Posts Tagged ‘polls’
TVNZ and Herald polls
Written By: - Date published: 8:35 am, November 4th, 2011 - 53 comments
Two polls out yesterday show no significant changes, with National well in front. Don’t panic! The campaign has only just started. Events always take a while to show up in the polls. The Left needs to see movement soon – time’s running out fast – but it isn’t a surprise not to see it yet.
NRT on the most important issue
Written By: - Date published: 12:50 pm, November 2nd, 2011 - 39 comments
NRT on the issue that is most important to Kiwis. It isn’t the economy.
A week of polls
Written By: - Date published: 8:25 am, October 3rd, 2011 - 70 comments
What a bizarre week of polls. The Fairfax poll and the Roy Morgan polls both showed swings from National to Labour. The TVNZ poll and the TV3 poll did not. (Hey TV3 – that’s some pretty sloppy writing!) In other news, Key finally equalled Helen Clark’s peak rating as preferred PM.
Substance vs style
Written By: - Date published: 7:32 am, August 24th, 2011 - 75 comments
A couple of polls have now confirmed that on key issues voters prefer Labour policy over National. When push comes to shove in November, will Kiwis vote for the style that they like, or the substance that they want?
Only 56%?
Written By: - Date published: 7:45 am, August 23rd, 2011 - 55 comments
According to one poll 56 percent of Labour voters say Labour won’t win. Good on them I say.
No news is no news
Written By: - Date published: 8:05 am, August 13th, 2011 - 6 comments
Very little change over the last three Roy Morgan polls. Which suggests to me that voters still aren’t really paying attention.
Polls and policies
Written By: - Date published: 7:30 am, July 28th, 2011 - 160 comments
Much ado in the commentariat about the latest Farifax poll, another poor result for Labour. But some of these commentators could do to brush up on their history…
Bad poll but not for CGT
Written By: - Date published: 6:29 am, July 18th, 2011 - 138 comments
The latest ONE News / Colmar Brunton poll is bad for Labour, and not great for the Left. But it isn’t a verdict on Labour’s CGT proposal – the polling period finished before the policy was announced.
Apparently the undecided in this poll was 14%. I wonder why that was missed out of the reporting?
Lost in translation
Written By: - Date published: 10:38 am, April 22nd, 2009 - 32 comments
UMR has just released a poll [PDF link] measuring support for a supercity. Stuff reports on it under the headline “Voters back Auckland supercity”: Though the poll’s sample of just 483 is small, it is the first real indicator of support for the supercity concept, with 45 percent of Aucklanders in favour, and 43 percent […]
Burned
Written By: - Date published: 9:46 am, September 18th, 2008 - 33 comments
Under the headline “National MP ‘least prefered’ in own website opinion poll” the Kapiti News reports that Nathan Guy trails Darren Hughes 5% to 95% in his own Facebook poll. Comments on the poll include: I don’t trust Nathan Guy to work properly for all the people of Kapiti and Horowhenua. I’ve heard nothing from […]
What was it about that Herald poll?
Written By: - Date published: 5:24 pm, July 29th, 2008 - 20 comments
Should Labour be worried about today’s poll in the Herald which contrary to other recent polls showed the gap between the parties rising? Colin Espiner doesn’t seem to think so, suggesting: I wouldn’t take much notice of the Herald DigiPoll. This one’s even worse than the last one. It was taken over THREE WEEKS and interviewed […]
A change to what?
Written By: - Date published: 11:35 am, May 17th, 2008 - 192 comments
As we all know the latest Fairfax poll has shown a huge lead for the National Party. Now I’m of the opinion it’s probably a rogue poll and we could argue that point (and methodology, and trends, etc) until the cows come home but I’m interested in something else. If this poll was hypothetically the […]
Fairfax poll
Written By: - Date published: 11:31 am, May 17th, 2008 - 27 comments
This morning’s Fairfax poll is bad news for Labour, with National easily having the numbers to govern alone. Following the hugely popular rail buyback it’s hard to see what could have caused a swing of this size, so it’ll be interesting to see if the next few polls show a similar trend. The Greens and […]
Herald Digipoll
Written By: - Date published: 10:41 am, April 30th, 2008 - 33 comments
Today’s Herald Digipoll has National up 2 points and Labour down 2, a result the Herald describes as the “Nats pulling away”. As ever you can’t read too much into a single poll, but the pattern continues to show National coming off the highs in the mid 50s it reached earlier this year and Labour […]
Roy Morgan
Written By: - Date published: 9:48 am, April 24th, 2008 - 32 comments
No real surprises in the latest Roy Morgan poll, but Gary Morgan’s hilariously bad political analysis continues. You’ll remember in the last Morgan poll our man Gary put the thirty percent increase in the Greens’ support down to Earth Hour, and this week he’s at it again: the Greens are down 2.5% to 6.5% – […]
Reading the tealeaves
Written By: - Date published: 12:06 pm, April 21st, 2008 - 25 comments
One News reports on their Colmar Brunton poll showing a 19 point lead to National and Key ahead in the preferred PM stakes: Labour continues to trail National – There’s more bad news for Labour in the latest ONE News Colmar Brunton poll. It’s trailing well behind National but the results suggest the governing party […]
Conflicting polls
Written By: - Date published: 11:59 am, April 21st, 2008 - 11 comments
The two political polls on TV last night say far more about the limitations of political polling than they do about the likely makeup of the next Parliament. Last night’s TVNZ poll, conducted by New Zealand’s least reliable polling company, showed National gaining ground, Labour down in the dumps and the Greens dropping out of […]
Roy Morgan
Written By: - Date published: 2:18 pm, April 14th, 2008 - 37 comments
Now this is looking better: As usual Gary Morgan’s analysis is laughable, attributing the thirty percent increase in the Greens’ support to… Earth hour. Yes, Earth hour. Stick to the polling Gaz, and leave the punditry to the pundits.
Herald Digipoll
Written By: - Date published: 10:44 am, March 29th, 2008 - 56 comments
The New Zealand Herald reports that Labour has almost halved National’s lead in its latest DigiPoll survey, following a month “memorable for slip-ups and lacklustre performances by leader John Key.” Labour’s managed to claw its way up towards the 40% mark and that’s good news for the Left, which is now back within striking distance of […]
Colmar Brunton
Written By: - Date published: 3:39 pm, March 17th, 2008 - 11 comments
TVNZ had another Colmar Brunton poll last night. The gap between National and Labour remains substantial, but has closed by four points since last poll. UPDATE: In a comical twist that bodes poorly for Jim Anderton and Peter Dunne, it seems Colmar Brunton has the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party now polling as high as both […]
Roy Morgan
Written By: - Date published: 2:40 pm, March 10th, 2008 - 28 comments
The latest Roy Morgan poll is out, covering the period February 18 – March 2. The poll shows National still able to govern alone, but after John Key’s performance last week it’s looking increasingly unlikely that National will be able to hold onto its 15 point lead until polling day. A few more points for […]
Mao Zedong features as preferred PM
Written By: - Date published: 12:23 pm, March 3rd, 2008 - 21 comments
As Helen Clark and John Key continue to jockey for top spot as preferred PM, Mao Zedong has made his first appearance in a Herald Digipoll. Media commentators are pointing to this as evidence that these polls are largely worthless. National aren’t so philosophical. Insiders indicate that National are far from happy with Mao’s appearance […]
Herald-Digipoll
Written By: - Date published: 11:29 am, March 3rd, 2008 - 31 comments
The latest Herald-Digipoll shows National continuing its huge lead over Labour. It’s a rather strange looking Parliament, with the Greens dropping below the threshold with only 4.4% of the vote. I do find that hard to believe though, given the same poll had the Greens at 9% just a month ago. Either way, it shows […]
Maori play it smart
Written By: - Date published: 11:27 am, March 3rd, 2008 - 13 comments
The Marae-Digipoll has the political commentators all excited over what has been accepted fact in the blogosphere for some time: the Maori party will win all the Maori seats and will probably be Kingmaker. The poll shows that Maori voters overwhelmingly favour Maori Party candidates and are evenly split on giving their party vote to […]
Colmar Brunton poll
Written By: - Date published: 11:21 am, February 18th, 2008 - 25 comments
The polls seem to be all over the place at the moment, with last night’s TVNZ/Colmar Brunton poll showing National out to a 19 point lead over Labour. That’s quite a swing from recent polls, which have shown the gap between the two major parties narrowing to within ten points, and although Colmar Brunton has […]
Roy Morgan
Written By: - Date published: 11:45 am, February 12th, 2008 - 7 comments
Roy Morgan’s latest poll is out. It shows a big drop of 6.5 for National and a corresponding swing to Labour and the Greens, up 3 and 2.5 respectively. Here’s a small version of their graph of the trends:
TV3 poll presents challenge
Written By: - Date published: 11:28 pm, February 5th, 2008 - 38 comments
The latest TV3 poll comes hot on the heels of Labour MPs gathering for their first caucus meeting of the year. “National can govern alone in the latest 3 News poll at 49 percent. It has shed two points, from what was an artificial high.But Labour drops to 35 percent, the lowest it has been […]
Roy Morgan poll
Written By: - Date published: 12:52 pm, December 21st, 2007 - 10 comments
Here’s the latest Roy Morgan poll. Nothing too unexpected, but interesting to see the Greens and NZ First both over the 5% threshold. I’m off to get drunk. Merry Xmas.
Polls
Written By: - Date published: 9:36 am, December 17th, 2007 - 92 comments
From The Dom: A One News Colmar Brunton poll last night has National on 54 per cent, 19 points clear of Labour. A Three News TNS poll has National with a slimmer lead – 51 to 36 – but still well ahead. Well I doubt they enjoy being behind but this can hardly be a […]
Gap roughly unchanged in Morgan poll
Written By: - Date published: 9:14 am, December 5th, 2007 - 89 comments
From RoyMorgan.com: In the second half of November support for the New Zealand Labour Government was up 1% to 35% while support for the Nationals remained unchanged at 48%, the New Zealand Morgan Poll finds. The poll also shows the Greens above the threshold on 6.5%, down 1%, and NZ First hanging on at 5%.
Latest DigiPoll favours National, Clark
Written By: - Date published: 6:31 pm, November 28th, 2007 - 67 comments
The Herald reports that: National has hit its highest rating – 51.3 per cent – in a Herald-DigiPoll survey. Translated to votes, that would mean the party could govern alone. Labour has slipped to 13.2 points behind National, increasing last month’s 12.4-point gap… Helen Clark is still well ahead of Mr Key as preferred prime […]
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A mental health boss has labelled the Mental Health Act out-of-date and inadequate.“And if I want to be blunt, it (the Act) supports a system where we effectively criminalise people who are very unwell and then subject them to quite brutal acts because we can’t be bothered developing a better ...2 days ago
- Merkel’s 16 years of tactical drift
Opinion: Angela Merkel remains unrepentant about her mistakes, showing how she governed without ever truly leading The post Merkel’s 16 years of tactical drift appeared first on Newsroom. ...2 days ago
- Newsroom daily quiz, Tuesday 26 November
Loading…(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){var ql=document.querySelectorAll('A[data-quiz],DIV[data-quiz]'); if(ql){if(ql.length){for(var k=0;k<ql.length;k++){ql[k].id='quiz-embed-'+k;ql[k].href="javascript:var i=document.getElementById('quiz-embed-"+k+"');try{qz.startQuiz(i)}catch(e){i.start=1;i.style.cursor='wait';i.style.opacity='0.5'};void(0);"}}};i['QP']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){(i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)})(window,document,'script','https://take.quiz-maker.com/3012/CDN/quiz-embed-v1.js','qp');Got a good quiz question? Send Newsroom your questions.The post Newsroom daily quiz, Tuesday 26 November appeared first on Newsroom. ...2 days ago
- Child poverty costs economy $17.7b a year
The same week the Government reveals its new child and youth strategy, an economist estimates child poverty could be costing NZ $18b a year The post Child poverty costs economy $17.7b a year appeared first on Newsroom. ...2 days ago
- Deloitte predicts December budget update will show bottom line has worsened since May, in fiscal ‘...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra Next month’s update of the federal budget will forecast a bigger deficit for 2024-25 than was predicted in the May budget, according to the Deloitte Access Economics’ Budget Monitor, released on Tuesday. Deloitte forecasts ...2 days ago
- 2 out 3 of Fiji women experience domestic violence, says Reverend Bhagwan
By Mosese Raqio in Suva Two out of three women in every church in Fiji experience physical or sexual violence in their lifetime — and there are “uncomfortable truths” that need to be heard and talked about, says a Pacific church leader. This was highlighted by Pacific Conference of Churches ...2 days ago
- Greens capitulate, announcing they will ‘wave through’ Labor’s Help to Buy and Build to Rent h...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra The government has stared down the Greens over its Help to Buy and Build to Rent housing legislation, with the minor party announcing late Monday it will “wave through” the legislation in the Senate this ...2 days ago
- After nearly 10 years of debate, COP29’s carbon trading deal is seriously flawed
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Kate Dooley, Senior Research Fellow, School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Melbourne Negotiators at the COP29 climate conference in Baku have struck a landmark agreement on rules governing the global trade of carbon credits, bringing to a close ...2 days ago
- Rising antisemitism looms large over the lives of Jewish Australians. Here’s what can be done
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Matteo Vergani, Associate professor, Deakin University Last week, emergency services were called to the Sydney suburb of Woollahra, where a car was found engulfed in flames. While the blaze was quickly extinguished, the situation soon escalated. Police discovered that around a ...2 days ago
- Many of Israel’s Western supporters indicate they would arrest Netanyahu. Will Australia and NZ fo...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Donald Rothwell, Professor of International Law, Australian National University Ever since the October 7 2023 Hamas terrorist attack on Israel, the Albanese government has consistently said Australia respects Israel’s right to defend itself, but how it does so matters. To an ...2 days ago
- The Australia-Pacific bid to host UN climate talks in 2026 is in limbo. What now?
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Wesley Morgan, Research Associate, Institute for Climate Risk and Response, UNSW Sydney Australia and Pacific island nations had hoped to leave this year’s global climate talks in Azerbaijan having won a bid to host the 2026 summit. Instead, that decision on who ...2 days ago
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