Written By: - Date published: 8:54 am, August 5th, 2017 - 20 comments
I was a participant in last weekend’s Newshub poll. Along with the question on Metiria Turei’s actions I was asked a similar one whether Bill English was correct and honest in his handling of the Todd Barclay scandal. We’ve heard a lot about the answer to the first question, nothing at all on the second…
Written By: - Date published: 10:07 am, July 31st, 2017 - 114 comments
With all the speculation about polls, it’s time to have a discussion about polling and the cold, hard facts around it. Is it good news for the left?
Written By: - Date published: 7:02 am, July 31st, 2017 - 157 comments
To what must be intense annoyance from angry right-wing pundits, Metiria Turei’s gamble seems to have paid off for The Greens, an indication (though mind that margin of error) that there could be a real appetite for a Corbyn-style political revolution this election.
Written By: - Date published: 8:57 am, July 17th, 2017 - 77 comments
The 2017 election campaign has been set alight by the Greens adopting brave policies that Jeremy Corbyn would be proud of and NZ First adopting policies that would meet with Donald Trump’s approval.
Written By: - Date published: 7:26 am, July 12th, 2017 - 141 comments
Toby Manhire on The Spinoff has an interesting analysis of the recent Colmar Brunton poll. Comapred to the same poll in 2014 National are 5% down, with the Labour/Green alliance unchanged. The fall in the preferred PM rating from Key to English is huge. The Nats are highly vulnerable.
Written By: - Date published: 7:13 am, July 11th, 2017 - 189 comments
Another poll, another round of narratives out of noise.
Written By: - Date published: 6:47 am, May 27th, 2017 - 61 comments
The chronically erratic Roy Morgan poll is out again, with Nat vs Lab/Green in a dead heat.
Written By: - Date published: 10:28 am, May 23rd, 2017 - 10 comments
Stuff is running an online survey – Is New Zealand on the right track?
Written By: - Date published: 3:32 pm, April 28th, 2017 - 16 comments
Written By: - Date published: 12:40 pm, April 23rd, 2017 - 17 comments
If politicians are meant to represent people, then shouldn’t they explore ways to ensure that the people they represent get represented in government?
Written By: - Date published: 6:04 pm, April 3rd, 2017 - 60 comments
If you are one of the right wing nut jobs that read this site, then Horizon puts out some truly scary polls. But if you aren’t an idiot and actually take the time to read material before criticizing it (unlike Hooton on ‘Hit and Run’) then this points to a tight election as is usual under MMP. But with all of the swing in the direction of a Labour led coalition. But I am sure the simpleton spinners will have another explanation.
Written By: - Date published: 10:46 am, March 31st, 2017 - 22 comments
RNZ: “Labour and the Green Party have closed the gap slightly on National in the latest Poll of Polls”.
Written By: - Date published: 6:42 pm, March 26th, 2017 - 79 comments
English is down 6% in the latest Colmar Brunton. Jane Clifton sees Nat MPs getting nervous. “For the Nats, having so long taken a fourth term as read, the possibility that their own leader may soon be less secure in his job than Labour’s will be a toughie.”
Written By: - Date published: 10:26 am, March 22nd, 2017 - 67 comments
The latest Newshub / Reid poll shows nothing dramatic on the party preference, but has talking points for both left and right on the (largely nonsense) preferred PM question.
Written By: - Date published: 2:04 pm, March 21st, 2017 - 46 comments
Bill English has premiered at 25% in TV3’s preferred PM poll. Even incumbency can’t make Bill look popular.
Written By: - Date published: 10:08 am, February 26th, 2017 - 24 comments
Today’s news, tomorrow’s fish and chip wrapper. Tracy Watkins grieves. Max Rashbrooke explains.
Written By: - Date published: 6:20 pm, February 19th, 2017 - 111 comments
1 News: “The gap between National and the centre left block of Labour and the Greens has tightened in the wake of John Key’s departure as leader, according to the first major poll since his shock resignation.”
Written By: - Date published: 4:27 pm, December 21st, 2016 - 128 comments
The erratic Roy Morgan poll has swung around again, Nats down 4.5% to 45% and Labour/ Greens up up 5.5% to 43%. Worryingly for the B-team, government confidence fell a “whopping” 10 points.
Written By: - Date published: 12:05 pm, November 11th, 2016 - 83 comments
Trump laid siege to the Democrat’s “Blue Wall” and they didn’t respond to or recognise his strategem until far too late.
Written By: - Date published: 10:55 am, October 8th, 2016 - 173 comments
It looks all its over for Donald Trump. On the eve of the second Presidential debate, his polling has tanked, the Russians have come out in support of him and his team have run out of money for TV ads. Plus, truly awful video has emerged overnight of him admitting sexual assaults. Has there ever been a worse candidate? And will he still be the right’s candidate in a month’s time?
UPDATE: Trump says he will be a better man. Pearl Jam sue.
Written By: - Date published: 8:22 am, September 28th, 2016 - 61 comments
While politicos were watching Hillary defeat Donald in the first debate, Roy Morgan released their latest poll, showing Labour massively up and National down a chunk. Is the media narrative broken?
Written By: - Date published: 9:18 pm, September 27th, 2016 - 191 comments
The latest Roy Morgan poll result has support for National plunging and support for Labour surging.
Written By: - Date published: 8:52 am, September 27th, 2016 - 274 comments
The first Presidential kicks off this arvo. Who will win? Do we care? Should we care? Stay tuned Standarnistas, it’ll be a doozy!
Written By: - Date published: 1:49 pm, September 21st, 2016 - 97 comments
Did Lianne Dalziel just prove how economically challenged the National Party are? It appears Christchurch will be able to pay its quake bill without flogging off the family silver. Why are the right so wedded to asset sales when they make no financial sense?
Written By: - Date published: 6:08 pm, September 12th, 2016 - 315 comments
National stays steady as she goes on 48%. Labour is down 3% to 26%.
Written By: - Date published: 7:50 pm, August 29th, 2016 - 268 comments
The latest Roy Morgan is out. A solid 7% drop for National.
Written By: - Date published: 7:23 am, August 27th, 2016 - 14 comments
The Spinoff: “Lose the top of your party vote in Auckland, with Labour making ground, and the picture for the general election in 2017 looks like, walks like and quacks like a crisis.”
Written By: - Date published: 9:49 am, August 9th, 2016 - 81 comments
More good news for the political left in the fine print of yesterday’s Newshub-Reid Research poll.
Written By: - Date published: 6:50 pm, August 8th, 2016 - 113 comments
The latest Reid Research poll is grim reading for the Nats. Labour and the Greens are closing fast.
Written By: - Date published: 6:40 am, July 22nd, 2016 - 359 comments
Time to move to Planet Key?
Written By: - Date published: 7:02 pm, June 20th, 2016 - 138 comments
National support is down 2.5% to 43% in the latest Roy Morgan, just ahead of LAB/GR at 42.5% (up 1%).
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