Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 7:01 am, September 1st, 2017 - 77 comments
Categories: election 2017, jacinda ardern, labour, leadership, polls
Tags: #ChangeTheGovt, colmar brunton, election 2017, jacinda ardern, let's do this, poll
…National in stunning Colmar Brunton Poll result This is Labour's …level of support (in this poll) since 2006, and National's … anything for granted given the polls could change so quickly. …the psychological impact of a poll putting Labour ahead is huge…
Written By: Steve Pierson - Date published: 3:59 pm, July 3rd, 2008 - 18 comments
Categories: helen clark, polls
Tags: audrey young, crosby/textor
… Is that endorsing push-polling? Push polling is 'a form of telemarketing…examples include the Bush push-poll against McCain in 2000 "…and the Crosby/Textor push poll against Sue Robinson 'Would you…voters. The essence of push-polling is dishonesty. Clark is …
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 8:02 am, October 21st, 2011 - 51 comments
Categories: disaster, election 2011, polls
Tags: horizon poll, ipredict, Rena
…don't usually bother reporting Horizon polls here. Their numbers …damage (as other Horizon polls overestimate support for the …out working with. Recent polling has put ACT candidate … accurate than most traditional polling at predicting political outcomes….
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 9:20 am, April 8th, 2012 - 195 comments
Categories: election 2014, greens, labour, national, polls
Tags: john roughan, matt mccarten, polls
…no. The first proper poll since the election was published…amused. But that particular poll traditionally favours National and … more reliable Roy Morgan Poll showed the National Party … high. After this week's polls, Labour's current wooden performance…
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 7:13 pm, March 31st, 2014 - 24 comments
Categories: polls
Tags: polity
…, which also mirrors Polity's poll of polls. National retains a smallish…of a modest mismatch between poll-based estimates of popularity … bias in the polls. Specifically, the final polls before our MMP… biases to the latest Poll of Polls, we get a projected…
Written By: Steve Pierson - Date published: 6:29 am, August 14th, 2008 - 54 comments
Categories: polls
Tags:
… in the tapes. These polls are simply too soon after…of the participants had been polled before the tapes were released…a different story. And remember, poll numbers bounce around randomly anyway…justify spending $30-60K per poll somehow. But, unless the …
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 7:32 am, August 24th, 2011 - 75 comments
Categories: brand key, election 2011, labour, national, polls
Tags: policy, polls, style, substance
…Labour policy but not party: Poll Voters prefer Labour's remedy for…don't like the doctor. … The polling began a week after Labour… equal amount against. The poll also revealed the extent of…the weekend's 3 News / Reid poll released last night: Kiwis prefer…
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 3:14 pm, June 17th, 2014 - 60 comments
Categories: election 2014, internet mana party, labour, maori party, national, polls
Tags: dimpost, herald digipoll, occasionally erudite, polity
…Polity looks at the Herald poll published this morning and … make up. Over recent polls the right vote appears to…and importantly, New Zealand media polls generally do not account for…bias corrected poll of polls at Dimpost and other poll of polls commentary …
Written By: Matthew Whitehead - Date published: 10:12 pm, February 12th, 2019 - 18 comments
Categories: act, Amy Adams, greens, labour, maori party, national, new conservatives, Nikki Kaye, nz first, polls, Simon Bridges
Tags: MMP, poll watch, pollwatch, threshold, vote consolidation
… result of a poll confuses you. This poll is definitely one…about waiting for a second poll to confirm dramatic results … that once we consider this poll result probabilistically, however, we …really, really good in this poll: they are publicly releasing …
Written By: Steve Pierson - Date published: 10:50 am, August 28th, 2008 - 36 comments
Categories: election 2008, greens, labour, national, nz first, polls
Tags: national's secret agenda
… with the rest of the polls, showing Labour falling in July… 30s. So, in part, this poll is probably correcting that divergence… largest party – if National doesn't poll over 46% it will struggle… to 50% National needs to poll to govern. Hence, Key's change…
Written By: lprent - Date published: 4:58 pm, October 16th, 2010 - 12 comments
Categories: community democracy, democratic participation, election 2011, labour, polls, telecommunications, vote smart
Tags:
… many of the political polls in individual races unveiled …Frank Newport of Gallup, another polling firm. They often retain …undermining the statistical validity of polls in NZ. I've been …Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican polling firm. Of course this …
Written By: Marty G - Date published: 6:48 am, January 10th, 2011 - 68 comments
Categories: election 2011, polls
Tags: horizon poll
… good trend, but the Horizon poll is interesting because they ask… National or Labour to actually poll that low or NZF, Progressives… crucial for National. If National polls in that mid-40s danger… the numbers in the Horizon poll, for example. Hooton says …
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 12:35 pm, August 28th, 2014 - 17 comments
Categories: accountability, election 2014, john key, national, polls
Tags: #dirtypolitics, dirty politics, horizon poll, polls
…Many thanks to the Horizon polling people for putting this up… voting intention shifts from poll to poll, National’s level of…had been particularly strong in polls conducted by Horizon up …to the publication. Analysis poll by poll since March 2014 indicates …
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 6:24 pm, September 17th, 2014 - 92 comments
Categories: election 2014
Tags: political polls
… In the equivalent RM poll last election National was on… time the equivalent RR poll overestimated National's support by… doing well although both polls overestimated Green support last… the difference between Labour's polling and Labour's actual result….
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 7:15 am, September 19th, 2014 - 98 comments
Categories: conservative party, david cunliffe, election 2014, greens, internet mana party, john key, labour, national, newspapers, polls
Tags:
… The comparable figures in these polls last election were CB 50…comfortably above 5% in all polls and the Conservatives are below… 5% in all polls. Internet Mana is struggling. …for National during the period polled has caused Audrey to claim…
Written By: te reo putake - Date published: 6:21 pm, October 14th, 2019 - 121 comments
Categories: class war, economy, greens, jacinda ardern, labour, Media, national, nz first, political parties, Politics, Simon Bridges
Tags: colmar brunton, polls
…to forget, with yesterday's Newshub poll suggesting that the Tories would…much different from their previous polling in July, nor from …yesterday's TV3 poll. As usual, the Colmar … least because in the other poll question, preferred PM, Jacinda…
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 6:24 pm, January 30th, 2023 - 78 comments
Categories: act, election 2023, greens, labour, maori party, national, Politics, polls
Tags:
This evening two new political polls have been released both … New Zealand: Two political polls tonight have Labour regaining lost…. Both are the first poll for their respective organisations since… be the deciders. Both poll results suggest they will have…
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 8:52 pm, March 8th, 2024 - 39 comments
Categories: act, Christopher Luxon, greens, labour, national, political parties, Politics, polls
Tags:
…of incredulity when reading Curia's poll results. Like the last …Talbot Mills and 1News Verian poll results which suggested that …Taxpayers Union release about the poll tends to downplay Act's …correction of a previous rogue poll result which was against …
Written By: all_your_base - Date published: 12:06 pm, April 21st, 2008 - 25 comments
Categories: polls
Tags: polls
…reports on their Colmar Brunton poll showing a 19 point …latest ONE News Colmar Brunton poll. It's trailing well behind National… – The latest 3 News poll provides some welcome relief after…leadership". The lesson in this poll claims Garner, is that "National…
Written By: lprent - Date published: 11:04 am, September 2nd, 2008 - 10 comments
Categories: polls
Tags: act, alliance, christian heritage, Peter Dunne, united future
… observed:- I don't normally poll blog, but this I … for child rape – is polling 0.4%, ahead of both…about the art of public polling in New Zealand. The … the other side of the polling problem. So far, voters…they are 'voting' in the polls for a defunct party….
Written By: Eddie - Date published: 12:55 pm, January 31st, 2010 - 9 comments
Categories: dpf, polls
Tags: curia
…by David Farrar's Curia, National's polling company, recently. What she … was this: This week's poll asked respondents to say which…this isn't push-polling. But it is bad polling. Think about the…be interesting for a newspaper poll but don't deliver anything …
Written By: Anthony R0bins - Date published: 7:07 am, November 18th, 2011 - 26 comments
Categories: election 2011, polls
Tags: colmar brunton, herald digipoll, polls, reid research
…down in the two TV polls (though slightly up in… The Herald poll, so mixed messages as … 3 News Reid Reseach poll has National down to its… 50% and both TV polls have them heading down there…, and all polls have the Greens steady near…
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 11:33 am, December 20th, 2013 - 63 comments
Categories: polls
Tags: herald digipoll, polity
These days even the polls that have traditionally biased towards … at the latest NZ Herald poll. It is no wonder that… First: 3.9% Polity's poll of polls has a similar dynamic. The…" and all that.) Given this poll in December 2013, the best…
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 9:19 am, March 24th, 2014 - 22 comments
Categories: bill english, Gerry Brownlee, greens, Hekia parata, john banks, john key, Judith Collins, labour, Metiria Turei, national, paula bennett, peter dunne, polls, same old national, Steven Joyce
Tags: amy adams, anne tolley, simon bridges, tim groser, Tony Ryall
…at the hysteria about polls over the last …reading too much into polls and predicting elections based… one rogue poll. Few looked at multiple polls, accounted for…the latest Roy Morgan Poll seeing them plummet from…be worried because most polls tend to favour …
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 7:30 am, July 22nd, 2014 - 30 comments
Categories: election 2014, polls
Tags: polity
Reposted from Polity. The poll of polls is up to date, including … details are over at the poll of polls page, but below is… deals. See also Occasionally erudite "Poll of Polls update – 20 July 2014"
Written By: notices and features - Date published: 8:48 am, September 19th, 2014 - 32 comments
Categories: election 2014, Politics, polls
Tags: audrey young, jonolists, nz herald, polity
… a late bounce in polls Last voter survey before …this week, according to polling for the last Herald DigiPoll…event happened, National was polling at 47.8 per cent… of an issue viewing polls as having much validity … the meaning of a poll that is taken, and…
Written By: te reo putake - Date published: 3:36 pm, August 12th, 2020 - 34 comments
Categories: act, class war, Dirty Politics, election 2020, greens, jacinda ardern, Judith Collins, labour, nz first, Politics, same old national, the praiseworthy and the pitiful
Tags: judith collins, labour, national, polls, UMR poll
… NZ political history. Michael Appleton's poll of polls (RR, CB, RM, UMR…) reads as follows: Polling average: : Labour – 55% National – …the Tories in the UMR poll is that Judith Collins is… Collin's apparent response to the poll is a petulant call a…
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 7:55 am, October 11th, 2023 - 82 comments
Categories: act, greens, labour, national, nz first, political parties, polls
Tags:
…energy in a Guardian Essential poll days before the New …s election, after months of polls showed governing Labour languishing. Led…strongest showing of any major poll this year. Since September’s…of persistent slumps in the polls. Support for Labour’s …
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 9:06 pm, February 19th, 2024 - 43 comments
Categories: chris hipkins, labour, national, national/act government, polls, same old national
Tags:
… about the Curia Taxpayer's Union poll which saw a huge boost… Act. The recent Talbot Mills poll also saw Act going backward… honeymoon. Back in 2009 its polling jumped up between 5 to… % depending on who was polling. The recent polls show no honeymoon bump…
Written By: Eddie - Date published: 10:59 am, February 17th, 2011 - 24 comments
Categories: dpf, polls
Tags:
… of David Farrar's Curia polling company. Now, Tim …think), that National internal polling allegedly shows people aren't worried… and opens doors to polling contracts with National proxies … with ordinary Kiwis, Farrar's polls create a positive feedback,…
Written By: r0b - Date published: 10:30 am, April 29th, 2011 - 35 comments
Categories: election 2011, polls
Tags: roy morgan
…consistency of the Roy Morgan polling it's pretty clear that …the TV3 poll that had Labour on …. And with respect to polls in general, here's some … put much stock into poll results that show that …that. I've seen that polling in the paper a month…
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