Roy Morgan

7 comments on “Roy Morgan ”

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1. Policy Parrot 1

   12 February 2008 at 12:43 pm

   This poll shows National leading, but not in a position to lead a government which delivers to the demands of their most passionate supporters.

   In fact, it is possible for Labour to remain in office in this poll, with Labour Progressive Greens = 58 MP 4 = 62/122.

   NZF seems to be picking up of some of the Nats support, and this be will be a concern for the Nats if NZF continues polling below 5% – unless they put Burhqa Bob on a tight leash.
2. Phil 2

   12 February 2008 at 12:59 pm

   I find it curious that as Labour – and to a lesser extent, National – have talked up the environmental rhetoric, the party vote share for the Greens hasn’t fallen…

   By the way, does anyone know what “dead cat bounce” means?
3. Dancer 3

   12 February 2008 at 2:26 pm

   i thought this was an interesting quote from Roy Morgan

   “voters in New Zealand will have to decide whether the leadership offered by Helen Clark over the past 8 years is deserving of another term, or whether the untried leader of the National Party, John Key, is up to the task of managing the complex international economic situation that faces New Zealand in coming years’.

   In the past National has been associated with “good for the economy” vibes. However Cullen has tested that assumption with his “prudent economic manager” approach (despite the impatience of his critics). Add in the uncertain international climate and the stage is set for some interesting manouvering.
4. insider 4

   12 February 2008 at 2:59 pm

   Phil

   It means that anything if dropped from a high enough level will bounce upwards. Doesn’t mean things are looking good for it overall though
5. Phil 5

   12 February 2008 at 3:23 pm

   insider;

   very good, top marks

   captcha; “prevented optimism”… sounds like the mission statement for a BRT business confidence survey
6. Dan 6

   12 February 2008 at 4:43 pm

   National has always painted itself as “good for the economy” but that has always been a reflection of what the National supporters would paint. They like the party’s views on wage rates and protectionism and unions and welfare. The reality is that the economy is much wider than “good for the economy” vibes. Nordmeyer, Kirk, Rowling were all very cautious financially. National’s Muldoon pandered to the farmers and the Think Big proponents, and bought votes at election time with disastrous results.
   Instead of tax relief as a boost to the economy, maybe a move away from a low wage economy might stimulate similar growth and go to more. Australia is always touted by the right as a success story, so let’s pay the wages to keep people here. There is a fatal flaw in the logic of the right.
   Incidentally, one area of fascination for me is why so many in our armed forces are such strong National supporters when in fact the services do far better under Labour governments.

Links to post

1. Colmar Brunton poll at thestandard.org.nz: posted on 18 February 2008 at 11:22 am

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