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Labour Green MOU well received in poll
Written By: - Date published: 9:28 am, June 8th, 2016 - 149 comments
A modest bump for the Labour Green block in the latest Colmar Brunton. And what appears to be a shift from NZF to Labour after the MOU announcement. That might wipe the smile off Winston’s dial.
Newshub poll – Key’s government has failed on housing
Written By: - Date published: 3:10 pm, May 25th, 2016 - 48 comments
Quite apart from falling to his lowest level ever as preferred PM, the Newshub poll had more bad news for King John.
Newshub poll – Key falls to lowest popularity
Written By: - Date published: 3:13 pm, May 24th, 2016 - 147 comments
Latest Newshub poll shows little change in the party standings and Winston still kingmaker. It also shows that Key “plummets” to his lowest level ever.
The poll shift and the flag fiasco
Written By: - Date published: 8:17 am, April 27th, 2016 - 37 comments
A straight 3.5% swap National to NZF looks to me like the impact of the flag fiasco.
Leftie Kiwis
Written By: - Date published: 9:14 am, April 21st, 2016 - 66 comments
Received political wisdom is that NZ is a conservative country, tending to the right. Interesting then, to see this data on our voting preferences re American presidential candidates.
Can We Trust Winston Peters?
Written By: - Date published: 11:03 am, March 20th, 2016 - 139 comments
Recent polling makes it clear that neither National or Labour can win power without the support of NZ First. So should the left be worried that Winston Peters will take his party back over to the blue team?
Preliminary RM results: NZF jumps to 9%
Written By: - Date published: 7:33 pm, March 18th, 2016 - 290 comments
New Zealand First rises 3% to 9% in the latest RM, for their best RM result in the last year or two.
Roy Morgan: NAT 48.5% (up 1.5%), LAB/GR 41.5% (unch)
Written By: - Date published: 1:37 am, February 20th, 2016 - 392 comments
NZ is heading in the right direction, say 56.5% of NZ electors (down 3%).
RWC and rapists: 3 News poll confirms a pretty average week for Key.
Written By: - Date published: 6:51 pm, November 22nd, 2015 - 29 comments
The latest Reid Research/3News poll is out. Key gets nothing from the RWC, and the rapist remarks turn out not to have helped his popularity either. There was a time when talkback radio style outbursts used to make him look strong. Nowadays, not so much. Meanwhile, the opposition are just 1 seat behind …
Roy Morgan says…National governs alone, again.
Written By: - Date published: 2:17 pm, November 14th, 2015 - 199 comments
National on 49%, GR + LAB 41.5%. Government confidence rating up 9.5 to 131.5.
Key not taking us with him on the flag
Written By: - Date published: 11:06 am, October 23rd, 2015 - 31 comments
John Key’s antics trying to drum up support for a flag change are getting increasingly desperate, but NZ isn’t listening.
TVOne’s reporting of the latest Colmar Brunton Poll result
Written By: - Date published: 8:16 am, October 20th, 2015 - 90 comments
The latest Colmar Brunton poll shows that the opposition block is solidly ahead of National. Yet One News chose to concentrate only on the preferred Prime Minister result and attack Andrew Little because of marginal change.
Poll geekery
Written By: - Date published: 11:34 am, October 1st, 2015 - 1 comment
Nice interactive political polling data visualisation here (consider making a donation!).
Government by Twitter
Written By: - Date published: 7:02 am, September 24th, 2015 - 66 comments
We have passed an interesting milestone in the evolution of NZ politics. Key’s poll-driven pandering has just been taken to the next level. Political / media dinosaurs will never be able to dismiss “The Twitterati” again.
The flag poll
Written By: - Date published: 7:47 am, September 21st, 2015 - 90 comments
OK I confess I’m only writing this post because the chance to use that title tickled my fancy. But anyway – almost 70% of us oppose changing the flag.
The Roy Morgan roundabout
Written By: - Date published: 7:26 am, September 19th, 2015 - 17 comments
The “Roy Morgan roundabout” poll has swung round to the left again, with National at 44.5% (down 6), Labour 31% (up 4) and Greens 15% (up 4).
Herald poll
Written By: - Date published: 11:36 am, August 26th, 2015 - 89 comments
Another data point from the poll mill.
New Roy Morgan: National 50.5% vs LAB/GR 38%
Written By: - Date published: 6:45 pm, August 20th, 2015 - 138 comments
National is at 50.5%. LAB/GR down 7% to 38%. The Opposition is still struggling to gain positive traction with the voting public.
Surprise – ordinary UK voters like Jeremy Corbyn too
Written By: - Date published: 7:26 pm, August 16th, 2015 - 70 comments
According to a new poll, Corbyn appears very electable indeed, despite more squeeling from Tony Blair and the right wing establishment of UK Labour.
Internal polling apparently good
Written By: - Date published: 6:57 am, July 28th, 2015 - 233 comments
It’s not a good idea in general to comment on internal polling. But since they were discussed on other blogs yesterday – Labour’s current numbers are looking good.
Voters want foreign buyer ban – but LAB doesn’t benefit
Written By: - Date published: 7:09 pm, July 26th, 2015 - 118 comments
Most Kiwis back a ban on foreign property buyers but this hasn’t translated into a boost for Labour. Critically, Key’s popularity drops under 40%.
3News Poll: National Lose Lead
Written By: - Date published: 6:55 pm, July 26th, 2015 - 109 comments
The latest 3News/Reid Research poll continues the trend of bad results for National. On these numbers, National are knackered. And, surprise, surprise, Kiwis don’t want non-residents buying up our houses. Not a great way to finish a conference weekend, is it?
TV One Colmar Brunton Poll
Written By: - Date published: 6:10 pm, July 19th, 2015 - 119 comments
The latest One News Colmar Brunton poll is out. National drop one to 47%, Labour gain that point to lift to 32% , the Greens rise to 13% and NZ First are steady on 7 %. Consumer confidence plummets 9% points to just 36%.
RM: Labour jumps 6% – LAB/GR coalition leads
Written By: - Date published: 4:16 pm, July 17th, 2015 - 232 comments
Roy Morgan poll declares a “centrist” NZ First could act to replace the National Government, on latest poll results.
Do petitions work?
Written By: - Date published: 12:30 pm, June 24th, 2015 - 31 comments
The increased use of petitions is a very clever innovation by the Labour Party because this Government has proven to be a weather vane lot, guided by polls.
Reid Research Poll: Nats, Key slump.
Written By: - Date published: 7:39 pm, June 2nd, 2015 - 98 comments
New Reid Research poll; National, Key tank. Opposition parties nudge 50%. Little, Peters rise in preferred PM. Taxi for Mr Key?
Colmar Brunton poll
Written By: - Date published: 11:03 am, June 2nd, 2015 - 53 comments
I’ll cautiously call the previous Roy Morgan, which caused so much angst, an outlier.
Roy Morgan for May
Written By: - Date published: 6:31 am, May 26th, 2015 - 470 comments
The Roy Morgan poll out yesterday for May is pretty brutal reading for the left.
Colmar poll
Written By: - Date published: 6:21 am, April 20th, 2015 - 142 comments
No significant changes in yesterdays TV1 / Colmar Brunton poll, with National unchanged on 49%, Labour unchanged on 31%, and all changes within the margin of error.
Bait and switch
Written By: - Date published: 10:58 pm, March 30th, 2015 - 64 comments
Congratulations to Labour for a very clever strategy in the Northland by-election – lulling and gulling John Key into thinking they were going to run a conventional proxy-partyvote campaign, where National would have the upper hand. Key, the rockstar politician, also thought Andrew Little would be on the training wheels. He got that badly wrong; Little’s handling was superb.
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