Written By: Matthew Whitehead - Date published: 10:00 am, May 19th, 2020 - 53 comments
The latest Newshub/Reid Research poll is a bloodbath for National- but who are the likely victims? Pollwatch is back, this time with a model for electorate winners and losers to add onto the party vote stats.
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 6:45 pm, April 15th, 2019 - 50 comments
The latest 1 News Colmar Brunton Poll is out and it says that a Labour/Greens Government is what NZ wants. Oh, and we quite like Jacinda Ardern.
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 6:06 pm, September 14th, 2017 - 193 comments
Labour and Greens could govern alone.
The 3 News poll was a rogue.
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 6:02 pm, September 7th, 2017 - 76 comments
Tonight’s TVNZ Poll shows Labour opening a 4 point lead over National.
National drop below 40% (well deserved).
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 7:01 am, September 1st, 2017 - 77 comments
Labour has polled ahead of National for the first time in 12 years. It is only one poll and others may differ, but it has shattered a huge psychological barrier. We’re in a new political world. Time to go hard.
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 10:14 am, August 13th, 2017 - 60 comments
On current polling the Nats are going to be short at least one of their puppet parties after the election.
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 2:51 pm, August 9th, 2017 - 93 comments
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 10:38 am, August 8th, 2017 - 45 comments
The missing Newshub poll question has appeared at last, showing that Bill English has been damaged by his handling of the Barclay scandal. 56% of Kiwis (even 36% of Nats) have lost some trust in English. Updated: The texts have been “deleted”. English refusing to answer questions.
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 8:54 am, August 5th, 2017 - 20 comments
I was a participant in last weekend’s Newshub poll. Along with the question on Metiria Turei’s actions I was asked a similar one whether Bill English was correct and honest in his handling of the Todd Barclay scandal. We’ve heard a lot about the answer to the first question, nothing at all on the second…
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 3:32 pm, April 28th, 2017 - 16 comments
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 10:26 am, March 22nd, 2017 - 67 comments
The latest Newshub / Reid poll shows nothing dramatic on the party preference, but has talking points for both left and right on the (largely nonsense) preferred PM question.
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 6:20 pm, February 19th, 2017 - 111 comments
1 News: “The gap between National and the centre left block of Labour and the Greens has tightened in the wake of John Key’s departure as leader, according to the first major poll since his shock resignation.”
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 7:23 am, August 27th, 2016 - 14 comments
The Spinoff: “Lose the top of your party vote in Auckland, with Labour making ground, and the picture for the general election in 2017 looks like, walks like and quacks like a crisis.”
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 9:49 am, August 9th, 2016 - 81 comments
More good news for the political left in the fine print of yesterday’s Newshub-Reid Research poll.
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 9:28 am, June 8th, 2016 - 149 comments
A modest bump for the Labour Green block in the latest Colmar Brunton. And what appears to be a shift from NZF to Labour after the MOU announcement. That might wipe the smile off Winston’s dial.
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 8:17 am, April 27th, 2016 - 37 comments
A straight 3.5% swap National to NZF looks to me like the impact of the flag fiasco.
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 9:14 am, April 21st, 2016 - 66 comments
Received political wisdom is that NZ is a conservative country, tending to the right. Interesting then, to see this data on our voting preferences re American presidential candidates.
The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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