Written By: - Date published: 11:21 am, February 18th, 2008 - 25 comments
The polls seem to be all over the place at the moment, with last night’s TVNZ/Colmar Brunton poll showing National out to a 19 point lead over Labour. That’s quite a swing from recent polls, which have shown the gap between the two major parties narrowing to within ten points, and although Colmar Brunton has …
Written By: - Date published: 11:45 am, February 12th, 2008 - 6 comments
Roy Morgan’s latest poll is out. It shows a big drop of 6.5 for National and a corresponding swing to Labour and the Greens, up 3 and 2.5 respectively. Here’s a small version of their graph of the trends:
Written By: - Date published: 11:28 pm, February 5th, 2008 - 38 comments
The latest TV3 poll comes hot on the heels of Labour MPs gathering for their first caucus meeting of the year. “National can govern alone in the latest 3 News poll at 49 percent. It has shed two points, from what was an artificial high.But Labour drops to 35 percent, the lowest it has been …
Written By: - Date published: 12:52 pm, December 21st, 2007 - 10 comments
Here’s the latest Roy Morgan poll. Nothing too unexpected, but interesting to see the Greens and NZ First both over the 5% threshold. I’m off to get drunk. Merry Xmas.
Written By: - Date published: 9:36 am, December 17th, 2007 - 91 comments
From The Dom: A One News Colmar Brunton poll last night has National on 54 per cent, 19 points clear of Labour. A Three News TNS poll has National with a slimmer lead – 51 to 36 – but still well ahead. Well I doubt they enjoy being behind but this can hardly be a …
Written By: - Date published: 9:14 am, December 5th, 2007 - 89 comments
From RoyMorgan.com: In the second half of November support for the New Zealand Labour Government was up 1% to 35% while support for the Nationals remained unchanged at 48%, the New Zealand Morgan Poll finds. The poll also shows the Greens above the threshold on 6.5%, down 1%, and NZ First hanging on at 5%.
Written By: - Date published: 6:31 pm, November 28th, 2007 - 67 comments
The Herald reports that: National has hit its highest rating – 51.3 per cent – in a Herald-DigiPoll survey. Translated to votes, that would mean the party could govern alone. Labour has slipped to 13.2 points behind National, increasing last month’s 12.4-point gap… Helen Clark is still well ahead of Mr Key as preferred prime …
Written By: - Date published: 9:18 am, November 21st, 2007 - 22 comments
There’s a new new Roy Morgan poll out and it’s not good news for Labour. Gary Morgan says: “The recent plunge in support for the Labour Party follows the mishandling of the domestic terrorism case with the October 15 arrests of Maori activists in Ruatoki. “Solicitor-General David Collins’ ruling on November 8 that the Government’s …
Written By: - Date published: 5:43 am, November 17th, 2007 - 69 comments
The Dom Post reports that: National’s support slid from 50 to 45 per cent in a Fairfax Media-Nielsen poll released today. Labour jumped four to 40 per cent from Fairfax’s September poll, close to the 41 per cent it scored in the 2005 election. There is also surprising opposition to tax cuts – despite Labour’s …
Written By: - Date published: 10:03 am, November 16th, 2007 - 31 comments
Dodgy online polls seem to be becoming a staple of political reporting here in New Zealand. The story earlier this week on poll “hacking” sent me in search of an insightful opinion I’d heard previously. So today, we have a guest author on The Standard – BPGP, on “Pretend polling”. Pretend Polling BPGP So for …
Written By: - Date published: 11:53 am, November 15th, 2007 - 16 comments
The Roy Morgan poll results have been included in the latest rolling poll from Molesworth and Featherston and shows that National – despite John Key’s confident prediction of a landslide victory (The Press, 9 Jun 2007) – is going to have to lift its game if it wants to present itself as a viable alternative. …
Written By: - Date published: 2:45 pm, November 9th, 2007 - 36 comments
There’s a new Roy Morgan poll today, and it’s good news for the left. Gary Morgan says: “The vote for the Labour Government has surpassed the 40% mark for the first time since January. Conversely, the vote for John Key’s Nationals (45%) is at its lowest level since March. “Since early August, the Labour vote …
Written By: - Date published: 3:21 pm, October 30th, 2007 - 15 comments
Today’s Herald Digipoll is not good news for Labour, coming off the back of last week’s positive Roy Morgan poll which showed a centre-left majority. As the Herald notes, on the basis of this poll National has enough support to govern alone. But what it also demonstrates is the mistake National has made in devouring …
Written By: - Date published: 6:25 pm, October 26th, 2007 - 35 comments
There’s a new Roy Morgan out today. It covers the date range 1-14 October 2007. Gary Morgan said of the result: As was suggested in the previous New Zealand Morgan Poll, National Leader John Key’s recent policy gaffes have handed Helen Clark and her Labour Government a golden opportunity to make up some ground. In …
Written By: - Date published: 11:26 am, September 29th, 2007 - 2 comments
The Herald DigiPoll survey puts National on 44.8 per cent support, down 5.5 points on the August poll. That’s its lowest rating in the survey since February. Labour is up 2.8 points to 39.6 per cent. This is a dramatic closure. The Herald puts it down to “a month when National’s leader, John Key, has …
Written By: - Date published: 5:42 pm, August 30th, 2007 - Comments Off
National Party blogger David Farrar writes: “The poll had Key leading Clark by 2:1 consistently all of Tuesday. Then a huge splurt of votes today with 85% of them being for Clark. The Herald should publish the IP addresses of any mass multiple voting.” What’s that? Stop the presses! “A huge splurt of votes”. That …
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