Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 10:26 am, March 22nd, 2017 - 67 comments
Categories: polls
Tags: poll, popularity, reid research
The latest Newshub / Reid poll shows nothing dramatic on the … a "y". I see a poll where Labour leadership is within…
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 7:26 am, July 12th, 2017 - 141 comments
Categories: election 2017, labour, national, polls
Tags: colmar brunton, election 2014, election 2017, polls
The recent TVNZ Colmar Brunton poll has caused plenty of discussion … on The Spinoff: The latest poll offers little for anyone to…
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 7:02 am, July 31st, 2017 - 157 comments
Categories: election 2017, greens, labour, polls
Tags: #IamMetiria, colmar brunton, election 2017, metiria turei, MMP, polls
… – in last night's Colmar Brunton poll. Excellent news for The Greens… no real sign in the poll that the Left's vote has…
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 7:03 am, November 23rd, 2017 - 156 comments
Categories: greens, labour, national, nz first, Politics, polls
Tags: roy morgan, Roy Morgan poll
The first post election poll results are out. And subject … will be quietly smiling. The poll reports that Labour is at…
Written By: Tane - Date published: 2:45 pm, November 9th, 2007 - 37 comments
Categories: polls
Tags: polls
There's a new Roy Morgan poll today, and it's good news …
Written By: Tane - Date published: 12:52 pm, December 21st, 2007 - 10 comments
Categories: polls
Tags: polls
Here's the latest Roy Morgan poll. Nothing too unexpected, but interesting to see the Greens and NZ First both over the 5% threshold. I'm off to get drunk. Merry Xmas.
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 6:21 am, April 20th, 2015 - 142 comments
Categories: polls
Tags: colmar brunton, counting chickens, polls
No significant changes in yesterdays TV1 / Colmar Brunton poll, with National unchanged on 49%, Labour unchanged on 31%, and all changes within the margin of error. Certain Nats have started counting their chickens for a fourth term!
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 11:34 am, October 1st, 2015 - 1 comment
Categories: polls
Tags: data visualisation, polls
Nice interactive political polling data visualisation here (consider making a donation!).
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 6:47 am, May 27th, 2017 - 61 comments
Categories: election 2017, polls
Tags: election 2017, Roy Morgan poll
The chronically erratic Roy Morgan poll is out again: National Party …
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 6:02 pm, September 7th, 2017 - 76 comments
Categories: election 2017, polls
Tags: #ChangeTheGovt, colmar brunton, election 2017, let's do this, poll, tvnz
Tonight's TVNZ Poll shows Labour opening a 4 …
Written By: Guest post - Date published: 10:07 am, July 31st, 2017 - 114 comments
Categories: election 2017, MMP, polls
Tags: coalition, colmar brunton, margins of error, Matthew Whitehead
… more serious poll-watchers take a “poll of polls” approach to… previous Colmar Brunton poll to this poll is down to…when compared to the poll of polls, but compared to…poll National. Under-poll Labour. Slightly under-poll the Greens. Very slightly under-poll…
Written By: Matthew Whitehead - Date published: 4:00 pm, June 10th, 2019 - 27 comments
Categories: act, greens, labour, national, nz first, polls
Tags: hung parliament, labour government, labour-green government, labour-green-NZF government, poll watch, pollwatch
…worth noting in leadership polling: Ardern continues to rate… but actually very-unuseful poll question, Preferred Prime Minister…of probability. Colmar Brunton's poll is interesting here, …supplementing landline polls, as the Colmar Brunton poll only calls…
Written By: Steve Pierson - Date published: 9:30 am, August 18th, 2008 - 37 comments
Categories: election 2008, polls
Tags:
…big. Similarly, the Fairfax poll was mostly conducted while the…parties in the three polls. And the polls do contradict each … day. Interestingly, the TV3 poll that Duncan Garner mentioned in…. [both major parties' internal polls show the gap narrowing, about…
Written By: lprent - Date published: 6:49 pm, September 20th, 2008 - 34 comments
Categories: polls
Tags: chris trotter, newswire
… year. The published telephone polls are self-selecting samples of… companies make cross analysis of polls almost useless. At worst,…read the pontificating about polls and across poll series by the …that they consider that the polls absolutely say what the …
Written By: James Henderson - Date published: 9:10 am, July 23rd, 2012 - 21 comments
Categories: national, polls
Tags:
… be hurting them in the polls, where they're still strong'. You…hurt in the polls. Here's how National has polled in the past… check the accuracy of the polls. The polls appear to overrate National…National in the polls is wrong. All the polls that over-rated…
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 11:36 am, February 26th, 2014 - 26 comments
Categories: national, nz first, polls
Tags: dimpost, polity, umr
…individual pollsters' methods. Polity's Poll of Polls is part of this…more fundamental – is the polling industry biased as a …conclusion that the New Zealand polling industry overstates National, modestly…mechanism most people give for poll bias – the non-…
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 6:13 pm, May 11th, 2014 - 33 comments
Categories: Politics, polls
Tags: claire trevett, journalists, making a pillock of oneself, polity
…her porkies about Labour's internal polling numbers. She reports: …high negative ratings. One poll was reported to have … of misinformation about Labour's poll numbers. Whenever National is…reports of dire internal Labour polls emerge. Judith Collins – …
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 4:09 pm, August 18th, 2017 - 87 comments
Categories: election 2017, greens, MMP, polls
Tags: voting
…rebound. The recent low Green polling seems to be largely (…what the recent Colmar Brunton poll would indicate, assuming Dunne loses…proportional for parties that are polling in double digits. This … right-wing than the overall polling trend. That said, Green…
Written By: Matthew Whitehead - Date published: 4:30 pm, September 2nd, 2020 - 30 comments
Categories: act, election 2020, greens, labour, MMP, national, nz first
Tags: coalition government, majority government, poll watch, pollwatch, roy morgan
…for the previous Roy Morgan poll– I've been having connection …was our second most reliable poll in 2017, it consistently …the closest timed Colmar Brunton poll for the 2017 election, …few blips based on outlier polls even bringing National into significant…
Written By: James Henderson - Date published: 10:07 am, February 25th, 2013 - 43 comments
Categories: polls
Tags:
…rather dramatically between when those polls were conducted and a few…result last night, all the polls show National down. In …of declines that the different polls are showing is too variable…National hitting 40%-43% in polls consistently and Labour+Greens at…
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 11:43 am, July 17th, 2014 - 161 comments
Categories: election 2014, labour, national, polls
Tags: nz herald, polity
… averaging 47% in the poll of polls (which I will update…from the evidence in these polls, as the substantial gender …stable across multiple polls. In fact, the poll-to-poll change for …. See also Occasionally erudite: "Poll of Polls update – 16 July 2014"…
Written By: Matthew Whitehead - Date published: 8:29 pm, February 19th, 2019 - 13 comments
Categories: greens, labour, national, nz first, polls
Tags: labour government, labour-green government, poll watch, pollwatch
…general features of Reid Research's poll aren't rogue. The Greens…an election happened during the polling period, but no possibility… different in the two polls, probably reflect their normal…suggestion of the Reid Research poll, suggestions that Labour could…
Written By: QoT - Date published: 7:00 pm, December 5th, 2012 - 103 comments
Categories: making shit up, polls
Tags:
… thing when a "favourable" poll result comes through: the… that that one favourable poll means something, you've bought…idea that the next unfavourable poll means something. As … Stop dignifying bullshit landline polls like they mean anything, especially…
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 11:03 am, December 9th, 2012 - 56 comments
Categories: election 2014, labour, polls
Tags: fairfax media poll, polls
…The] latest Fairfax Media-Ipsos poll shows Labour leader David Shearer…be buoyed, after the poll revealed a showdown with … latest Fairfax Media-Ipsos poll revealed job creation and unemployment…government policies. … But our poll shows a slight shift in…
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 10:54 am, June 7th, 2014 - 47 comments
Categories: election 2014, elections, polls
Tags: polity
… at the latest Roy Morgan poll. Earlier this week the latest… poor joint showing. Nonetheless, the poll shows that the centre-left… faith in the Roy Morgan polling method and in their estimates… usually gets a significiant post-poll boost and that fades. Just…
Written By: Eddie - Date published: 12:09 pm, October 8th, 2011 - 40 comments
Categories: act, don brash, election 2011, john banks, polls
Tags: david farrar, the nation
…commentator David Farrar has been polling in Epsom and the results…is notorious for delivering the poll results that his clients …alone), c) if National was polling 45% (needing a partner …Banks'. Without a doubt, this poll does significant damage to ACT's…
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 9:44 am, November 9th, 2011 - 73 comments
Categories: polls
Tags: mood of the nation, research international
… The Fairfax Research International poll looks disastrous for Labour …scientific" than the mainstream polls in terms of weighted demographics…variety) that Labour's internal polling is showing a move… the unconfirmed Research International poll. Laugh at me …
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 8:52 am, February 20th, 2013 - 32 comments
Categories: election 2014, polls
Tags: fairfax media poll, margin of error, polls
… get excited about any individual poll. Cases in point, what are…17th: National bounces up in poll National has bounced up five… longer a sure winner – poll Today's poll puts National on 44.9… today's Fairfax Media-Ipsos political poll. It confirms a trend of…
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 8:27 am, August 20th, 2017 - 58 comments
Categories: election 2017, jacinda ardern, labour, polls
Tags: #ChangeTheGovt, election 2017, let's do this, polls, UMR poll
…falling in the latest poll: Labour's polling closes gap on National…latest UMR poll results – Labour's polling company – for a poll which ended…cent – although the UMR poll traditionally has National at …the One News Colmar Brunton poll released this week. In…
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