Local, regional or full lock-downs. Checkpoints, soldiers on the streets, mandatory door-to-door testing. Further job losses, mass anxiety, bankruptcies. How long before the team of 5 million start calling for the Government to fully close the borders?
Jacinda warned that even the best trained and best equipped staff face a high risk of picking up the virus at one of New Zealand’s border facilities.
If we genuinely want to take a better safe than sorry approach, isn't it time we start having the discussion on fully closing the borders. I believe so. What say you?
I'm not concerned about the risk of having to go back into lockdowns, let alone the other bizarre things you're suggesting.
At this point, it's frankly nuts to be suggesting to suggest we might want to completely lock down borders, denying New Zealanders their right to come home. As for soldiers in the streets – get a grip.
The very few wobbles with managed isolation and quarantine that have happened at the border have come about from a slight excess of confidence in regular people being able to be trusted to do the right thing. Those holes are being plugged.
But even if there's spread to staff, they know how to manage it, and the behavioural changes most of us have made will slow any undetected community transmission down to much more easily manageable levels when it finally does get detected.
Good to know you are not personally concerned about the risk of having to go back into lockdowns. However, I think it would be fair to assume some are.
What are these bizarre things you think I'm suggesting? Local, regional or full lock-downs. Checkpoints, soldiers on the streets, mandatory door-to-door testing. Resulting in further job losses, mass anxiety, bankruptcies etc is the Government's new plan of action.
As for being nuts to suggest we need to have a discussion on fully closing down the borders, I think you will find some of us think it's crazy not to be having this discussion.
In normal circumstances allowing New Zealanders access is unquestionable, however this is far from normal circumstances. Globally, the rate of those infected is vastly growing, hence so is the risk
Not playing the hysteria card. Highlighting the reality of going back into lockdown. Which is a genuine risk the longer the border remains open and the virus vastly spreads.
PS
As for the Nats, don’t they want to widen the border – ie by bringing in offshore students? No wonder them playing the hysteria card went down like a cup of hot sick.
Here’s an informative article without the emotive hyperbole by people who put their names to it, unlike you who’s referring to imaginary and assumed “we” and “some of us”, which is a form of astroturfing and thus frowned upon by Moderators.
Stringent border controls and mandatory quarantine give New Zealand a good chance to remain free of Covid-19 for months to come, according to our latest modelling.
It's been 76 days since New Zealand's last reported case of community transmission, and our model shows the risk of an infectious person slipping through the border undetected remains very low. Provided the rules are followed, we would expect this to happen only once over the next 18 months — and even then, this person may not infect anyone else.
According to your link, currently about 400 people fly into New Zealand each day.
And again from your link, the modelling suggests the risk of an infectious person being released into the community is around 0.1 per cent – which according to your link means for every 1000 infected people who arrive at the border, one person will be released from quarantine while still infectious.
Moreover, the modeling in your link doesn't take into account people deliberately absconding from quarantine.
Therefore, in a perfect world where all rules are followed and no human mishaps occur then yes, the risk is no doubt far lower. However, as we know, we don't live in a perfect world. And as we have all seen, mishaps and people deliberately absconding happens.
If you aren't already hearing it from people within your current social circles, wait till we end up going back into lockdown, then the cries to fully close the border will become much louder.
Therefore, the discussion should be considered now rather than after the shit hits the fan.
Therefore, the discussion should be considered now rather than after the shit hits the fan.
Therefore, any discussion should be grounded in reality and be based on realistic assumptions and risk assessments rather than on scaremongering by individuals who freak out because they’re having nightmares or personal agendas.
The article was quite clear about their assumptions and based on our collective experience over the last months I think those assumptions are valid.
I don’t have a social circle filled with cries – no crybabies here. Even if I did, I wouldn’t base my comments here on it!
Therefore, any discussion should be grounded in reality and be based on realistic assumptions and risk assessments rather than on scaremongering by individuals who freak out because they’re having nightmares or personal agendas.
Indeed. No argument there.
The article was also quite clear their assumptions were based on all the rules being followed. However, based on our collective experience over the last months, the rules clearly haven't been followed.
And now we are or will be facing Martial Law and health ‘pogroms’? What I’m saying is that yes, there are risks that can be and are managed well enough and that there’s no need at present for kneejerk reactions and scaremongering. You do live in NZ, don’t you?
Calling for a discussion is not a knee-jerk reaction or scaremongering.
As for martial law and health ‘pogroms’, all I know is what the Government have announced, which is troops possibly manning regional check points. There could potentially be mandatory door-to-door testing. And there could be local, regional or full lock-downs with no warning notices given. Which will result in further job losses, mass anxiety, bankruptcies etc
Could you please stop your knee-jerking and scaremongering? Your whole comment is steeped in it! You’re not calling for a discussion with an open mind and your kind of ‘discussion’ is not worth having here. What you’re doing here on TS is scaring the horses for no good reason. Please, stop it or I will stop you, again.
Yes, the article does indeed state that the modelling suggests that around 1 in 1000 released from isolation/quarantine are still infectious. But I suspect there's either a typo or significant modifiers are being left out.
We have had around 26,000 people be released from managed isolation/quarantine since March 26, so an estimated 26 infectious people have been released. Yet not one of them has apparently infected anyone else after release.
So if there isn't a typo involved, maybe that "infectious" is really "theoretically infectious, but negligibly so in practical terms".
We need to improve the managed isolation regime to reduce risk.
All those in the first week confined to their room – keeping the first week intake and the second week intake separate is important.
As for the second week they should be separated by day – thus day 8, day 9, day 10, day 11 day 12 day 13 and day 14 would be allowed out of their rooms at different times.
Re guards being infected.
They should be required to practice social distancing when off work and maybe have a wristbracelet that identifies their position time for easy track tracing. soition
And pay them extra (with generous paid leave in 6 week blocks – 2 week self isolation, a month off without social distancing). It's money well spent. 12 weeks on, 6 weeks off.
As to community spread – we really need a card with bluetooth, and if we get this spread before we have such a card – we have to consider phone location tracking (develop capacity for this until such time as we have a card).
Yes, more can be done to help reduce the risk in managed isolation. Although, that will be offset somewhat by the increase in risk due to the growing rate of global infections.
I've yet to see any good articles exploring how it might play out as the parts of the world experiencing the highest population growth – India, Nigeria, Tanzania, Pakistan, Angola etc – run smack into increasing severe heat stress from climate change. Let alone water supply issues.
As a baby boomer I do consider that I am of the golden age due to having had the luxury of security on many levels compared to what the two generations below me are facing.
This is a nasty virus but even in the US it has still so far only affected about 1% of the population or 3.5 million out of about 338 million though their figures may be light by up to 40%. This in a country that seems to be trying its hardest to contact Covid.
The figures coming over the border here appear to be well below that threshold with 1 or 2 a day out of about 500-700. It is hard to get a handle on how many but it seems like around 30 with Covid in about 10,000 since level 1. My figures are probably shit but thats about .03% affected, hardly the plague of Biblical proportions but no reason to relax our guard, but also not a lot of reason for so much fear mongering.
Exactly froggle, my point was lets keep the bloody thing out but I am seeing a fair bit of every day unessecary angst about the pretty much non-existent threat to us here in NZ. Things like local nimbys complaining when a hotel gets requisitioned and silly little worries, I think some are winding up their mental anxiety levels for no good reason and harming their health , I blame the Nats for a lot of that with their disinformation. We are OK, we did the right thing and we are living with the well earned benefits of that, so lets shut down the Panic Merchants as quickly as we can by telling them to calm down.
It is satisfying to see the biggest most egregious bunch of PMs reaping the rewards of their nastiness with their precious party publicly garroting itself, the funny part is how much it looks like an old style Soviet putsch when an even more toxic arsehole grabs power and the bodies of the previous arsehole's acolytes start getting piled up in the streets.
Actually, "all it takes" is one person being missed by the departure terminal screening, not being observed on the plane, not being detected in iso tests, passing it to someone else in an undetected manner, that person not being symptomatic, then that person passing it to someone otherwise unconnected with the iso facility, then that person passing it on to another person via an unrecorded contact, then the next thing you know we have community transmission when the last person in the chain finally presents to medical care and they can't find any connection with overseas travellers or an isolation facility.
Even though your figure is that 1% have been infected, the disruption of the virus has a huge impact in many other ways on every person in the country.
This in a country that seems to be trying its hardest to contact Covid.
A pretty good number are also trying very hard to avoid it. Let's say it's 50% are taking measures, this slows it down big-time. Didn't the NZ Covid Brains Trust suggest that when you get above 80% taking social distancing etc seriously, then the infection rate drops? so this may explain the non-explosive spread you allude to.
There is no doubt that "kiwibuild" will be bandied about by national in the coming electioneering
So here is my scorecard for kiwibuild.
Labour
Positive 10, for recognizing a housing crisis and having a plan to deal with it.
Negative 10, for plan implementation and being naive in believing that a developer will build cheap housing, when using the same crap materials the same crap construction methods they can flossie it up a bit and ask twice the price for a 25 year life cycle house. Thereby doubling the profit.
Average net effect = zero
National.
Negative 10, for dishonestly denying there is a housing crisis.
For instance they won't compare what happened between 2014 to 2017 and 2017 to 2020, as being equivalents. Labour made Kiwibuild a flagship policy and have transparently failed. That failure is what will be in the voters minds.
If Labour can successfully pivot to the number of state house builds, they will be on much firmer ground.
So what you're saying is, Labour's attempt to let the free mark fully participate in Kiwibuild is what failed, and they should have just built them all themselves.
Seems like a bit of a repudiation to National's favoured philosophy.
Well that is the thing that voters do remember dear Wayne,
Labour builds State Houses
National sells them.
And National replaces the sold stock of houses with ditches and tents and vans parked in parks with open public toilets and calls it a 'housing initiative'.
And Wayne, its not Labour that needs to pivot, its your troupe of clowns that need to stop spinning out of control in the clown car.
Although relying on short voter memory is the only thing National has to offer, it is by no means a perfect strategy. Hypocrisy offends people, and offended people spread the reminders of how the Key government contributed to the present housing crisis. It is a subject upon which National MPs would not be able to speak for shame – if any of them had ever had any integrity whatsoever. 😀
The facts immediately below it (The headline) show that Labour has developed 5400 homes and sold 146 that were not worth repairing or in the wrong place.
"Massey University associate professor Grant Duncan, who teaches public policy and political theory, said politicians were known to make statements without providing additional information to qualify it.
While it made sense for the Government to sell housing stock that may not be fit for purpose or not geographically suited to demand, it had not done what it said it would and stop the sale of state houses, he said.
Don't forget Hobsonville and the meager promises of National to provide affordable houses ,developers sold those earmarked for affordable houses on the private market for a good profit.
You know that is a hyperlinked headline, don’t you? You know that others can click and read it the actual article, unlike you, and see straight through your BS troll attempt, don’t you? This begs the question why you act so stupid thinking that others are even more stupid? It looks like I may need to remove you from TS in the lead-up to the Election, don’t you agree?
The problem, of course, is that many won't go past the headline and so the headline will do its job of putting people off Labour despite the fact that the reality is far more nuanced.
edit
DTB So true. There is so much information or hyperbole or lies or part-facts swirling around that people don't have time to look up and read every link provided. It takes time just reading the blogs and comments that have the links in them. It is misleading for stuff business journalists/headline specialists to write that part truth headline about Labour, so that it reads entirely against Labour.
(In the media item John Anthony presents a valid point – that Twyford (let's blame him, I feel he deserves it) said that no more state houses would be sold by Labour. But I still think that the heading could have been better written. Better to say that Labour wanted to have its cake and eat it in its 100-days announcement.)
In the lead up to the 2017 election Labour said if elected it would immediately end the sale of state houses. In December that year former housing minister Phil Twyford issued a press release titled: Government stops the sale of state houses. The statement said the Labour-led Government had “cancelled the sell-off of state houses, fulfilling another of its first 100 day promises”. However, towards the bottom of the statement Twyford said it would still sell houses that were no longer fit for purpose.
You know that is a hyperlinked headline, don’t you?
This is i believe a deliberate stratagem and seems to be happening sufficiently often that perhaps we could start documenting and analyzing which publications are mostly responsible (NZ HERALD, stuff) for starters.
Its just more DP as far as i can see and would be good to be calling these players out.
Not necessarily DP per se, but certainly used by DP operators. MSM use headlines/clickbait to lure readers to their sites; it is how they operate. TS Moderators have no control over MSM but can point out ‘bad habits’ by some punters here on this site.
No deal, hyperlinks are fine and handy. It is the headline ‘message’ embedded in the hyperlink that often is the issue. Most people don’t even read past the headline but/because they have already taken in the ‘message’, mostly sub-consciously, especially when it confirms their cognitive bias.
Commenters are often asked by moderators to be descriptive when commenting. If linking, at a minimum we need to explain what the link is and, in the form of a response, why we are posting it. I think a quote from the article always helps liven it up too.
"It is the headline ‘message’ embedded in the hyperlink that often is the issue. Most people don’t even read past the headline but/because they have already taken in the ‘message’, mostly sub-consciously, especially when it confirms their cognitive bias."
Catering for "rural interests and scaling back what Ball labels overbearing and nonsensical environmental policies." A journo ought to ask Todd Muller why heartland Nats are deserting! No point asking the Nat leader? Well she didn't work with James Shaw. But she did grow up on a farm, so maybe.
Just like four out of five kiwis, most farmers also want cleaner lakes and streams, says Ball. But the government should set the environmental targets, not the rules and regulations. Leave that to the regional councils and farmers groups, who know the best way to manage their land.
Good point, so the Stuff journo got clever & ran it by a Bluegreen.
“He's got quite a good point there actually,” says Guy Salmon, an executive director of Ecologic a non-profit foundation that promotes sustainable development. Salmon says The Land and Water Forum, recommended this approach in 2012, which was then trialled in the Waikato with some success. However, delayed negotiations over iwi water rights stalled the policy from going nation-wide.
“Good luck to them if they can make it work,” says Salmon. But while Salmon says the Heartland freshwater ideas make some sense, the same can’t be said for their stance on climate change.
What interests me is that these hicks from the sticks have decided that Nats + neocons + Act look too much like one big pile of crap to be worth supporting.
Leave that to the regional councils and farmers groups, who know the best way to manage their land.
Can't see how you can think that is a good point. If farmers knew how to best manage 'their' land and actually gave a shit then we wouldn't have a problem. Most farmers know jack shit about fresh water ecology.
Yes, definitely, re farmers. I was agreeing with the logic about regional councils. I recall how big the Greens were on local & regional governance when I was an activist. It is true, however, that capture of governance decisions by farmer activists could be a downside of that.
The reality is that regional councils have been fuck useless at enforcing their own rules. Yes often regional councils are captured by farmer interests.
It's all about culture and agri-culture is embedded in all of us; recognising it for what it is, then acting outside of its influence is our only hope (imo).
Agree with both soltka and RG here. Elected regional councils tend to be conservative and farmer heavy. RC staff tend not to enforce their own regs. It's a shit show, literally and figuratively. NZ mostly stood by and watched it happen. Part of the issue is regional council elections and lots of people not voting.
In that case there's important learning to be done by Green parliamentarians. They may have already done it. But could be worth checking Green policy to discern if that learning has been integrated! In respect of the relevant Green Charter principle, I mean. Policy ought to signal how to implement our principles in real life situations…
Good question – but I was just acknowledging your point about democracy vs vested interests. I see no future in Greens advocating local/regional democracy if it doesn't work in practice. Mere words, then. As devoid of substance as any sloganeering by Labour.
It's up to your generation & any other generation younger than mine to progress the situation now. Whatever framing the GP has since put around the principle we adopted ought to be reality-checked!
I see no future in Greens advocating local/regional democracy if it doesn't work in practice.
It works. NZers generally don't care if we have shitty rivers, despite what they say, and they vote in the local govt that gives them that. It's a low form of democracy but I don't see that giving up on it would improve the situation, and would actually make it much worse.
I was agreeing with the logic about regional councils.
High probability that the regional councils don't know any thing about fresh water ecology either. They simply don't have the dedicated research teams and I doubt if they read what the universities put out.
Oh, that's not true at all! Not only do councils have such teams/people, but they are intimately connected to the non-council teams that are dedicated to such research. Councillors may know little, but their science staff know full-well!
They are political institutions. If those were dominated by National Party voting councillors, what sort of decisions do you expect would be made? Environmentally-friendly ones?
I don’t follow how you set targets without rules & regulations. Very wishy-washy toothless proposal. My target is to lose 15 kg by Christmas but I don’t set rules & regulations for myself and it will just happen by my sheer willpower (positive thinking) and motivation (NY’s resolutions from 2016) without having to change any habits or make any sacrifices. Mate, they’re dreaming!
And living that dream. Trying to. I agree targets are insufficient: implementation strategies are crucial to hitting a target. As bowmen of your discovered: need a straight arrow, a competent fletcher, plus a yew bow like Robin Hood!
Leave that to the regional councils and farmers groups, who know the best way to manage their land.
If they knew the best way to manage their land then we wouldn't be having the issues that we're having now and we wouldn't need to have the central government stepping in to fix their mess.
Couple of pieces on the state of play with Tiwai Point.
There's a six month "un-termination" window in the power supply contract. So maybe this is next-level hardball negotiation from Rio Tinto. For mine, fuck 'em. Let's sort out an alternative plan for the Southland economy and the affected people and say Bye Felicia to Rio Tinto.
But it seems WinnieFirst wants to pay the ransom to buy a temporary reprieve for the jobs hostages. Hopefully they'll get told Bye Felicia in a couple of months too.
For a start, the government is the only party that has the required cash. Funny really, all these reforms after 36 years and the New Zealand private sector is still too weak to engage in capital intensive activities.
The only national interest reason to have a smelter is if there's a massive oversupply of electricity that we want to somehow sell overseas. That may have been arguably true back when Tiwai Point and Manapouri were first conceived and hardly anybody cared about GHG emissions. That is definitely no longer true, we have plenty of good uses for that electricity domestically, not least of which is simply shutting down Huntly's inefficient single stage coal-fired turbines.
The other possible (really dumb) reason is just as an explicit jobs creation scheme, regardless of how the economics stack up. In this case, the economics just won't stack up, because of the messed up structure of the worldwide aluminium production market.
Chinese suppliers are a real mess of subsidies and other government intervention, and non-chinese suppliers are heavily vertically integrated. As I understand it, there are very few alumina suppliers that aren't tightly bound to smelters, so a nationalised smelter would be subject to the same jobs-hostage squeezes that we're currently subjected to from Rio Tinto. That makes it all a snake-pit we would do best to keep well clear of.
But the private sector is really great at getting subsidies and ripping off the tax payer as proven by all the subsidies that we've paid over for the aluminium smelter over the decades.
But having the ability to smelt aluminium, especially if we develop that bauxite up in Northland, would be beneficial to the country if our supply lines become even more disrupted.
And, of course, the whole point of the government keeping it going is for the benefit of NZ which means that it cannot be left in private hands.
First question that should be answered is smelting aluminium from imported raw materials the best use of that energy and labour. Are there better options that would be better for Southland and New Zealand.
There’s been talk if a Tesla plant and also of a silica industry, refining a local resource. Not sure about the scale of that resource but it’s said to be of very good quality. Also wonder if there’s a connection between the two.
That Tesla gigafactory thing is pure unicorns frolicking in a meadow with daffodils.
Silica could be more interesting if it indeed uses a local resource so it's not subject to international supply chain fuckery and the value of the final product is largely dependent on the energy supplied to produce it.
Electricity consumption really isn't that significant an input, so access to Manapouri power isn't much of an advantage.
A Tesla gigafactory needs a lot of people with very highly specialised skills. Attracting them to the bottom of the South Island would be quite the project. (well, maybe attracting them wouldn't be difficult right now, but getting them to stay might be tougher).
People with high paying jobs on Southland tend to hang onto them. The lifestyle, and low cost of living makes the place pretty good. The climate can have it's moments, but Southland on a good day takes some beating, and if it's crap you're not far from somewhere that's not too bad. Even a howling southwesterly has it's charms for it's sheer power.
The smelter has a very stable workforce and it's really hard to get jobs there.
It's one or the other, a lot of people get into what the region has to offer and thrive on it, others it's not their cup of tea and can't stand the place. But I'm like that with Auckland.
While the smelter has a stable workforce, the money has a lot to do with that. On smelter wages Southland is pretty good. No one's that fussed about the job but know people from process workers to engineers and admin that have been there 20+ years
The hill was pretty good today too, I'm working at 1000m on a north aspect, had fantails flying around this afternoon, but looking down on permafrost in the basin.
There’s been talk if a Tesla plant and also of a silica industry, refining a local resource. Not sure about the scale of that resource but it’s said to be of very good quality.
Government estimates put Southland's reserves at 350,000 to 400,000 tonnes of high-purity silica, as well as one billion tonnes of potentially usable lower-grade silica.
Of course, if we put the effort in, the low quality can be turned to high quality.
The problem, IMO, is that we tend to only think of doing one thing with it. Solar cells or batteries – not both. Thing is, if we also developed our rare earth extraction and processing then producing silicon chips (CPUs, GPUs, and other) becomes an option as well. Build a fabrication plant and produce Intel/AMD/nVidia chips under contract as Taiwan does as well as being able to support the development of our own local IT industry.
People are worried about the loss of jobs when the smelter closes down but there's so much potential for other jobs.
And I'd keep the smelter going to some extent so as to support our local aircraft manufacture even going so far as to develop our bauxite deposit in Northland.
The problem of focussing on farming as the main earner (with everyone else doing low paid service jobs) over the last few decades is that we've let so much potential go to waste.
Pretty sure import bauxite from Australia for smelting – not alumina. This would indicate that Tiwai either does process to alumina or skips that step altogether.
An interesting point is that the smelter at Tiwai uses an old smelting technique. It produces better aluminium but it costs a lot more to run that what the rest of the world is using.
"The facility, New Zealand’s only aluminium smelter,[3] is at Tiwai Point, near Bluff. It imports alumina and processes it into primary aluminium. The plant's alumina is supplied from refineries in Queensland and the Northern Territory of Australia. Around 90 per cent of the aluminium produced at NZAS is exported, mainly to Japan.[4]"
An interesting point is that the smelter at Tiwai uses an old smelting technique. It produces better aluminium but it costs a lot more to run that what the rest of the world is using.
And that is the problem with Tiwai. It was built just before the process changed to something more efficient and has never been competitive. Tiwai's closing has been a thing from pretty much the day it opened.
Turn it into a huge hydrogen production plant producing clean hydrogen instead of aluminium. Sell that on the international market as a new green fuel alternative. Become the ME/OPEC of the Pacific.
Let's put some rough hand-wavy numbers to that thought.
Tiwai Point consumes around 5,000 GWhr of electricity annually. It takes about 65kWhr of electricity to split enough water to get 1 kg of hydrogen and compress it for storage and transportation. So that could produce around 80,000 tonnes of compressed hydrogen. That's just over 0.1% of the 70 million tonnes of hydrogen currently produced worldwide.
In dollar terms, Tiwai Point is probably paying a bit over 6 cents per kWhr (including transmission charges). That means the electricity cost for 1kg would be around NZD3.50 to NZD4.00. That doesn't look great compared to a worldwide market price for hydrogen of around USD1.65/kg.
The main reason hydrogen is so cheap is it's mostly produced by steam reformation of fossil fuels, and the producers get to dump the hazardous waste CO2 produced into the atmosphere for free. But even if that wasn't the case, and NZ hydrogen had to compete against worldwide electrically produced green hydrogen, it would probably be competing against photovoltaic electricity produced at a price under USD0.02/kWhr, produced somewhat geographically closer to where it gets used.
So it would make more sense to use it domestically, reducing our imports of fossil fuels.
I'm personally of the view that hydrogen is unlikely to take off, except for niche uses, and that batteries will become the dominant energy storage for most users such as cars, domestic, industrial etc.
First up, the hydrogen round-trip energy efficiency from electricity generation to finally doing useful work is lucky to beat 50%, and down as low as 30% is reasonably likely.
Sources of energy loss are in the electrolytic splitting of water, compressing and/or cooling it for storage, then fuel cell efficiency isn't that great (if the final energy conversion is in an internal combustion energy, total efficiency is abominable). In contrast, electricity generation to final useful work easily exceeds 80%, and can go into the 90s if the energy is stored in batteries.
Hydrogen is a real materials engineering nightmare. It embrittles many useful grades of metals, and the ones it doesn't tend to have lower performance but be more expensive. It just pisses through plastics and other polymers, usually degrading them rapidly. So flexible piping and sealing are headaches. It requires skill and care from mechanics and technicians that's a level or two up from most common technologies now.
It scares me from a safety viewpoint. It has a very wide range of explosion concentration in air, from 4% to 74% (IIRC, only acetylene has a wider range for the commonish gases). Its flame is invisible, but gives off a shitload of UV.
For a while in the early noughties when hydrogen was more widely thought to be the future and battery tech hadn't taken off, there was concern that widespread hydrogen leakage would have serious effects on the ozone layer. That's gone a bit quiet, but I dunno if that's just because hydrogen hype has gone a bit quiet, or further investigation suggests the risk to the ozone layer isn't so serious.
To my mind, the only potential real advantage hydrogen has for most users is it's quickish to refuel, closer to filling up with petrol than recharging a battery. But charging speeds are quickly increasing along with battery sizes, so that potential advantage is rapidly shrinking.
It hasn't gone unnoticed – the case of Tauranga's entire stock of Housing NZ homes being sold lock stock & barrel for an undisclosed pittance is another part of the story that remains untold IMO. Accessible Properties now are after govt funding to exploit the land in the guise of "social housing" by now demolishing a significant number of the homes
This government needs to remove IHC the heck away from the provision of state housing. What a complete and utter balls up that was. The filthy money grubbing snakes at IHC swooped in when the opportunity arose purely because the Salvation Army gave Key's government the finger. Total slime.
It certainly was convenient – I thought it was a bit moot with them for a bit effectively "gone" but I will wait with interest for the next candidate election returns as both Bridges (2014 & 2017) & Muller (2017) had the same main donor who oversaw the sale here as the CEO of Accessible Properties. It's all a matter of public record that's been largely over looked but with the "bad blood" that appears to have arisen between the 2 local candidates it will be fascinating if the patronage continues to both of them – or as I suspect only one or more likely neither of them this time around
The facts immediately below it show that Labour has developed 5400 homes and sold 146 that were not worth repairing or in the wrong place.
The article only looks at Nationals record over its last 3 years where over its 9 years in power it decreased the stock of state houses by several thousand….somebody on TS will have the exact numbers.
After a quick look all I can say is that National has gone full on delusional. They seem to still be thinking in terms of economic growth that is simply not physically possible.
At first glance it looks like a gold-plated make work scheme and given the Transmission Gully stuff up, it looks as though it could be extended for years with a never ending series of financial top ups. However, TG is mopping up overseas unemployed more than make-work for Kiwi's. Looking closer, it seems more likely that it is a financial transfusion from essential services into the pockets of profiteering parasites like Downer, Fulton Hogan et al and cash pools for the 'financial partners' to slosh around tax havens. Oh joy!
Interesting to watch the headlines change, it went from "It's the biggest infrastructure spend ever!" then a couple of hours later they added "National claims", someone's obviously done some fact checking.
It seems they are going to smash congestion according to Bishop,who's aspiration to build world class cities suggest he is provincial.
“Previous governments have not been ambitious enough in dealing to congestion. World-class cities have high-quality public transport networks where mass transit is a normal part of everyday life.
“Under National, Auckland will become the world-class city it can and should be – and the Upper North Island will become an interconnected economic powerhouse.”
As John Raulston Saul suggests (quite convincing)
“World class is a phrase used by provincial cities and second-rate entertainment events, as well as a wide variety of insecure individuals, to assert that they are not provincial or second-rate, thereby confirming that they are.”
Further as Bishop states.
“Congestion costs Auckland over $1 billion per year. It means unreliable journey times,
Indeed the problems that arose for his constituents ( Corona and Disease) on their big day out was problematic at best.
Why are they proposing heavy rail to Auckland Airport, via a Puhunui spur, I thought that debate had been well canvassed, and a heavy rail line was always the first option but found to be unworkable
Greater Auckland might say it's unworkable because it's not in their Congestion Free Network Mk2. But how workable is two raised tram lines running the length of Dominion Road and beyond???
I, presumably like everyone else, am kind of seduced by their CFN2 with its London Underground graphics but am also bewildered why it never seems to be referenced in high level discussions. I could be wrong on this.
The constant criticism of Twyford and Labour is there was no vision but there is a vision, GA has worked on this very thing for years.
Right now I prefer the Puhinui spur CBD-airport solution but am happy to change my mind if a case for GA's 'Central Line' has some widespread consensus. But nobody seems to be selling it.
I would say that the London Underground is better 'rail' than NZ ‘Toytown Express’ rail system, and it goes all the way to Heathrow underground, unimpeded by road traffic. The same would apply to Paris's larger underground service (the RER?) which efficiently services Paris's airports. I don't think your point is valid here: I see trams being held up in Dominion Road as a bloody silly idea.
Yes, was too slow to delete as my wife pointed out there were trains to both Heathrow and Charles deGaulle though not Melbourne (I asked why we then used taxis). …so the comment can be ignored.
Thanks for correcting Pat. There's both Underground and BR lines beneath Heathrow.
I think New Zealand's tourism numbers and the industry's contribution to GDP demands better infrastructure for travellers.
There's a lot of talk about improving tourism infrastructure up and down the line so that both visitors and Kiwis benefit and I think a 21st Century connection from the main entry point to the rest of the country is vital to that cause.
Very good and well worth the read. I see MMT as an interesting evolution pulling together the functional threads of both socialism and capitalism into a form better adapted to the world we are rapidly plunging into.
According to MMT economists, we've been thinking about government spending and budget deficits the wrong way.
They say Margaret Thatcher's dictum that federal governments must tax or borrow before they can spend is fundamentally wrong, and it's the other way around — federal governments have to spend money into the economy before they can tax or borrow.
It's a crucial point.
That is a crucial point. But it has a point that most don't realise.
If the government can spend money then we don't need rich people to fund enterprise.
We don't need shareholders and we don't need owners and at that point it becomes obvious that we don't need capitalism to push development.
A group of people can come together, form a business and then go down to the state bank and, if their business plan looks good, get a 0% interest loan that only needs to be paid back once the business starts making a profit – or not paid back at all if the business falls over. That business would, of course, be a cooperative with none of the people working there owning it but all sharing in its governance and sharing in the rewards.
That silica development mentioned up thread could be done that way as well or it could be that the government finances and directs for a time until its established and then has it continue as a cooperative. What we most definitely shouldn't do is finance people to develop it and then allowing them to take ownership of it as that just increases the bludging of the shareholders.
The article doesn't address the question of whether the private banking establishment should be allowed to create money out of nothing – an issue which also seems to be part of the the MMT agenda.
National party supporters are criticizing the government for loading the government up with debt in response to the covid19 crisis. I'm inclined to agree; instead the government should simply have "printed" the money.
Sorry – I am not getting notifications for replies to comments and I am not constantly perusing them to see a response.
There were insinuations in the comments sections re the declined breakfast show – people pointed out that Helen, still working full time as an employment lawyer may have other commitments – to which Chloe made snarky 'at 7am' comments and the suggestion that she is not working as hard as she should be this close to the election.
Every reference to Helen being the nearest competitor has been coupled with comments about entitlement to votes. – Again repeatedly on her facebook page and commentary there. I don't think the fact that she hasn't singled Helen out by name really matters, given her initial refusal to even name her as the candidate (although I saw that was edited later following criticism in the comments section).
[TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as being off topic or irrelevant in the post it was made in. Be more careful in future.]
[you look like you are new here Breanna, so please read the About and the Policy before commenting again. If there’s anything you don’t understand, please ask. The upshot is that if you make claims of fact eg Swarbrick called White lazy, then you have to back that up. This is to protect the site owners legally, and it’s also to protect the debate culture here. The expectation is that you will do the work to back up what you say. This is doubly so if a moderator asks you.
If you want have a go about the Greens you have to make a sound political argument not just spread rumours. In this instance you would need to quote what CS actually said and give a citation or link. The site exists for robust debate, not political slander. At the moment it looks like you just made shit up. I’d appreciate a response so I know you have read this an understood. Incognito may also want to address the issues he moderated – weka]
Pretty rough to move Breanna's comment and give it the old 'two paragraphs of bold type' when it seemed like a pretty detailed observation on the battle for Auckland Central.
A steep learning curve for a newcomer to the site who demonstrates a clear negative bias towards the Greens, in this case, in all comments so far. Either they learn quickly or they’ll be moved on. The site is attracting more traffic and comments and there have been an increased number of new users as one would expect on a political blog in Pre-Election time. Moderators will display decreasing levels of leniency.
I’m not that quite satisfied with your response to the Moderation and I’ll explain why.
When you state that people said something, e.g. about another person, it needs to be linked/shown as a quote. Paraphrasing is often more like selective quoting. Going on insinuations and comments in threads means you are making some assumptions of the intended meaning and that you’re drawing your own conclusions (or spin). Given your obvious negativity towards the Greens, I think that this is what’s happened when you accused CS of the things you did.
To avoid future run-ins with Moderators here you should stick to facts and verbatim quotes and clearly indicate when you state your opinion, i.e. what you think or believe to be true but you cannot be sure that it is actually true and that you haven’t made it up, e.g. in your own mind. This doesn’t necessarily mean that you have malicious intend but that your own mind tricks you in believing things that are not real, true, or correct. When in doubt, say so, e.g. ‘I think …’ or ‘I believe …’, et cetera.
In Summary, don’t assert or allege things that you cannot support or prove. Don’t put words into people’s mouths if you cannot show the verbatim text.
On reflection the big Transport declaration from Collins is an example of, "We might impress by declaring huge plans as we have nothing to lose. So promise the Earth with no planning, no costing and maybe we will impress."
I reckon the biggest takeout from the Nats announcement today is the timing really. Presumably they would have preferred to announce this in the campaign proper. But after the disaster of the last few weeks they’ve been forced to roll something big out now just to try and arrest the damage.
Omg- in the week when two of the former top 3 resign FROM PARLIAMENT, and the former leader says I voted for the other guy RNZ's round up is 'Collins moves fast to fix the National party'.
What a total farce. Complete disarray and backstabbing is gone in 60 seconds with RNZ. Imagine if it had been the Labour party. Actually don't need to- remember how they treated the last two leaders?
Each day at 4:30 my brother calls in at the rest home to see Dad. My visits can be months apart. Five minutes after you've left, he’ll have forgotten you were there, but every time, his face lights up and it’s a warm happy visit.Tim takes care of almost everything ...
On the 19th of March, ACT announced they would be running candidates in this year’s local government elections. Accompanying that call for “common-sense kiwis” was an anti-woke essay typifying the views they expect their candidates to hold. I have included that part of their mailer, Free Press, in its entirety. ...
Even when the darkest clouds are in the skyYou mustn't sigh and you mustn't crySpread a little happiness as you go byPlease tryWhat's the use of worrying and feeling blue?When days are long keep on smiling throughSpread a little happiness 'til dreams come trueSongwriters: Vivian Ellis / Clifford Grey / ...
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ACT up the game on division politicsEmmerson’s take on David Seymour’s claim Jesus would have supported ACTACT’s announcement it is moving into local politics is a logical next step for a party that is waging its battle on picking up the aggrieved.It’s a numbers game, and as long as the ...
1. What will be the slogan of the next butter ad campaign?a. You’re worth itb.Once it hits $20, we can do something about the riversc. I can’t believe it’s the price of butter d. None of the above Read more ...
It is said that economists know the price of everything and the value of nothing. That may be an exaggeration but an even better response is to point out economists do know the difference. They did not at first. Classical economics thought that the price of something reflected the objective ...
Political fighting in Taiwan is delaying some of an increase in defence spending and creating an appearance of lack of national resolve that can only damage the island’s relationship with the Trump administration. The main ...
The unclassified version of the 2024 Independent Intelligence Review (IIR) was released today. It’s a welcome and worthy sequel to its 2017 predecessor, with an ambitious set of recommendations for enhancements to Australia’s national intelligence ...
Yesterday outgoing Ombudsman Peter Boshier published a report, Reflections on the Official Information Act, on his way out the door. The report repeated his favoured mantra that the Act was "fundamentally sound", all problems were issues of culture, and that no legislative change was needed (and especially no changes to ...
The United States government is considering replacing USAID with a new agency, the US Agency for International Humanitarian Assistance (USIHA), according to documents published by POLITICO. Under the proposed design, the agency will fail its ...
Hi,Journalism was never the original plan. Back in the 90s, there was no career advisor in Bethlehem, New Zealand — just a computer that would ask you 50 questions before spitting out career options. Yes, I am in this photo. No, I was not good at basketball.The top three careers ...
Mōrena. Long stories shortest: Professional investors who are paid a lot of money to be careful about lending to the New Zealand Government think it is wonderful place to put their money. Yet the Government itself is so afraid of borrowing more that it is happy to kill its own ...
As space becomes more contested, Australia should play a key role with its partners in the Combined Space Operations (CSpO) initiative to safeguard the space domain. Australia, Britain, Canada and the United States signed the ...
Ooh you're a cool catComing on strong with all the chit chatOoh you're alrightHanging out and stealing all the limelightOoh messing with the beat of my heart yeah!Songwriters: Freddie Mercury / John Deacon.It would be a tad ironic; I can see it now. “Yeah, I didn’t unsubscribe when he said ...
The PSA are calling the Prime Minister a hypocrite for committing to increase defence spending while hundreds of more civilian New Zealand Defence Force jobs are set to be cut as part of a major restructure. The number of companies being investigated for people trafficking in New Zealand has skyrocketed ...
Another Friday, hope everyone’s enjoyed their week as we head toward the autumn equinox. Here’s another roundup of stories that caught our eye on the subject of cities and what makes them even better. This week in Greater Auckland On Monday, Connor took a look at how Auckland ...
The podcast above of the weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar for paying subscribers on Thursday night features co-hosts & talking with special guest author Michael Wolff, who has just published his fourth book about Donald Trump: ‘All or Nothing’.Here’s Peter’s writeup of the interview.The Kākā by Bernard Hickey Hoon: Trumpism ...
Wolff, who describes Trump as truly a ‘one of a kind’, at a book launch in Spain. Photo: GettyImagesIt may be a bumpy ride for the world but the era of Donald J. Trump will die with him if we can wait him out says the author of four best-sellers ...
Australia needs to radically reorganise its reserves system to create a latent military force that is much larger, better trained and equipped and deployable within days—not decades. Our current reserve system is not fit for ...
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I have argued before that one ought to be careful in retrospectively allocating texts into genres. Mary Shelley’s Frankenstein (1818) only looks like science-fiction because a science-fiction genre subsequently developed. Without H.G. Wells, would Frankenstein be considered science-fiction? No, it probably wouldn’t. Viewed in the context of its time, Frankenstein ...
Elbridge Colby’s senate confirmation hearing in early March holds more important implications for US partners than most observers in Canberra, Wellington or Suva realise. As President Donald Trump’s nominee for under secretary of defence for ...
China’s defence budget is rising heftily yet again. The 2025 rise will be 7.2 percent, the same as in 2024, the government said on 5 March. But the allocation, officially US$245 billion, is just the ...
Concern is growing about wide-ranging local repercussions of the new Setting of Speed Limits rule, rewritten in 2024 by former transport minister Simeon Brown. In particular, there’s growing fears about what this means for children in particular. A key paradox of the new rule is that NZTA-controlled roads have the ...
Speilmeister:Christopher Luxon’s prime-ministerial pitches notwithstanding, are institutions with billions of dollars at their disposal really going to invest them in a country so obviously in a deep funk?HAVING WOOED THE WORLD’s investors, what, if anything, has New Zealand won? Did Christopher Luxon’s guests board their private jets fizzing with enthusiasm for ...
Christchurch City Council is one of 18 councils and three council-controlled organisations (CCOs) downgraded by ratings agency S&P. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMōrena. Long stories shortest:Standard & Poor’s has cut the credit ratings of 18 councils, blaming the new Government’s abrupt reversal of 3 Waters, cuts to capital ...
Figures released by Statistics New Zealand today showed that the economy grew by 0.7% ending the very deep recession seen over the past year, said NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi Economist Craig Renney. “Even though GDP grew in the three months to December, our economy is still 1.1% smaller than it ...
What is going on with the price of butter?, RNZ, 19 march 2025: If you have bought butter recently you might have noticed something - it is a lot more expensive. Stats NZ said last week that the price of butter was up 60 percent in February compared to ...
I agree with Will Leben, who wrote in The Strategist about his mistakes, that an important element of being a commentator is being accountable and taking responsibility for things you got wrong. In that spirit, ...
You’d beDrunk by noon, no one would knowJust like the pandemicWithout the sourdoughIf I were there, I’d find a wayTo get treated for hysteriaEvery dayLyrics Riki Lindhome.A varied selection today in Nick’s Kōrero:Thou shalt have no other gods - with Christopher Luxon.Doctors should be seen and not heard - with ...
Two recent foreign challenges suggest that Australia needs urgently to increase its level of defence self-reliance and to ensure that the increased funding that this would require is available. First, the circumnavigation of our continent ...
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According to RNZ’s embedded reporter, the importance of Winston Peters’ talks in Washington this week “cannot be overstated.” Right. “Exceptionally important.” said the maestro himself. This epic importance doesn’t seem to have culminated in anything more than us expressing our “concern” to the Americans about a series of issues that ...
Up until a few weeks ago, I had never heard of "Climate Fresk" and at a guess, this will also be the case for many of you. I stumbled upon it in the self-service training catalog for employees at the company I work at in Germany where it was announced ...
Japan and Australia talk of ‘collective deterrence,’ but they don’t seem to have specific objectives. The relationship needs a clearer direction. The two countries should identify how they complement each other. Each country has two ...
The NZCTU strongly supports the OPC’s decision to issue a code of practice for biometric processing. Our view is that the draft code currently being consulted on is stronger and will be more effective than the exposure code released in early 2024. We are pleased that some of the revisions ...
Australia’s export-oriented industries, particularly agriculture, need to diversify their markets, with a focus on Southeast Asia. This could strengthen economic security and resilience while deepening regional relationships. The Trump administration’s decision to impose tariffs on ...
Minister Shane Jones is introducing fastrack ‘reforms’ to the our fishing industry that will ensure the big players squeeze out the small fishers and entrench an already bankrupt quota system.Our fisheries are under severe stress: the recent decision by theHigh Court ruling that the ...
In what has become regular news, the quarterly ETS auction has failed, with nobody even bothering to bid. The immediate reason is that the carbon price has fallen to around $60, below the auction minimum of $68. And the cause of that is a government which has basically given up ...
US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats have dominated headlines in India in recent weeks. Earlier this month, Trump announced that his reciprocal tariffs—matching other countries’ tariffs on American goods—will go into effect on 2 April, ...
Hi,Back in June of 2021, James Gardner-Hopkins — a former partner at law firm Russell McVeagh — was found guilty of misconduct over sexually inappropriate behaviour with interns.The events all related to law students working as summer interns at Russell McVeagh:As well as intimate touching with a student at his ...
Climate sceptic MP Mark Cameron has slammed National for being ‘out of touch’ by sticking to our climate commitments. Photo: Lynn GrievesonMōrena. Long stories shortest:ACT’s renowned climate sceptic MP Mark Cameron has accused National of being 'out of touch' with farmers by sticking with New Zealand’s Paris accord pledges ...
Now I've heard there was a secret chordThat David played, and it pleased the LordBut you don't really care for music, do you?It goes like this, the fourth, the fifthThe minor falls, the major liftsThe baffled king composing HallelujahSongwriter: Leonard CohenI always thought the lyrics of that great song by ...
People are getting carried away with the virtues of small warship crews. We need to remember the great vice of having few people to run a ship: they’ll quickly tire. Yes, the navy is struggling ...
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US President Donald Trump’s hostile regime has finally forced Europe to wake up. With US officials calling into question the transatlantic alliance, Germany’s incoming chancellor, Friedrich Merz, recently persuaded lawmakers to revise the country’s debt ...
We need to establish clearer political boundaries around national security to avoid politicising ongoing security issues and to better manage secondary effects. The Australian Federal Police (AFP) revealed on 10 March that the Dural caravan ...
The NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi have reiterated their call for Government to protect workers by banning engineered stone in a submission on MBIE’s silica dust consultation. “If Brooke van Velden is genuine when she calls for an evidence-based approach to this issue, then she must support a full ban on ...
The Labour Inspectorate could soon be knocking on the door of hundreds of businesses nation-wide, as it launches a major crackdown on those not abiding by the law. NorthTec staff are on edge as Northland’s leading polytechnic proposes to stop 11 programmes across primary industries, forestry, and construction. Union coverage ...
It’s one thing for military personnel to hone skills with first-person view (FPV) drones in racing competitions. It’s quite another for them to transition to the complexities of the battlefield. Drone racing has become a ...
Seymour says there will be no other exemptions granted to schools wanting to opt out of the Compass contract. Photo: Lynn GrievesonLong stories shortest:David Seymour has denied a request from a Christchurch school and any other schools to be exempted from the Compass school lunch programme, saying the contract ...
Russian President Boris Yeltsin, U.S. President Bill Clinton, Ukrainian President Leonid Kuchma, and British Prime Minister John Major signed the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty in ...
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Myanmar was a key global site for criminal activity well before the 2021 military coup. Today, illicit industry, especially heroin and methamphetamine production, still defines much of the economy. Nowhere, not even the leafiest districts ...
What've I gotta do to make you love me?What've I gotta do to make you care?What do I do when lightning strikes me?And I wake up and find that you're not thereWhat've I gotta do to make you want me?Mmm hmm, what've I gotta do to be heard?What do I ...
Here’s my selection1 of scoops, breaking news, news, analyses, deep-dives, features, interviews, Op-Eds, editorials and cartoons from around Aotearoa’s political economy on housing, climate and poverty from RNZ, 1News, The Post-$2, The Press−$, Newsroom3, NZ Herald, Stuff, BusinessDesk-$, NBR-$, Reuters, FT-$, WSJ-$, Bloomberg-$, New York Times-$, The Atlantic-$, The Economist-$ ...
Whenever Christopher Luxon drops a classically fatuous clanger or whenever the government has a bad poll – i.e. every week – the talk resumes that he is about to be rolled. This is unlikely for several reasons. For starters, there is no successor. Nicola Willis? Chris Bishop? Simeon Brown? Mark ...
Australia, Britain and European countries should loosen budget rules to allow borrowing to fund higher defence spending, a new study by the Kiel Institute suggests. Currently, budget debt rules are forcing governments to finance increases ...
The NZCTU remains strongly committed to banning engineered stone in New Zealand and implementing better occupational health protections for all workers working with silica-containing materials. In this submission to MBIE, the NZCTU outlines that we have an opportunity to learn from Australia’s experience by implementing a full ban of engineered ...
The Prime Minister has announced a big win in trade negotiations with India.It’s huge, he told reporters. We didn't get everything we came for but we were able to agree on free trade in clothing, fabrics, car components, software, IT consulting, spices, tea, rice, and leather goods.He said that for ...
I have been trying to figure out the logic of Trump’s tariff policies and apparent desire for a global trade war. Although he does not appear to comprehend that tariffs are a tax on consumers in the country doing the tariffing, I can (sort of) understand that he may think ...
As Syria and international partners negotiate the country’s future, France has sought to be a convening power. While France has a history of influence in the Middle East, it will have to balance competing Syrian ...
One of the eternal truths about Aotearoa's economy is that we are "capital poor": there's not enough money sloshing around here to fund the expansion of local businesses, or to build the things we want to. Which gets used as an excuse for all sorts of things, like setting up ...
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In a recent presentation, I recommended, quite unoriginally, that governments should have a greater focus on higher-impact, lower-probability climate risks. My reasoning was that current climate model projections have blind spots, meaning we are betting ...
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Employers, unions and health and safety advocates are calling for engineered stone to be banned, a day before consultation on regulations closes. On Friday the PSA lodged a pay equity claim for library assistants with the Employment Relations Authority, after the stalling of a claim lodged with six councils in ...
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At a time of rising geopolitical tensions and deepening global fragmentation, the Ukraine war has proved particularly divisive. From the start, the battle lines were clearly drawn: Russia on one side, Ukraine and the West ...
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Hundreds more Palestinians have died in recent days as Israel’s assault on Gaza continues and humanitarian aid, including food and medicine, is blocked. ...
National is looking to cut hundreds of jobs at New Zealand’s Defence Force, while at the same time it talks up plans to increase focus and spending in Defence. ...
It’s been revealed that the Government is secretly trying to bring back a ‘one-size fits all’ standardised test – a decision that has shocked school principals. ...
The Green Party is calling for the compassionate release of Dean Wickliffe, a 77-year-old kaumātua on hunger strike at the Spring Hill Corrections Facility, after visiting him at the prison. ...
The Green Party is calling on Government MPs to support Chlöe Swarbrick’s Member’s Bill to sanction Israel for its unlawful presence and illegal actions in Palestine, following another day of appalling violence against civilians in Gaza. ...
The Green Party stands in support of volunteer firefighters petitioning the Government to step up and change legislation to provide volunteers the same ACC coverage and benefits as their paid counterparts. ...
At 2.30am local time, Israel launched a treacherous attack on Gaza killing more than 300 defenceless civilians while they slept. Many of them were children. This followed a more than 2 week-long blockade by Israel on the entry of all goods and aid into Gaza. Israel deliberately targeted densely populated ...
Living Strong, Aging Well There is much discussion around the health of our older New Zealanders and how we can age well. In reality, the delivery of health services accounts for only a relatively small percentage of health outcomes as we age. Significantly, dry warm housing, nutrition, exercise, social connection, ...
Shane Jones’ display on Q&A showed how out of touch he and this Government are with our communities and how in sync they are with companies with little concern for people and planet. ...
Labour does not support the private ownership of core infrastructure like schools, hospitals and prisons, which will only see worse outcomes for Kiwis. ...
The Green Party is disappointed the Government voted down Hūhana Lyndon’s member’s Bill, which would have prevented further alienation of Māori land through the Public Works Act. ...
The Labour Party will support Chloe Swarbrick’s member’s bill which would allow sanctions against Israel for its illegal occupation of the Palestinian Territories. ...
The Government’s new procurement rules are a blatant attack on workers and the environment, showing once again that National’s priorities are completely out of touch with everyday Kiwis. ...
With Labour and Te Pāti Māori’s official support, Opposition parties are officially aligned to progress Green Party co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick’s Member’s Bill to sanction Israel for its unlawful presence in Palestine. ...
Te Pāti Māori extends our deepest aroha to the 500 plus Whānau Ora workers who have been advised today that the govt will be dismantling their contracts. For twenty years , Whānau Ora has been helping families, delivering life-changing support through a kaupapa Māori approach. It has built trust where ...
Labour welcomes Simeon Brown’s move to reinstate a board at Health New Zealand, bringing the destructive and secretive tenure of commissioner Lester Levy to an end. ...
This morning’s announcement by the Health Minister regarding a major overhaul of the public health sector levels yet another blow to the country’s essential services. ...
New Zealand First has introduced a Member’s Bill that will ensure employment decisions in the public service are based on merit and not on forced woke ‘Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion’ targets. “This Bill would put an end to the woke left-wing social engineering and diversity targets in the public sector. ...
Police have referred 20 offenders to Destiny Church-affiliated programmes Man Up and Legacy as ‘wellness providers’ in the last year, raising concerns that those seeking help are being recruited into a harmful organisation. ...
Te Pāti Māori welcomes the resignation of Richard Prebble from the Waitangi Tribunal. His appointment in October 2024 was a disgrace- another example of this government undermining Te Tiriti o Waitangi by appointing a former ACT leader who has spent his career attacking Māori rights. “Regardless of the reason for ...
Police Minister Mark Mitchell is avoiding accountability by refusing to answer key questions in the House as his Government faces criticism over their dangerous citizen’s arrest policy, firearm reform, and broken promises to recruit more police. ...
The number of building consents issued under this Government continues to spiral, taking a toll on the infrastructure sector, tradies, and future generations of Kiwi homeowners. ...
The Green Party is calling on the Prime Minister to rule out joining the AUKUS military pact in any capacity following the scenes in the White House over the weekend. ...
Parliament's recent inquiry and debate on climate change adaptation asked small questions, looked short-term and inched towards reactive solutions. ...
No news is good newsLord Breen of Seymour was taking the watersAt the Head in the Clouds Health Spa.A figure walked up the long, winding stepsTo his mountain top resort.It was the Court Surgeon.“What’s up, Sawbones?,” chuckled Lord Breen.“Why didn’t you fly up in the Royal Balloon?”“Lo,” said the Court ...
Asia Pacific Report Green Party co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick called on New Zealand government MPs today to support her Member’s Bill to sanction Israel over its “crazy slaughter” of Palestinians in Gaza. Speaking at a large pro-Palestinian solidarity rally in the heart of New Zealand’s largest city Auckland, she said Aotearoa ...
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Local, regional or full lock-downs. Checkpoints, soldiers on the streets, mandatory door-to-door testing. Further job losses, mass anxiety, bankruptcies. How long before the team of 5 million start calling for the Government to fully close the borders?
Jacinda warned that even the best trained and best equipped staff face a high risk of picking up the virus at one of New Zealand’s border facilities.
If we genuinely want to take a better safe than sorry approach, isn't it time we start having the discussion on fully closing the borders. I believe so. What say you?
I'm not concerned about the risk of having to go back into lockdowns, let alone the other bizarre things you're suggesting.
At this point, it's frankly nuts to be suggesting to suggest we might want to completely lock down borders, denying New Zealanders their right to come home. As for soldiers in the streets – get a grip.
The very few wobbles with managed isolation and quarantine that have happened at the border have come about from a slight excess of confidence in regular people being able to be trusted to do the right thing. Those holes are being plugged.
But even if there's spread to staff, they know how to manage it, and the behavioural changes most of us have made will slow any undetected community transmission down to much more easily manageable levels when it finally does get detected.
Good to know you are not personally concerned about the risk of having to go back into lockdowns. However, I think it would be fair to assume some are.
What are these bizarre things you think I'm suggesting? Local, regional or full lock-downs. Checkpoints, soldiers on the streets, mandatory door-to-door testing. Resulting in further job losses, mass anxiety, bankruptcies etc is the Government's new plan of action.
As for being nuts to suggest we need to have a discussion on fully closing down the borders, I think you will find some of us think it's crazy not to be having this discussion.
In normal circumstances allowing New Zealanders access is unquestionable, however this is far from normal circumstances. Globally, the rate of those infected is vastly growing, hence so is the risk
So does that include freight? Or will you just put the cargo handlers in lockdown, for fear they came within 50ft of a sailor?
They could get crushed by a falling shipping container or something heavy.
https://www.maritimenz.govt.nz/public/news/media-releases-2020/20200710a.asp
Playing the hysteria card that went down like a cup of hot sick.
Bridges Woodhouse boag etc all tried it .
Not playing the hysteria card. Highlighting the reality of going back into lockdown. Which is a genuine risk the longer the border remains open and the virus vastly spreads.
PS
As for the Nats, don’t they want to widen the border – ie by bringing in offshore students? No wonder them playing the hysteria card went down like a cup of hot sick.
Oh dear, here we go again 🙁
Here’s an informative article without the emotive hyperbole by people who put their names to it, unlike you who’s referring to imaginary and assumed “we” and “some of us”, which is a form of astroturfing and thus frowned upon by Moderators.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/coronavirus/122156782/how-new-zealand-could-keep-eliminating-covid19-the-border-for-months-to-come-even-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-worsens
According to your link, currently about 400 people fly into New Zealand each day.
And again from your link, the modelling suggests the risk of an infectious person being released into the community is around 0.1 per cent – which according to your link means for every 1000 infected people who arrive at the border, one person will be released from quarantine while still infectious.
Moreover, the modeling in your link doesn't take into account people deliberately absconding from quarantine.
Therefore, in a perfect world where all rules are followed and no human mishaps occur then yes, the risk is no doubt far lower. However, as we know, we don't live in a perfect world. And as we have all seen, mishaps and people deliberately absconding happens.
If you aren't already hearing it from people within your current social circles, wait till we end up going back into lockdown, then the cries to fully close the border will become much louder.
Therefore, the discussion should be considered now rather than after the shit hits the fan.
Therefore, any discussion should be grounded in reality and be based on realistic assumptions and risk assessments rather than on scaremongering by individuals who freak out because they’re having nightmares or personal agendas.
The article was quite clear about their assumptions and based on our collective experience over the last months I think those assumptions are valid.
I don’t have a social circle filled with cries – no crybabies here. Even if I did, I wouldn’t base my comments here on it!
Indeed. No argument there.
The article was also quite clear their assumptions were based on all the rules being followed. However, based on our collective experience over the last months, the rules clearly haven't been followed.
And now we are or will be facing Martial Law and health ‘pogroms’? What I’m saying is that yes, there are risks that can be and are managed well enough and that there’s no need at present for kneejerk reactions and scaremongering. You do live in NZ, don’t you?
Calling for a discussion is not a knee-jerk reaction or scaremongering.
As for martial law and health ‘pogroms’, all I know is what the Government have announced, which is troops possibly manning regional check points. There could potentially be mandatory door-to-door testing. And there could be local, regional or full lock-downs with no warning notices given. Which will result in further job losses, mass anxiety, bankruptcies etc
Could you please stop your knee-jerking and scaremongering? Your whole comment is steeped in it! You’re not calling for a discussion with an open mind and your kind of ‘discussion’ is not worth having here. What you’re doing here on TS is scaring the horses for no good reason. Please, stop it or I will stop you, again.
That's why there are outbreaks of community transmission and our hospitals are overflowing. Oh, wait..
No. But the potential was there for that to happen. Moreover, you seem to have missed the point, rules were not followed.
Therefore, if we genuinely want to take a better safe than sorry approach, we really need to consider fully closing the borders.
Oh noes, the sky is falling! Quick, take down the stars lest they hurt our heads.
Don't be silly. The sky hasn't fallen yet.
But it won't be looking too good if we end up back in total lockdown.
Therefore, one needs to ask, doesn't the best interest of the country come before the inconvenience of Kiwis wanting to return home?
And ponder this, would Kiwis really want to return home if shit hits the fan here?
One does not need to ask. You just want to. For fun.
Out of 30,000 plus returning NZers 30 have tested positive 4 escaped one tested positive 1 in 30,000 is not 0.1%.
That would equate to 30 people with covid escaping.
Most of the escape's are wealthy Most likely a Right Wing supporters
Yes, the article does indeed state that the modelling suggests that around 1 in 1000 released from isolation/quarantine are still infectious. But I suspect there's either a typo or significant modifiers are being left out.
We have had around 26,000 people be released from managed isolation/quarantine since March 26, so an estimated 26 infectious people have been released. Yet not one of them has apparently infected anyone else after release.
So if there isn't a typo involved, maybe that "infectious" is really "theoretically infectious, but negligibly so in practical terms".
Pretty much.
We need to improve the managed isolation regime to reduce risk.
All those in the first week confined to their room – keeping the first week intake and the second week intake separate is important.
As for the second week they should be separated by day – thus day 8, day 9, day 10, day 11 day 12 day 13 and day 14 would be allowed out of their rooms at different times.
Re guards being infected.
They should be required to practice social distancing when off work and maybe have a wristbracelet that identifies their position time for easy track tracing. soition
And pay them extra (with generous paid leave in 6 week blocks – 2 week self isolation, a month off without social distancing). It's money well spent. 12 weeks on, 6 weeks off.
As to community spread – we really need a card with bluetooth, and if we get this spread before we have such a card – we have to consider phone location tracking (develop capacity for this until such time as we have a card).
Yes, more can be done to help reduce the risk in managed isolation. Although, that will be offset somewhat by the increase in risk due to the growing rate of global infections.
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-53415298
When combined with super bugs making hospitals more dangerous places, the baby boomer era may be seen as the golden age.
For mine the population forecast of a lot more old people by 2100 has taken none of this into account.
I've yet to see any good articles exploring how it might play out as the parts of the world experiencing the highest population growth – India, Nigeria, Tanzania, Pakistan, Angola etc – run smack into increasing severe heat stress from climate change. Let alone water supply issues.
As a baby boomer I do consider that I am of the golden age due to having had the luxury of security on many levels compared to what the two generations below me are facing.
Fantastic. Reminds me of the old Colbert.
Can't believe that people take that site seriously, knowing the people involved
https://medium.com/discourse/the-lincoln-project-is-not-our-ally-bd3c845b1f4b
Late last night I feel love posted this gem to Daily Review:
Definitely worth recycling! 👍 😍
Even the ACT Party has the ambition to have more MP's than the number who have escaped managed isolation.
This is a nasty virus but even in the US it has still so far only affected about 1% of the population or 3.5 million out of about 338 million though their figures may be light by up to 40%. This in a country that seems to be trying its hardest to contact Covid.
The figures coming over the border here appear to be well below that threshold with 1 or 2 a day out of about 500-700. It is hard to get a handle on how many but it seems like around 30 with Covid in about 10,000 since level 1. My figures are probably shit but thats about .03% affected, hardly the plague of Biblical proportions but no reason to relax our guard, but also not a lot of reason for so much fear mongering.
But all it takes is 1 person to be in the wrong place at the wrong time.
Exactly froggle, my point was lets keep the bloody thing out but I am seeing a fair bit of every day unessecary angst about the pretty much non-existent threat to us here in NZ. Things like local nimbys complaining when a hotel gets requisitioned and silly little worries, I think some are winding up their mental anxiety levels for no good reason and harming their health , I blame the Nats for a lot of that with their disinformation. We are OK, we did the right thing and we are living with the well earned benefits of that, so lets shut down the Panic Merchants as quickly as we can by telling them to calm down.
It is satisfying to see the biggest most egregious bunch of PMs reaping the rewards of their nastiness with their precious party publicly garroting itself, the funny part is how much it looks like an old style Soviet putsch when an even more toxic arsehole grabs power and the bodies of the previous arsehole's acolytes start getting piled up in the streets.
I'm loving it.
It's always bloody Neal, innit.
Actually, "all it takes" is one person being missed by the departure terminal screening, not being observed on the plane, not being detected in iso tests, passing it to someone else in an undetected manner, that person not being symptomatic, then that person passing it to someone otherwise unconnected with the iso facility, then that person passing it on to another person via an unrecorded contact, then the next thing you know we have community transmission when the last person in the chain finally presents to medical care and they can't find any connection with overseas travellers or an isolation facility.
Even though your figure is that 1% have been infected, the disruption of the virus has a huge impact in many other ways on every person in the country.
A pretty good number are also trying very hard to avoid it. Let's say it's 50% are taking measures, this slows it down big-time. Didn't the NZ Covid Brains Trust suggest that when you get above 80% taking social distancing etc seriously, then the infection rate drops? so this may explain the non-explosive spread you allude to.
There is no doubt that "kiwibuild" will be bandied about by national in the coming electioneering
So here is my scorecard for kiwibuild.
Labour
Positive 10, for recognizing a housing crisis and having a plan to deal with it.
Negative 10, for plan implementation and being naive in believing that a developer will build cheap housing, when using the same crap materials the same crap construction methods they can flossie it up a bit and ask twice the price for a 25 year life cycle house. Thereby doubling the profit.
Average net effect = zero
National.
Negative 10, for dishonestly denying there is a housing crisis.
Zero, for no plan and no implementation
Average net effect = negative 5
Voters don't look at things the way you suggest.
For instance they won't compare what happened between 2014 to 2017 and 2017 to 2020, as being equivalents. Labour made Kiwibuild a flagship policy and have transparently failed. That failure is what will be in the voters minds.
If Labour can successfully pivot to the number of state house builds, they will be on much firmer ground.
So what you're saying is, Labour's attempt to let the free mark fully participate in Kiwibuild is what failed, and they should have just built them all themselves.
Seems like a bit of a repudiation to National's favoured philosophy.
National say they will build more state houses, it'll be the public/private style, Labour should abandon privatisation once and for all.
It wasn't the private sector that promised to build the houses, it was politicians.
Well that is the thing that voters do remember dear Wayne,
Labour builds State Houses
National sells them.
And National replaces the sold stock of houses with ditches and tents and vans parked in parks with open public toilets and calls it a 'housing initiative'.
And Wayne, its not Labour that needs to pivot, its your troupe of clowns that need to stop spinning out of control in the clown car.
Nationals housing spokesperson apologized for selling off state houses it was a mistake that they won't repeat.
Although relying on short voter memory is the only thing National has to offer, it is by no means a perfect strategy. Hypocrisy offends people, and offended people spread the reminders of how the Key government contributed to the present housing crisis. It is a subject upon which National MPs would not be able to speak for shame – if any of them had ever had any integrity whatsoever. 😀
The leaky party that gave us leaky homes hospitals schools etc
Oooops!
https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/industries/122149832/government-sells-30m-worth-of-state-houses-after-labour-promised-to-stop-sales
From Bearded Git below
The facts immediately below it (The headline) show that Labour has developed 5400 homes and sold 146 that were not worth repairing or in the wrong place.
NOTE a plus of about 5200 new homes!!!!
The houes' they sold are still there as well. Its not like they disappeared so there has been no loss of houses.
Good point.
Still got tenants or are they owner occupied?
If the former then we have more bludging drowning the economy.
But that wasn't the promise.
"Massey University associate professor Grant Duncan, who teaches public policy and political theory, said politicians were known to make statements without providing additional information to qualify it.
While it made sense for the Government to sell housing stock that may not be fit for purpose or not geographically suited to demand, it had not done what it said it would and stop the sale of state houses, he said.
“They didn’t stop selling, that’s clear,” Duncan said."
I'd say that's a fair reflection.
Don't forget Hobsonville and the meager promises of National to provide affordable houses ,developers sold those earmarked for affordable houses on the private market for a good profit.
Yep, they both do it. No argument from me there.
https://twitter.com/nealejones/status/1283847212447993857
Neale's right, but Labour set themselves up for this by precisely the statements quoted in the Stuff article, including:
"In the lead up to the 2017 election Labour said if elected it would immediately end the sale of state houses."
"In December that year, former housing minister Phil Twyford issued a press release titled: Government stops the sale of state houses."
"The statement said the Labour-led Government had “cancelled the sell-off of state houses, fulfilling another of its first 100 day promises.”
No-one is going to release a statement saying,
"Government stops the sale of state houses, except for this small number of ones that weren't repairable or fit for purpose"
The words used were 'stops', 'end', 'cancelled'. There is a hint of dishonesty here.
I would say more than a hint of anal retention.
Nice one
The statements made are misleading. When you ‘cancel’ something, you put a stop to it. Not slow it. Not reduce it.
You know that is a hyperlinked headline, don’t you? You know that others can click and read it the actual article, unlike you, and see straight through your BS troll attempt, don’t you? This begs the question why you act so stupid thinking that others are even more stupid? It looks like I may need to remove you from TS in the lead-up to the Election, don’t you agree?
I know you have in for me, so here is something that might entertain you.
https://youtu.be/2MZZ__5F_-A
I was much more ‘entertained’ by DTB’s reply @ 6.2.2.2. (2:12 PM) that hit the nail on the head. Did it make you laugh too?
The problem, of course, is that many won't go past the headline and so the headline will do its job of putting people off Labour despite the fact that the reality is far more nuanced.
edit
DTB So true. There is so much information or hyperbole or lies or part-facts swirling around that people don't have time to look up and read every link provided. It takes time just reading the blogs and comments that have the links in them. It is misleading for stuff business journalists/headline specialists to write that part truth headline about Labour, so that it reads entirely against Labour.
(In the media item John Anthony presents a valid point – that Twyford (let's blame him, I feel he deserves it) said that no more state houses would be sold by Labour. But I still think that the heading could have been better written. Better to say that Labour wanted to have its cake and eat it in its 100-days announcement.)
In the lead up to the 2017 election Labour said if elected it would immediately end the sale of state houses.
In December that year former housing minister Phil Twyford issued a press release titled: Government stops the sale of state houses.
The statement said the Labour-led Government had “cancelled the sell-off of state houses, fulfilling another of its first 100 day promises”.
However, towards the bottom of the statement Twyford said it would still sell houses that were no longer fit for purpose.
TBF, Twyford used exactly the same tactic.
"In December that year, former housing minister Phil Twyford issued a press release titled: Government stops the sale of state houses."
then…
However, towards the bottom of the statement, Twyford said it would still sell houses that were no longer fit for purpose.
Edit, oops ditto grey.
You know that is a hyperlinked headline, don’t you?
This is i believe a deliberate stratagem and seems to be happening sufficiently often that perhaps we could start documenting and analyzing which publications are mostly responsible (NZ HERALD, stuff) for starters.
Its just more DP as far as i can see and would be good to be calling these players out.
Not necessarily DP per se, but certainly used by DP operators. MSM use headlines/clickbait to lure readers to their sites; it is how they operate. TS Moderators have no control over MSM but can point out ‘bad habits’ by some punters here on this site.
What's the deal with hyperlinks, that they causes such consternation?
No deal, hyperlinks are fine and handy. It is the headline ‘message’ embedded in the hyperlink that often is the issue. Most people don’t even read past the headline but/because they have already taken in the ‘message’, mostly sub-consciously, especially when it confirms their cognitive bias.
Ahh. Ta.
Commenters are often asked by moderators to be descriptive when commenting. If linking, at a minimum we need to explain what the link is and, in the form of a response, why we are posting it. I think a quote from the article always helps liven it up too.
It's just good forumming.
Indeed, context is important and it applies also to YT and other clips.
"It is the headline ‘message’ embedded in the hyperlink that often is the issue. Most people don’t even read past the headline but/because they have already taken in the ‘message’, mostly sub-consciously, especially when it confirms their cognitive bias."
Thanks cogs well put!
Interesting the Herald doesn't include the sub-headline in their links.
Had Covid-19 not have occurred I think that housing was going to be the winner.
The Heartland Party, yet another bunch of conservative splitters pitching for the dinosaur vote: https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/300054112/new-rural-heartland-party-challenges-climate-change-and-water-restrictions
Catering for "rural interests and scaling back what Ball labels overbearing and nonsensical environmental policies." A journo ought to ask Todd Muller why heartland Nats are deserting! No point asking the Nat leader? Well she didn't work with James Shaw. But she did grow up on a farm, so maybe.
Good point, so the Stuff journo got clever & ran it by a Bluegreen.
What interests me is that these hicks from the sticks have decided that Nats + neocons + Act look too much like one big pile of crap to be worth supporting.
Leave that to the regional councils and farmers groups, who know the best way to manage their land.
Can't see how you can think that is a good point. If farmers knew how to best manage 'their' land and actually gave a shit then we wouldn't have a problem. Most farmers know jack shit about fresh water ecology.
Yes, definitely, re farmers. I was agreeing with the logic about regional councils. I recall how big the Greens were on local & regional governance when I was an activist. It is true, however, that capture of governance decisions by farmer activists could be a downside of that.
The dominance in numbers and influence of farmer-councillors on regional councils is a significant factor.
The reality is that regional councils have been fuck useless at enforcing their own rules. Yes often regional councils are captured by farmer interests.
It's all about culture and agri-culture is embedded in all of us; recognising it for what it is, then acting outside of its influence is our only hope (imo).
Agree with both soltka and RG here. Elected regional councils tend to be conservative and farmer heavy. RC staff tend not to enforce their own regs. It's a shit show, literally and figuratively. NZ mostly stood by and watched it happen. Part of the issue is regional council elections and lots of people not voting.
In that case there's important learning to be done by Green parliamentarians. They may have already done it. But could be worth checking Green policy to discern if that learning has been integrated! In respect of the relevant Green Charter principle, I mean. Policy ought to signal how to implement our principles in real life situations…
what learning?
Good question – but I was just acknowledging your point about democracy vs vested interests. I see no future in Greens advocating local/regional democracy if it doesn't work in practice. Mere words, then. As devoid of substance as any sloganeering by Labour.
It's up to your generation & any other generation younger than mine to progress the situation now. Whatever framing the GP has since put around the principle we adopted ought to be reality-checked!
It works. NZers generally don't care if we have shitty rivers, despite what they say, and they vote in the local govt that gives them that. It's a low form of democracy but I don't see that giving up on it would improve the situation, and would actually make it much worse.
A left-leaning govt would overcome the problem with national policy overrides like the law already allows.
A right-leaning one would fire disobedient councillors and replace them with protected cronies, as we saw with ECan.
in that regard, it would be nice if we had a left leaning govt not stymied by a centrist one.
High probability that the regional councils don't know any thing about fresh water ecology either. They simply don't have the dedicated research teams and I doubt if they read what the universities put out.
Oh, that's not true at all! Not only do councils have such teams/people, but they are intimately connected to the non-council teams that are dedicated to such research. Councillors may know little, but their science staff know full-well!
Glad to hear but it does raise the question:
Why are so many councils then making poor decisions regarding the land under their care?
They are political institutions. If those were dominated by National Party voting councillors, what sort of decisions do you expect would be made? Environmentally-friendly ones?
I expect that politicians should make decisions based upon evidence and not ideology.
And if they don't then they should be going to jail as they're being detrimental to the people of the local community and NZ as a whole.
I don’t follow how you set targets without rules & regulations. Very wishy-washy toothless proposal. My target is to lose 15 kg by Christmas but I don’t set rules & regulations for myself and it will just happen by my sheer willpower (positive thinking) and motivation (NY’s resolutions from 2016) without having to change any habits or make any sacrifices. Mate, they’re dreaming!
And living that dream. Trying to. I agree targets are insufficient: implementation strategies are crucial to hitting a target. As bowmen of your discovered: need a straight arrow, a competent fletcher, plus a yew bow like Robin Hood!
dreaming, or it's deliberate strategy 😉
If they knew the best way to manage their land then we wouldn't be having the issues that we're having now and we wouldn't need to have the central government stepping in to fix their mess.
Don't leave the banks out of that picture when casting nasturtiums.
Couple of pieces on the state of play with Tiwai Point.
There's a six month "un-termination" window in the power supply contract. So maybe this is next-level hardball negotiation from Rio Tinto. For mine, fuck 'em. Let's sort out an alternative plan for the Southland economy and the affected people and say Bye Felicia to Rio Tinto.
https://www.msn.com/en-nz/money/business/un-terminating-tiwai-point/ar-BB16Pxfy?li=BBqdg4K&ocid=mailsignout
But it seems WinnieFirst wants to pay the ransom to buy a temporary reprieve for the jobs hostages. Hopefully they'll get told Bye Felicia in a couple of months too.
https://www.msn.com/en-nz/news/national/coalition-split-over-tiwai-point-aluminium-smelters-fate/ar-BB16O0da?li=BBqdg4K&ocid=mailsignout
I see nationalisation the only step forward.
For a start, the government is the only party that has the required cash. Funny really, all these reforms after 36 years and the New Zealand private sector is still too weak to engage in capital intensive activities.
The only national interest reason to have a smelter is if there's a massive oversupply of electricity that we want to somehow sell overseas. That may have been arguably true back when Tiwai Point and Manapouri were first conceived and hardly anybody cared about GHG emissions. That is definitely no longer true, we have plenty of good uses for that electricity domestically, not least of which is simply shutting down Huntly's inefficient single stage coal-fired turbines.
The other possible (really dumb) reason is just as an explicit jobs creation scheme, regardless of how the economics stack up. In this case, the economics just won't stack up, because of the messed up structure of the worldwide aluminium production market.
Chinese suppliers are a real mess of subsidies and other government intervention, and non-chinese suppliers are heavily vertically integrated. As I understand it, there are very few alumina suppliers that aren't tightly bound to smelters, so a nationalised smelter would be subject to the same jobs-hostage squeezes that we're currently subjected to from Rio Tinto. That makes it all a snake-pit we would do best to keep well clear of.
Nationalising it is only a massive taxpayer subsidy to Rio Tinto, considering their bill for cleaning up the site is an estimated $256m
But the private sector is really great at getting subsidies and ripping off the tax payer as proven by all the subsidies that we've paid over for the aluminium smelter over the decades.
Why would the private sector even be interested in investing in a business that is " no longer viable given high energy costs and a challenging outlook for the aluminium industry" (https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/300052786/tiwai-point-aluminium-smelter-to-close-1000-jobs-to-go)? For that matter, why would the government?
Because it builds up our resilience in a troubled world?
Investing in a non-viable aluminium smelter? Surely there's better things for government to spend it's money on.
It's non-viable commercially.
But having the ability to smelt aluminium, especially if we develop that bauxite up in Northland, would be beneficial to the country if our supply lines become even more disrupted.
And, of course, the whole point of the government keeping it going is for the benefit of NZ which means that it cannot be left in private hands.
First question that should be answered is smelting aluminium from imported raw materials the best use of that energy and labour. Are there better options that would be better for Southland and New Zealand.
There’s been talk if a Tesla plant and also of a silica industry, refining a local resource. Not sure about the scale of that resource but it’s said to be of very good quality. Also wonder if there’s a connection between the two.
https://thespinoff.co.nz/science/09-12-2019/not-so-modest-proposals-for-tiwai/
That Tesla gigafactory thing is pure unicorns frolicking in a meadow with daffodils.
Silica could be more interesting if it indeed uses a local resource so it's not subject to international supply chain fuckery and the value of the final product is largely dependent on the energy supplied to produce it.
Here’s a link that’s got a bit more about the silica resource. On the side if a hill on my phone so linking a bit tricky
https://venture.vsnet.nz/projects/diversification-of-the-southland-economy/southlands-silica-potential
Bet it's a cold hillside, too!
Thanks for the linky. I'll keep an eye on them to see what processing they're proposing to do in NZ that uses huge quantities of electricity.
Agreed. Too far from markets primarily? when manufacturing is going closer to markets.
Distance from markets, and distance from inputs.
Electricity consumption really isn't that significant an input, so access to Manapouri power isn't much of an advantage.
A Tesla gigafactory needs a lot of people with very highly specialised skills. Attracting them to the bottom of the South Island would be quite the project. (well, maybe attracting them wouldn't be difficult right now, but getting them to stay might be tougher).
People with high paying jobs on Southland tend to hang onto them. The lifestyle, and low cost of living makes the place pretty good. The climate can have it's moments, but Southland on a good day takes some beating, and if it's crap you're not far from somewhere that's not too bad. Even a howling southwesterly has it's charms for it's sheer power.
The smelter has a very stable workforce and it's really hard to get jobs there.
Interesting. The two ex-smelter people I know (both engineers) hated being there and were delighted to be gone.
It's one or the other, a lot of people get into what the region has to offer and thrive on it, others it's not their cup of tea and can't stand the place. But I'm like that with Auckland.
While the smelter has a stable workforce, the money has a lot to do with that. On smelter wages Southland is pretty good. No one's that fussed about the job but know people from process workers to engineers and admin that have been there 20+ years
The hill was pretty good today too, I'm working at 1000m on a north aspect, had fantails flying around this afternoon, but looking down on permafrost in the basin.
There's a bit of very high quality silica in Southland and a hell of a lot of low quality:
Of course, if we put the effort in, the low quality can be turned to high quality.
The problem, IMO, is that we tend to only think of doing one thing with it. Solar cells or batteries – not both. Thing is, if we also developed our rare earth extraction and processing then producing silicon chips (CPUs, GPUs, and other) becomes an option as well. Build a fabrication plant and produce Intel/AMD/nVidia chips under contract as Taiwan does as well as being able to support the development of our own local IT industry.
People are worried about the loss of jobs when the smelter closes down but there's so much potential for other jobs.
And I'd keep the smelter going to some extent so as to support our local aircraft manufacture even going so far as to develop our bauxite deposit in Northland.
The problem of focussing on farming as the main earner (with everyone else doing low paid service jobs) over the last few decades is that we've let so much potential go to waste.
Are those bauxite deposits pitifully small or minuscule?
Estimated to be 20 to 25 million tonnes of low quality ore.
The low quality seems to be the issue for commercial viability.
Then it needs to be refined to produce alumina. Tiwai don't do that do they.
Pretty sure import bauxite from Australia for smelting – not alumina. This would indicate that Tiwai either does process to alumina or skips that step altogether.
An interesting point is that the smelter at Tiwai uses an old smelting technique. It produces better aluminium but it costs a lot more to run that what the rest of the world is using.
"The facility, New Zealand’s only aluminium smelter,[3] is at Tiwai Point, near Bluff. It imports alumina and processes it into primary aluminium. The plant's alumina is supplied from refineries in Queensland and the Northern Territory of Australia. Around 90 per cent of the aluminium produced at NZAS is exported, mainly to Japan.[4]"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiwai_Point_Aluminium_Smelter
And that is the problem with Tiwai. It was built just before the process changed to something more efficient and has never been competitive. Tiwai's closing has been a thing from pretty much the day it opened.
You'd know if Tiwai had a red mud cycle – they don't.
Turn it into a huge hydrogen production plant producing clean hydrogen instead of aluminium. Sell that on the international market as a new green fuel alternative. Become the ME/OPEC of the Pacific.
Let's put some rough hand-wavy numbers to that thought.
Tiwai Point consumes around 5,000 GWhr of electricity annually. It takes about 65kWhr of electricity to split enough water to get 1 kg of hydrogen and compress it for storage and transportation. So that could produce around 80,000 tonnes of compressed hydrogen. That's just over 0.1% of the 70 million tonnes of hydrogen currently produced worldwide.
In dollar terms, Tiwai Point is probably paying a bit over 6 cents per kWhr (including transmission charges). That means the electricity cost for 1kg would be around NZD3.50 to NZD4.00. That doesn't look great compared to a worldwide market price for hydrogen of around USD1.65/kg.
The main reason hydrogen is so cheap is it's mostly produced by steam reformation of fossil fuels, and the producers get to dump the hazardous waste CO2 produced into the atmosphere for free. But even if that wasn't the case, and NZ hydrogen had to compete against worldwide electrically produced green hydrogen, it would probably be competing against photovoltaic electricity produced at a price under USD0.02/kWhr, produced somewhat geographically closer to where it gets used.
So it would make more sense to use it domestically, reducing our imports of fossil fuels.
Ta
I was hoping (!) somebody (…) would shoot it out of the water, to a degree 😉
Topical, particularly at the end.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/motoring/evs/122140021/new-zealand-needs-to-catch-up-with-global-demand-for-hydrogen-technology
I'm personally of the view that hydrogen is unlikely to take off, except for niche uses, and that batteries will become the dominant energy storage for most users such as cars, domestic, industrial etc.
First up, the hydrogen round-trip energy efficiency from electricity generation to finally doing useful work is lucky to beat 50%, and down as low as 30% is reasonably likely.
Sources of energy loss are in the electrolytic splitting of water, compressing and/or cooling it for storage, then fuel cell efficiency isn't that great (if the final energy conversion is in an internal combustion energy, total efficiency is abominable). In contrast, electricity generation to final useful work easily exceeds 80%, and can go into the 90s if the energy is stored in batteries.
Hydrogen is a real materials engineering nightmare. It embrittles many useful grades of metals, and the ones it doesn't tend to have lower performance but be more expensive. It just pisses through plastics and other polymers, usually degrading them rapidly. So flexible piping and sealing are headaches. It requires skill and care from mechanics and technicians that's a level or two up from most common technologies now.
It scares me from a safety viewpoint. It has a very wide range of explosion concentration in air, from 4% to 74% (IIRC, only acetylene has a wider range for the commonish gases). Its flame is invisible, but gives off a shitload of UV.
For a while in the early noughties when hydrogen was more widely thought to be the future and battery tech hadn't taken off, there was concern that widespread hydrogen leakage would have serious effects on the ozone layer. That's gone a bit quiet, but I dunno if that's just because hydrogen hype has gone a bit quiet, or further investigation suggests the risk to the ozone layer isn't so serious.
To my mind, the only potential real advantage hydrogen has for most users is it's quickish to refuel, closer to filling up with petrol than recharging a battery. But charging speeds are quickly increasing along with battery sizes, so that potential advantage is rapidly shrinking.
I thought the new Stuff management people would've put a stop to this kind of disingenuous and scaremongering headlines.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/industries/122149832/government-sells-30m-worth-of-state-houses-after-labour-promised-to-stop-sales
It hasn't gone unnoticed – the case of Tauranga's entire stock of Housing NZ homes being sold lock stock & barrel for an undisclosed pittance is another part of the story that remains untold IMO. Accessible Properties now are after govt funding to exploit the land in the guise of "social housing" by now demolishing a significant number of the homes
https://twitter.com/nealejones/status/1283847212447993857
This government needs to remove IHC the heck away from the provision of state housing. What a complete and utter balls up that was. The filthy money grubbing snakes at IHC swooped in when the opportunity arose purely because the Salvation Army gave Key's government the finger. Total slime.
It certainly was convenient – I thought it was a bit moot with them for a bit effectively "gone" but I will wait with interest for the next candidate election returns as both Bridges (2014 & 2017) & Muller (2017) had the same main donor who oversaw the sale here as the CEO of Accessible Properties. It's all a matter of public record that's been largely over looked but with the "bad blood" that appears to have arisen between the 2 local candidates it will be fascinating if the patronage continues to both of them – or as I suspect only one or more likely neither of them this time around
Ridiculously biased headline.
The facts immediately below it show that Labour has developed 5400 homes and sold 146 that were not worth repairing or in the wrong place.
The article only looks at Nationals record over its last 3 years where over its 9 years in power it decreased the stock of state houses by several thousand….somebody on TS will have the exact numbers.
Yeah BG and that 38k one must have been a luxury waterfront property with indoor-outdoor flow!
In a plot twist that absolutely nobody saw coming, National's big new policy announcement is: moRe rOaDs!
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/122153158/national-announces-biggest-infrastructure-package-in-history
And it's going to be the biggest and longest and shiniest road in the whole world.
Yellow lines gold-plated with Taxpayers’ money and little diamonds as cat-eyes.
After a quick look all I can say is that National has gone full on delusional. They seem to still be thinking in terms of economic growth that is simply not physically possible.
At first glance it looks like a gold-plated make work scheme and given the Transmission Gully stuff up, it looks as though it could be extended for years with a never ending series of financial top ups. However, TG is mopping up overseas unemployed more than make-work for Kiwi's. Looking closer, it seems more likely that it is a financial transfusion from essential services into the pockets of profiteering parasites like Downer, Fulton Hogan et al and cash pools for the 'financial partners' to slosh around tax havens. Oh joy!
You should provide evidence that the companies you name are "profiteering parasites".
On which job did they earn more than 7% return?
You should be able to answer.
Interesting to watch the headlines change, it went from "It's the biggest infrastructure spend ever!" then a couple of hours later they added "National claims", someone's obviously done some fact checking.
Seems to be a spending reduction, even.
https://twitter.com/ClintVSmith/status/1283898475285905408
It seems they are going to smash congestion according to Bishop,who's aspiration to build world class cities suggest he is provincial.
“Previous governments have not been ambitious enough in dealing to congestion. World-class cities have high-quality public transport networks where mass transit is a normal part of everyday life.
“Under National, Auckland will become the world-class city it can and should be – and the Upper North Island will become an interconnected economic powerhouse.”
As John Raulston Saul suggests (quite convincing)
“World class is a phrase used by provincial cities and second-rate entertainment events, as well as a wide variety of insecure individuals, to assert that they are not provincial or second-rate, thereby confirming that they are.”
Further as Bishop states.
“Congestion costs Auckland over $1 billion per year. It means unreliable journey times,
Indeed the problems that arose for his constituents ( Corona and Disease) on their big day out was problematic at best.
https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PA2007/S00158/national-will-smash-congestion-with-intergenerational-funding.htm
Watch out for the strong masculine metaphors “smash” and “crush”.
That's right building roads has always led to less congestion right?(sarc)
So effectively Labour’s infrastructure policy plus logical extensions, and using Labour’s covid fast track RMA provisions to approve it in time
So all that’s go then, lets get into it. So what’s the point of difference.
Collins and team announce a 31 billion transport package for Auckland (mostly ) and vague about how it would be paid for.
Will this be an Election with mine is bigger than yours?
Hate to raise a National promise but we have to consider its merit – or not.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=12348768
Why are they proposing heavy rail to Auckland Airport, via a Puhunui spur, I thought that debate had been well canvassed, and a heavy rail line was always the first option but found to be unworkable
https://www.greaterauckland.org.nz/2018/10/19/how-easy-is-a-puhinui-airport-rail-spur/
Greater Auckland might say it's unworkable because it's not in their Congestion Free Network Mk2. But how workable is two raised tram lines running the length of Dominion Road and beyond???
I, presumably like everyone else, am kind of seduced by their CFN2 with its London Underground graphics but am also bewildered why it never seems to be referenced in high level discussions. I could be wrong on this.
The constant criticism of Twyford and Labour is there was no vision but there is a vision, GA has worked on this very thing for years.
Right now I prefer the Puhinui spur CBD-airport solution but am happy to change my mind if a case for GA's 'Central Line' has some widespread consensus. But nobody seems to be selling it.
a curious thing….there is no rail to the airports of London . Paris or Melbourne….and yet all three have extensive rail networks
I would say that the London Underground is better 'rail' than NZ ‘Toytown Express’ rail system, and it goes all the way to Heathrow underground, unimpeded by road traffic. The same would apply to Paris's larger underground service (the RER?) which efficiently services Paris's airports. I don't think your point is valid here: I see trams being held up in Dominion Road as a bloody silly idea.
Yes, was too slow to delete as my wife pointed out there were trains to both Heathrow and Charles deGaulle though not Melbourne (I asked why we then used taxis). …so the comment can be ignored.
Thanks for correcting Pat. There's both Underground and BR lines beneath Heathrow.
I think New Zealand's tourism numbers and the industry's contribution to GDP demands better infrastructure for travellers.
There's a lot of talk about improving tourism infrastructure up and down the line so that both visitors and Kiwis benefit and I think a 21st Century connection from the main entry point to the rest of the country is vital to that cause.
AND
suspending super contributions
continuing to sell state houses
stopping the ak fuel tax
For those interested in a "Different Monetary System" this a very good article on an alternative system, MMT, Modern Monetary theory.
Worth the long read if you think the current economic system isn't working.
https://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2020-07-17/what-is-modern-monetary-theory/12455806
Very good and well worth the read. I see MMT as an interesting evolution pulling together the functional threads of both socialism and capitalism into a form better adapted to the world we are rapidly plunging into.
That is a crucial point. But it has a point that most don't realise.
If the government can spend money then we don't need rich people to fund enterprise.
We don't need shareholders and we don't need owners and at that point it becomes obvious that we don't need capitalism to push development.
A group of people can come together, form a business and then go down to the state bank and, if their business plan looks good, get a 0% interest loan that only needs to be paid back once the business starts making a profit – or not paid back at all if the business falls over. That business would, of course, be a cooperative with none of the people working there owning it but all sharing in its governance and sharing in the rewards.
That silica development mentioned up thread could be done that way as well or it could be that the government finances and directs for a time until its established and then has it continue as a cooperative. What we most definitely shouldn't do is finance people to develop it and then allowing them to take ownership of it as that just increases the bludging of the shareholders.
The article doesn't address the question of whether the private banking establishment should be allowed to create money out of nothing – an issue which also seems to be part of the the MMT agenda.
National party supporters are criticizing the government for loading the government up with debt in response to the covid19 crisis. I'm inclined to agree; instead the government should simply have "printed" the money.
Yes, but how do we persuade Governments to consider this alternative
There certainly is merit in theory, there are a number here who would prescribe to this economic way of thinking.
Skeletons
https://twitter.com/MandyHager/status/1283925821686595585
Outstanding protest action against the proposed Dome Valley Dump.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/300059289/hundreds-march-in-auckland-cbd-for-hkoi-protesting-dome-valley-dump-poposal
Its election time…come on candidates step up and show your true colours!
Some excellent speakers…well worth a listen.
Potential solution…waste emanating from inside the pre super city boundary has to stay inside that boundary by law.
Yes 100%. This should never have been allowed.
Well done those people. Unfortunately I don't hold out any hope Auckland Council will listen.
Sorry – I am not getting notifications for replies to comments and I am not constantly perusing them to see a response.
There were insinuations in the comments sections re the declined breakfast show – people pointed out that Helen, still working full time as an employment lawyer may have other commitments – to which Chloe made snarky 'at 7am' comments and the suggestion that she is not working as hard as she should be this close to the election.
Every reference to Helen being the nearest competitor has been coupled with comments about entitlement to votes. – Again repeatedly on her facebook page and commentary there. I don't think the fact that she hasn't singled Helen out by name really matters, given her initial refusal to even name her as the candidate (although I saw that was edited later following criticism in the comments section).
[TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as being off topic or irrelevant in the post it was made in. Be more careful in future.]
[you look like you are new here Breanna, so please read the About and the Policy before commenting again. If there’s anything you don’t understand, please ask. The upshot is that if you make claims of fact eg Swarbrick called White lazy, then you have to back that up. This is to protect the site owners legally, and it’s also to protect the debate culture here. The expectation is that you will do the work to back up what you say. This is doubly so if a moderator asks you.
If you want have a go about the Greens you have to make a sound political argument not just spread rumours. In this instance you would need to quote what CS actually said and give a citation or link. The site exists for robust debate, not political slander. At the moment it looks like you just made shit up. I’d appreciate a response so I know you have read this an understood. Incognito may also want to address the issues he moderated – weka]
Which ones? And by whom?
Pretty rough to move Breanna's comment and give it the old 'two paragraphs of bold type' when it seemed like a pretty detailed observation on the battle for Auckland Central.
A steep learning curve for a newcomer to the site who demonstrates a clear negative bias towards the Greens, in this case, in all comments so far. Either they learn quickly or they’ll be moved on. The site is attracting more traffic and comments and there have been an increased number of new users as one would expect on a political blog in Pre-Election time. Moderators will display decreasing levels of leniency.
I’m not that quite satisfied with your response to the Moderation and I’ll explain why.
When you state that people said something, e.g. about another person, it needs to be linked/shown as a quote. Paraphrasing is often more like selective quoting. Going on insinuations and comments in threads means you are making some assumptions of the intended meaning and that you’re drawing your own conclusions (or spin). Given your obvious negativity towards the Greens, I think that this is what’s happened when you accused CS of the things you did.
To avoid future run-ins with Moderators here you should stick to facts and verbatim quotes and clearly indicate when you state your opinion, i.e. what you think or believe to be true but you cannot be sure that it is actually true and that you haven’t made it up, e.g. in your own mind. This doesn’t necessarily mean that you have malicious intend but that your own mind tricks you in believing things that are not real, true, or correct. When in doubt, say so, e.g. ‘I think …’ or ‘I believe …’, et cetera.
In Summary, don’t assert or allege things that you cannot support or prove. Don’t put words into people’s mouths if you cannot show the verbatim text.
HTH
On reflection the big Transport declaration from Collins is an example of, "We might impress by declaring huge plans as we have nothing to lose. So promise the Earth with no planning, no costing and maybe we will impress."
I reckon the biggest takeout from the Nats announcement today is the timing really. Presumably they would have preferred to announce this in the campaign proper. But after the disaster of the last few weeks they’ve been forced to roll something big out now just to try and arrest the damage.
The National Party Board meets to elect a leader
Board Chair: Ok everyone, we are meeting today to elect a new leader of the party
Board member #1:who have we got left to choose from
Board Chair: hmmmm lets see, Judith Collins, Gerry Brownlee and David Bennett
Board member #2: Gordon Bennett
Board Chair: No DAVID Bennett
Board member #2: I know what you said
Omg- in the week when two of the former top 3 resign FROM PARLIAMENT, and the former leader says I voted for the other guy RNZ's round up is 'Collins moves fast to fix the National party'.
What a total farce. Complete disarray and backstabbing is gone in 60 seconds with RNZ. Imagine if it had been the Labour party. Actually don't need to- remember how they treated the last two leaders?
'Collins moves fast to fix the National party'.