Posts Tagged ‘election 2017’

Horizon poll shows 10% shift from Nat to Labour

Written By: - Date published: 8:39 am, August 31st, 2017 - 32 comments

Take it with a bag of salt, but it certainly isn’t bad news for Labour.

No one can have any confidence in a Nat NZF coalition

Written By: - Date published: 7:01 am, August 30th, 2017 - 45 comments

Peters is enraged by the presumed Nat hit on him over super. Earlier he was calling on Bill English to resign over the Barclay scandal. Given these conflicts, no one can have any confidence in a post-election Nat NZF coalition. They hate each other.

Ardern’s war paint

Written By: - Date published: 9:40 am, August 27th, 2017 - 65 comments

John Armstrong coined a memorable headline: That ain’t lipstick – it’s war paint. Jo Moir writes on the Jacinda tsunami in South Auckland, and Liam Dann gives Labour the economic thumbs up. Not a bad weekend for Labour!

Armstrong: The tide going out on National

Written By: - Date published: 7:03 am, August 24th, 2017 - 189 comments

John Armstrong writes on the tide going out on National, and the big swing towards Labour in Ohariu.

Labour’s new campaign ad as Nats go negative

Written By: - Date published: 7:02 am, August 23rd, 2017 - 56 comments

Labour’s new campaign ad is great! Compare and contrast with Nat attack ads…

Labour closes gap to 3%

Written By: - Date published: 8:27 am, August 20th, 2017 - 58 comments

Labour rising, National falling in the latest poll. Greens steady at 8%. Jacinda Ardern buries Bill English in the “favourability” rating. Will Labour overtake Nats before the election?

Update: Live Labour launch video.

Messages to vote for

Written By: - Date published: 7:23 am, August 19th, 2017 - 30 comments

Jacinda Ardern helps fix Nat billboard – classy!

Written By: - Date published: 3:10 pm, August 18th, 2017 - 35 comments

Labour’s momentum – Nat’s fall

Written By: - Date published: 9:12 am, August 18th, 2017 - 87 comments

What Jacinda Ardern has accomplished here is nothing short of astonishing. As a one-off bump in the polls it rivals Brash’s infamous Orewa speech. But Ardern’s rise is based on optimism and positivity rather than racist dog whistles.

Labour’s School Leavers’ Toolkit

Written By: - Date published: 12:25 pm, August 14th, 2017 - 100 comments

“Labour’s School Leavers’ Toolkit will help students learn to drive, understand practical budgeting, be equipped with workplace skills, and learn how our political system operates through civics education at school. Every secondary school will be resourced to provide these courses.”

NZF is finished

Written By: - Date published: 8:43 am, August 11th, 2017 - 104 comments

Here’s a prediction for you.

Election debates to be 2 vs. 1

Written By: - Date published: 11:49 am, August 10th, 2017 - 33 comments

“Mike Hosking will present the TVNZ election debates again”.

How high will Ardern’s Labour go?

Written By: - Date published: 9:01 am, August 10th, 2017 - 69 comments

If Jacinda Ardern’s Labour can get a jump to 33-36% in the polls in just one week, how high can it go for the election? We need to see further gains coming from National – and they will. We need to see the Green vote recover – and it will…

Two good polls for Labour – and a call to arms for the Greens

Written By: - Date published: 7:05 pm, August 9th, 2017 - 95 comments

Two polls out tonight show a big surge for Labour and Jacinda Ardern. But we need a strong Green vote too. To those whom Metiria inspired – please don’t give up on voting. The Greens need you now more than ever!

The Kelvin Davis effect

Written By: - Date published: 7:02 am, August 9th, 2017 - 48 comments

Much has been written about the Jacinda Ardern effect that has put Labour so enthusiastically back in the game. But the appointment of Kelvin Davis as deputy is also looking like a very smart move.

Ardern effect taps pent-up mood for change

Written By: - Date published: 7:02 am, August 7th, 2017 - 49 comments

A week is a long time in politics, as the saying goes. The election has been turned upside down. The long pent-up mood for change has found its champion.

Don’t expect the impossible of Ardern

Written By: - Date published: 7:01 am, August 4th, 2017 - 29 comments

I enjoy a ray of hope as much as the next leftie, and Jacinda Ardern is off to an incredible start, but let’s not burden her with impossible expectations.

The Ardern effect – and why this leadership change was different

Written By: - Date published: 7:01 am, August 3rd, 2017 - 60 comments

With donations and volunteers flooding in, I think it’s fair to say that reaction to Jacinda Ardern has exceeded all expectations. Why was this leadership change different? Two reasons…

Acclaim for Jacinda Ardern

Written By: - Date published: 6:30 am, August 2nd, 2017 - 119 comments

Changing leaders this close to an election was a political gamble for Labour, but it has already paid off. The commentary is almost universally positive, the reviews for Ardern are glowing. Donations are flowing in. Activists are energised and people are talking.

Labour leadership announcement – livestream

Written By: - Date published: 11:44 am, August 1st, 2017 - 49 comments

The livestream is over. A very impressive performance from Jacinda Ardern.

Thank you Andrew – go well Jacinda!

Written By: - Date published: 11:13 am, August 1st, 2017 - 54 comments

Unlike lprent I am not discouraged by Little stepping down. New leadership is a real opportunity for Labour. Little: “As leader, I must take responsibility for these results. I do take responsibility and believe that Labour must have an opportunity to perform better under new leadership through to the election.”

Little gone

Written By: - Date published: 10:10 am, August 1st, 2017 - 187 comments

Andrew Little has stepped down – expects Jacinda to replace him.

ACT in blue – gives up all pretense

Written By: - Date published: 10:04 am, August 1st, 2017 - 10 comments

NZF members are lefties – will they get a say in choosing government?

Written By: - Date published: 7:03 am, August 1st, 2017 - 19 comments

Current polls leave National/minor and Labour/Green both short of majority. The chances of NZF determining the shape of the next government are increasing. I’ve always assumed that Peters would go with National, but maybe not, if NZF members get a say.

Metiria’s gamble pays off in latest poll

Written By: - Date published: 7:02 am, July 31st, 2017 - 157 comments

To what must be intense annoyance from angry right-wing pundits, Metiria Turei’s gamble seems to have paid off for The Greens, an indication (though mind that margin of error) that there could be a real appetite for a Corbyn-style political revolution this election.

The Nuk Korako Cover Up

Written By: - Date published: 7:56 am, July 24th, 2017 - 46 comments

Will Nuk Korako blame his children this time?

Tax cuts or fix this…

Written By: - Date published: 7:01 am, July 21st, 2017 - 54 comments

Auckland City Councilor Richard Hills yesterday tweeted some of the things we would like to see fixed before a tax cut. You might want to add to the list. Good thing Labour is promising to cancel the cuts and spend billions more on health and education.

Labour’s plan – billions for health and education

Written By: - Date published: 12:02 pm, July 19th, 2017 - 91 comments

Labour has just released costed details of its comprehensive plan to put $8b more over four years into health and $4b into education. Excellent.

Labour’s first campaign ad

Written By: - Date published: 7:06 am, July 18th, 2017 - 124 comments

Good message – good messaging

Written By: - Date published: 1:31 pm, July 13th, 2017 - 50 comments

Nats’ poll fall 2014 2017

Written By: - Date published: 7:26 am, July 12th, 2017 - 141 comments

Toby Manhire on The Spinoff has an interesting analysis of the recent Colmar Brunton poll. Comapred to the same poll in 2014 National are 5% down, with the Labour/Green alliance unchanged. The fall in the preferred PM rating from Key to English is huge. The Nats are highly vulnerable.