I think the Labour caucus should simply be keeping their mouths shut and I'm not a Labour member or voter but do New Zealanders really need to hear from insiders. Annoying.
And you wonder why Chauvel didn't win Ohariu.
In fairness both NZ Herald Digipoll and Roy Morgan picked up the momentum changes. Both showed the rise of NZ First and over the threshold. Roy Morgan had NZ First at 6.5%. Roy Morgan crucially had National below 50% and Labour's vote was very close as ...
He's also negative and I'm not sure he could do a positive campaign. Do Labour really just want to attack John Key in 2014 as they have in 2011 and 2008. Do they want to campaign once again negatively rather than positively?
I think the Greens and their supporters are a hell of a lot more smarter than you give them credit for. The real problem with the Greens is how broad their support is. Yes its far more likely they took votes from Labour but there were people that would ...
Not really. You always get voters that effectively don't listen. Part and parcel of a democracy really and can't be helped. But honestly I think David Parker effectively did get Labour voters to vote Goldsmith.
I'm a bit shocked by the result personally as I didn't think Nicky Wagner stood a chance. I knew where I live Saint Albans would be very supportive of Wagner and National as too Papanui and Merivale. Other places went to Burns but not nearly as much as to ...
I'd be very surprised if NZ First simply grabbed older voters.
Agreed. He was sulking. I see Matthew Hooten is doing the same.
Labour also seem to have done better in the electorate vote than party vote. Labour's billboards anyone? Sorry but I honestly thought they were a throwback to National 2002 billboards.
Goff should wait six months. No Labour candidate have shown themselves to be credible enough to lead the party at this point. Some have potential. My personal opinion is Robertson or Shearer have potential but need a bit more time like John Key got. ...
Auckland Central looks like Grey Lynn, Newton for Ardern. Ponsonby and Herne Bay for Kaye with elsewhere pretty even.
Can we have a post-election thread or something? Polling Places details are out. Christchurch Central seems to be the great divide. You really couldn't have a much sharper difference in opinion. Papanui, Merivale and Saint Albans went for Wagner. Linwood, ...
Very possible in my opinion.
Hmm I'm already reading that if the voters were rational labour would have won by a landslide etc etc etc. No they wouldn't. Even in 2002 it is quite amazing how little the left or right blocs actually move. Doesn't take much for one or the other to tip ...
Meh. I found Chris Trotter to be terribly sulky and frankly pathetic tonight (well yesterday). Honestly though, he's a good commentator but a bloody frustrating one as well. I've always enjoyed his analysis. But he has the ability to be entirely right on ...
I already know three people didn't vote. Tomorrow I suspect more will be revealed.I find it disgusting myself.
I don't think the polls were too bad. The last lot of polls certainly showed the momentum for National falling (though above 50%), NZ First rising (Morgan Poll was very good on that point) and Labour around 27% or so. Greens a bit overstated but no where ...
But National wouldn't gain an extra seat had Banks lost. Its not great I'll give you that and of course it saw NZ First rise. Though maybe NZFirst would have risen regardless of the tape saga. Act needs to be transformed into something. I don't know or how...
I don't get why Kris is even in parliament. Sorry but I don't.
I think the left is certainly more harmed by low turnout. The same factor was in effect in 2008 as well. But National too is hurt by turnout and has been hurt by turnout in the past. 2011 has so many parallels with 2002 really except the other way.
Hmm Christchurch Central had lower turnout than Christchurch East. I don't know how to explain and I don't think I know my electorate very well as I thought Burns was going to way better. I imagine what happened in Christchurch was the result of the ...
I think Carmel could sneak up when specials are counted.
Expected really wasn't it? I know I saw it. And I think it hurt the left more but I can't help but wonder whether National's vote would be even higher had turnout been better.
Disagree. Key may have pointed but I believe Epsom voters chose right till the end to switch to Banks. In the end Banks has to be very thankful to Epsom voters.
Yep. Electorates really need to be preferential. Talking about electorates. Looks like Labour actually held up very well and could still retain both Christchurch Central and Waimakariri depending on specials. And also gain Waitakere and of course won Te ...
Hmm can't be reading above. I imagine there is some delusions though lots of rational stuff as well. I'm a bit stunned. I think every person on TV is wrong. Tonight was a good result for Labour. It may not look good but to win 27 or potentially 28% support...
I don't get this attitude. I really don't.
[quote]In return can I ask how you feel about the lack of detail in the National and Act policies and this years budget. (although Act tends to have a touch more detail than National currently surprisingly enough) Is it enough to have aspirations for the ...
Can I ask an opinion of left-wing voters. Do you think Labour has focused its campaign too much on Asset Sales at the expense of other left-wing policy?
Christchurch Central Electorate Vote: Nicky Wagner Party Vote: National I am predicting Christchurch Central to be one of the few electorates to see a rise in the Labour candidates support and maybe even party vote. But its also one of the electorate that ...
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