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July 2020 Roy Morgan Poll
Written By: - Date published: 7:11 pm, August 8th, 2020 - 45 comments
The latest Roy Morgan poll is out.
Crusher?
Crushed!
Pollwatch: Colmar Brunton poll released 2020-07-30
Written By: - Date published: 7:30 am, July 31st, 2020 - 54 comments
Poll analysis and modelling results: Is Colmar Brunton “the real rogue?” Who’s likely in and out for National, Labour, and the Greens on this poll result?
National’s Internal Polling Leaked
Written By: - Date published: 6:46 pm, July 28th, 2020 - 40 comments
Yet another leak from Judith Collins’ Strong Team™. This time it’s their own polling … and it’s grim news.
Pollwatch: Reid Research poll completed 2020-07-24
Written By: - Date published: 9:27 pm, July 26th, 2020 - 89 comments
Labour has hit stratospheric highs in the new Reid Research poll at 60.9%, and still have a strong partner in the Greens at 5.7%. Who’s in and out on these numbers? How has Collins performed?
Latest Newshub Reid Research poll – yet another rogue poll
Written By: - Date published: 6:12 pm, July 26th, 2020 - 144 comments
Tova O’Brien said that it would be a bombshell result and it was.
Association of Conspiracy Theorists
Written By: - Date published: 7:44 am, July 25th, 2020 - 81 comments
Act is proposing to introduce measures that will limit the amount of money people on benefits can spend on alcohol and tobacco. But not guns.
Winston Peters Names Alleged Super Leaker
Written By: - Date published: 4:44 pm, July 22nd, 2020 - 87 comments
Winston Peters has named the person he says leaked his super details. Has ACT joined National in doing Dirty Politics?
What does National do in Epsom?
Written By: - Date published: 7:00 am, May 19th, 2020 - 33 comments
Last night’s Reid Research Newshub poll result will be reverberating through National’s caucus. And raises the question, do they gift Epsom to ACT and maybe get a right wing MP or do they preserve every seat they can for themselves.
Newshub Poll Shock!
Written By: - Date published: 6:30 pm, May 18th, 2020 - 158 comments
The May 2020 Newshub/Reid Research poll is astonishing. You’ve have, quite literally, never seen anything like it.
Roger Douglas attacks economic privilege and inequality
Written By: - Date published: 10:18 am, May 5th, 2020 - 261 comments
Roger Douglas has reverted to his socialist roots by going back on his pro market mantra and criticising the economic privilege and inequality that he helped create.
New electorate boundaries
Written By: - Date published: 9:05 am, April 20th, 2020 - 37 comments
I missed it, but we got the new electorate boundaries on Friday. Now electorate boundaries simply don’t matter as much as they used to because of MMP. These days mostly the only people who notice them are electorate MPs, political parties that are too close to the 5% list party boundary, and of course sock-puppet parties like Act and their National party hand. Plus of course political blog sites.
Matthew’s Magic Numbers
Written By: - Date published: 7:15 pm, April 15th, 2020 - 43 comments
Matthew Hooton has tweeted a series of numbers. They add up to good news for the Government.
UPDATE: Curia Polling reckons it’s even better for Labour!
The right politicising the coronavirus
Written By: - Date published: 2:38 pm, February 26th, 2020 - 113 comments
NACT’s values are showing.
The problem with opinion polls
Written By: - Date published: 7:38 am, February 14th, 2020 - 77 comments
This week the Reid Research Poll predicted a Labour Green government and the Colmar Brunton poll predicted a National ACT government. Which one will be proved correct?
Federated Farmers launches petition against its business model
Written By: - Date published: 9:20 am, January 19th, 2020 - 157 comments
Federated Farmers has started a petition against an educational resource that teaches about climate change and activism because it does not present their industry in a sufficiently positive way.
End of Life Bill passes
Written By: - Date published: 8:53 am, November 14th, 2019 - 98 comments
David Seymour’s End of Life Bill passed through Parliament last night by 69 votes to 51. We are now facing a referendum at the next election.
The thoughts of Matt King on climate change
Written By: - Date published: 7:58 am, August 26th, 2019 - 85 comments
National MP Matt King has been caught posting climate change denial material on his facebook page.
Flact Tax
Written By: - Date published: 7:54 am, June 17th, 2019 - 175 comments
Act has proposed a tax increase for the bottom 64% of all tax payers.
The freedom to insult
Written By: - Date published: 5:37 pm, June 15th, 2019 - 149 comments
David Seymour is proposing a law change that would protect neo nazis from the effects of their hate speech unless the speech also incited or threatened violence.
Pollwatch: 9th June 2019
Written By: - Date published: 4:00 pm, June 10th, 2019 - 27 comments
We had both major polls out yesterday, as noted in previous stories, and boy were the results a doozy! In addition to twice my usual talk about models, we’re going to get into the assumption some people are no doubt already making- that one of the polls is “wrong,” or more technically, rogue. For those […]
In praise of Judith Collins
Written By: - Date published: 3:58 pm, May 17th, 2019 - 35 comments
In what is possibly a first ever occurrence the Standard is publishing a post in praise of Judith Collins for standing up for Green MP Golriz Ghahraman.
Splitters!
Written By: - Date published: 10:37 am, April 26th, 2019 - 34 comments
David Moffett, a Former board member of the New Conservative Party has announced the launch of a new new conservative party.
1 NEWS Colmar Brunton Poll April 2019
Written By: - Date published: 6:45 pm, April 15th, 2019 - 50 comments
The latest 1 News Colmar Brunton Poll is out and it says that a Labour/Greens Government is what NZ wants. Oh, and we quite like Jacinda Ardern.
MSSA Bill reported back
Written By: - Date published: 8:10 am, April 9th, 2019 - 10 comments
The Finance and Expenditure Select Committee has reported back the Arms Amendment Bill which will ban the general availability of military style semi automatic weapons with only modest changes.
David is delayed
Written By: - Date published: 11:27 am, April 3rd, 2019 - 13 comments
David Seymour has done something even more embarrassing than twerking on Dancing with the Stars.
The gun lobby fights back
Written By: - Date published: 12:27 pm, March 30th, 2019 - 16 comments
The Herald is reporting that Gun City the business that sold the military style semi automatic weapons to the Christchurch Mosque killer, has urged customers to sign a petition against banning military style semi automatic weapons.
The Green Party on the Mosque murders
Written By: - Date published: 7:00 am, March 29th, 2019 - 194 comments
Recent criticism of Marama Davidson and Golriz Ghahraman over their drawing links between racism and the Mosque murders is misplaced.
Adequate gun control and (almost) complete party support.
Written By: - Date published: 8:43 am, March 22nd, 2019 - 128 comments
Now that I’ve had time to look through what has been implemented and what is proposed to happen with changes to gun laws and think about it. I’m almost satisfied. Since that so seldom happens that I suspect a gotcha, I’m now going to keep debugging until I am sure that it is actually as good as it looks.
National crashes select committee meeting
Written By: - Date published: 11:11 am, February 13th, 2019 - 208 comments
National has decided to play politics and sabotaged today’s Finance and Expenditure Select Committee meeting.
Pollwatch: 11/02/2019
Written By: - Date published: 10:12 pm, February 12th, 2019 - 18 comments
Kia ora koutou readers, and welcome back to the first Pollwatch of 2019, and as our official Worst News™ will tell you, (okay, maybe that’s my opinion of their recent coverage rather than an official thing) it’s a doozy. Part of the reason I started modelling elections probabilistically myself is that looking at just the […]
Auckland’s yellow jacket protest
Written By: - Date published: 1:14 pm, February 3rd, 2019 - 24 comments
Some observations on yesterday’s yellow jacket protest in Auckland. Basically it was pretty mundane but continued vigilance is important.
- Vale Leon Paroissien: the first director of the Museum of Contemporary Art who shaped how Australian...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Joanna Mendelssohn, Honorary Senior Fellow, School of Culture and Communication. Editor in chief, Design and Art of Australia Online, The University of Melbourne Graeme Andrews ‘Working Harbour’ Collection/City of Sydney Archives, CC BY-NC-ND In 1975 when Gough Whitlam opened the Manet ...3 days ago - Live: Hīkoi mō te Tiriti leaves Dargaville, headed for Auckland
Former Kaipara Māori Ward councillor Pera Paniora urged locals to join the hikoi and take the fight for their rights to Parliament.. ...3 days ago - Trump win, 1.5 C warming breach weigh on UN climate ‘finance COP’
By Sera Sefeti of Benar News Pacific delegates fear the implications of a Trump presidency and breach of the 1.5 degree Celsius warming target will overshadow negotiations on climate finance at the UN’s annual COP talks that have started in Azerbaijan this week. At the COP29 summit — dubbed the ...3 days ago
- ‘You deserved so much better’ – Christopher Luxon apologises to survivors of abuse...
The Prime Minister's long-awaited and historic apology to survivors of abuse in care included the announcement of a national remembrance day as emotions ran high around the country ...3 days ago
- Pharmac to disestablish its Māori advisory group
Input form Pharmac's Māori advisory group will be replaced by outside partnerships, Pharmac has said. ...3 days ago
- Anticipation in sports: why do some athletes seem to be one step ahead of their opponents?
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Andrew Kennedy, Casual Academic Performance Psychology and Sports Coaching, The University of Queensland With less than 30 seconds remaining in the Australia-Belgium women’s basketball bronze medal game at the Paris Olympics, Belgium was trailing by three points and on the attack, advancing ...3 days ago
- Fetal monitoring can be essential during labour – but many women don’t realise they have choices
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kate Levett, Research Fellow University of Notre Dame Australia; Adjunct Fellow (National Institute of Complementary Medicine), Western Sydney University, University of Notre Dame Australia ravipatt/Shutterstock So, you’re about to have a baby. You’ve been to the birth classes – you learned ...3 days ago
- 5 fun podcasts for when you need a break from the news
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Siobhan McHugh, Honorary Associate Professor, Journalism, Consulting Producer, The Greatest Menace, Walkley-winning podcast, University of Wollongong Katie Lyke/Unsplash So-called “comedy” podcasts have huge followings, but who gets to say they’re actually funny? Stellar “comedy” hosts such as Joe Rogan have ...3 days ago
- Labour backs probe into immigration adviser accused of selling job
Labour Party immigration spokesperson Phil Twyford has called for action on a company accused of job-selling. ...3 days ago
- TOAH-NNEST Rejects Choice Of Parliament For State Apology – True Reckoning Is Concrete Reform &...
The national network says the government should have chosen direct engagement at the flaxroots outlining concrete, meaningful actions for survivor restoration and systemic prevention to ensure this never happens again. ...3 days ago - Live: Hīkoi mō te Tiriti arrives in Dargaville
Former Kaipara Maori Ward Councillor Pera Paniora urged them to join the hikoi and take the fight for their rights to Parliament.. ...3 days ago
- Luxon’s national apology interupted, heckler removed from Parliament
Security guards pulled the man to the door of the House before he gave up his resistance and walked out. ...3 days ago
- The full text of Christopher Luxon’s Crown apology to abuse survivors
It "is a significant, sorrowful but important day" for the country, the prime minister says in his formal apology to abuse victims at Parliament. ...3 days ago
- Government formally apologises for abuse in care
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has addressed the survivors of abuse gathered at Parliament and watching from around the country, acknowledging horrific heartbreak. ...3 days ago
- Hīkoi mō te Tiriti sets off from Whangārei on day two
RNZ News Emotions are running high as the Hīkoi mō te Tiriti has been welcomed to Laurie Hill Park in Whangārei by mana whenua. Thousands have arrived to support the kaupapa — young and old, tangata whenua and tangata tiriti, all to make a stand for the rights of Māori. ...3 days ago
- Home Education: The Baker whānau
Home Education follows the everyday lives of six families in Aotearoa educating their children at home. Today, education among whales and horses with the Baker whānau. The new docuseries Home Education is filmed across Aotearoa, in and around the homes of six families who have taken schooling outside ...3 days ago - Great news: New Zealand’s favourite TV show about trucks driving very slowly is back
Tara Ward watches the return of Moving Houses. Seasons change, flowers bloom and bath water grows cold, but one thing never alters: the pulling power of a house on the back of a truck. Moving Houses returned to TVNZ for its third season on Sunday night, and with it a ...3 days ago
- The Baker whānau | Home Education | The Spinoff
“Family is always first” | Watch the full series: http://thespinoff.co.nz/videos/home-education 🐋 When a whale washed up on Tokomaru Bay, Israel and Petrina Baker decided it was important to take time out of school so that their tamariki could learn how to harvest the taonga. Truancy officers were not too pleased, ...3 days ago
- Watch live: Christopher Luxon apologises to survivors of abuse in care
The Prime Minister's long-awaited and historic apology from the Crown to survivors of abuse in care began with an interruption by a protester in Parliament as emotions ran high around the country. ...3 days ago
- Review: Inside Mystery Festival, Auckland’s most secretive concert
Does a slightly dodgy gimmick make for a majorly shit music festival? As Lyric Waiwiri-Smith finds out, not necessarily. To have entered Auckland’s Mystery Festival on Saturday, you needed stamina, a fondness for drum and bass, break-neck-speed head bopping, a pair of jorts or those ruched Glassons short shorts and, ...3 days ago
- Live: Hīkoi mō te Tiriti sets off from Whangārei on day two
Emotions are running high as the hīkoi has been welcomed to Laurie Hill Park in Whangārei by mana whenua. ...3 days ago
- Watch live: Survivors of abuse in care speak ahead of national apology
"We are facing up to what was a very shameful part our history," the prime minister says as survivors arrive for a formal apology at Parliament. ...3 days ago
- Takatāpui, Rainbow & MVPFAFF+ Survivors Lead Aotearoa’s Journey Toward Truth & Reconcilia...
The research from Takatāpui, Rainbow, and MVPFAFF+ survivors also highlights the urgent need to end State control over children’s care decisions, advocating instead for empowering whānau with the necessary support and resources to provide appropriate ...3 days ago
- The cost of being: A disabled beneficiary who often has to spend bus money on food
As part of our series exploring how New Zealanders live and our relationship with money, a ‘skint’ 32-year-old on the supported living payment explains how she gets by. Want to be part of The Cost of Being? Fill out the questionnaire here. Gender: Trans woman. Age: 32. Ethnicity: Pākehā. Role: Long-term ...3 days ago
- Christopher Luxon speaks with Donald Trump
The Prime Minister has previously warned against jumping to conclusions about Trump policies that might affect New Zealand. ...3 days ago
- Minister Using Extraordinary Power Shows Need For Fair Pay Offer At NZDF As Strike Continues
PSA members who are civilian workers escalated industrial action last week after NZDF refused to budge from a zero-pay rise offered during negotiations for a new collective agreement. ...3 days ago
- Meta now allows military agencies to access its AI software. It poses a moral dilemma for everybody ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Zena Assaad, Senior Lecturer, School of Engineering, Australian National University Collagery/shutterstock Meta will make its generative artificial intelligence (AI) models available to the United States’ government, the tech giant has announced, in a controversial move that raises a moral dilemma for ...3 days ago
- Child sexual abuse by women is on the rise. We don’t have the support services to cope
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Larissa Christensen, Senior Lecturer in Criminology & Justice, Co-leader of the Sexual Violence Research and Prevention Unit (SVRPU), University of the Sunshine Coast Sexual offending perpetrated by females is probably much more common than people think. In Australia, we have seen ...3 days ago
- We knew offshore detention was bad for the mental health of people seeking asylum. Our new research ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Philippa Specker, Postdoctoral Research Fellow at the Refugee Trauma and Recovery Program, School of Psychology, UNSW Sydney For more than a decade, mandatory offshore detention has been a cornerstone of Australia’s strategy to deter people who arrive by boat to seek asylum. ...3 days ago
- The ‘Lost Boys’ of Gen Z: how Trump won the hearts of alienated young men
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kate Scott, PhD Candidate in Social and Political Sciences, University of Sydney Generation Z was supposed to be a vanguard of progressive politics – more queer, ethnically diverse and environmentally conscious than previous generations. Spurred on by climate protests, racial equality campaigns ...3 days ago
- “The Beginning Of A New Chapter” – Care Experienced Rangatahi Hope Landmark Apology Will Signa...
VOYCE - Whakarongo Mai has been advocating for care experienced rangatahi since 2017, and CEO Tracie Shipton hopes the apology will mark the start of a new and better chapter for care in Aotearoa. ...3 days ago
- Authoritarian fossil fuel states keep hosting climate conferences – how do these regimes operate a...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Ellie Martus, Senior Lecturer in Public Policy, School of Government and International Relations, Griffith University Halit Sadik, Shutterstock For the third year in a row, the United Nations Climate Change Conference will be hosted by an authoritarian state that sells fossil ...3 days ago
- COP29: who pays for climate action in developing nations – and how much – becomes more urgent
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Nina Ives, PhD Candidate in Climate Change, Auckland University of Technology NASA/Getty Images This year’s United Nations climate summit, the Conference of the Parties (COP29) which starts in Azerbaijan this week, has been dubbed the “finance COP”. Its key focus ...3 days ago
- New Crown observer targets compliant Long Term Plan as priority for Wellington council
The rapport established with the mayor, councillors and senior staff will be key to sorting out the troubles at Wellington council, Lindsay Mckenzie says. ...3 days ago
- Why we might need to pay more tax
This is likely to be key issue of next election, commentators say ...3 days ago
- Abuse in care: Māori survivors on what a national apology means to them
One says it's just words. Another calls it a "waste of space". But the survivors RNZ spoke to all say one thing about today's national apology: don't stop there. ...3 days ago
- A national apology and what’s left unsaid
Government agency and political leaders will apologise today for decades of historic abuse in state care, writes Duncan Greive in today’s extract from The Bulletin. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here. ...3 days ago
- COP29: The last gasp of American climate leadership
Analysis from Azerbaijan: US climate envoy denounces President-elect Donald Trump’s climate denialism The post COP29: The last gasp of American climate leadership appeared first on Newsroom. ...3 days ago - COP29: US climate envoy denounces Trump denialism
Analysis from Azerbaijan: A last small gasp of US climate leadership is drowned out by other countries rushing to fill the void The post COP29: US climate envoy denounces Trump denialism appeared first on Newsroom. ...3 days ago
- Live: Nation prepares for official apology to abuse survivors
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon will deliver a formal apology at Parliament today. ...3 days ago
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