these young women are forced to share what was once a single sex change room with a male bodied person? To date you haven't answered this question. YOu have deflected from doing so, by claiming it is not "evidence",
You seemed to have also made this issue about whether sport is worthy or not and becase you don't care about it or perhaps even hate sport the issue becomes not important.
I have no interest in disparaing you over whether you like sport or not. It's not my business and I have no judgement on that. You are absolutely entittled to your opinion on sport, but that opinion isn't really relevant to this topic.
I am completely at a loss to understand why you think that it is "offensive to me to offer this as an arguement". You see I find it offensive that those young women have to put up with this male bodied person in their change room and when their parents complain, they get no response.
Why Sport and not the other stuff? Maybe ask the news media about what they choose to publish and what gets buried. But the statistics coming out of gender clinics is that there is a 4000% explosion in the number of young people seeking treatment. Something is going on, quite likely a social contagion amongst vulnerable teenage girls, spread via toxic social media, and enforced by vocal bullies on a moralistic cursade.
(thread) "What's incredible is we've known for over 100 years the power of suggestibility in shaping mental illnesses and yet so many doctors in gender clinics fail to see the obvious truth. Or perhaps many see it but are spineless cowards who allow children to be harmed on their watch./11"
(article) "But if you heard bigotry in the PM’s words, you weren’t really listening: Johnson sounded moderate and realistic. Meanwhile Labour continues to flail in the background over whether or not men can get pregnant."
(thread analysing legal falsehoods in the Guardian) "I can’t believe I’ve had to create a Twitter account to talk about this terrible article by @zoesqwilliams. It’s wrong in many ways but I’ll restrict myself to the legal errors, which are quite extraordinary"
(thread – cf advice from gender clinics) 'They don't just "stop puberty". They stop "growth". They stop bones developing, and becoming strong. They stop muscles stretching and filling with blood and protein. (They stop brain development.) They stop the beautiful process of human growth.' (see also)
So while I agree that gender is a social construct, and often oppressive, there are some rather large omissions and misrepresentations in mainstream narratives. At present sports is just the tip of an ideological iceberg that threatens the rights and safety of women and children, denies biological reality, demands conformity to its (religious) edicts, and demands dubious medical procedures for mental illness.
Please state it very clearly. Because at present I simply can’t see one apart from some frightened people making up silly stories.
Sure there are few hothead on the trans side. Sounds like they’re a bit offensive and activist. Neither appears to be any more of an issue of being either dangerous nor chargeable. Obnoxious activists are a dime a dozen in many causes.
I have constrained myself to only the most basic and anodyne support for the SUFW position. I am reasonably sure you don't commenting on gender related topics otherwise.
Each time this topic gets raised I get annoyed because all of the examplers are about bloody sport. Which has led me to the opinion that there are no more important and actual issues related to it.
It is pretty simple from my position. I wind up reading this crap here periodically. What I haven't see is a decent case or even a decent argument for changing laws.
I see tinges of ones periodically – mostly to do with delayed puberty. What I don't see is any actual evidence of issues that are outside the normal range of human behaviour. Humans overlap right across genders in most things when you look at the whole range of human capabilities.
This is at its base a issue of technology. What is being discussed (surgery, drugs) probably wasn’t possible a century ago. Just as today males can’t carry children to term, and growing children in a tube isn’t possible. Both probably will be over the next century.
But professional or competitive sport? If we anted to legislate society on that basis, then we'd trying to legislate on the basis of a small end of the demographic curve – where there is a difference between males and females. Also a difference between Bantu and Pygmy. Between ages.
That is a useless place to start a discussion on. It is also just about the only place that SUFW arguments seem to articulate about.
I'm just going to heap contempt on it until they either find an actual argument that applies to the range of humanity and can fit into a reasonable legal basis. Or I find that I just have to stand up in public in opposition to their measures and call down the bigots for motivations that I suspect they aren't willing to discuss.
I am not deeply opposed to your position either, you make a your case clearly and forcefully. The deep inconsistency here is that if sex is eradicated as a meaningful distinction – which is the basis of trans ideology – then logically the basis of feminism evaporates along with it.
As has been said of nuclear war – a strange game in which the only way to win is not to play.
Which of the n forms of feminism are you thinking of? It has splits that make the potential 5th international look like miracle of conformity.
Well humanism will persist for a while.
But personally I'm seriously committed to geekism. rapidly getting into ageism as I acquire grey hairs, and can't see why programmers can't rule the world as engineers abrogate control of their tools to software.
I'm sure that differences will survive. After all you only have to look at tiktok or Instagram to see 'isms proliferating variants like a virus without copy protection.
Look, I can see issues with teens – who aren't exactly the most rational – going and doing something stupid. So just clearly legislate. We do that for smoking, driving cars, drinking alcohol, using certain types of other legal drugs – prescribed or otherwise.
While you're at it, also legislate against idiotic parents and coaches pushing kids into sports. That kind of abuse does at least as much damage to orderly development – this isn't exactly hard to find. Just read the journals of sports medicine. Or look at most sports teams that have sports wannabes trying to get into professional or even just national sport.
At present sports is just the tip of an ideological iceberg that threatens the rights and safety of women and children, denies biological reality, demands conformity to its (religious) edicts, and demands dubious medical procedures for mental illness.
How? Really what I'm talking about is that if someone of reasonably sound mind over the age of say 25 decides to change gender.
What grounds do you or anyone else have for stopping them? Start from that point.
What would be your stance. Convince me that there is an issue there. How does that affect women in any meaningful way. If you assert that it does, then where is the godamn evidence of issues? Where are the charges and convictions?
Save your unstated (therefore irrelevant) scare points for someone who gets off on vicarious horror. I couldn't give a shit about stupid propaganda from social conservatives. That is the same crap that we heard about 'inherently criminal' to support racism, sexism, and various forms of homophobia.
I have heard all of that crap before – to me it simply says that some idiots are upset, but don't want to admit that they have a problem with difference.
On an individual level I don't have a problem with an adult changing gender. But there is a suite of beliefs that certain activist elements feel compelled to evangelise and demand everyone comply with. Of course these activists claim to be part of some kind of rights movement. Weird how their rights are more important than women and girls who don't wish to share intimate spaces with biological males. Or have to face them in sports competition. Or have awards, scholarships, appointments that are reserved for women to be colonised by autogynephilic males who get a buzz from pretending to be women.
Academics who assert that women are adult human females, are routinely subjected to bullying and harassment and hounded out of their jobs. Kathleen Stock, Maya Forstater, Jo Phoenix, Rosa Freedman, Lisa Littman, Helen Joyce. (not to mention J. K. Rowling who has received uncountable death threats, or our own Rachel Stewart who was subjected to a smear campaign, and the advocacy org SUFW which is routinely slandered). Many of these cancellations are well documented, but many more are not — here are 28 examples. Also, nurses, rape victims, female refugees have been stung by activists for daring to ask for their own space away from men.
This is a toxic movement founded on false premises.
There is no gendered soul separate from the body. No-one is born in the wrong body. Humans are male and female. Nobody should be cancelled for using a word (woman) correctly. People cannot change sex, despite the promises of cosmetic surgery and hormones. Gender dysphoria is a psychological issue and needs compassion and care, for sure. But the solution is rarely at the end of a scalpel.
In your entire comment there is literally nothing that supports anything of significance. It is all assertions, and arbitrary definitions. Essentially it reads like someone saying that others don't respect someone making up a arbitrary framework and being impolite enough to state that, and to do something about it.
Academics who assert that women are adult human females…
That is an assertion, probably one that is incorrect to many people. For instance teenage human females, and many pre-pubescent human females would probably find that offensive. Does the status go away with menopause? What about someone who is infertile?
I'd take a bet that you can't find a actual scientific or even legal definition for 'women' that has any significant validity.
It is a meaningless arbitrary societal label, and probably quite language/culture dependent from what I remember from anthro courses.
Basically inventing a arbitrary label purely to exclude others has had a long history in the study of bigotry.
It does tend to be quite triggering at offending others. Basically anyone who does it needs to have their mental health looked at. In this case probably some of the people you're supporting.
There is no gendered soul separate from the body
I'm very agnostic on what I consider to be religious fantasies. Never seen any evidence for a soul.
As I read a lot, I have investigated the whole set of ideas across multiple religious and faith based practices in depth. I have concluded that I have no particular capacity for having faith.
Several of my relatives do. I'm usually polite enough to ignore them or express polite disbelief when they start using it in conversations with me.
However if anyone uses that as part of an argument related to some kind of judgement implied or explicit about me, then I tend to class them as being deliberately offensive. It is an imposition of someone else's value system on me.
Typically I react to it in a immoderate manner, typically pulling out parts of their faith's rather poor history, by pointing out inconsistencies , by comparing it to some other faith or whatever I find most useful as a lesson.
I'd take a bet that if I looked into the depths of these '28 cancellations' that I could find some highly offensive behaviours to others that triggered the response that they got. Why – because many of the responses described in your links are characteristic of the way that many people in a freeish society deal with bloody minded bigots trying to push their arbitrary ideas on others.
Because most stoushes usually arise from some pig-headed fool being absolutely that they're right, pushing their own ideas do the gullet of others, and not bothering to be aware or have respect for the opinions of others.
However the fact that tempers get raised and that people take legitimate and legal actions against others that they disagree with is neither here nor there.
What you haven't managed to address at all is anything about the underlying issues. All you've done is stated opinions. Pointed to no substantive evidence that I could see.
All I see is a number of people making shit up and numbers that has no particular basis in anything I'd view as substantive measurable and reproducible fact. Basically just more of the bullshit in my opinion.
Disappointing that the opinions of eminent academics and respected feminists are so easily dismissed as bigotry or religiously motivated or made-up bullshit.
Sure there is probably occasional overreach in gender critical rhetoric, but there is enough substance there to take their claims seriously.
I have no interest in trying to stop someone over 25 changing gender. That is absolutely their choice.
There are currently 25,000 young de-transitioners on reddit who have had irreversible damage done to their bodies e.g. double masectomies, which they now regret, because as you rightly put out teens do stupid things and rather than the adults they encountered protecting them, they enabled it.
You say so just legislate it against it. "We do that for smoking "etc. Good luck with that. Be prepared to be called a transphobe if you question affirmation and medical transition of very young children.
The reality is that the affirmative care model which is pushed by some Rainbow groups deems that if a young teen presents as trans then you have to affirm and confirm their gender identity and then assist them to medically transition. This is what the controversy was over including gender identity in the Conversion Practices Bill was about.
However, have you ever looked at the regret syndromes for tattoos, various coming of age rituals over multiple cultures.
There are currently 25,000 young de-transitioners on reddit..
That is an assertion. Where is the supporting evidence with the methodology to support that number. Just to give you an idea, I could probably generate a few thousand 'people' on reddit for any cause purely with a phrase book
The reality is that the affirmative care model which is pushed by some Rainbow groups deems…
Which is exactly what legislation is put in to control all of the time.
I completely agree with you comments about regret. Tattoos, all sorts of coming of age rituals. Our brains aren't fully developed till we are 25 years old and so teens and young adults do all sorts of "crazy" things that result in regret……..And the job of the adults around them is to help steer them away from harm….
The thing about the medical transition of teens, is that these treatements are often irreversable. Puberty Blockers, which use to be use to treat sex offenders, block puberty. The evidence is from the Tavistock Clinic in the UK that nearly 100% of kids on puberty blockers then transfer to cross sex hormones ie. oestrogen and testosterone. Then what often follows is surgery i.e. what is politely called top surgery ie a double masectomy and sometimes bottom surgery. It is not unheard of for young women to be given hysterectomies. When you think of how drastic these interventions are and with bottom there is a huge risk of complications, it is not hard to see that many young people may come to regret these interventions that have caused irreversible damage to their healthy bodies.
I have references for all of this and will post if requested. One such reference was the case study of a young woman from Christchurch who featured in a Listener article in June 2021. She was given puberty blockers around the age of 14, then cross sex hormones. A double masectomy around 18 and then a hysterectomy not long after this. At 23 years old she started to have regrets. When the journalist met her, she had facial and body hair and an Adams apple and a deep voice (all from the effects of testorone. She had realized after going through all of this that in fact she was a lesbian and didn't have a male identiy at all.
Incidentally, I just dug into the Crimes Act 1961 and Summary Offences Act 1981 looking at language as an exercise. These are the mainstays of criminal prosecution in NZ and are probably the oldest active legislation
Essentially the old legal definitions of woman and man have effectively steadily been removed since 1961. Summary Offences doesn't have any as far as I can see.
The Crimes Act only has Archaeological mostly repealed or replaced artefacts.
(3) Where a woman who is married or in a civil union commits an offence, the fact that her spouse or civil union partner was present at the commission of the offence does not of itself raise a presumption of compulsion.
s98 Dealing in slaves
s178 Infanticide – there is a lot of material in here. Most of it looks pretty old. Essentially seems to to be circumlocutions around questions of insanity.
And that it is all all. I couldn't locate any other legislation mentioning woman or women. 'Man' is also missing. As is 'boy' or 'girl'
Essentially where required, male and female are sparingly used. A definition on genitalia (includes constructed or reconstructed), penis. Plus two sections the first is very old, and the second was added 'recently' in 1996
Louisa was a double international wasn't she? Netball and rugby. Would have been a great minister of sports. Who got that? Oh the Min of Fin….surely he didn't need to be so grabby. Oh but he loves being a sports fan…counts more than Louisas epic ness as a person and hardworking mp.
Yeah, but Minister of Sport is a bauble of power – you get to go to the All Bklacks games (which has probably not been so much of an issue over the last 2.5 years).
Those are reserved for the people who have toed the party line, or who want a nice cherry on top of a difficult portfolio.
In any case, it would have been a sad waste of Wall's talent and passion to have shuffled her off into a meaningless portfolio like Sport.
Binders full of women an interesting interview with Louisa on Q and A this morning. Apologies, no link.
It was made clear to Louisa that she would never be in Cabinet (by Jacinda). Matt McCarten said on the Daily Blog podcast that it was because she was a difficult person. Louisa today said she thought it dated back to her support for David Cunliffe over Grant Robinson during the leadership contest
Louisa today said she thought it dated back to her support for David Cunliffe over Grant Robinson during the leadership contest.
That was nearly 10 years ago although admittedly the fallout continued for a few years afterwards. Louisa Wall strikes me as a very determined woman – which is laudable – but she is intolerant of others who may have had a slightly different point of view. I understand it affected her ability to manage a cohesive electorate team and it is my view that was far more likely the cause of her demise in politics.
In other words she was a little too much of a maverick. Her new position sounds like it is far better suited to her than parliament.
Because having a candidate parachuted in at late notice, over the expressed wishes of the local electorate team – doesn't sound as though Wall had problems with her electorate team (or they with her).
And Wall's (in these days) astonishing ability to build cross-party support for legislation doesn't sound as though she is "intolerant of others with a different point of view'".
She was shafted by the Labour machine (looking at you Claire Szabo) because she wasn't a nice obedient little sheep. Evidence is that she was replaced by a cookie-cutter Labour MP – who so far, at least, hasn't made a single noteworthy statement either inside or outside the house.
And, it would have had to have been okayed by Ardern – which makes me think less of her.
There is zero chance in hell that a party president (from any party) would de-select a sitting MP without at least consulting the party leader. Especially when the party is in government.
Really, you think that Szabo would have blind-sided Ardern over this?
Still haven't seen the evidence I asked for about a speculation over the local electorate team not wanting Wall.
If it's OK to speculate one way, it's OK to speculate the other.
And it isn't just me speculating that Ardern had to have OK'd it – it was fairly widely covered at the time by political commentators.
Some may be puzzled as to why Jacinda Ardern and Grant Robertson have not quietly intervened earlier and it is easy to surmise that they could have but were not motivated to do so.
Rolling a sitting MP is not a usual thing….. Not a routine bit of party business that the party leader doesn't need to be bothered by.
Do you have any evidence that Ardern protested this disloyalty to one of her team of MPs – either formally or informally?
Her only comment, that I can find, is that it was a matter for the local electorate committee (which is thoroughly disingenuous when 3 of the 7 come from head office and routinely block vote)
Don’t be a dimwitted fool. Just because someone else hasn’t answered your questions doesn’t mean you can make up BS and not back it up when asked.
In case you haven’t noticed, this is not the NZH and behind a fucking paywall, but TS and free. If Audrey Young had written that here on TS I might have questioned her too, especially if she’d just asked for “any evidence” from another commenter.
Audrey Young, of all people, speculating in NZH doesn’t let you off the hook speculating here on TS! That would be the logic of a dim-witted fool.
And you were saying that you’ve been thinking less of Ardern for the last 2 years because of Audrey Young’s speculations in NZH? It sounds like you’re somewhat biased and cannot think for yourself.
When you mention “head office”, do you imply more direct influence and involvement by Ardern, without any support to back it up?
Here’s another statement of fact that you may want to back up:
(which is thoroughly disingenuous when 3 of the 7 come from head office and routinely block vote)
You may know a lot more about the inner workings of the Labour Party, but equally, you may also make up a lot of BS. So, how veracious are your comments here really?
Well, it looks like Belladonna doesn't know too much about the inner workings of the Labour Party after all. At least not according to former Labour Party president, Mike Williams.
… former Labour president Mike Williams said Wall was replaced as Labour's Manurewa candidate at the last election because she lost the support of the electorate committee.
Thanks. We already have so much fake news, reckons, and BS flying around in MSM and SM (there is a Post on this parallel to OM: https://thestandard.org.nz/why-trust-in-the-media-is-declining/) that we shouldn’t encourage more of this behaviour here on TS. In fact, we should actively discourage it, which is what I tried, but I ran into the usual wall of belligerence. I hate having to resort to moderation, but I will increasingly use it.
"Still haven't seen the evidence I asked for about a speculation over the local electorate team not wanting Wall."
From an online Herald article which appeared around 8pm last night which I picked up later that evening:
However, former Labour president Mike Williams said Wall was replaced as Labour's Manurewa candidate at the last election because she lost the support of the electorate committee.
So, it would seem the understanding I was given at the time was correct.
I think Louisa Wall is showing signs of harbouring a deep grudge against Jacinda Ardern. Whether or no she has grounds for it I am not in a position to know, but I suspect her perception of Ardern – and others – have been distorted by that grudge.
Having been part of the inner circles of party politics and later observing events from the periphery, I've seen it happen before. Therefore I base my judgement on my experiences and the instincts developed because of them.
I also know Mike Williams and I see no reason for him to castevents in a light suitable to himself. In fact I don't believe he has done so. As far as I know all he has done is confirm what happened. The Manurewa LEC requested the selection of another candidate presumably because they were having difficulty working with Louisa Wall.
If I want to express an opinion in a mild and conversational way to a fellow long-term commenter I will do so Belledonna. By all means disagree with that 'opinion' but it is time you did so with more circumspection and in a less dogmatic way. Some of what you have said @ 16.1.1 does not meet the criteria of undisputed fact at all. Just somebody else's opinion.
Oh and btw, for your information it is the Labour Party Council who control electoral matters not the leader. Parliament caucus has representation on that council but by no means do they have the final say.
How far away from declaring war and a full draft do you think?
This entire affair is infuriating yet somewhere in my soul I still feel a deep sorrow for all the young men on both sides both brutalised and crushed on the altar of Putin's paranoia.
An unidentified person reported a bomb threat at the Historical Museum on Red Square in Moscow, a law enforcement source reports: http://go.tass.ru/jpLXG
Perhapsunlikely to quickly redeployis a little optimistic. But I live in hope.
Russian forces are increasingly refusing to reenter combat, and the Kremlin remains unlikely to quickly redeploy effective forces from northeastern Ukraine to operations in Donbas. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that more than 80% of personnel in some unspecified Russian units previously involved in combat operations are refusing to return to the front.[1] Russian commanders are reportedly refusing to release soldiers whose service contracts have expired, forcing them to stay with their units. The Ukrainian GUR (Military Intelligence) claimed to have intercepted a letter from Russian Chief of Missile Troops and Artillery Mikhail Matveevsky to several Russian training centers calling for further censorship of troops undergoing training, and encouraged propaganda highlighting the monetary benefits of serving in the war.[2] Elements of Russia’s 6th Combined Arms Army (CAA), 20th CAA, 1st Guards Tank Army, and coastal troops of the Northern and Baltic Fleets continue efforts to regroup for likely redeployment to eastern Ukraine.[3] The General Staff additionally reported that Russian Western Military District Commander Colonel General Alexander Zhuravlev (the first explicit mention of Zhuravlev since the war began) is planning to remove Major General Ivan Belyavsky from the position of the head of the WMD personnel department due to low recruitment numbers.[4]
The Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP) is the European Union's (EU) course of action in the fields of defence and crisis management, and a main component of the EU's Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP).
The CSDP involves the deployment of military or civilian missions to preserve peace, prevent conflict and strengthen international security in accordance with the principles of the United Nations Charter. Military missions are carried out by EU forces established with secondments from the member states' armed forces. The CSDP also entails collective self-defence amongst member states[a] as well as a Permanent Structured Cooperation (PESCO) in which 25 of the 27 national armed forces pursue structural integration. The CSDP structure — headed by the Union's High Representative (HR/VP), Josep Borrell, and sometimes referred to as the European Defence Union (EDU) in relation to its prospective development as the EU's defence arm
This is a re-post from Yale Climate ConnectionsA farmworker cleans the solar panels of a solar water pump in the village of Jagadhri, Haryana Country, India. (Photo credit: Prashanth Vishwanathan/ IWMI) Decisions made in India over the next few years will play a key role in global ...
Lindsay Mitchell writes – The Children’s Minister, Karen Chhour, intends to repeal Section 7AA from the Oranga Tamariki Act 1989 because it creates conflict between claimed Crown Treaty obligations and the child’s best interests. In her words, “Oranga Tamariki’s governing principles and its act should be colour ...
Geoffrey Miller writes – The gloves are off. That might seem to be the undertone of surprisingly tough talk from New Zealand’s foreign and trade ministers. Winston Peters, the foreign minister, may be facing legal action after making allegations about former Australian foreign minister Bob Carr on Radio New Zealand. ...
Brian Easton writes – This is about the time that the Treasury will be locking up its economic forecasts to be published in the 2024 Budget Economic and Fiscal Update (BEFU) on budget day, 30 May. I am not privy to what they will be (I will report on them ...
TL;DR:Winston Peters is reported to have won a budget increase for MFAT. David Seymour wanted his Ministry of Regulation to be three times bigger than the Productivity Commission. Simeon Brown is appointing a Crown Monitor to Watercare to protect the Claytons Crown Guarantee he had to give ratings agencies ...
The gloves are off. That might seem to be the undertone of surprisingly tough talk from New Zealand’s foreign and trade ministers. Winston Peters, the foreign minister, may be facing legal action after making allegations about former Australian foreign minister Bob Carr on Radio New Zealand. Carr had made highly ...
I could be a florist'Round the corner from Rye LaneI'll be giving daisies to craziesBut, baby, I'll wrap you up real safe Oh, I can give you flowers At the end of every dayFor the center of your table, a rainbowIn case you have people 'round to stay Depending on ...
TL;DR: The six key events to watch in Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy in the week to May 12 include:PM Christopher Luxon is scheduled to hold a post-Cabinet news conference at 4 pm today. Finance Minister Nicola Willis will give a pre-budget speech on Thursday.Parliament sits from Question Time at 2pm on ...
The price of the foreign affairs “reset” is now becoming apparent, with Defence set to get a funding boost in the Budget. Finance Minister Nicola Willis has confirmed that it will be one of the few votes, apart from Health and Education and possibly Police, which will get an increase ...
A listing of 26 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, April 28, 2024 thru Sat, May 4, 2024. Story of the week "It’s straight out of Big Tobacco’s playbook. In fact, research by John Cook and his colleagues ...
Yesterday I received come lovely feedback following my Star Wars themed newsletter. A few people mentioned they’d enjoyed reading the personal part at the beginning.I often begin newsletters with some memories, or general thoughts, before commencing the main topic. This hopefully sets the mood and provides some context in which ...
April 30 was going to be the day we’d be calling Mum from London to wish her a happy birthday. Then it became the day we would be going to St. Paul's at Evensong to remember her. The aim of the cathedral builders was to find a way to make their ...
Rob MacCulloch writes – Can’t remember the last book by a Kiwi author you read? Think the NZ government should spend less on the arts in favor of helping the homeless? If so, as far as Newsroom is concerned, you probably deserve to be called a cultural ignoramus ...
Eric Crampton writes – Grudges are bad. Better to move on. But it can be fun to keep a couple of really trivial ones, so you’re not tempted to have other ones. For example, because of the rootkit fiasco of 2005, no Sony products in our household. ...
A new report warns an estimated third of the adult population have unmet need for health care.Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāHere’s the six key things I learned about Aotaroa’s political economy this week around housing, climate and poverty:Politics - Three opinion polls confirmed support for PM Christopher Luxon ...
Today is May the fourth. Which was just a regular day when my mother took me to see the newly released Star Wars at the Odeon in Rotorua. The queue was right around the corner. Some years later this day became known as Star Wars Day, the date being a ...
Buzz from the Beehive Much more media attention is being paid to something Winston Peters said about former Australian Foreign Minister Bob Carr than to a speech he delivered to the New Zealand China Council. One word is missing from the speech: AUKUS. But AUKUS loomed large in his considerations ...
Is the economy in another long stagnation? If so, why?This is about the time that the Treasury will be locking up its economic forecasts to be published in the 2024 Budget Economic and Fiscal Update (BEFU) on budget day, 30 May. I am not privy to what they will be ...
The annual list of who's been bribing our politicians is out, and journalists will no doubt be poring over it to find the juiciest and dirtiest bribes. The government's fast-track invite list is likely to be a particular focus, and we already know of one company on the list which ...
In the weeks after the October 7 Hamas attacks on Southern Israel I wrote about the possible 2nd, 3rd and even 4th order effects of the conflict. These included new fronts being opened in the West Bank (with Hamas), Golan … Continue reading → ...
Peter Dunne writes – It is one of the oldest truisms that there is never a good time for MPs to get a pay rise. This week’s announcement of pay raises of around 2.8% backdated to last October could hardly have come at a worse time, with the ...
David Farrar writes – Newshub reports: Newshub can reveal a fresh allegation of intimidation against Green MP Julie-Anne Genter. Genter is subject to a disciplinary process for aggressively waving a book in the face of National Minister Matt Doocey in the House – but it’s not the first time ...
The Treasury has published a paper today on the global productivity slowdown and how it is playing out in New Zealand: The productivity slowdown: implications for the Treasury’s forecasts and projections. The Treasury Paper examines recent trends in productivity and the potential drivers of the slowdown. Productivity for the whole economy ...
Winston Peters’ comments about former Australian foreign minister look set to be an ongoing headache for both him and Luxon. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The podcast above of the weekly ‘hoon’ webinar for subscribers features co-hosts and , along with regular guests on Gaza and ...
These puppet strings don't pull themselvesYou're thinking thoughts from someone elseHow much time do you think you have?Are you prepared for what comes next?The debating chamber can be a trying place for an opposition MP. What with the person in charge, the speaker, typically being an MP from the governing ...
The land around Lyme Regis, where Meryl Streep once stood, in a hood, on the Cobb, is falling into the sea.MerylThe land around Lyme Regis, around the Cobb that made it rich, has always been falling slowly but surely into the sea. Read more ...
Buzz from the Beehive Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters was bound to win headlines when he set out his thinking about AUKUS in his speech to the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs. The headlines became bigger when – during an interview on RNZ’s Morning Report today – he criticised ...
The Post reports on how the government is refusing to release its advice on its corrupt Muldoonist fast-track law, instead using the "soon to be publicly available" refusal ground to hide it until after select committee submissions on the bill have closed. Fast-track Minister Chris Bishop's excuse? “It's not ...
As pressure on it grows, the livestock industry’s approach to the transition to Net Zero is increasingly being compared to that of fossil fuel interests. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / Getty ImagesTL;DR: Here’s the top five news items of note in climate news for Aotearoa-NZ this week, and a discussion above ...
The New Zealand Herald reports – Stats NZ has offered a voluntary redundancy scheme to all of its workers as a way to give staff some control over their “future” amidst widespread job losses in the public sector. In an update to staff this morning, seen by the Herald, Statistics New Zealand ...
On Werewolf/Scoop, I usually do two long form political columns a week. From now on, there will be an extra column each week about music and movies. But first, some late-breaking political events:The rise in unemployment numbers for the March quarter was bigger than expected – and especially sharp ...
David Farrar writes – The Herald reports: TVNZ says it is dealing with about 50 formal complaints over its coverage of the latest 1News-Verian political poll, with some viewers – as well as the Prime Minister and a former senior Labour MP – critical of the tone of the 6pm report. ...
Muriel Newman writes – When Meridian Energy was seeking resource consents for a West Coast hydro dam proposal in 2010, local Maori “strenuously” objected, claiming their mana was inextricably linked to ‘their’ river and could be damaged. After receiving a financial payment from the company, however, the Ngai Tahu ...
Alwyn Poole writes – “An SEP,’ he said, ‘is something that we can’t see, or don’t see, or our brain doesn’t let us see, because we think that it’s somebody else’s problem. That’s what SEP means. Somebody Else’s Problem. The brain just edits it out, it’s like a ...
Our trust in our political institutions is fast eroding, according to a Maxim Institute discussion paper, Shaky Foundations: Why our democracy needs trust. The paper – released today – raises concerns about declining trust in New Zealand’s political institutions and democratic processes, and the role that the overuse of Parliamentary urgency ...
This article was prepared for publication yesterday. More ministerial announcements have been posted on the government’s official website since it was written. We will report on these later today …. Buzz from the BeehiveThere we were, thinking the environment is in trouble, when along came Jones. Shane Jones. ...
New Zealand now has the fourth most depressed construction sector in the world behind China, Qatar and Hong Kong. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: These are the six things that stood out to me in news and commentary on Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy at 8:46am on Thursday, May 2:The Lead: ...
Hi,I am just going to state something very obvious: American police are fucking crazy.That was a photo gracing the New York Times this morning, showing New York City police “entering Columbia University last night after receiving a request from the school.”Apparently in America, protesting the deaths of tens of thousands ...
Winston Peters’ much anticipated foreign policy speech last night was a work of two halves. Much of it was a standard “boilerplate” Foreign Ministry overview of the state of the world. There was some hardening up of rhetoric with talk of “benign” becoming “malign” and old truths giving way to ...
Graham Adams assesses the fallout of the Cass Review — The press release last Thursday from the UN Special Rapporteur on violence against women and girls didn’t make the mainstream news in New Zealand but it really should have. The startling title of Reem Alsalem’s statement — “Implementation of ‘Cass ...
This open-for-business, under-new-management cliché-pockmarked government of Christopher Luxon is not the thing of beauty he imagines it to be. It is not the powerful expression of the will of the people that he asserts it to be. It is not a soaring eagle, it is a malodorous vulture. This newest poll should make ...
The latest labour market statistics, showing a rise in unemployment. There are now 134,000 unemployed - 14,000 more than when the National government took office. Which is I guess what happens when the Reserve Bank causes a recession in an effort to Keep Wages Low. The previous government saw a ...
Three opinion polls have been released in the last two days, all showing that the new government is failing to hold their popular support. The usual honeymoon experienced during the first year of a first term government is entirely absent. The political mood is still gloomy and discontented, mainly due ...
National's Finance Minister once met a poor person.A scornful interview with National's finance guru who knows next to nothing about economics or people.There might have been something a bit familiar if that was the headline I’d gone with today. It would of course have been in tribute to the article ...
Rob MacCulloch writes – Throughout the pandemic, the new Vice-Chancellor-of-Otago-University-on-$629,000 per annum-Can-you-believe-it-and-Former-Finance-Minister Grant Robertson repeated the mantra over and over that he saved “lives and livelihoods”.As we update how this claim is faring over the course of time, the facts are increasingly speaking differently. NZ ...
Chris Trotter writes – IT’S A COMMONPLACE of political speeches, especially those delivered in acknowledgement of electoral victory: “We’ll govern for all New Zealanders.” On the face of it, the pledge is a strange one. Why would any political leader govern in ways that advantaged the huge ...
Bryce Edwards writes – The list of former National Party Ministers being given plum and important roles got longer this week with the appointment of former Deputy Prime Minister Paula Bennett as the chair of Pharmac. The Christopher Luxon-led Government has now made key appointments to Bill ...
TL;DR: These are the six things that stood out to me in news and commentary on Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy at 10:06am on Wednesday, May 1:The Lead: Business confidence fell across the board in April, falling in some areas to levels last seen during the lockdowns because of a collapse in ...
Over the past 36 hours, Christopher Luxon has been dong his best to portray the centre-right’s plummeting poll numbers as a mark of virtue. Allegedly, the negative verdicts are the result of hard economic times, and of a government bravely set out on a perilous rescue mission from which not ...
Auckland Transport have started rolling out new HOP card readers around the network and over the next three months, all of them on buses, at train stations and ferry wharves will be replaced. The change itself is not that remarkable, with the new readers looking similar to what is already ...
Completed reads for April: The Difference Engine, by William Gibson and Bruce Sterling Carnival of Saints, by George Herman The Snow Spider, by Jenny Nimmo Emlyn’s Moon, by Jenny Nimmo The Chestnut Soldier, by Jenny Nimmo Death Comes As the End, by Agatha Christie Lord of the Flies, by ...
On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
Have a story to share about St Paul’s, but today just picturesPopular novels written at this desk by a young man who managed to bootstrap himself out of father’s imprisonment and his own young life in a workhouse Read more ...
The list of former National Party Ministers being given plum and important roles got longer this week with the appointment of former Deputy Prime Minister Paula Bennett as the chair of Pharmac. The Christopher Luxon-led Government has now made key appointments to Bill English, Simon Bridges, Steven Joyce, Roger Sowry, ...
Newsroom has a story today about National's (fortunately failed) effort to disestablish the newly-created Inspector-General of Defence. The creation of this agency was the key recommendation of the Inquiry into Operation Burnham, and a vital means of restoring credibility and social licence to an agency which had been caught lying ...
Holding On To The Present:The moment a political movement arises that attacks the whole idea of social progress, and announces its intention to wind back the hands of History’s clock, then democracy, along with its unwritten rules, is in mortal danger.IT’S A COMMONPLACE of political speeches, especially those delivered in ...
Stuck In The Middle With You:As Christopher Luxon feels the hot breath of Act’s and NZ First’s extremists on the back of his neck and, as he reckons with the damage their policies are already inflicting upon a country he’s described as “fragile”, is there not some merit in reaching out ...
The unpopular coalition government is currently rushing to repeal section 7AA of the Oranga Tamariki Act. The clause is Oranga Tamariki's Treaty clause, and was inserted after its systematic stealing of Māori children became a public scandal and resulted in physical resistance to further abductions. The clause created clear obligations ...
Buzz from the Beehive The government’s official website – which Point of Order monitors daily – not for the first time has nothing much to say today about political happenings that are grabbing media headlines. It makes no mention of the latest 1News-Verian poll, for example. This shows National down ...
It Takes A Train To Cry:Surely, there is nothing lonelier in all this world than the long wail of a distant steam locomotive on a cold Winter’s night.AS A CHILD, I would lie awake in my grandfather’s house and listen to the traffic. The big wooden house was only a ...
Packing A Punch: The election of the present government, including in its ranks politicians dedicated to reasserting the rights of the legislature in shaping and determining the future of Māori and Pakeha in New Zealand, should have alerted the judiciary – including its anomalous appendage, the Waitangi Tribunal – that its ...
Dead Woman Walking: New Zealand’s media industry had been moving steadily towards disaster for all the years Melissa Lee had been National’s media and communications policy spokesperson, and yet, when the crisis finally broke, on her watch, she had nothing intelligent to offer. Christopher Luxon is a patient man - but he’s not ...
Chris Trotter writes – New Zealand politics is remarkably easy-going: dangerously so, one might even say. With the notable exception of John Key’s flat ruling-out of the NZ First Party in 2008, all parties capable of clearing MMP’s five-percent threshold, or winning one or more electorate seats, tend ...
Bryce Edwards writes – Polling shows that Wellington Mayor Tory Whanau has the lowest approval rating of any mayor in the country. Siting at -12 per cent, the proportion of constituents who disapprove of her performance outweighs those who give her the thumbs up. This negative rating is ...
Luxon will no doubt put a brave face on it, but there is no escaping the pressure this latest poll will put on him and the government. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: These are the six things that stood out to me in news and commentary on Aotearoa-NZ’s political ...
This is a re-post from The Climate Brink by Andrew Dessler In the wake of any unusual weather event, someone inevitably asks, “Did climate change cause this?” In the most literal sense, that answer is almost always no. Climate change is never the sole cause of hurricanes, heat waves, droughts, or ...
Something odd happened yesterday, and I’d love to know if there’s more to it. If there was something which preempted what happened, or if it was simply a throwaway line in response to a journalist.Yesterday David Seymour was asked at a press conference what the process would be if the ...
Ministers must front up about which projects it will push through under its Fast Track Approvals legislation, Labour environment spokesperson Rachel Brooking said today. ...
The Government is again adding to New Zealand’s growing unemployment, this time cutting jobs at the agencies responsible for urban development and growing much needed housing stock. ...
With Minister Karen Chhour indicating in the House today that she either doesn’t know or care about the frontline cuts she’s making to Oranga Tamariki, we risk seeing more and more of our children falling through the cracks. ...
The Labour Party is saddened to learn of the death of Sir Robert Martin, a globally renowned disability advocate who led the way for disability rights both in New Zealand and internationally. ...
Labour is calling for the Government to urgently rethink its coalition commitment to restart live animal exports, Labour animal welfare spokesperson Rachel Boyack said. ...
Today’s Financial Stability Report has once again highlighted that poverty and deep inequality are political choices - and this Government is choosing to make them worse. ...
The Green Party is calling on the Government to do more for our households in most need as unemployment rises and the cost of living crisis endures. ...
Unemployment is on the rise and it’s only going to get worse under this Government, Labour finance spokesperson Barbara Edmonds said. Stats NZ figures show the unemployment rate grew to 4.3 percent in the March quarter from 4 percent in the December quarter. “This is the second rise in unemployment ...
The New Zealand Labour Party welcomes the entering into force of the European Union and New Zealand free trade agreement. This agreement opens the door for a huge increase in trade opportunities with a market of 450 million people who are high value discerning consumers of New Zealand goods and ...
The National-led Government continues its fiscal jiggery pokery with its Pharmac announcement today, Labour Health spokesperson Ayesha Verrall says. “The government has increased Pharmac funding but conceded it will only make minimal increases in access to medicine”, said Ayesha Verrall “This is far from the bold promises made to fund ...
This afternoon’s interim Waitangi Tribunal report must be taken seriously as it affects our most vulnerable children, Labour children’s spokesperson Willow-Jean Prime. ...
Te Pāti Māori are demanding the New Zealand Government support an international independent investigation into mass graves that have been uncovered at two hospitals on the Gaza strip, following weeks of assault by Israeli troops. Among the 392 bodies that have been recovered, are children and elderly civilians. Many of ...
Our two-tiered system for veterans’ support is out of step with our closest partners, and all parties in Parliament should work together to fix it, Labour veterans’ affairs spokesperson Greg O’Connor said. ...
Stripping two Ministers of their portfolios just six months into the job shows Christopher Luxon’s management style is lacking, Labour Leader Chris Hipkins said. ...
Tonight’s court decision to overturn the summons of the Children’s Minister has enabled the Crown to continue making decisions about Māori without evidence, says Te Pāti Māori spokesperson for Children, Mariameno Kapa-Kingi. “The judicial system has this evening told the nation that this government can do whatever they want when ...
It appears Nicola Willis is about to pull the rug out from under the feet of local communities still dealing with the aftermath of last year’s severe weather, and local councils relying on funding to build back from these disasters. ...
The Government is making short-sighted changes to the Resource Management Act (RMA) that will take away environmental protection in favour of short-term profits, Labour’s environment spokesperson Rachel Brooking said today. ...
Labour welcomes the release of the report into the North Island weather events and looks forward to working with the Government to ensure that New Zealand is as prepared as it can be for the next natural disaster. ...
The Labour Party has called for the New Zealand Government to recognise Palestine, as a material step towards progressing the two-State solution needed to achieve a lasting peace in the region. ...
Some of our country’s most important work, stopping the sexual exploitation of children and violent extremism could go along with staff on the frontline at ports and airports. ...
The Government’s Fast Track Approvals Bill will give projects such as new coal mines a ‘get out of jail free’ card to wreak havoc on the environment, Labour Leader Chris Hipkins said today. ...
The government's decision to reintroduce Three Strikes is a destructive and ineffective piece of law-making that will only exacerbate an inherently biased and racist criminal justice system, said Te Pāti Māori Justice Spokesperson, Tākuta Ferris, today. During the time Three Strikes was in place in Aotearoa, Māori and Pasifika received ...
Cuts to frontline hospital staff are not only a broken election promise, it shows the reckless tax cuts have well and truly hit the frontline of the health system, says Labour Health spokesperson Ayesha Verrall. ...
The Green Party has joined the call for public submissions on the fast-track legislation to be extended after the Ombudsman forced the Government to release the list of organisations invited to apply just hours before submissions close. ...
New Zealand’s good work at reducing climate emissions for three years in a row will be undone by the National government’s lack of ambition and scrapping programmes that were making a difference, Labour Party climate spokesperson Megan Woods said today. ...
More essential jobs could be on the chopping block, this time Ministry of Education staff on the school lunches team are set to find out whether they're in line to lose their jobs. ...
Te Pāti Māori is disgusted at the confirmation that hundreds are set to lose their jobs at Oranga Tamariki, and the disestablishment of the Treaty Response Unit. “This act of absolute carelessness and out of touch decision making is committing tamariki to state abuse.” Said Te Pāti Māori Oranga Tamariki ...
The Government has delivered on its election promise to provide a financially sustainable model for Auckland under its Local Water Done Well plan. The plan, which has been unanimously endorsed by Auckland Council’s Governing Body, will see Aucklanders avoid the previously projected 25.8 per cent water rates increases while retaining ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters discussed the need for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, and enhanced cooperation in the Pacific with German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock during her first official visit to New Zealand today. "New Zealand and Germany enjoy shared interests and values, including the rule of law, democracy, respect for the international system ...
The Minister Responsible for RMA Reform, Chris Bishop today released his decision on four recommendations referred to him by the Western Bay of Plenty District Council, opening the door to housing growth in the area. The Council’s Plan Change 92 allows more homes to be built in existing and new ...
Thank you, John McKinnon and the New Zealand China Council for the invitation to speak to you today. Thank you too, all members of the China Council. Your effort has played an essential role in helping to build, shape, and grow a balanced and resilient relationship between our two ...
The Government is modernising insurance law to better protect Kiwis and provide security in the event of a disaster, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly announced today. “These reforms are long overdue. New Zealand’s insurance law is complicated and dated, some of which is more than 100 years old. ...
The coalition Government is refreshing its approach to supporting pay equity claims as time-limited funding for the Pay Equity Taskforce comes to an end, Public Service Minister Nicola Willis says. “Three years ago, the then-government introduced changes to the Equal Pay Act to support pay equity bargaining. The changes were ...
Structured literacy will change the way New Zealand children learn to read - improving achievement and setting students up for success, Education Minister Erica Stanford says. “Being able to read and write is a fundamental life skill that too many young people are missing out on. Recent data shows that ...
Trade Minister Todd McClay says Canada’s refusal to comply in full with a CPTPP trade dispute ruling in our favour over dairy trade is cynical and New Zealand has no intention of backing down. Mr McClay said he has asked for urgent legal advice in respect of our ‘next move’ ...
The rights of our children and young people will be enhanced by changes the coalition Government will make to strengthen oversight of the Oranga Tamariki system, including restoring a single Children’s Commissioner. “The Government is committed to delivering better public services that care for our most at-risk young people and ...
The Government is making it easier for minor changes to be made to a building consent so building a home is easier and more affordable, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “The coalition Government is focused on making it easier and cheaper to build homes so we can ...
New Zealand lost a true legend when internationally renowned disability advocate Sir Robert Martin (KNZM) passed away at his home in Whanganui last night, Disabilities Issues Minister Louise Upston says. “Our Government’s thoughts are with his wife Lynda, family and community, those he has worked with, the disability community in ...
Good evening – Before discussing the challenges and opportunities facing New Zealand’s foreign policy, we’d like to first acknowledge the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs. You have contributed to debates about New Zealand foreign policy over a long period of time, and we thank you for hosting us. ...
From today, passengers travelling internationally from Auckland Airport will be able to keep laptops and liquids in their carry-on bags for security screening thanks to new technology, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Creating a more efficient and seamless travel experience is important for holidaymakers and businesses, enabling faster movement through ...
People with an interest in the health of Northland’s marine ecosystems are invited to a public meeting to discuss how to deal with kina barrens, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones says. Mr Jones will lead the discussion, which will take place on Friday, 10 May, at Awanui Hotel in ...
Kiwi exporters are $100 million better off today with the NZ EU FTA entering into force says Trade Minister Todd McClay. “This is all part of our plan to grow the economy. New Zealand's prosperity depends on international trade, making up 60 per cent of the country’s total economic activity. ...
There are heartening signs that the extractive sector is once again becoming an attractive prospect for investors and a source of economic prosperity for New Zealand, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. “The beginnings of a resurgence in extractive industries are apparent in media reports of the sector in the past ...
The return of the historic Ō-Rākau battle site to the descendants of those who fought there moved one step closer today with the first reading of Te Pire mō Ō-Rākau, Te Pae o Maumahara / The Ō-Rākau Remembrance Bill. The Bill will entrust the 9.7-hectare battle site, five kilometres west ...
Energy Minister Simeon Brown has announced 25 new high-speed EV charging hubs along key routes between major urban centres and outlined the Government’s plan to supercharge New Zealand’s EV infrastructure. The hubs will each have several chargers and be capable of charging at least four – and up to 10 ...
The coalition Government will not proceed with the previous Government’s plans to regulate residential property managers, Housing Minister Chris Bishop says. “I have written to the Chairperson of the Social Services and Community Committee to inform him that the Government does not intend to support the Residential Property Managers Bill ...
The Government has announced an independent review into the disability support system funded by the Ministry of Disabled People – Whaikaha. Disability Issues Minister Louise Upston says the review will look at what can be done to strengthen the long-term sustainability of Disability Support Services to provide disabled people and ...
Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith has attended the Universal Periodic Review in Geneva and outlined the Government’s plan to restore law and order. “Speaking to the United Nations Human Rights Council provided us with an opportunity to present New Zealand’s human rights progress, priorities, and challenges, while responding to issues and ...
The Government and Rotorua Lakes Council are committed to working closely together to end the use of contracted emergency housing motels in Rotorua. Associate Minister of Housing (Social Housing) Tama Potaka says the Government remains committed to ending the long-term use of contracted emergency housing motels in Rotorua by the ...
Trade Minister Todd McClay heads overseas today for high-level trade talks in the Gulf region, and a key OECD meeting in Paris. Mr McClay will travel to Riyadh to meet with counterparts from Saudi Arabia and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). “New Zealand’s goods and services exports to the Gulf region ...
Education Minister Erica Stanford has outlined six education priorities to deliver a world-leading education system that sets Kiwi kids up for future success. “I’m putting ambition, achievement and outcomes at the heart of our education system. I want every child to be inspired and engaged in their learning so they ...
The new NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) App is a secure ‘one stop shop’ to provide the services drivers need, Transport Minister Simeon Brown and Digitising Government Minister Judith Collins say. “The NZTA App will enable an easier way for Kiwis to pay for Vehicle Registration and Road User Charges (RUC). ...
Whānau with tamariki growing up in emergency housing motels will be prioritised for social housing starting this week, says Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka. “Giving these whānau a better opportunity to build healthy stable lives for themselves and future generations is an essential part of the Government’s goal of reducing ...
Racing Minister Winston Peters has paid tribute to an icon of the industry with the recent passing of Dave O’Sullivan (OBE). “Our sympathies are with the O’Sullivan family with the sad news of Dave O’Sullivan’s recent passing,” Mr Peters says. “His contribution to racing, initially as a jockey and then ...
Assalaamu alaikum, greetings to you all. Eid Mubarak, everyone! I want to extend my warmest wishes to you and everyone celebrating this joyous occasion. It is a pleasure to be here. I have enjoyed Eid celebrations at Parliament before, but this is my first time joining you as the Minister ...
Associate Health Minister David Seymour has announced Pharmac’s largest ever budget of $6.294 billion over four years, fixing a $1.774 billion fiscal cliff. “Access to medicines is a crucial part of many Kiwis’ lives. We’ve committed to a budget allocation of $1.774 billion over four years so Kiwis are ...
Hon Paula Bennett has been appointed as member and chair of the Pharmac board, Associate Health Minister David Seymour announced today. "Pharmac is a critical part of New Zealand's health system and plays a significant role in ensuring that Kiwis have the best possible access to medicines,” says Mr Seymour. ...
Hundreds of New Zealand families affected by Fetal Alcohol Spectrum Disorder (FASD) will benefit from a new Government focus on prevention and treatment, says Health Minister Dr Shane Reti. “We know FASD is a leading cause of preventable intellectual and neurodevelopmental disability in New Zealand,” Dr Reti says. “Every day, ...
Regional Development Minister Shane Jones today attended the official opening of Kaikohe’s new $14.7 million sports complex. “The completion of the Kaikohe Multi Sports Complex is a fantastic achievement for the Far North,” Mr Jones says. “This facility not only fulfils a long-held dream for local athletes, but also creates ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters’ engagements in Türkiye this week underlined the importance of diplomacy to meet growing global challenges. “Returning to the Gallipoli Peninsula to represent New Zealand at Anzac commemorations was a sombre reminder of the critical importance of diplomacy for de-escalating conflicts and easing tensions,” Mr Peters ...
Ambassador Millar, Burgemeester, Vandepitte, Excellencies, military representatives, distinguished guests, ladies and gentlemen – good morning and welcome to this sacred Anzac Day dawn service. It is an honour to be here on behalf of the Government and people of New Zealand at Buttes New British Cemetery, Polygon Wood – a deeply ...
Distinguished guests - It is an honour to return once again to this site which, as the resting place for so many of our war-dead, has become a sacred place for generations of New Zealanders. Our presence here and at the other special spaces of Gallipoli is made ...
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Paul Goldsmith will take on responsibility for the Media and Communications portfolio, while Louise Upston will pick up the Disability Issues portfolio, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon announced today. “Our Government is relentlessly focused on getting New Zealand back on track. As issues change in prominence, I plan to adjust Ministerial ...
Recreational catch limits will be reduced in areas of Fiordland and the Chatham Islands to help keep those fisheries healthy and sustainable, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones says. The lower recreational daily catch limits for a range of finfish and shellfish species caught in the Fiordland Marine Area and ...
Energy Minister Simeon Brown has welcomed an important milestone in New Zealand’s hydrogen future, with the opening of the country’s first network of hydrogen refuelling stations in Wiri. “I want to congratulate the team at Hiringa Energy and its partners K one W one (K1W1), Mitsui & Co New Zealand ...
The coalition Government is delivering on its commitment to improve resource management laws and give greater certainty to consent applicants, with a Bill to amend the Resource Management Act (RMA) expected to be introduced to Parliament next month. RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop has today outlined the first RMA Amendment ...
By Eleisha Foon, RNZ Pacific senior journalist A Pacific regionalism academic has called out New Zealand’s Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters for withholding information from the public on AUKUS and says the security deal “raises serious questions for the Pacific region”. Auckland University of Technology academic Dr Marco de Jong ...
How worried should we be about the cloud? This is an excerpt from our weekly environmental newsletter Future Proof. Sign up here. I currently have a few thousand unread emails languishing in my inbox, mostly old marketing newsletters and piles of unread science journal press releases. I have a similar number ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Nuurrianti Jalli, Assistant Professor of Communication Studies College of Arts and Sciences Department of Languages, Literature, and Communication Studies, Northern State University Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, Southeast Asian governments not only have to deal with the virus but also with the false ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By David Murakami Wood, Professor of Critical Surveillance and Securities Studies, L’Université d’Ottawa/University of Ottawa The skyline of Riyadh, the capital and largest city of the Kingdom of Saudia Arabia.(Shutterstock) There is a long history of planned city building by both governments ...
The LIVE Recording of A View from Afar podcast will begin today at 12:45pm May 6, 2024 (NZST) which is Sunday evening, 8:30pm (USEST). In an analytical essay titled ‘A moment of friction’ political scientist Dr Paul Buchanan wrote how we are living within a decisive moment of ...
The Boil Up’s Lucinda Bennett considers the oyster – from freshness to pearls to the joy of shucking your own. This is an excerpt from our weekly food newsletter, The Boil Up. In Carmen Maria Machado’s short story ‘Eight Bites’, a woman begins her last supper before bariatric surgery with “a cavalcade ...
Asia Pacific Report A group of 65 Auckland University academics have written an open letter to vice-chancellor Dawn Freshwater criticising the institution’s stance over students protesting in solidarity with Palestine. They have called on her administration to “support” the students who were denied permission to establish an “overnight encampment” by ...
The Student Volunteer Army is on the march, generating approximately 1.6 million hours of volunteering from roughly 35,000 secondary school students in just five years. For Rebekah Brown, the pathway to volunteering started with her singing coach. With a passion for the arts, the suggestion to volunteer at Acting Antics, ...
Keeping up with online communication can be exhausting, so Fran Barclay enlisted the help of Meta’s new ‘intelligent assistant’ to respond to all her messages. Could her mates tell the difference? For centuries, technology has ruled the ways in which we communicate. From the dawn of written language, to the ...
Jamie Arbuckle, a councillor who has become an member of parliament, says he has settled into having two roles so comfortably he's going to keep both pay cheques. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Luis Gómez Romero, Senior Lecturer in Human Rights, Constitutional Law and Legal Theory, University of Wollongong Fifty years ago, Australian feminist Anne Summers denounced “the ideology of sexism” governing over so many women’s lives. Unfortunately, sexism is as lethal today as it ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Jose Antonio Lara-Hernandez, Senior Researcher in Architecture, Auckland University of Technology Getty Images The COVID-19 pandemic and the hybrid work patterns it fostered have changed the way we think about office space, and central business districts in general. While fears ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Dale Boccabella, Associate Professor of Taxation Law, UNSW Sydney There’s a good reason your local volunteer-run netball club doesn’t pay tax. In Australia, various nonprofit organisations are exempt from paying income tax, including those that do charitable work, such as churches. ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Marina Deller, Casual Academic, Creative Writing and English Literature, Flinders University NetflixComedy is opening up spaces for silences to be broken and trauma stories to be told. In 2018, Hannah Gadsby started a revolution with Nanette, asking audiences to rethink ...
The workplace can be a minefield of bad comms and passive aggression. Kinksters can help you navigate it. A friend and colleague recently gave me a compliment I loved. They told me I’d always been good at emotional communication and making people feel comfortable. “But I feel like it’s really ...
Even if some students are now just texting on their laptops. Stewart Sowman-Lund writes in this excerpt from The Bulletin, The Spinoff’s morning news round-up. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here. ...
Councils from Horowhenua, Kāpiti, Wairarapa, the Hutt Valley, Porirua and Wellington City will meet this Friday to work together on a plan for a Greater Wellington region water deal. ...
Renowned musician, advocate, and proud born and raised daughter of Tauranga, Ria Hall, is announcing her candidacy for Mayor of Tauranga and Pāpāmoa Ward for the upcoming election on July 20th. ...
The new Aotearoa histories curriculum is rich with potential. There’s still work to be done, but the education minister’s criticisms about ‘balance’ miss the mark, argues primary school teacher Jessie Moss. In 2015, Ōtorohanga College students presented to parliament a petition signed by more than 10,000 people calling for a ...
For too long our so-called national bird has maintained its stranglehold on the economy of regional New Zealand. Thanks to the fast track legislation, we will have our revenge. Theories abound on what ails New Zealand’s economy. National leader Chris Luxon has posited that we’re negative, wet, whiny, and inward-looking; ...
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For the past 12 years, Georgia-Rose Brown has balanced on the brink of making an Olympic Games – but always landed gracefully on the wrong side. Reaching the Olympics is a dream the gymnast has harboured since she was a six-year-old; a dream that would dwindle every four years, yet ...
Late one afternoon in March 1860 a man in a thin green velveteen jacket and a wide-awake hat arrived on foot at a sheep station named Glenmark, about 65 kilometres north of Christchurch. The man was in his mid-fifties but he looked older. Several people who met him that day ...
If building one of Auckland’s possible waterfront stadiums was funded privately, it would need to hold a sold-out Ed Sherran concert every weekday for 25 years. That’s Rob Hamlin’s finding – he’s a senior marketing lecturer at the University of Otago. “It’s not going to happen; forget about it,” he ...
Comment: The debate over the future relationship between news and social media is bringing us closer to a long-overdue reckoning. Social media isn’t trying to kill journalism, because social media has never really cared about journalism. Social media is resolutely in the attention business. News propels some attention — perhaps ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra A new Commonwealth Prac Payment will provide students with $319.50 a week when they are on clinical and professional placements. The payment will be means tested and start from July 1 next year, which ...
Asia Pacific Report About 500 people honoured Palestinian journalists in the heart of the New Zealand city of Auckland today for their brave coverage of Israel’s War on Gaza, now in its seventh month with almost 35,000 people killed, mostly women and children. Marking the annual May 3 World Press ...
The Government Communications Security Bureau denies hosting a foreign spying capability flagged by the watchdog, differentiating it from the system recently criticised. ...
RNZ News A group of academic staff at New Zealand’s largest university have expressed concern at the administration’s move to block a protest encampment that was planned to take place on campus calling for support for the rights of Palestinians. This week, the University of Auckland warned that while it ...
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Political conferences after a party returns to power are usually a chance for some healthy, even unhealthy backslapping. Yet National Party president Sylvia Wood’s address to its mainland representatives on Saturday hardly contained the unalloyed delight that one might have expected following National’s escape from the wilderness of opposition. Yes, ...
Comment: Almost half the world is voting in national elections this year and artificial intelligence is the elephant in the room. There are genuine fears AI-generated or AI-edited deepfakes will potentially manipulate election outcomes not just in the US and UK, but critically in countries such as India. For that ...
Ahead of the reality franchise’s return to New Zealand, allow us to introduce the eight brides and grooms. Chuck on a veil and tie back your man bun, because it’s time to say “I do” to a new season of Married at First Sight NZ. The reality TV “social experiment” ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Andrew Norton, Professor in the Practice of Higher Education Policy, Australian National University Every year on June 1, student debt in Australia is indexed to inflation. In 2023, high inflation pushed the indexation rate to 7.1%, the highest since 1990. This ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra Changes in the May 14 budget will cut the student debt of more than three million people, wiping more than $3 billion from what people owe. The government will cap the HELP indexation rate ...
Asia Pacific Report The prosecutor’s office at the International Criminal Court (ICC) has appealed for an end to what it calls intimidation of its staff, saying such threats could constitute an offence against the “administration of justice” by the world’s permanent war crimes court. The Hague-based office of ICC Prosecutor ...
By Patrick Decloitre, RNZ Pacific correspondent French Pacific desk A women’s union in New Caledonia has staged a sit-in protest this week to support senior Kanak indigenous journalist Thérèse Waia, who works for public broadcaster Nouvelle-Calédonie la Première, after a smear attack by critics. The peaceful demonstration was held on ...
New Zealand Food Safety is monitoring overseas recalls of Indian packaged spice products manufactured by MDH and Everest due to concerns over a cancer-causing pesticide. ...
By Stephen Wright and Stefan Armbruster of BenarNews Fiji’s ranking in a global press freedom index has jumped into the top tier of countries with free or mostly free media after its government last year repealed a draconian law that threatened journalists with prison for doing their jobs. Fiji’s improvement ...
We might be in Invercargill but all anyone can talk about is Gore. Specifically, Salford Street. That’s where three-year-old Lachlan Jones lived, south of the centre of town, between the A&P Showgrounds and the Mataura River. Roughly 1.2 km away from the single level home he lived in with his ...
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Keen hiker and second-year MSc student Liam Hewson wears two hats when he’s in the great outdoors. “The scientist in me appreciates nature and goes, ‘Oh, there’s that thing and there’s another thing,’ but then the tramper and the outdoorsy person in me thinks, ‘Cool bush.’” Born and bred in ...
After a long and illustrious career as a goal kicker, Dan Carter’s favourite way to unwind is… kicking goals. Why can’t he get enough of it? And what it’s like to watch him do it for an hour straight? A semicircle of people wielding cameras and phones has formed in ...
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Hera Lindsay Bird reveals the best places in Ōtepoti to score more for your apocalypse-prep book hoard.Sometimes I get the feeling I’ve been killed in a car crash, and this second half of my life is just the brain unspooling itself, like one of those episodes of a hospital ...
ThreeNow’s new murder mystery series takes us on a dark, damp journey into the Australian wilderness.This is an excerpt from our weekly pop culture newsletter Rec Room. Sign up here. High Country is ThreeNow’s new Australian eight-part crime drama, set in a remote part of the Victorian highlands. It tells ...
Introducing a new way to read The Spinoff every weekend. After nearly 10 years of being an online magazine, we’re finally embracing the weekend liftout. Despite our best efforts to convince you otherwise, writers and editors at The Spinoff don’t work weekend. It is through the sheer power of technology ...
Tip one: let yourself be nurtured by this big old man. Tip two: don’t ask him to adopt you. So, you’ve arrived at your first session with a new therapist. He tells you to make yourself comfortable and you opt for the tweed armchair, hoping it makes you look like ...
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So, question for the morning, will the four new water entities be able to trade water with each other? i.e. is this the formation of a national water market?
Fwiw – no. I'd think each entity will be required to stick to their own knitting.
Depending how the aussies vote, there's a reasonable basis to suspect our PM could have a successful political career in Oz:
So if she feels she's done her dash here, and Labour once again loses an unloseable election there, she could emigrate. Oz Labour would love the chance to break their habit of picking losers as leaders. They'd probably organise to stage a party election for the Labour leadership as soon as she joined up. She could make history by becoming first person to lead both countries…
She would have give up her NZ citizenship and become an Aussie to sit in their parliament.
Do you mean the dual citizenship option is unavailable? An old friend of mine has dual US/NZ citizenship. I'd be surprised if our relationship with Oz is so distant that the USA is closer.
Barnaby Joyce, Australia's current DPM, had to resign and then renounce his NZ citizenship before entering Parliament again. Like many of the 600,000 NZers here he didn't know that he had NZ citizenship – he was brought to Oz when he was a small child and just assumed he was Australian.
Koff is correct – Australian law does not permit dual-citizens to serve in their Federal Parliament. I'm not sure how far down the political chain to State and Local govt this law applies, but they are generally much more cautious about covert influence from people who do not necessarily share their interests than NZ is.
Such exclusivism seems peculiar. Perhaps the relic of a nationalist past? I mean, there was that trend of US corporate leaders to get staff saluting the flag each morning yet they still allow dual citizenship.
Do the aussies still sing waltzing matilda at moments of peak nationalism? If ScoMo gets them doing it at his rallies he could win another term…
I would call it a sober appraisal of just easily the politics of smaller nations can be subverted by cash and the soft power inducements of larger ones.
NZ is a sovereign nation, why would we want an Australian PM????
We wouldn't. Dumbing down is already bad enough. However, it does serve the cause of biodiversity. I have no problem with immigrant aussies trying to repower jingoism here. Can't see any such ever getting to be Nat leader but why not give them a try? Revival of tie me kangaroo down sport would be an intriguing cultural morph for young Nats to get into.
You really need to live and work here for a period Dennis. Modern Australia is really very multi-cultural. The office I work in right now has a vibrant mix of Indian, Asian, Black African, Bogan and a token Kiwi – all of whom cheerfully give each other shit on a daily basis.
The same on all the major project sites I have been to in the past decade – huge diversity. And over time this is seeping into their political system.
But they do demand demonstrable loyalty to Australia. Which despite my globalist instincts I do believe is reasonable.
Sounds good, fair enough as far as it goes. Perhaps the imminent election will produce a result in accord with that.
they do demand demonstrable loyalty to Australia
In what form? Unless you mean mere sentiment. Am I loyal to NZ? Not in a zillion years. Am I loyal to Aoteraroa? I feel like I ought to say yes to that. Mere sentiment though. I can't think of how I might express that feeling via meaningful action.
Am I loyal to NZ? Not in a zillion years.
Then who are you loyal to?
If the answer is Xi Xinping, or Vladimir Putin then I do not want you anywhere near political power. Anywhere.
I agree that ascertaining a person's true intent is impossible, but holding a second passport that is a free ticket to somewhere else if the shit hits the fan does not suggest commitment. Does it?
I acquired a sense of self as a global citizen in the mid-1960s & that has remained the basis of my identity.
If you were to reframe the query as belonging, I've always felt I belong here. However the neocolonialist political infrastructure is just as inadequate as it was back then so I wouldn't expect any intelligent person to commit to loyalty to it.
I acquired a sense of self as a global citizen in the mid-1960s & that has remained the basis of my identity.
And sincerely – good for you. No irony intended.
However most people are going to retain a sane sense of loyalty to their homeland to a larger degree than you. You may be an outlier in this respect. A sense of belonging and loyalty can be thought of as layers of an onion; most people have a core and unshakeable loyalty to family, then to the place and community they grew up in, then more broadly to the nation.
Expanding our moral horizon to encompass the whole of humanity is to add a whole new layer – a now urgent and vital moral project – that will re-shape the purpose and face politics in this century. But this does not necessarily imply that our existing loyalties will vanish either.
Yeah. However, some folk are born to be humanitarian – I know that due to my mother being an exemplar. The global view comes naturally to them since it is innate.
You may be an outlier in this respect.
And in a bunch of other respects too – been a constant theme of my life since childhood. Had to work on how to get an interactive communal context going much of the time!
a now urgent and vital moral project – that will re-shape the purpose and face politics in this century
Definitely a priority learning curve for any player in the game of geopolitics. I feel sorry for the poor buggers! Brainwashed into nationalism from a young age, floundering forever in the morass of a globalised world…
Don't tell MICKYSAVAGE what you think. His namesake, the real Michael J Savage, was born in Australia and was, presumably, an Australian citizen.
Even if he was an Ocker the NZ Labour Party must have given him a fair suck of the saveloy.
Back then the idea of the Commonwealth still held a lot of cultural currency, and the political distinction between Aus and NZ was less contentious.
While I didn't know MJS was an Australian – I'm not in the least surprised. (So was Russel Norman if my memory serves me.)
More than half the New Zealand Prime Ministers were born outside New Zealand. It has got a lot better but even in my lifetime there have been 2 who were born overseas. They were Fraser, 1940 – 1949 and Nash, 1957 – 1960.
Nash was the last one though. Everyone since then has been Kiwi born.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_prime_ministers_of_New_Zealand_by_place_of_birth
You are right about the multi-culturism in Australia though. Even when I lived in Melbourne from the late 80's to mid 90's you saw it, There were quite large areas where you were likely to find no one speaking English as a first language. Greek and Italian were very common with an ever increasing number speaking Vietnamese.
I personally thought that they were very sensible to allow only Australian citizens to have the vote. We should do the same. Compulsory voting still seems a bit of an imposition though.
North Island in for 3 tropical systems inside 10 days.
That's a sticky Autumn.
New Zealand Weather Forecast (metvuw.com)
Yes it is bad before Easter, and from Friday 15th on perhaps through to Anzac day. I remember a few Easters like that. Stay home folk, not the time to be on the road if you can avoid it. Storm watchers week of joy.
How are you Ad?
Looks like Wednesday 13th will be busy with a low pressure system from the north,and a southerly buster fast moving to meet around cookstrait.
https://climatereanalyzer.org/wx/fcst/?mdl_id=gfs&dm_id=ausnz-ced&wm_id=prcp-mslp-gph500
Yes a direct hit from an ex tropical cyclone for the North Island from Wednesday followed by a fleet brush pass from an ex trop. depression along the eastern border early the next week, and it looks like something is brewing just to the north of New Caledonia for later that week.
We in the North are being punished for 3 months of almost solid sunshine.
https://www.windy.com/?-36.851,174.768,5
Here is a fascinating interview from DW "Conflict Zone" with a former deputy Russian foreign minister. The guy was in Moscow, so obviously had to mind his "ps and qs". But, very insightful none the less.
One of the worrying things that both the interviewer and the Russian guy agreed on was that the prevailing doctrine of "mutually assured destruction" that supposedly derisked the use of nuclear weapons has basically been torn up.
Going forward, the world is going to have to factor in the possibility of an obsessed/crazy dictator with a finger on the nuclear destruct button, and who is prepared to use it, even if it means personal and national self-destruction.
"Going forward, the world is going to have to factor in the possibility of an obsessed/crazy dictator with a finger on the nuclear destruct button"
This has always been the case. There's humans in charge of all these devices.
When told as a child at school one might 'tuck themselves under their desks' in case of nuclear attack, meanwhile reading how these weapons flattened cities in Japan… the assurances of authorities were always a bit of a joke.
The narrative, going forward, will be just as suspect as it's always been.
"Red's under the bed!"
It's not the Reds, it's the f'n leadership, it's always the leadership.
Precision strike for Putin!
Russia is absolutely no longer functional communist state, although it's refusal to repudiate the monsters of it's past hangs around the current leadership as a very bad smell. After all Putin and most of the Kremlin heads are ex-KGB in one way or another, an entity that has direct history into the Stalin era.
This is the extraordinary thing about Russian politics, first of all how power is deeply centralised into Moscow, and how narrow the entry points are into Russian political management. It makes for an isolated and brittle polity, steeped in both professional and cultural paranoia.
What we have to fear most of all is the chance that the Russian military might collapse, and faced with a choice of a humiliating defeat interpreted by the Kremlin as an existential threat, there is the real possibility – I would rate it as 20% odds – that Putin is capable of retreating to an impregnable bunker and launching a civilisation ending assault as an ultimate act of nihilism. We just cannot tell and this is why NATO and the rest of the world have had their hands heavily tied in their response to the Ukrainian butchery.
The deeply mad thing about this war is that the Kremlin has made all of it's paranoid fantasies about the world hating them come true.
"The deeply mad thing about this war is that the Kremlin has made all of it's paranoid fantasies about the world hating them come true."
Absolutely.
Maybe a massive bounty? If all those Oligarchs have had their fortunes frozen (have they?) perhaps they'd be up for a pot of gold. You don't get to be an Oligarch based on moral principles, surely.
I agree Red. Except I hope that the probability (for all our sakes) is a lot less than 20%.
It is a very thorny problem for the world to deal with. What to do with someone who is threatening nuclear weapon use if he doesn’t get his way? Appeasement will simply encourage such a person.
Probably one thing in the world’s favour, somewhat paradoxically, is Russia’s relationship with China. I think the worst case scenario you describe would be more likely if Putin felt totally isolated with no future at all.
But, the relationship with China probably means this isn’t the case. Hopefully, China will end up performing a moderating role in this conflict.
Yes – thorny is a terrible understatement. I suspect there would be more than a few realists in Europe right now – in their military especially – who are frankly terrified.
Otherwise my comment to Ad below would be pertinent in reply to you.
If that threat of Russia using nuclear weapons in Ukraine is taken as a reality, refer Russia back to Able Archer and Steadfast Noon and don't blink.
They didn't nuke Kyiv when Bojo was in town, embittering the fanatic remain voters at the Guardian.
See Imran Khan has been ousted from power in Pakistan. Khan met with Putin at the Kremlin on 24 February the day of the Russian invasion into Ukraine.
Do you think that not being able to rely on Khan that Putin is less secure?
Yes I saw that just a short while ago – but done no research on it. I would imagine New Delhi will be paying a lot of attention though.
Hypothetically the best outcome would be a new Pakistani leader capable of ending their long-standing conflict with India. That would take the immediate pressure of the Indian govt to maintain their military reliance on Russia.
An unstable Pakistan is likely to be better for China than for the US. China has the construction deals, ports, and rail+road corridor.
How Chinese investments are capturing Pakistan′s economy | Asia | An in-depth look at news from across the continent | DW | 02.08.2021
I was aware of Khan wanting to strengthen trade. Money from the US dried up in Pakistan once the US left Afganistan. I am not sure why Khan was ousted, reliance on trade with China might have been his undoing.
The new regime in Pakistan could be anti Russia and want more traditional influence on its people.
Unlikely that Putin's security depends on any PM in Pakistan:
Putin will not want instability on the border with Pakistan.
Economic and foreign policy decisions as well as Khan trying to block the no confidence vote in him are the reasons stated in the link you supplied.
What is going to happen next when it comes to international politics?
Correction Russia does not share a border with Pakistan.
What is going to happen next when it comes to international politics?
Good question. The science of complexity tells us that the trajectory of complex systems is a random walk. To be more precise, it consists of long periods of stasis (stable states) and indeterminate switches between those.
The indeterminacy is ruled by tiny triggers (butterfly effect). Thus tipping points in climate change.
If there's a trend in global politics you can point to that falls into the category of next, I suggest a focus on supply chains. Currently dysfunctional, lurching into motion at times, frozen into temporary stasis at others. You can see the microcosm effects on empty supermarket shelves. So the viability of global trading as the basis of the economy is in question, plus that of neoliberalism – the ideology that uses it in politics. The sensible thing for states to do is reorganise on the basis of a resilient economy – but that requires intelligent design.
We know few govts are capable of that. Necessity being the mother of invention, we await sufficient panic & paranoia to trigger that shift…
"Refusal to repudiate the monsters of the past"
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/10/29/moscow-commemoration-of-stalins-victims-returns-after-pandemic-a75437
As far as atrocities go RL, why do you so steadfastly refuse to repudiate Ukrainian atrocities?
Incidentally , where is the independent investigation into both Bucha , and now Kramatorsk?
Kramatorsk is easily solved, as the serial number of the rocket is clearly visible.
Whose inventory does it belong to?
Same for the serial number of the Toschka lobbed into Donetsk city central area, purely a civilian zone, killing some say 23 , others 20, and injuring 28.That one is known to come from the Ukrainian army
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/russia-ukraine-war/people-pay-tribute-to-victims-of-missile-attack-in-ukraines-eastern-donetsk-city/2536693
https://www.opindia.com/2022/04/videos-of-neo-nazi-ukrainian-forces-killing-russian-prisoners-of-war-go-viral/
I share your concerns about nuclear annihilation .Lets not forget the near misses in the past, and in these days of heightened tension , a mistake is more likely to happen than not
Mearsheimer is also warning about this, a brief 20 minutes of your time
Worryingly , he sees no way out .Incidentally, knocking off Putin as so many ridiculously suggest, would inflame matters even worse.There are many hardliners way more ruthless than Putin who would seize the moment to come to the fore.
As I have said before – the entire accountability for this butchery lies with Putin the moment he sent his military over the border.
In war everything else is irrelevant semantics.
I'm in total agreement here.
The complexity may be in the why but the person who made the call is the one responsible.
I'm still a fan of the Geneva convention
Should we not have had the Nuremberg trials either?
Because in war shit happens?
Are we throwing out the notion of war crimes?
For one thing, if one side treats their prisoners of war decently, the other may reciprocate .Are you willing that soldiers of any side should be summarily executed?
Having said all that, I agree, anyone who starts a war carries ultimate responsibility for that war, but it does not excuse individual acts of savagery, and a free pass for torture of any side
The scenario you are suggesting, everyone loses their humanity, and so it goes.
There's no scenario in my mind where its ok to excuse barbarism .But there we go, you men and your blood lust, gotta have its way
I think the future is bleak Francesca, some things never change. War is hell.
https://chrishedges.substack.com/p/the-lie-of-american-innocence?s=r&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email
I've been anti-war my entire life so I don't know how you have gone from I think Putin is responsible to all the other of your assertions.
My influences include a teacher who was imprisoned in NZ for being a pacifist and the Whanganui Quaker settlement amongst others.
You from your consistent postings are far more aggressive than I'll ever be. Let's not pretend either than violence is just a male thing either. Women are as capable of violence and hate as men are. Plenty of Queens sent their armies to battle.
And lest we forget.
"At least 30,000 women died here. Some were gassed or hanged, others starved, died of disease or were worked to death.
They were treated brutally by many of the female guards – beaten, tortured or murdered. The prisoners gave them nicknames, such as "bloody Brygyda" or "revolver Anna"."
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-55661782
Rather early to issue a postmortem on the govt but intrepid rightist has a go anyway: https://www.stuff.co.nz/opinion/128287501/the-ardern-govt-has-achieved-close-to-nothing-outside-of-covid
Could frame it as thoughtful sleepwalking instead. Would be just as accurate.
Overstating the point somewhat, but it's true that govt policy delivery remains underwhelming. Labour would argue that neoliberalism is all about talking the talk. It never has tried to provide a plausible basis for walking the walk.
Yeah but Labour are a middle-class operation. Tokenism is the expected way to treat the poor. I thought everyone knew that by now.
On form, that's true. Current form, however, puts a question-mark over it. When the going gets tough, the tough get going. Not to Oz! So is she tough enough to turn this term into solid progress? That's the question she ought to be pondering.
"Outside of defeating the Persians, the govt of Themistocles had a terrible record…"
The word 'shambolic' in the opening quote quickly illustrates the nature and calibre of the article.
A whole lot of praxillation.
Voters are notoriously fickle, sadly. Yet democracy was designed on that basis, back when rationalism ruled the thinking of all key players.
https://www.britannica.com/event/Enlightenment-European-history
You can tell how well it worked by considering how knowledgeable everyone is, how free they are, and how happy they are.
Would a National and Act coalition have done any better?
I reckon more homeless and the health system would have been crushed.
The Great Communicator needs to communicate their successes while leavened by some failures:
Crime: down
Poverty measures: equal or down
Unemployment: record down
Housing waiting lists: up
House prices: stabilising
Public health: up
Economy: stable to up
Export income: up
River and lake quality: down
Conservation estate: down
Road toll: steady
CO2 production: same as 2005, but up 26% on 1990
Skills scarcity: up
Inflation and interest rates: up after 10 years of 2-4%
Government accounts: public debt up but income up
Anyone commenting on this government's performance needs to include actual facts not more Mood of the Nation bullshit.
Damien Grant would love it if his personal opinion would be(come) “Mood of the Nation bullshit”.
For example, to put all the blame on the Government for inflation is a simpleton’s reckon. Home owners who have just received their recent Notice of Valuation will be dazzled by the large number after the $-sign. The number of new building consents is sky-high. The PGF was a left-over from NZF and Shane Jones and Labour promised to end it at the last election.
Of course, simpletons lap up Mr Grant’s reckons in their typically uncritical fashion.
I thought the PGF was awesomesauce.
Son of PGF lives on 😉
Housing cost inflation has increased 50% under labour,34% over the pandemic period.Most under the last 2 years due to imaginary money (qe) and low interest rates.
The expected interest rate increases to constrain inflation over the next 2 years will remove 3% of GDP from the real economy to the banks in interest charges alone.
Again, what choice did RBNZ have? QE happened all over the world; we were damned either way.
Diminishing the role and influence of (foreign) banks in this FIRE economy on hyper-steroids is a Herculean task.
The RBNZ at the start actioned the correct approach,due to the absence of vaccines,this allowed for a circular economy with both increased local savings (due to lockdowns and travel constraints) in November they hesitated due to the Delta event,and in hindsight may have been a wrong action.
The governor at that stage should have been also jawboning both politicians and the press,that housing inflation was a significant stability risk both for the economy and potential buyers.
Every major recession has been predicated by low interest rates,and low unemployment,that is the future if government macro economic policy include both debt and increasing fundamental costs,without producing productivity improvements.
we need to move to a quasi war economy,without having to realise draconian austerity policy in future days.
The productivity problem has been around for years and no Government has been able to crack it – the RBNZ is not the right tree, but Treasury and MBIE are. If the RE in FIRE would stand for Research Enterprise (or Research & Entrepreneurship) instead of Real Estate we would not be having this convo, I reckon. Compare the PGF with Callaghan Innovation, for example, and discuss which one was more successful or likely to be successful longer term and why.
PGF was to enable provincial NZ,to grow,improve services,and allow for provincial job growth. The intention was this would reduce internal migration from the provinces to the larger metros (with all their accompanying problems) Lower cost housing,reasonable infrastructure etc.
PGF was also for more investment into rail,(which now shows foresight) there were issues with some of the tourism ventures,and a lot of the provincial spending was low cost where money stayed more often in the local economy,and not to large multinational construction companies.
Callahan?…think you may be surprised about their support for NZ productivity.
Care to provide some examples?
Yeah, sure, go for it!
Well that makes a lot of sense
Why would I take up my own suggestion/invitation that was for another person??
Examples of Callahan benefiting NZ productivity was the request
You were going to surprise me/us?
Here are Some,PGF
i) Upgrade of existing city line ( non kiwi rail) in Whanganui,that allowed direct loading onto container train units by a number of meat works and a dairy factory.
This reduced trucking through both the city to marshaling yards ,and in some cases to Palmerston North.(cost around 3m)
ii) Alliance Lorneville, raising the height of the venison slaughterboard to enable cattle production.This extended the work season for the workers,and increased beef capacity that had to trucked out of the province at seasonal peaks (around 5 mill)
The saving for the above project allowed investment in the co generation energy plant on site.
Callaghan.
i) Ab equipment investment in research and application for multiple heavy equipment mantainence programs,most of the equipment already has onboard systems,so really just a PBX system.
Most likely very usable application for an international company like AB.
Apparently you have none, whether thats surprising or not to you I dont know.
Nope, not a surprise to me at all.
At least The AB Equipment shareholding resides in NZ
Ad. Some more actual facts.
House prices are still going up 18% a year according to the latest stats-don't belive the headlines. I do not regard this as stabilising.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/property-plunge-largest-decline-in-house-values-for-more-than-a-decade/OVOKYJURXCBWTAOHDMTPSAUL34/
Labour has built, and is building, a lot more state houses-Key/English sold them off.
Labour has significantly increased the minimum wage to $21.20.
Labour has introduced a clean car tax.
I could keep listing things that are not in your list but can't be bothered. I do think that Labour needs to publicise its achievements, which are numerous, better or the opposition's tactic of saying they have done nothing (a la Key) will stick.
keep em coming
Skills scarcity: up
Inflation and interest rates: up after 10 years of 2-4%
Both of which are global phenomenon driven largely by the fact that 2022 is the year in which fully half the Boomers – the largest post-War generation in most places on earth – enter retirement. On doing so we take with us 40 or more years of skills and experience that are not being replaced at the same rate, and we instantly transition from being massive capital savers, to capital consumers.
I was listening to one of our VPs responsible for one of our major core business units last week. In it he was saying that two things keep him awake at night in the face of record orders, one being the obvious chip shortage crippling delivery – but long terms was finding the talent to meet the astonishing growth opportunities now hammering on our door. Globally at the moment we have over 1,000 open positions, most good, rewarding jobs in a great industry. A fair chunk of this will be normal turnover – but it also explains why doddering dinosaurs like me are still working instead of quietly collecting NZ Super back home.
So no I don't think it fair to land that one entirely at Labour's doorstep.
Crime is down? Really? It certainly doesn't seem like it, both from media (I know, only bad news is reported) and personal communications.
At least in Auckland, it seems as though gun crime has gone through the roof.
And, the police just don't bother turning up for burglaries or 'minor' crime – or investigate, even when there is CCTV footage showing the criminals provided to them.
It's definitely feeling worse than pre-Covid.
How about the fact that the state housing waitlist is up 500% since 2017, which is the year of the election that Jacinda promised to end homelessness and fix the housing issue?
So when NATO is expanded this year right across the Russian border, through the accelerated accession of Finland,
Finland and Sweden could soon join NATO, prompted by Russian war in Ukraine – CNNPolitics
and likely also that Sweden joins, we are going to have to see a revisitation of the Charter for European Security signed in November 1999. This is what has been the framework for post-cold war Europe in peaceful co-existence until now.
Charter for European Security | OSCE
Its provisions include “the right of each participating State to be free to choose or change its security arrangements including treaties or alliances, as they evolve, as well as the right of each state to neutrality”.
But, good old Sergei Lavrov adds, the charter “directly conditions those rights on the obligation of each state not to strengthen its security at the expense of the security of other states”.
So in Lavrov’s interpretation, that obligation means no signatory can effect a change in the balance of European security by signing up to an alliance.
Russia holds that the charter freezes Europe’s 1999 security relationships in place, and that the subsequent enlargement of NATO represents a breach of that agreement.
To me that kind of language challenges every EU member, including for example Ireland. As well as those who also want to join like Serbia and Montenegro.
The question of a much larger and revived NATO is, well you've got a whole lot more mandate, what good are you going to do with it?
To me the answer is: NATO needs to deliver more than good military defence: its purpose should be revisited and emphasise a whole lot more of its political arm, less of its military, and a far more on broader threats to its members such as climate change, refugee crises, and the undermining of democracies by oligarchies.
Once this current war is contained and smaller, there needs to be a re-settlement of the purpose of NATO.
All good thoughts. While no-one can rule out lingering corners of Russophobia, the dominant European dream of the past 40 years – as embodied by Merkel more than anyone else – was peace and prosperity across the entire Eurasian continent. At least it was until Feb 24. The immediate purpose of NATO now is to crush the Russian state without triggering a nuclear holocaust.
The entry of Finland and Sweden – literally right next door to St Petersberg – is vividly descriptive of Putin's blunder. The almost certain entry of Ukraine within a matter of weeks into the EU is another. Kaliningrad's immediate future is wildly uncertain and Belarus is but one nudge away from a Colour Revolution of it's own. Not to mention Georgia and the four 'Stans each of whom present ongoing problems of their own. The Indians are very uncomfortable partners for the moment and anyone professionally relying on Xi Xinping to underwrite their future needs another job.
The EU will spend the next few years urgently weaning themselves off Russia commodities as fast as possible, and anyone buying Russian oil needs to consider just how reliable that source is when the Russians themselves are making it their business to destroy oil infrastructure wherever they choose. There will be contradictions and challenges in the short term – long term the outcome is certain. Total isolation of the Russian economy to the extent physically possible.
The moment it became clear to political capitals in the West – that the Russian military was so gutted by corruption and incompetence that it would be crushed in any conventional confrontation with the West – the overriding concern became to avoid the nuclear exchange that would the inevitable outcome of such a direct conflict. The only safe path to achieving this is to prevent Putin from achieving his goals in Ukraine – and imposing a political defeat on him at home.
But having said all of that I agree the EU must do something more constructive with it's new found unity well beyond merely defeating Putin. The lesson to be learned is that the nation states must cede their sovereign right to commit war – for fear of the dread consequences of failing to do so.
states must cede their sovereign right to commit war
Nifty moral principle you got there! Hard to disagree, so I'm not inclined to quibble. Implementation would have to happen at the level of the UNSC to be effective.
I therefore encourage concerned citizens to lobby our foreign minister to take the initiative and propose the UN adopt this reform!
Yes. And in case anyone thinks I am a complete US fanboi – I fear the most stubborn hold-out in any such endeavour would be the USA itself.
The reasons are complex, but rooted I think in the geopolitical reality that the North American continent has made them the least dependent on global peace than any other major power. It is a paradox – the nation with the most influence globally, has the least need to engage.
For this reason I am not optimistic about the chances of reforming the UNSC – not just Russia and China as totalitarian holdouts increasingly turning themselves into pariahs, but a USA which has been increasingly ambivalent about the post-WW2 globalisation project since the end of the first Cold War.
Perhaps if everyone else united in a common front and gave the UNSC veto nations an ultimatum to give it away – it might stand a chance.
everyone else united in a common front
Leverage. It would take a vote by states in the UN to give it sufficient form and power – power in proportion to the number who vote in support.
Seems like a realistic strategy for UNSC reform. Push comes to shove, those nations could retain a fall-back option to use if the USA, China & Russia joined in opposition to the reform. They could vote to eliminate the SC. Legal viability of that would depend on how the thing is built in international law.
I have been thinking that, once this conflict is over, the democratic world needs to find a way to encourage the formation of, and strengthening of democracies world wide.
One way to do that could be to have a trading block between democratic nations. Entry to that trading block could be requirements such as having free and democratic elections etc.
Simply relying on military force to protect democracies is far too dangerous and on the balance of probabilities, will result in the end of civilisation at some point in the future. As Einstein said “I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.”
After this conflict is at an end, I think the world as a whole needs to decide to abolish nuclear weapons as a whole. There are other weapons available now which probably can do the same job in terms of mutually assured destruction of protagonists without endagering the rest of the world if that is seen as necessary. For instance, large thermobaric bombswhich have city-killing potential
I read this comment above with a small sense of joy. Agree totally.
My only other small thought to add is that we should not imagine that regulating the relations between nations is so very hard. Exactly the same principle is at work inside of the nation state itself at a smaller scale, where individuals give up their right to violence and cede it to the state.
It is just an expansion of perspective; although having said that I am very aware of the challenges.
Hmmm. The UN Security Council. The UN HRC. The UNDP.
I'm trying not to get too far ahead of myself. Macron could still lose for example.
Still, NATO's renewal is the first strong multilateral endeavour by anyone since CPTPP. A small distant bell of optimism rings.
Have to figure out which Nations are "Democratic" first!
For example will you bring Venezuela into the Group, whose Government was elected by a greater majority than the USA.
Saudi Arabia?
Authoritarian states routinely run 'elections' in which the ruling party gains insanely high votes. For decades.
Probably because they're such well run, beautiful places to live I would guess.
Like the USA, and so many Governments they have installed, you mean?
Why did you think that is what I meant? Last I looked most of the democratic nations routinely yield election results that are fairly closely balanced between liberal and conservative blocs around 50%. Including the USA.
Sometimes you get a landslide election, but usually within a cycle or two it goes back to normal.
You're reminding me of a statement from a thoughtful Chinese Manager I worked with.
"In China you can change the policies, but not the party, in the USA, you can change the party, but not the policies".
Not far wrong!
Niether country is Democratic, in that the general population have no say in policy.
The US Constitution is specifically designed, just like the Chinese one, to ensure that the “great unwashed” can never take the power and more importantly, the money , from the “elite”.
Niether country is Democratic, in that the general population have no say in policy.
What policy? If you mean radical far left or right, then I am very pleased you don't get much say.
Funny, but wrong.
You only have to look at the legislation, in the USA for example, that is only in the interests of a few rich people, and is not supported by the majority.
If you consider that "extreme" then it shows how much you have gone down the "Rabbit hole".
"Extreme Left" policies like Medicare for all, which are even supported by a large proportion of Republican voters.
I thought Montenegro joined in 2017?
Could be wrong
Yes cheers correction.
test
Other than increasing benefits at nearly the rate of inflation, the Ardern Government has achieved close to nothing outside of Covid, and in many key areas the welfare of Kiwis has fallen.
If KiwiBuild and other programmes had been delivered, the electorate might have confidence that this Government had the ability to handle the new challenges facing New Zealand. This is not the case.
In the 2023 debates is it easy to see Luxon facing down the camera and asking an Opposition leader’s favourite question: “Are you better off today than you were six years ago?”
Not all of this is Ardern’s fault. Her agenda was derailed by the pandemic and the paucity of competence within her caucus from which to draw talent. There are only so many portfolios you can force onto Chris Hipkins before he loses focus and begins to bait pregnant journalists trapped in Kabul.
Quite right. Labour could, of course, acknowledge its mistakes. Saying sorry is a strength, not a weakness.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/opinion/128287501/the-ardern-govt-has-achieved-close-to-nothing-outside-of-covid
I am surprised we haven't seen any of our Russian-apologist friends here yet spinning the claim that the attack on the Kramatorsk train station must have been a false flag attack by Ukraine on its own people, not by Russia. The argument being that the missile fragments are from Toshka-U missiles, which according to Russia, Ukraine uses but Russia doesn't.
However, this claim has been debunked. There have been several observations of Russia bringing Toshka-U missiles into the combat zone. So, Russia definitely had the means and opportunity to launch the attack if Toshka missiles were used.
When wars start things inevitably sometimes turn to custard tsmith.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/19/us/politics/afghanistan-drone-strike-video.html
It is true. They do.
But, in this case, the Russians had the missiles allegedly used in the attack. And they have had previous form in attacking Ukranian civilians in a wide variety of brutal ways in this conflict.
So, I guess if both forces had the missiles, while the possibility of the Ukranians striking the station with their own missile couldn't be ruled out, the most likely source is from Russia.
It might be that forensic analysis of satellite footage and the like will be able to prove conclusively where the missiles actually came from. But, until then, the most likely explanation is that the Russians did it.
You are probably right. But so called "goodies" often turn out to be much less principled than they claim. Think Dresden and the second atomic bomb dropped needlessly on Nagasaki.
Trying to provoke people into engaging with you comes across as rather desperate. Why don’t you give it a rest and enjoy this Sunday in relative peace and quiet?
Oh no Incognito!!
I bit ..sorry
Maybe on a Sunday we should all have a picnic and be peaceful
Those several observations you refer to Smithfield purportedly showing Russia bringing in Tochkas.
The twitter shows a video, of Tochkas being transported
All of the place names are within Belarus!
There is no mention of them entering Ukraine
The last Tochka attack on civilians was by the Ukrainians on Donetsk City, where there were no military installations, just civilians.March 13
Many died and were wounded, including children
Ukraine blamed Russia, said it must have been a Russian missile (maybe an Iskander which they first blamed Russia using at the Kramatorsk station?)Russia bombing Donetsk city?
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/3/14/ukraine-missile-debris-kill-16-in-donetsk-separatists
Here for a change is an Indian news report, showing the same type of tail section we see at the station
Ok, the tail sections have serial numbers .Apparently foreign reporters have recorded the tail section at the Kramatorsk station .Easy to compare them , and find out whose inventory they're in . Could be Russia has managed to get a Tochka off the Ukrainians , could be Russia has recommissioned its decommissioned Tochkas, whatever, the serial numbers will help, so will the direction of travel .
Yeah, yeah, verification required etc. etc.
Going off your gut instinct, out of 10, what are you personally rating the chances it was a Ukrainian missile attack?
Dunno, it would seem as daft as Russia bombing Donetsk city, which is what the Ukrainians claimed
What do you think about that Tochka attack?
Slam dunk?
Mistakes happen , the Tochkas are not that accurate, friendly fire happens. Russia (more like the DPR in that area,Kramatorsk being right on the frontline ,could have made a terrible mistake) That area is in the Donbas, Russia doesn’t see those civilians as an enemy target either., many of them are Russian speakers and ethnic Russians.The "Russian" message means nothing .Equally could be a message from the Ukrainians to the Russians.
Can’t think why either side would target those civilians The serial numbers will be the most telling.
DPR, Russia Ukraine, one of them has those serial numbers in their inventory
So not willing to put a number on it, okay, noted.
You might want to ask if anyone would be stupid enough to run a deliberate false flag operation with serial numbers absolutely traceable to them – but dumber things have happened.
I think it's lucky for some that now all news is fake, one can always find something on the internet to suit.
Exactly!
Interesting comments from Wall about her resignation on Q + A, according to her Ardern made it clear she wasn't wanted in her cabinet or in her caucus.
Wall mentioned her strong support of Cunliffe over Grant Robertson for leadership and belived that was why she was not leader and I believe her. She also mentioned anger in the party for how she worked in a cross party way to get gay marriage over the line angering labour party leadership.
I forgot how disgraceful the labour party was in not allowing Wall to speak on the parliamentary suicide thing. That was disgusting, if Im remembering correctly, National gave wall some of their parliamentary time to speak. Despicable. So was the deselection.
From opposition Wall did more than the front bench of labour, the front bench of labour in opposition who were dysfunctional, disliked by the public couldn't organize a piss up in a brewery and are now a useless cabinet. How dare these incompetents sledge a back bencher who actually improved people's lives.
This interview makes Ardern look terrible, petty and makes one wonder what hoops one must jump through to get in Arderns cabinet, kiss her and Grant's arse 24/7 and never express an original thought and be able to tick off boxes.
Because if it was based off skill and talent most of that robotic cabinet would not be there, it beggars belief that Fafoi is minister of Justice while Duncan Webb sits outside cabinet. We also have a whole generation of young talent elected in 2017 and 2020 who are not getting any leadership experience for opposition and future governments because cabinet is full of no hopers with little talent.
Ardern desperately needs a cabinet reshuffle and I'd like to hear her side of the story why was Wall and effective opposition mp turfed out and ignored and treated at every step disgustingly by labour leadership.
I respect Ardern, but I think her cabinet are a bunch of losers that other than Grant, Andrew, Chris Hipkins, the employment minister, the former minister of police , Kiri and maybe Carmel (maybe) should ALL be reshuffled to make way for new talent.
Clark would have thrown loads of these people under the bus long ago.
Now that the opposition is starting to get it's shit together it's time labour actually bled the dead wood and get it's shit together. A stronger opposition needs a stronger government which means a stronger executive.
If Wall wasn't good enough to be in cabinet or even caucus no way these lightweights deserve to be ministers of the crown.
Good luck to Wall in whatever she does and shame on the Labour party for treating her like this, Labour is supposedly a big tent party, clearly it'd rather be a hive mind.
I've long had your critical view of Labour so nothing there surprises me. I had hoped the current lot were an improvement but it looks like they aren't.
I didn't see the interview but it sounds like I ought to have. I hope it will alert others to the perennial deceit strategy Labour applies to its recruits. Too bad the hypocrisy is so deep-rooted – but it does explain why so few talented folk show up in their ranks.
If anyone wonders why Treaty issues, transgender issues, and 3-Waters don't get decent debate outside of Twitter or specialist sites like TS, here's an analysis on why:
OPINION: No-go areas that are killing mainstream media | Graham Adams | The Platform
He makes some good points
You bet! I predict this is a sleeper that will catch fire sometime soon. I find myself siding with the right for a change. Liam Hehir, who I've enjoyed making funny of online a few times in past years, has got this issue right. If anything, he's actually understating his point too much. Watch this space!
One can not ask questions when one is supposed to offer blind support, and in some cases the job of asking non questions might actually depend on being obediently supportive. We all end up losers and misinformed.
https://www.youtube.com/post/UgkxDX3iu5C4yH3BG8NKbG41D931o2Feh747
[Not another spray-dump of YT spam! Come back on Good Friday – Incognito]
Mod note
I think Adams article is really important and raises the problem with our msm.
Although there have been some very challenging discussions on the standard about Trans ideology, I have appreciated that the debate has been and continues to be had here.
Adams raises the issue of SUFW being deemed by a High Court Judge as NOT a hate group. Yet the trans ideology activists labelled this group a hate grooup and worked to have their platform shut down. The women in this group are mostly left wing progressive feminists. They were trying to say that biological sex matters and should be factored in in areas such as sports, female spaces, prisons hospital wards etc.
If the article about the Greens changing their Kaupapa so the the co-leadership has to be a female and one other gender, whilst I applaude that it is deeply hypocritical of them. That is if they mean the female should be a biological female.
Surely for the sake of fairness it would be a female presenting human, a male presenting human and one other gender so three leaders is what they need?
But anyone can present as male or female now PR……..So that leaves us nowhere.
Not really much of a debate, if you go back and look, tbf.
Following it, I'm of the opinion most readers will have seen it as a topic to avoid getting burned over by a vocal minority. Me, I just gave up 'cause I think you're shit.
Trans rights is now a "trans ideology". It's not about trans people anymore and for some, hasn't been for a very long time.
My mistake. Should be gender ideology, not trans ideology.
The debate was/is about does gender trump biological sex. A lot of women think that in some circumstances it doesn't, e.g. sport, women's prisons, women's hospital wards, womens toilets and change rooms to name a few. No one on this site has been able to disaude me from this with any rational arguements. Very often biological sex will be more important than gender identity e.g. the swimming championships in the US where transwoman Lia Thomas is beating women and women's records in the pool, then changing in the locker room with girls while she still has her male genitals intact.
I remember that you have a trans child and so propobably this is a painful debate to engage in as like any parent you would prioritize their needs.
finally please don't call me shit. I don't like it
My problem is that outside of competitive sport, which I ignore as being entertainment and waste of time and effort, I can't see how any of the other gender vs biology focuses matter at all.
No-one so far has managed to explain to me, why wanting to shift gender matters at all to society or politics or even law for anything outside of sport.
Sport = a small culdesac of insane obsessives and couch potatoes wanting something to easy to argue over nothing substantive.
Basically listening to people waffling on about it has the same kind of coherence as listening to the obsessive rantings about the greatness of the Slavs – the same kind of idiotic shit that leads to bigots wars. WW2 being an exampler for the germans, japanese, and a host of other nations
Each time this topic gets raised I get annoyed because all of the examplers are about bloody sport. Which has led me to the opinion that there are no more important and actual issues related to it.
Of course there needs to be regulation about irreversible gender treatments. But that is a medical issue about consent and an issue for the people giving it – especially dor those who are younger.
But that doesn't appear to be what the semi-mystical calls appear to be about. And the lack of a coherent reasoning – outside of bloody sport – leads me to view it as just another form of simple bigotry.
Well just for a start I prent, here is an article that relates to sport, but is actually about safe guarding of women and girls.
,Lia Thomas is a trans woman, who is biologically male and beating all sorts of records in the pool against women.
I get that you don't give a toss about sport, that's fair enough. But Lia, who is attracted to women has been given the right to change in the women's change rooms and is frequently seen in there with their genitals out.
Women such as myself think this is a problem and so do the parents of these young female swimmers. This article I have linked relates how despite these parent's complaints there has been no reponse back.
I am happy to continue with listing all the ways that many women feel this is a problem (just as SUFW tried to do, but were shut down).
However before I do so, I rather hear from you that you do want to hear the other ways this ideology is problematic. You have said before that you don't want to get entangled in this debate, which of course is your right.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/exclusive-upenn-philly-da-ignore-complaints-about-lia-thomass-male-nudity-in-the-womens-locker-room
And here's an example of a trans rapist continuing to commit sexual assalt in a women's prison.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/oct/11/transgender-prisoner-who-sexually-assaulted-inmates-jailed-for-life
Yes….. Not all Trans….
But, I really think that there are places (outside of sports) which need to be for women (biologically adult females) only.
Many, many, many women in prison have been victims of rape and sexual assault throughout their lives. They really don't need to be shut up in prison with another abuser.
And from a Swedish study which found that:
“The study provides strong evidence that policy makers cannot safely assume (a)
that transwomen’s offending patterns, including violent offending, will be
significantly different than those of the general male population or (b) that they will
be similar to those of the general female population.”
https://committees.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/18973/pdf/
In legal terms we treat women and men equally under our laws regardless of gender frequencies. Rape, infanticide, assault, sexually violating…. It is all the same standard for conviction. In the case of rape – there is a specific mention of a penis. However most cases these days are in S128(3) of the crimes act with sexual violation because then there is no need to prove penile penetration.
Women sexually violating other women, women sexually violating men, men sexually violating women, men sexually violating men. It is gender neutral because that way it is simpler to get a conviction.
The criminal act is all governed by the same legislation. The frequency of offending simply isn't a criteria for conviction. So why bring it up?
So that 'study' is completely irrelevant.
If I understand you correctly, you are arguing that a frequency of possible offending is an argument for taking pre-emptive legal action.
It is the exact equivalent of saying that all men are rapists, and should be made eunuchs at birth to reduce future offending. For that matter that all women should have their tubes cut pre-puberty to reduce the rate of teen pregnancy.
In other words, your implied but unstated argument (so cowardly to make it that way), is so weak that you could logically extend it to justify cutting the hands off anyone who may become a thief.
Perhaps you should look at the moral foundations of your indignation and tell me how you can justify judging others on something that they haven't done yet – but could possibly do – because they are in the right demographic?
Unfortunately something like 95% of all violent crime is perpetrated by males. This is a vital distinction for women to make for their own safety and survival & they have to demographically pre-judge people all the time
Unfortunately, the criminal population is pre-selected for violence, including sexual violence.
There is no doubt that women in prison are at greater risk from male sexual and physical violence (including trans violence) – which is why there are women's prisons to begin with.
The Swedish study showed that the rate of criminal conviction among trans women matched that of men, not of women. That is a valid point to consider.
Are you arguing that there should be no distinction. That there should just be one prison population.
Thank you lprent. Thank you.
Not interested. That isn't evidence – that is you just being disparaging to me after I stated that I can't see how you take something as stupid as sport, and use it to smear a range of people who aren't participating in sport.
It is simply offensive to me to offer that as an argument.
Quick question I prent. The issue I presented you with was a factual story about female swimmers complaining because their trans gender competitor is a male bodied and the authorities have deemed that it is o.k for Lia to change in the women's change room (girls are complaining that they are exposed to Lia's male genitals). You say it isn't "evidence" but really that is semantics.Is this o.k. that these young women are forced to share what was once a single sex change room with a male bodied person? To date you haven't answered this question. YOu have deflected from doing so, by claiming it is not "evidence",
You seemed to have also made this issue about whether sport is worthy or not and becase you don't care about it or perhaps even hate sport the issue becomes not important.
I have no interest in disparaing you over whether you like sport or not. It's not my business and I have no judgement on that. You are absolutely entittled to your opinion on sport, but that opinion isn't really relevant to this topic.
I am completely at a loss to understand why you think that it is "offensive to me to offer this as an arguement". You see I find it offensive that those young women have to put up with this male bodied person in their change room and when their parents complain, they get no response.
Why Sport and not the other stuff? Maybe ask the news media about what they choose to publish and what gets buried. But the statistics coming out of gender clinics is that there is a 4000% explosion in the number of young people seeking treatment. Something is going on, quite likely a social contagion amongst vulnerable teenage girls, spread via toxic social media, and enforced by vocal bullies on a moralistic cursade.
So while I agree that gender is a social construct, and often oppressive, there are some rather large omissions and misrepresentations in mainstream narratives. At present sports is just the tip of an ideological iceberg that threatens the rights and safety of women and children, denies biological reality, demands conformity to its (religious) edicts, and demands dubious medical procedures for mental illness.
Excellent comment roblogic, I always saw the sports aspect as merely the smallest and most visible tip of a much larger problem.
What problem?
Please state it very clearly. Because at present I simply can’t see one apart from some frightened people making up silly stories.
Sure there are few hothead on the trans side. Sounds like they’re a bit offensive and activist. Neither appears to be any more of an issue of being either dangerous nor chargeable. Obnoxious activists are a dime a dozen in many causes.
I have constrained myself to only the most basic and anodyne support for the SUFW position. I am reasonably sure you don't commenting on gender related topics otherwise.
It is pretty simple from my position. I wind up reading this crap here periodically. What I haven't see is a decent case or even a decent argument for changing laws.
I see tinges of ones periodically – mostly to do with delayed puberty. What I don't see is any actual evidence of issues that are outside the normal range of human behaviour. Humans overlap right across genders in most things when you look at the whole range of human capabilities.
This is at its base a issue of technology. What is being discussed (surgery, drugs) probably wasn’t possible a century ago. Just as today males can’t carry children to term, and growing children in a tube isn’t possible. Both probably will be over the next century.
But professional or competitive sport? If we anted to legislate society on that basis, then we'd trying to legislate on the basis of a small end of the demographic curve – where there is a difference between males and females. Also a difference between Bantu and Pygmy. Between ages.
That is a useless place to start a discussion on. It is also just about the only place that SUFW arguments seem to articulate about.
I'm just going to heap contempt on it until they either find an actual argument that applies to the range of humanity and can fit into a reasonable legal basis. Or I find that I just have to stand up in public in opposition to their measures and call down the bigots for motivations that I suspect they aren't willing to discuss.
I am not deeply opposed to your position either, you make a your case clearly and forcefully. The deep inconsistency here is that if sex is eradicated as a meaningful distinction – which is the basis of trans ideology – then logically the basis of feminism evaporates along with it.
As has been said of nuclear war – a strange game in which the only way to win is not to play.
Besides the world has other problems.
Which of the n forms of feminism are you thinking of? It has splits that make the potential 5th international look like miracle of conformity.
Well humanism will persist for a while.
But personally I'm seriously committed to geekism. rapidly getting into ageism as I acquire grey hairs, and can't see why programmers can't rule the world as engineers abrogate control of their tools to software.
I'm sure that differences will survive. After all you only have to look at tiktok or Instagram to see 'isms proliferating variants like a virus without copy protection.
Look, I can see issues with teens – who aren't exactly the most rational – going and doing something stupid. So just clearly legislate. We do that for smoking, driving cars, drinking alcohol, using certain types of other legal drugs – prescribed or otherwise.
While you're at it, also legislate against idiotic parents and coaches pushing kids into sports. That kind of abuse does at least as much damage to orderly development – this isn't exactly hard to find. Just read the journals of sports medicine. Or look at most sports teams that have sports wannabes trying to get into professional or even just national sport.
How? Really what I'm talking about is that if someone of reasonably sound mind over the age of say 25 decides to change gender.
What grounds do you or anyone else have for stopping them? Start from that point.
What would be your stance. Convince me that there is an issue there. How does that affect women in any meaningful way. If you assert that it does, then where is the godamn evidence of issues? Where are the charges and convictions?
Save your unstated (therefore irrelevant) scare points for someone who gets off on vicarious horror. I couldn't give a shit about stupid propaganda from social conservatives. That is the same crap that we heard about 'inherently criminal' to support racism, sexism, and various forms of homophobia.
I have heard all of that crap before – to me it simply says that some idiots are upset, but don't want to admit that they have a problem with difference.
On an individual level I don't have a problem with an adult changing gender. But there is a suite of beliefs that certain activist elements feel compelled to evangelise and demand everyone comply with. Of course these activists claim to be part of some kind of rights movement. Weird how their rights are more important than women and girls who don't wish to share intimate spaces with biological males. Or have to face them in sports competition. Or have awards, scholarships, appointments that are reserved for women to be colonised by autogynephilic males who get a buzz from pretending to be women.
Predatory males see opportunity and are exploiting it, as predicted.
Academics who assert that women are adult human females, are routinely subjected to bullying and harassment and hounded out of their jobs. Kathleen Stock, Maya Forstater, Jo Phoenix, Rosa Freedman, Lisa Littman, Helen Joyce. (not to mention J. K. Rowling who has received uncountable death threats, or our own Rachel Stewart who was subjected to a smear campaign, and the advocacy org SUFW which is routinely slandered). Many of these cancellations are well documented, but many more are not — here are 28 examples. Also, nurses, rape victims, female refugees have been stung by activists for daring to ask for their own space away from men.
This is a toxic movement founded on false premises.
https://twitter.com/HanoverHussy/status/1507091708839972879?s=20&t=zSYmRPqHWHCWaYwPWNY51Q
There is no gendered soul separate from the body. No-one is born in the wrong body. Humans are male and female. Nobody should be cancelled for using a word (woman) correctly. People cannot change sex, despite the promises of cosmetic surgery and hormones. Gender dysphoria is a psychological issue and needs compassion and care, for sure. But the solution is rarely at the end of a scalpel.
In your entire comment there is literally nothing that supports anything of significance. It is all assertions, and arbitrary definitions. Essentially it reads like someone saying that others don't respect someone making up a arbitrary framework and being impolite enough to state that, and to do something about it.
That is an assertion, probably one that is incorrect to many people. For instance teenage human females, and many pre-pubescent human females would probably find that offensive. Does the status go away with menopause? What about someone who is infertile?
I'd take a bet that you can't find a actual scientific or even legal definition for 'women' that has any significant validity.
It is a meaningless arbitrary societal label, and probably quite language/culture dependent from what I remember from anthro courses.
Basically inventing a arbitrary label purely to exclude others has had a long history in the study of bigotry.
It does tend to be quite triggering at offending others. Basically anyone who does it needs to have their mental health looked at. In this case probably some of the people you're supporting.
I'm very agnostic on what I consider to be religious fantasies. Never seen any evidence for a soul.
As I read a lot, I have investigated the whole set of ideas across multiple religious and faith based practices in depth. I have concluded that I have no particular capacity for having faith.
Several of my relatives do. I'm usually polite enough to ignore them or express polite disbelief when they start using it in conversations with me.
However if anyone uses that as part of an argument related to some kind of judgement implied or explicit about me, then I tend to class them as being deliberately offensive. It is an imposition of someone else's value system on me.
Typically I react to it in a immoderate manner, typically pulling out parts of their faith's rather poor history, by pointing out inconsistencies , by comparing it to some other faith or whatever I find most useful as a lesson.
I'd take a bet that if I looked into the depths of these '28 cancellations' that I could find some highly offensive behaviours to others that triggered the response that they got. Why – because many of the responses described in your links are characteristic of the way that many people in a freeish society deal with bloody minded bigots trying to push their arbitrary ideas on others.
Because most stoushes usually arise from some pig-headed fool being absolutely that they're right, pushing their own ideas do the gullet of others, and not bothering to be aware or have respect for the opinions of others.
However the fact that tempers get raised and that people take legitimate and legal actions against others that they disagree with is neither here nor there.
What you haven't managed to address at all is anything about the underlying issues. All you've done is stated opinions. Pointed to no substantive evidence that I could see.
All I see is a number of people making shit up and numbers that has no particular basis in anything I'd view as substantive measurable and reproducible fact. Basically just more of the bullshit in my opinion.
Disappointing that the opinions of eminent academics and respected feminists are so easily dismissed as bigotry or religiously motivated or made-up bullshit.
Sure there is probably occasional overreach in gender critical rhetoric, but there is enough substance there to take their claims seriously.
Key claims of the transgender movement are philosophical/religious rather than supported by biology
Yes!!!! This lprent, thanks again. I usually skim the anti trans stuff on here but it's nice to have another view, thank goodness.
I have no interest in trying to stop someone over 25 changing gender. That is absolutely their choice.
There are currently 25,000 young de-transitioners on reddit who have had irreversible damage done to their bodies e.g. double masectomies, which they now regret, because as you rightly put out teens do stupid things and rather than the adults they encountered protecting them, they enabled it.
You say so just legislate it against it. "We do that for smoking "etc. Good luck with that. Be prepared to be called a transphobe if you question affirmation and medical transition of very young children.
The reality is that the affirmative care model which is pushed by some Rainbow groups deems that if a young teen presents as trans then you have to affirm and confirm their gender identity and then assist them to medically transition. This is what the controversy was over including gender identity in the Conversion Practices Bill was about.
That is more useful.
However, have you ever looked at the regret syndromes for tattoos, various coming of age rituals over multiple cultures.
That is an assertion. Where is the supporting evidence with the methodology to support that number. Just to give you an idea, I could probably generate a few thousand 'people' on reddit for any cause purely with a phrase book
Which is exactly what legislation is put in to control all of the time.
I completely agree with you comments about regret. Tattoos, all sorts of coming of age rituals. Our brains aren't fully developed till we are 25 years old and so teens and young adults do all sorts of "crazy" things that result in regret……..And the job of the adults around them is to help steer them away from harm….
The thing about the medical transition of teens, is that these treatements are often irreversable. Puberty Blockers, which use to be use to treat sex offenders, block puberty. The evidence is from the Tavistock Clinic in the UK that nearly 100% of kids on puberty blockers then transfer to cross sex hormones ie. oestrogen and testosterone. Then what often follows is surgery i.e. what is politely called top surgery ie a double masectomy and sometimes bottom surgery. It is not unheard of for young women to be given hysterectomies. When you think of how drastic these interventions are and with bottom there is a huge risk of complications, it is not hard to see that many young people may come to regret these interventions that have caused irreversible damage to their healthy bodies.
I have references for all of this and will post if requested. One such reference was the case study of a young woman from Christchurch who featured in a Listener article in June 2021. She was given puberty blockers around the age of 14, then cross sex hormones. A double masectomy around 18 and then a hysterectomy not long after this. At 23 years old she started to have regrets. When the journalist met her, she had facial and body hair and an Adams apple and a deep voice (all from the effects of testorone. She had realized after going through all of this that in fact she was a lesbian and didn't have a male identiy at all.
Incidentally, I just dug into the Crimes Act 1961 and Summary Offences Act 1981 looking at language as an exercise. These are the mainstays of criminal prosecution in NZ and are probably the oldest active legislation
Essentially the old legal definitions of woman and man have effectively steadily been removed since 1961. Summary Offences doesn't have any as far as I can see.
The Crimes Act only has Archaeological mostly repealed or replaced artefacts.
Looking for 'woman' in the un-repealed parts of Crimes Act.
s27 on Compulsion
s98 Dealing in slaves
s178 Infanticide – there is a lot of material in here. Most of it looks pretty old. Essentially seems to to be circumlocutions around questions of insanity.
And that it is all all. I couldn't locate any other legislation mentioning woman or women. 'Man' is also missing. As is 'boy' or 'girl'
Essentially where required, male and female are sparingly used. A definition on genitalia (includes constructed or reconstructed), penis. Plus two sections the first is very old, and the second was added 'recently' in 1996
s194 Assault on a child, or by a male on a female, s204A/B on Female genital mutilation are it.
//——————-
If you looked back to 1893 it was markedly different.
https://www.archives.govt.nz/discover-our-stories/the-definition-of-a-woman-in-1893
At that point they were just starting to release women out of legal servitude of the husband an male relatives.
What I'm trying to imply is that legally 'woman' just reminds me of my great grandmothers stories about what it was like when she was growing up.
100%. Roblogic
Ta for that TA.
Louisa was a double international wasn't she? Netball and rugby. Would have been a great minister of sports. Who got that? Oh the Min of Fin….surely he didn't need to be so grabby. Oh but he loves being a sports fan…counts more than Louisas epic ness as a person and hardworking mp.
Yeah, but Minister of Sport is a bauble of power – you get to go to the All Bklacks games (which has probably not been so much of an issue over the last 2.5 years).
Those are reserved for the people who have toed the party line, or who want a nice cherry on top of a difficult portfolio.
In any case, it would have been a sad waste of Wall's talent and passion to have shuffled her off into a meaningless portfolio like Sport.
Binders full of women an interesting interview with Louisa on Q and A this morning. Apologies, no link.
It was made clear to Louisa that she would never be in Cabinet (by Jacinda). Matt McCarten said on the Daily Blog podcast that it was because she was a difficult person. Louisa today said she thought it dated back to her support for David Cunliffe over Grant Robinson during the leadership contest
That was nearly 10 years ago although admittedly the fallout continued for a few years afterwards. Louisa Wall strikes me as a very determined woman – which is laudable – but she is intolerant of others who may have had a slightly different point of view. I understand it affected her ability to manage a cohesive electorate team and it is my view that was far more likely the cause of her demise in politics.
In other words she was a little too much of a maverick. Her new position sounds like it is far better suited to her than parliament.
Any evidence, Anne?
Because having a candidate parachuted in at late notice, over the expressed wishes of the local electorate team – doesn't sound as though Wall had problems with her electorate team (or they with her).
And Wall's (in these days) astonishing ability to build cross-party support for legislation doesn't sound as though she is "intolerant of others with a different point of view'".
She was shafted by the Labour machine (looking at you Claire Szabo) because she wasn't a nice obedient little sheep. Evidence is that she was replaced by a cookie-cutter Labour MP – who so far, at least, hasn't made a single noteworthy statement either inside or outside the house.
And, it would have had to have been okayed by Ardern – which makes me think less of her.
Do you have anything to back this up with or are you simply assuming and speculating?
There is zero chance in hell that a party president (from any party) would de-select a sitting MP without at least consulting the party leader. Especially when the party is in government.
Really, you think that Szabo would have blind-sided Ardern over this?
So, you’re assuming Ardern was “consulted”, formally or informally?
And you’re speculating that Ardern “okayed” it, formally or informally?
Sounds to me that you’re ascribing a whole lot more to Ardern than you can actually back up with facts.
Good to know that you have nothing, which is rather ironic given that you asked for “any evidence” in your comment to which I replied.
Still haven't seen the evidence I asked for about a speculation over the local electorate team not wanting Wall.
If it's OK to speculate one way, it's OK to speculate the other.
And it isn't just me speculating that Ardern had to have OK'd it – it was fairly widely covered at the time by political commentators.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/audrey-young-why-labour-gave-louisa-wall-a-managed-exit-from-manurewa/NBJ3L6N5CIBMMDMVOHZY4QO4W4/
Rolling a sitting MP is not a usual thing….. Not a routine bit of party business that the party leader doesn't need to be bothered by.
Do you have any evidence that Ardern protested this disloyalty to one of her team of MPs – either formally or informally?
Her only comment, that I can find, is that it was a matter for the local electorate committee (which is thoroughly disingenuous when 3 of the 7 come from head office and routinely block vote)
Don’t be a dimwitted fool. Just because someone else hasn’t answered your questions doesn’t mean you can make up BS and not back it up when asked.
In case you haven’t noticed, this is not the NZH and behind a fucking paywall, but TS and free. If Audrey Young had written that here on TS I might have questioned her too, especially if she’d just asked for “any evidence” from another commenter.
Audrey Young, of all people, speculating in NZH doesn’t let you off the hook speculating here on TS! That would be the logic of a dim-witted fool.
And you were saying that you’ve been thinking less of Ardern for the last 2 years because of Audrey Young’s speculations in NZH? It sounds like you’re somewhat biased and cannot think for yourself.
When you mention “head office”, do you imply more direct influence and involvement by Ardern, without any support to back it up?
Here’s another statement of fact that you may want to back up:
You may know a lot more about the inner workings of the Labour Party, but equally, you may also make up a lot of BS. So, how veracious are your comments here really?
Well, it looks like Belladonna doesn't know too much about the inner workings of the Labour Party after all. At least not according to former Labour Party president, Mike Williams.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/departing-mp-louisa-walls-claims-countered-by-ex-labour-party-president/VVNV3ODSHS3REZGSNDTQ3RBJQQ/
I believe the ex president of the Labour Party, Mike Williams.
Thanks. We already have so much fake news, reckons, and BS flying around in MSM and SM (there is a Post on this parallel to OM: https://thestandard.org.nz/why-trust-in-the-media-is-declining/) that we shouldn’t encourage more of this behaviour here on TS. In fact, we should actively discourage it, which is what I tried, but I ran into the usual wall of belligerence. I hate having to resort to moderation, but I will increasingly use it.
"Still haven't seen the evidence I asked for about a speculation over the local electorate team not wanting Wall."
From an online Herald article which appeared around 8pm last night which I picked up later that evening:
So, it would seem the understanding I was given at the time was correct.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/departing-mp-louisa-walls-claims-countered-by-ex-labour-party-president/VVNV3ODSHS3REZGSNDTQ3RBJQQ/
So you believe Mike Williams, I believe Louisa Wall.
Don't really think we can take this any further.
Both have significant reason to cast events in a light suitable to themselves. Though, having met both, I know who I'd choose to believe.
I think Louisa Wall is showing signs of harbouring a deep grudge against Jacinda Ardern. Whether or no she has grounds for it I am not in a position to know, but I suspect her perception of Ardern – and others – have been distorted by that grudge.
Having been part of the inner circles of party politics and later observing events from the periphery, I've seen it happen before. Therefore I base my judgement on my experiences and the instincts developed because of them.
I also know Mike Williams and I see no reason for him to cast events in a light suitable to himself. In fact I don't believe he has done so. As far as I know all he has done is confirm what happened. The Manurewa LEC requested the selection of another candidate presumably because they were having difficulty working with Louisa Wall.
If I want to express an opinion in a mild and conversational way to a fellow long-term commenter I will do so Belledonna. By all means disagree with that 'opinion' but it is time you did so with more circumspection and in a less dogmatic way. Some of what you have said @ 16.1.1 does not meet the criteria of undisputed fact at all. Just somebody else's opinion.
Oh and btw, for your information it is the Labour Party Council who control electoral matters not the leader. Parliament caucus has representation on that council but by no means do they have the final say.
Cannon fodder.
Volunteers are being recruited in Tuva for the war in Ukraine. Equipment is just a topchik https://vk.com/wall-83474124_273977 #чотаржу #RussianUkrainianWar #роа
https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1511948583259545600
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/08/they-were-sent-as-cannon-fodder-siberian-governor-confronted-by-relatives-of-russian-unit
How far away from declaring war and a full draft do you think?
This entire affair is infuriating yet somewhere in my soul I still feel a deep sorrow for all the young men on both sides both brutalised and crushed on the altar of Putin's paranoia.
Not long. Ukraine expects some sort of outrage to help sell a general conscription.
https://twitter.com/GicAriana/status/1512639447736668162
An unidentified person reported a bomb threat at the Historical Museum on Red Square in Moscow, a law enforcement source reports: http://go.tass.ru/jpLXG
https://twitter.com/tass_agency/status/1512868193748099073
I have actually visited the exact spot in that photo.
There is so much to loose.
Perhaps unlikely to quickly redeploy is a little optimistic. But I live in hope.
Russian forces are increasingly refusing to reenter combat, and the Kremlin remains unlikely to quickly redeploy effective forces from northeastern Ukraine to operations in Donbas. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that more than 80% of personnel in some unspecified Russian units previously involved in combat operations are refusing to return to the front.[1] Russian commanders are reportedly refusing to release soldiers whose service contracts have expired, forcing them to stay with their units. The Ukrainian GUR (Military Intelligence) claimed to have intercepted a letter from Russian Chief of Missile Troops and Artillery Mikhail Matveevsky to several Russian training centers calling for further censorship of troops undergoing training, and encouraged propaganda highlighting the monetary benefits of serving in the war.[2] Elements of Russia’s 6th Combined Arms Army (CAA), 20th CAA, 1st Guards Tank Army, and coastal troops of the Northern and Baltic Fleets continue efforts to regroup for likely redeployment to eastern Ukraine.[3] The General Staff additionally reported that Russian Western Military District Commander Colonel General Alexander Zhuravlev (the first explicit mention of Zhuravlev since the war began) is planning to remove Major General Ivan Belyavsky from the position of the head of the WMD personnel department due to low recruitment numbers.[4]
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-8
Institute for the Study of War
Consider this. Just a few days ago the EU chief Ursula von der Leyen stated that Ukraine's entry in the EU would be fast tracked in a 'matter of weeks than years'.
On the surface this is interesting enough, but takes on a new light when you consider this:
NATO is not the only player in town.
'Murica Hell Yeah!
https://twitter.com/patriottakes/status/1512828138048438273
https://twitter.com/patriottakes/status/1512837301801558022
Scott Morrison becomes the first Australian PM to finish his full term,as they set the date for elections.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-04-10/may-21-election-scott-morrison-anthony-albanese-coalition-labor/100903580
France goes to the polls today in the first runoff.
https://twitter.com/ReutersWorld/status/1513056726643363846?cxt=HHwWjMC-yfHEuv8pAAAA
Will Macron become the first president since 2002 if Le Pen wins will her party be able to repay their debt to a Moscow bank.
https://twitter.com/biannagolodryga/status/1512843145561653249?cxt=HHwWgoCyweq02f4pAAAA